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Jacobs Solutions Inc. (J) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$160.24 +3.64% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $161.67

Jacobs Solutions Inc. (J) earns a Roarable Rating of B- (Buy) with 70/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (25% profit margin, 16% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

ROARABLE B- • BUY Cap $18.10B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is J stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Jacobs Solutions Inc. (NYSE: J) is rated B- (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 70/100 at a spot price of $160.24 (+3.64% 1D, market cap $18.10B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 16/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 17/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 11/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, J ranks #36 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does J compare to ARXS and STRL in the Industrials sector?
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Within the Industrials sector (Military/Government/Technical), J carries a Roarable B- (70/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 61.8x, gross margin of 24.8%, and ROIC of 15.6%. By comparison, ARXS (Arxis Inc.) holds a C+ grade (66/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 4.0%, cap $21.89B) and STRL (Sterling Infrastructure Inc.) posts a C- grade (60/100 RQD, P/E 39.4x, ROIC 32.3%, cap $10.55B). Among the 5-stock peer group, STRL leads on earnings multiple (39.4x) while STRL leads on capital efficiency (32.3% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for J?
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Per J's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-09-26, CIK 0000052988), Jacobs Solutions Inc. generated $12.03B in revenue (+4.6% YoY), $289.3M in net income, and $607.5M in free cash flow against $11.61B in total assets and $2.49B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (25% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Priced at 62x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $161.68 (+0.90%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-0.96% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 16/20 (B+) • 5% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 70/100 (B-) historically ranked in the Top 15% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+6.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 68.1% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • B-
025507510070
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B · Rk C
Cash (16)Whales (17)SEC (14)Macro (12)CEO (11)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+5.4% Base Target
$199 Bull$169 Base$131 Bear
📬 FREE J RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for J)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±4.9%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (70/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY J SCORES 70/100 (B-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+17/20 pts (24% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±4.9% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+16/20 pts (23% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 5% FCF Margin ($607.5M FCF) & 24.8% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution11/20 pts (-9 pt drag)

Cannibal Buyback (-0.96% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 9 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
62
Grade C+$142.00+0.3% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
65
Grade C+$142.49+5.9% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
67
Grade B-$150.91+6.2% Next Q
Current
70
Grade B-$160.24+6.6% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C+ (62) → B- (70)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the J Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 70/100 (B-) score, J faces multiple-compression risk if 61.8x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Priced at 62x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-0.96% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 22.3% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($143.86) or 200D SMA ($134.03) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($168.89) toward Bear Floor ($131.40).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $J• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “J Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 25, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE
— (No Active Options Snapshot)
Put/Call Ratio: — (No Active Options Snapshot)
MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET
— (No Active Options Snapshot)
No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file
HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING
±4.9%
Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (J)

— (No Active Options Snapshot) — No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for J.

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Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating J & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

  • ✓Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on J
  • ✓How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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J // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +22.56%▲ ASCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-03O $152.8H $160.2L $152.8C $160.2VOL 646.8K
RES: $177.2SUP: $139.5SMA50: $143.9SMA200: $134.0
$164.1$148.2$132.4$116.6$100.8RES $177.2SUP $139.5$160.22026-05-042026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

J Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
42.3%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -1.1% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on J today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for J. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for J today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (J)

Industrials Rank #36 of 485 ⚔️ ARXS vs J Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (J vs. ARXS, STRL, RKLB, ESLT)

Industry: Military/Government/Technical (43 Tracked Issuers)

Across 485 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Jacobs Solutions Inc. (J) ranks #36 by composite RQD confidence (70/100, grade B-) and #63 by equity capitalization ($18.10B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, STRL leads on earnings valuation at 39.4x trailing P/E, while STRL leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 32.3% ROIC and 23.0% gross margin. J currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 70/100 (B-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
J ACTIVE
Jacobs Solutions Inc.
B- 70/100 61.8x 24.8% 15.6% +3.64% $18.10B Benchmark Subject
ARXS
Arxis Inc.
C+ 66/100 — 47.4% 4.0% -0.24% $21.89B /arxs-vs-j →
STRL
Sterling Infrastructure Inc.
C- 60/100 39.4x 23.0% 32.3% -3.02% $10.55B /strl-vs-j →
RKLB
Rocket Lab Corporation
D- 37/100 — 34.4% -6.1% -4.86% $34.36B /rklb-vs-j →
ESLT
Elbit Systems Ltd.
B- 70/100 70.3x 24.4% 15.1% -4.77% $36.26B /eslt-vs-j →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-09-26 • CIK 0000052988

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-09-26), Jacobs Solutions Inc. (J) reported GAAP revenue of $12.03B (+4.6% vs. FY2024 revenue of $11.50B , and +535.1% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $289.3M, operating cash flow of $686.7M, and free cash flow of $607.5M (-34.9% YoY). On the balance sheet, J closed FY2025 with $11.61B in total assets against $2.49B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 3.49, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-09-26 $12.03B $289.3M $686.7M $607.5M $11.61B $2.49B
FY2024 (FY) 2024-09-27 $11.50B $806.1M $1.05B $933.6M $11.61B $1.72B
FY2023 (FY) 2023-09-29 $1.89B $665.8M $974.8M $974.8M $9.83B $2.30B

3. J Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is J stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Jacobs Solutions Inc. (NYSE: J) is rated B- (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 70/100 at a spot price of $160.24 (+3.64% 1D, market cap $18.10B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 16/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 17/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 11/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, J ranks #36 in composite RQD confidence.

How does J compare to ARXS and STRL in the Industrials sector?

Within the Industrials sector (Military/Government/Technical), J carries a Roarable B- (70/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 61.8x, gross margin of 24.8%, and ROIC of 15.6%. By comparison, ARXS (Arxis Inc.) holds a C+ grade (66/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 4.0%, cap $21.89B) and STRL (Sterling Infrastructure Inc.) posts a C- grade (60/100 RQD, P/E 39.4x, ROIC 32.3%, cap $10.55B). Among the 5-stock peer group, STRL leads on earnings multiple (39.4x) while STRL leads on capital efficiency (32.3% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for J?

Per J's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-09-26, CIK 0000052988), Jacobs Solutions Inc. generated $12.03B in revenue (+4.6% YoY), $289.3M in net income, and $607.5M in free cash flow against $11.61B in total assets and $2.49B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (25% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Priced at 62x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is J trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

J last traded at $160.24 (+3.64% on volume of 729,014 shares), positioning the stock +11.39% above its 50-day simple moving average ($143.86) and +19.56% above its 200-day simple moving average ($134.03). Across its 52-week range of $105.68 to $157.00, J sits at the 100.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 69.5 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±4.9% ($152.39 to $168.09).

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 70/100 (B-) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

J — Jacobs Solutions Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-09-26

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Jacobs Solutions Inc. (J) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 70/100, corresponding to a B- letter grade (Roarable Buy) at a spot price of $160.24 (+3.64% 1D, market capitalization $18.10B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (16/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 15.6%, gross margin of 24.8%, operating margin of 7.2%, and free cash flow yield of 3.40%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (17/20) + Insider Conviction (14/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (12/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (11/20): Incorporates a 1.02x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 3.49, Piotroski F-Score of 6/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.72x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

. Is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Industrials sector, operating in the Military/Government/Technical industry. — for further business detail.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-09-26), Jacobs Solutions Inc. (J) reported $12.03B in annual revenue (up from $11.50B in FY2024, +4.6% YoY) and $289.3M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($1.89B revenue, $665.8M net income) through FY2025, J scaled operating cash flow to $686.7M and free cash flow to $607.5M, backed by $11.61B in total assets against $2.49B in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (B- • RQD 70/100): Strong cash generator (25% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 16/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 17/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $105.68 – $157.00 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Priced at 62x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter. Investors must weigh 61.8x trailing P/E and 20.2x EV/EBITDA against 7.2% operating margins and a 1.02x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

The supply_chain field is NONE, the butterfly_links list is empty, and no proprietary signals are recorded. Upstream and downstream dependencies, sector correlations, and 2nd-order bottlenecks are therefore — The one sector-level observation available is the Industrials/Military/Government/Technical classification combined with the Beta of 1.02 from the market data, which indicates market-level sensitivity close to the broad market; the source does not establish which specific counterparties or programs drive that exposure.

  • Key Question #1: Can J sustain or expand its 7.2% operating margin and 15.6% ROIC against Military/Government/Technical peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $12.03B and free cash flow of $607.5M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $2.49B in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is J's 57.5x forward P/E multiple to Industrials capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.02x)?

J Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Jacobs Solutions Inc. (J) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to J Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

J Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $160.24?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON J 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on J:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
AL AlphaFlow_Cap RQD DEBATE OPENER • Verified $100K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $177.81 (+15.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Institutional whale flow (17/20) and ROIC of 15.6% support a Roarable Buy verdict on the RQD rating.

Institutional whale flow (17/20) and ROIC of 15.6% support a Roarable Buy verdict on the RQD rating.. When you look under the hood at J, Fundamental Cash Engine is 16/20 with 24.8% gross margins and 15.6% ROIC. Bears are staring in the rearview mirror while institutional 13F flow (17/20) has been quietly accumulating below $157.00. My 12M target is $177.81.

CapAlloc_Nerd 🐂 BULL

@ForensicBear Fair point on 61.8x trailing P/E, but you're ignoring the forward operating leverage in Military/Government/Technical. If gross margin (24.8%) holds, EPS grows into the multiple faster than bears think.

FO ForensicBear RQD DEBATE OPENER • 10-K Footnote Auditor 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $120.60 (-22.0%)
Spot @ $154.62

A P/E (TTM) of 61.8 against a net margin of 2.4% leaves the valuation dependent on earnings growth not yet visible in the reported figu

Here is the bear case nobody on the bull side wants to address on J: A P/E (TTM) of 61.8 against a net margin of 2.4% leaves the valuation dependent on earnings growth not yet visible in the reported figures.. At 61.8x trailing P/E, even a small guidance miss in Military/Government/Technical triggers a 12-15% air pocket.

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