Intuitive Surgical Inc. (ISRG) Insider, 13F Hedge Fund & Politician Buy/Sell Thermometer

$436.87 +1.13% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $438.81

Intuitive Surgical Inc. (ISRG) earns a Roarable Rating of B (Buy) with 72/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (66% profit margin, 15% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

ROARABLE B • BUY Cap $149.75B
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is ISRG stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Intuitive Surgical Inc. (NASDAQ: ISRG) is rated B (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 72/100 at a spot price of $436.87 (+1.13% 1D, market cap $149.75B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 16/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, Executive Insider Alignment 18/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 14/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20. Across 1016 tracked Health Care issuers, ISRG ranks #52 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does ISRG compare to EW and STE in the Health Care sector?
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Within the Health Care sector (Industrial Specialties), ISRG carries a Roarable B (72/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 54.5x, gross margin of 66.0%, and ROIC of 15.0%. By comparison, EW (Edwards Lifesciences Corporation) holds a B+ grade (78/100 RQD, P/E 50.7x, ROIC 12.5%, cap $53.03B) and STE (STERIS plc (Ireland)) posts a B- grade (71/100 RQD, P/E 28.9x, ROIC 10.1%, cap $22.14B). Among the 5-stock peer group, ZBH leads on earnings multiple (26.4x) while ISRG leads on capital efficiency (15.0% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ISRG?
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Per ISRG's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001035267), Intuitive Surgical Inc. generated $10.06B in revenue (+20.5% YoY), $2.86B in net income, and $2.58B in free cash flow against $20.46B in total assets and $1.13B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (66% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Priced at 55x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $438.79 (+0.44%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.04% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 16/20 (B+) • 25.6% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 72/100 (B) historically ranked in the Top 13% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+7.0% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 68.7% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • B
025507510072
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C+ · Rk B+
Cash (16)Whales (12)SEC (18)Macro (14)CEO (12)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+6.3% Base Target
$634 Bull$464 Base$358 Bear
📬 FREE ISRG RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for ISRG)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6.2%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (72/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY ISRG SCORES 72/100 (B) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+18/20 pts (25% of score)

Altman Z-Score 26.00 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 9/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+16/20 pts (22% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 25.6% FCF Margin ($2.58B FCF) & 66% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution12/20 pts (-8 pt drag)

Disciplined Float (-0.04% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 8 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
64
Grade C+$420.24+1.9% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
67
Grade B-$428.12+3.8% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
69
Grade B-$444.18-1.6% Next Q
Current
72
Grade B$436.87+7% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C+ (64) → B (72)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the ISRG Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 72/100 (B) score, ISRG faces multiple-compression risk if 54.5x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Priced at 55x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Disciplined Float (-0.04% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 63.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($405.65) or 200D SMA ($431.69) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($464.39) toward Bear Floor ($358.23).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $ISRG• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “ISRG Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
SEC FORM 4 × 13F HEDGE FUNDS × CONGRESSIONAL STOCK ACT

ISRG Smart-Money Thermometer: BALANCED INSTITUTIONAL POSITIONING

Explore All 13F & Congress Whales →
▲ Disclosed Buys: 0 ($0)▼ Disclosed Sales: 0 ($0)

Wide-Open SEC Form 4, 13F & Congressional Disclosure Ledger (ISRG)

No recent open-market Form 4 cluster sales or emergency dumps flagged on ISRG. Visit the Global 13F & Congressional Whale Ledger for cross-market smart-money filings.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (ISRG Tape Review)

  • ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
  • ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
  • ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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ISRG // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -3.42%▲ ASCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-03O $448.8H $448.8L $432.0C $436.9VOL 3.48M
RES: $466.9SUP: $364.4SMA50: $405.7SMA200: $431.7
$511.8$462.2$412.5$362.8$313.2RES $466.9SUP $364.4$436.92026-05-042026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

ISRG Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
38.7%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +20.5% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ISRG today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →
NVO → ISRG Confirmed Filing
Intuitive Surgical explicitly disclosed in its Form 10-K that US bariatric surgery procedure volumes on da Vinci robotic systems slowed as patients trialed GLP-1 weight-loss drugs prior to surgery.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ISRG today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ISRG)

Health Care Rank #52 of 1016 ⚔️ EW vs ISRG Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Health Care Peer Comparison (ISRG vs. EW, STE, ZBH, SNN)

Industry: Industrial Specialties (55 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1016 tracked Health Care securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Intuitive Surgical Inc. (ISRG) ranks #52 by composite RQD confidence (72/100, grade B) and #14 by equity capitalization ($149.75B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ZBH leads on earnings valuation at 26.4x trailing P/E, while ISRG leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 15.0% ROIC and 66.0% gross margin. EW currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 78/100 (B+) compared with ISRG at 72/100 (B).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
ISRG ACTIVE
Intuitive Surgical Inc.
B 72/100 54.5x 66.0% 15.0% +1.13% $149.75B Benchmark Subject
EW
Edwards Lifesciences Corporation
B+ 78/100 50.7x 78.0% 12.5% +1.36% $53.03B /ew-vs-isrg →
STE
STERIS plc (Ireland)
B- 71/100 28.9x 44.2% 10.1% +2.74% $22.14B /ste-vs-isrg →
ZBH
Zimmer Biomet Holdings Inc.
C+ 68/100 26.4x 69.7% 4.6% +2.99% $18.03B /zbh-vs-isrg →
SNN
Smith & Nephew SNATS Inc.
D+ 58/100 32.8x — 9.9% +1.82% $12.44B /snn-vs-isrg →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001035267

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Intuitive Surgical Inc. (ISRG) reported GAAP revenue of $10.06B (+20.5% vs. FY2024 revenue of $8.35B , and +41.3% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $2.86B, operating cash flow of $3.03B, and free cash flow of $2.58B (+26.4% YoY). On the balance sheet, ISRG closed FY2025 with $20.46B in total assets against $1.13B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 26.00, Piotroski F-Score: 9/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $10.06B $2.86B $3.03B $2.58B $20.46B $1.13B
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $8.35B $2.32B $2.42B $2.04B $18.74B $996.1M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $7.12B $1.80B $1.81B $1.49B $85.56B $20.02B

3. ISRG Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is ISRG stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Intuitive Surgical Inc. (NASDAQ: ISRG) is rated B (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 72/100 at a spot price of $436.87 (+1.13% 1D, market cap $149.75B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 16/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, Executive Insider Alignment 18/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 14/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20. Across 1016 tracked Health Care issuers, ISRG ranks #52 in composite RQD confidence.

How does ISRG compare to EW and STE in the Health Care sector?

Within the Health Care sector (Industrial Specialties), ISRG carries a Roarable B (72/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 54.5x, gross margin of 66.0%, and ROIC of 15.0%. By comparison, EW (Edwards Lifesciences Corporation) holds a B+ grade (78/100 RQD, P/E 50.7x, ROIC 12.5%, cap $53.03B) and STE (STERIS plc (Ireland)) posts a B- grade (71/100 RQD, P/E 28.9x, ROIC 10.1%, cap $22.14B). Among the 5-stock peer group, ZBH leads on earnings multiple (26.4x) while ISRG leads on capital efficiency (15.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ISRG?

Per ISRG's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001035267), Intuitive Surgical Inc. generated $10.06B in revenue (+20.5% YoY), $2.86B in net income, and $2.58B in free cash flow against $20.46B in total assets and $1.13B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (66% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Priced at 55x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is ISRG trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

ISRG last traded at $436.87 (+1.13% on volume of 3,813,594 shares), positioning the stock +7.70% above its 50-day simple moving average ($405.65) and +1.20% above its 200-day simple moving average ($431.69). Across its 52-week range of $328.57 to $603.88, ISRG sits at the 39.3% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 51.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.2% ($409.78 to $463.96).

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 72/100 (B) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

ISRG — Intuitive Surgical Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:09:20Z

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

ISRG scores 75 out of 100, a letter grade of B, with the verdict label "Roarable Buy — Good Risk/Reward." The five pillars are: Fundamental Cash Engine at 16/20 (ROIC 15%; FCF yield 1.66%), Whale 13F Flow at 15/20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning), Insider Conviction at 12/20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow), Macro Regime Fit at 14/20 (beta 0.97; sector sensitivity), and Forensic Balance Sheet at 18/20 (Altman Z 26; Piotroski F 9/9; Debt/Equity 0.06). The strongest pillar is the forensic balance sheet, which indicates low financial-distress risk per the metrics supplied. The weakest pillar is insider conviction, which signals less insider-side confirmation than the other pillars. Valuation is the central tradeoff: per the market data, the stock trades at a trailing P/E of 54.5, a forward P/E of 45.8, and an EV/EBITDA of 46, while the FCF yield is 1.66%. A prospective investor would be weighing a high-quality, low-leverage business against a premium price where near-term cash yield is thin, so returns would depend heavily on sustained growth rather than current cash distributions. This is an educational reading of the rating, not personalized advice.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Intuitive Surgical Inc. Is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Health Care sector, classified under Industrial Specialties. The source data references a da Vinci robotic systems franchise, with procedures (including general surgery, thoracic, and bariatric categories) performed using these systems. —

Revenue rose from $7.12B (FY 2023) to $10.06B (FY 2025), and net income from $1.80B to $2.86B over the same span. Per the market data, operating margin is 29.3%, net margin 28.4%, and gross margin 66%, with ROIC at 15%. The Altman Z-Score is 26 and the Piotroski F-Score is 9/9, both 's forensic pillar, and Debt/Equity is 0.06. The FY 2023 debt figure ($20.02B) is reported as provided in the source and is inconsistent in scale with the FY 2024 and FY 2025 figures; this discrepancy is not resolved in the source data.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case: Forensic balance sheet scores 18/20 with Altman Z 26, Piotroski F 9/9, and Debt/Equity 0.06, alongside FY 2025 revenue of $10.06B and FCF of $2.58B. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 16/20 (ROIC 15.0%, FCF yield 1.66%) and Institutional Whale Flow at 12/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the top of the $328.57 – $603.88 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case: Trailing P/E of 54.5 and forward P/E of 45.8 against an FCF yield of 1.66%, with a disclosed GLP-1 bariatric procedure headwind. Investors must weigh 54.5x trailing P/E and 46.0x EV/EBITDA against 29.3% operating margins and a 0.97 macro beta if sector demand softens.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

The supply_chain field is NONE and the sector/industry is Health Care / Industrial Specialties. The one documented link runs from NVO (Novo Nordisk, the GLP-1 drug source) to ISRG, typed POTENTIAL_LOSER with a CONFIRMED_FILING evidence tier. The mechanism is 2nd-order demand: GLP-1 weight-loss treatment reduces the bariatric surgery pipeline feeding da Vinci procedures. The source states bariatrics is under 5% of total global da Vinci procedures, limiting the magnitude. The competing explanation is that patients who plateau or lose coverage on GLP-1 therapy may re-enter the robotic bariatric funnel 12–24 months later. Watch item: the next catalyst named is Intuitive's quarterly worldwide procedure growth and bariatric sub-trend commentary.

  • Key Question #1: What is the FY 2023 debt figure of $20.02B, given it is far out of scale with FY 2024 ($996.1M) and FY 2025 ($1.13B)?
  • Key Question #2: Why is EPS reported as N/A across all three periods when trailing EPS is given as $8.24?
  • Key Question #3: What is the FY 2023 cash balance, which is reported as N/A?

ISRG Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Intuitive Surgical Inc. (ISRG) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to ISRG Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

ISRG Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $436.87?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON ISRG 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on ISRG:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
DE DeltaGamma_99 Options Flow Specialist 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $552.97 (+28.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Forensic balance sheet scores 18/20 with Altman Z 26, Piotroski F 9/9, and Debt/Equity 0.06, alongside FY 2025 revenue of $10.06B and

Picked up a starter position in ISRG in my $100K Virtual Cash book at $432.01. Forensic balance sheet scores 18/20 with Altman Z 26, Piotroski F 9/9, and Debt/Equity 0.06, alongside FY 2025 revenue of $10.06B and FCF of $2.58B.. Trading inside a $328.57–$603.88 52-week range with 1.66% FCF yield gives solid downside support if Industrial Specialties multiples expand this quarter.

VolSurface_Trader 🐂 BULL

Both sides have a point here — ISRG's 18/20 balance sheet score keeps downside contained, so the real swing factor next earnings call is backlog and FCF conversion.

BE BearTrap_Alert Cycle Peak Watcher 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $349.93 (-19.0%)
Spot @ $432.01

Trailing P/E of 54.5 and forward P/E of 45.8 against an FCF yield of 1.66%, with a disclosed GLP-1 bariatric procedure headwind.

Careful chasing ISRG at $432.01. Trailing P/E of 54.5 and forward P/E of 45.8 against an FCF yield of 1.66%, with a disclosed GLP-1 bariatric procedure headwind.. Gross margin is 66.0%, but operating margin is 29.3%, which shows SG&A and reinvestment are eating into bottom-line EPS. Target $349.93 on multiple compression.

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