Samsara Inc. (IOT) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±9.5% Move

$42.07 +1.01% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $42.07

Samsara Inc. (IOT) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 64/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C • HOLD / WATCH Cap $24.39B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on IOT Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is IOT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
▼

As of 2026-11-02, Samsara Inc. (NYSE: IOT) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 64/100 at a spot price of $42.07 (+1.01% 1D, market cap $24.39B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 15/20, Executive Insider Alignment 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, IOT ranks #178 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does IOT compare to VRSK and RDDT in the Technology sector?
▼

Within the Technology sector (EDP Services), IOT carries a Roarable C (64/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 76.7%, and ROIC of -2.1%. By comparison, VRSK (Verisk Analytics Inc.) holds a B grade (74/100 RQD, P/E 27.3x, ROIC 53.5%, cap $24.82B) and RDDT (Reddit Inc.) posts a C grade (64/100 RQD, P/E 47.0x, ROIC 16.6%, cap $24.93B). Among the 5-stock peer group, CTSH leads on earnings multiple (12.6x) while VRSK leads on capital efficiency (53.5% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for IOT?
▼

Per IOT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-01-31, CIK 0001642896), Samsara Inc. generated $1.62B in revenue (+29.6% YoY), -$9.1M in net income, and $207.4M in free cash flow against $2.54B in total assets and $504.1M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $42.07 (-0.01%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.52% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 11/20 (D+) • 12.8% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 64/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 55.2% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C
025507510064
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C- · Rk B-
Cash (11)Whales (15)SEC (16)Macro (12)CEO (10)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+2.7% Base Target
$51 Bull$43 Base$34 Bear
📬 FREE IOT RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for IOT)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±9.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (64/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY IOT SCORES 64/100 (C) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+16/20 pts (25% of score)

Altman Z-Score 13.02 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 8/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+15/20 pts (23% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±9.5% realized swing band)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution10/20 pts (-10 pt drag)

Disciplined Float (+0.52% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 10 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
56
Grade C$41.27+2.7% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
59
Grade C$42.39+2.6% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
61
Grade C$43.51-3.3% Next Q
Current
64
Grade C$42.07+1.1% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C (56) → C (64)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the IOT Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 64/100 (C) score, IOT faces multiple-compression risk if current valuation multiples re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Disciplined Float (+0.52% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 74.2% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($40.64) or 200D SMA ($34.33) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($43.21) toward Bear Floor ($33.70).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $IOT• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “IOT Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”
NEXT EST. WINDOW: Jan 30, 2027 (~88 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±9.5% Swing Band

±$4.00 Expected Swing
$38.07 (-9.5%)Spot $42.07$46.07 (+9.5%)
MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

IOT Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 64/100

Trailing EPS: $-0.02 • YoY Revenue Growth: 29.6%

Model Bullish Setup (64/100)Model Risk Weight (36/100)
Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).
LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

PeriodFiledRevenueNet ProfitFree Cash FlowGross Margin
FY 20252026-01-31$1.62B-$9.1M$207.4M76.7%
FY 20242025-02-01$1.25B-$154.9M$111.5M76.1%
FY 20232024-02-03$937.4M-$286.7M-$54.0M76.7%
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Options & Swing Structure Desk

Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating IOT & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

  • ✓Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on IOT
  • ✓How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
IOT // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +37.48%▲ ASCENDING TRIANGLE
2026-11-02O $43.01H $43.01L $41.65C $42.07VOL 4.53M
RES: $45.35SUP: $39.19SMA50: $40.64SMA200: $34.33
$46.62$41.24$35.86$30.49$25.11RES $45.35SUP $39.19$42.072026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

IOT Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
16.8%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +29.6% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on IOT today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for IOT. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for IOT today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (IOT)

Technology Rank #178 of 714 ⚔️ VRSK vs IOT Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (IOT vs. VRSK, RDDT, VRSN, CTSH)

Industry: EDP Services (163 Tracked Issuers)

Across 714 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Samsara Inc. (IOT) ranks #178 by composite RQD confidence (64/100, grade C) and #101 by equity capitalization ($24.39B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, CTSH leads on earnings valuation at 12.6x trailing P/E, while VRSK leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 53.5% ROIC and 69.9% gross margin. CTSH currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 83/100 (A-) compared with IOT at 64/100 (C).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
IOT ACTIVE
Samsara Inc.
C 64/100 — 76.7% -2.1% +1.01% $24.39B Benchmark Subject
VRSK
Verisk Analytics Inc.
B 74/100 27.3x 69.9% 53.5% +2.93% $24.82B /vrsk-vs-iot →
RDDT
Reddit Inc.
C 64/100 47.0x 91.2% 16.6% -29.22% $24.93B /rddt-vs-iot →
VRSN
VeriSign Inc.
B 75/100 33.2x 88.2% 40.3% +0.41% $27.44B /vrsn-vs-iot →
CTSH
Cognizant Technology Solutions Corporation
A- 83/100 12.6x — 19.6% +4.14% $28.16B /ctsh-vs-iot →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2026-01-31 • CIK 0001642896

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2026-01-31), Samsara Inc. (IOT) reported GAAP revenue of $1.62B (+29.6% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.25B , and +72.7% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$9.1M, operating cash flow of $236.2M, and free cash flow of $207.4M (+86.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, IOT closed FY2025 with $2.54B in total assets against $504.1M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 13.02, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2026-01-31 $1.62B -$9.1M $236.2M $207.4M $2.54B $504.1M
FY2024 (FY) 2025-02-01 $1.25B -$154.9M $131.7M $111.5M $2.02B $429.8M
FY2023 (FY) 2024-02-03 $937.4M -$286.7M -$11.8M -$54.0M $13.41B $3.14B

3. IOT Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is IOT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Samsara Inc. (NYSE: IOT) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 64/100 at a spot price of $42.07 (+1.01% 1D, market cap $24.39B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 15/20, Executive Insider Alignment 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, IOT ranks #178 in composite RQD confidence.

How does IOT compare to VRSK and RDDT in the Technology sector?

Within the Technology sector (EDP Services), IOT carries a Roarable C (64/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 76.7%, and ROIC of -2.1%. By comparison, VRSK (Verisk Analytics Inc.) holds a B grade (74/100 RQD, P/E 27.3x, ROIC 53.5%, cap $24.82B) and RDDT (Reddit Inc.) posts a C grade (64/100 RQD, P/E 47.0x, ROIC 16.6%, cap $24.93B). Among the 5-stock peer group, CTSH leads on earnings multiple (12.6x) while VRSK leads on capital efficiency (53.5% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for IOT?

Per IOT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-01-31, CIK 0001642896), Samsara Inc. generated $1.62B in revenue (+29.6% YoY), -$9.1M in net income, and $207.4M in free cash flow against $2.54B in total assets and $504.1M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is IOT trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

IOT last traded at $42.07 (+1.01% on volume of 4,702,559 shares), positioning the stock +3.52% above its 50-day simple moving average ($40.64) and +22.55% above its 200-day simple moving average ($34.33). Across its 52-week range of $23.38 to $47.47, IOT sits at the 77.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 49.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±9.5% ($38.07 to $46.07).

IOT Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is IOT's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, Samsara Inc. (IOT)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Jan 30, 2027.

How much is IOT stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±9.5% event move for IOT, spanning a range between $38.07 and $46.07.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 64/100 (C) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

IOT — Samsara Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:13:02Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, Samsara Inc. scores 64 out of 100, a letter grade of C, with the verdict "Roarable Hold — Fair / Balanced Risk-Reward." The five pillars are:

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (11 / 20): Per the Roarable RQD rating, ROIC is -2.1% and FCF yield is 0.85%. This is the weakest-scoring area relative to its potential, indicating that the current cash generation does not yet translate strongly into returns on invested capital.
  • Whale 13F Flow (15 / 20): Per the Roarable RQD rating, institutional accumulation and options positioning score moderately well, suggesting some sophisticated-holder interest.
  • Insider Conviction (10 / 20): Per the Roarable RQD rating, SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow scores low, and the source data does not provide the underlying transaction detail to explain this score.
  • Macro Regime Fit (12 / 20): Per the Roarable RQD rating, beta is 1.42 and the score reflects sector sensitivity, meaning the stock is expected to move more than the broad market in either direction.
  • Forensic Balance Sheet (16 / 20): Per the Roarable RQD rating, Altman Z is 13.02, Piotroski F is 8/9, and Debt/Equity is 0.33. This is the strongest pillar and indicates balance-sheet resilience.

For a prospective investor evaluating the stock today, the pattern is a financially sturdy balance sheet paired with weak current returns and a high-beta profile. The upside case rests on converting cash generation into returns and on institutional interest; the valuation tradeoff is that the stock trades at a forward P/E of 23 while trailing EPS is negative (-0.02), so the valuation depends on earnings expectations not yet visible in trailing results. The stock's 52-week range of $23.38 to $47.47 against a current price of $41.65 illustrates the volatility a high-beta name can produce. This is an educational framing, not personalized advice.

Business

Samsara Inc. is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Technology sector, operating in the EDP Services industry. Per the profile, the company carries a market capitalization of $24.4B. The source data does not describe its specific products, customer segments, or revenue model beyond the sector and industry classification.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$1618.6M$-52.6M$-9.1MN/A$207.4M$318.8M$504.1M
FY 2024$1249.2M$-190.0M$-154.9MN/A$111.5M$227.6M$429.8M
FY 2023$937.4M$-323.3M$-286.7MN/A$-54.0MN/A$3139.1M

Per the SEC financials, revenue grew from $937.4M in FY 2023 to $1618.6M in FY 2025, and net losses narrowed from $-286.7M to $-9.1M over the same span. Per the market data, gross margin is 76.7%, operating margin is -3.2%, and net margin is -0.6%, with ROIC at -2.1%. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 13.02 and the Piotroski F-Score is 8/9, both pointing to strong financial health. Per the SEC financials, debt has declined from $3139.1M in FY 2023 to $504.1M in FY 2025, while cash rose to $318.8M in FY 2025.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news feed, catalysts and headlines include: a report on an Asplundh deal and a new AI integration push (YELLOW, Yahoo Finance); a Seeking Alpha piece on the fleet relationship supporting a larger software business (YELLOW); a Jefferies initiation with a buy rating citing AI potential (YELLOW, Investing.com); a ChartMill note on high growth momentum and a breakout setup (GREEN, flagged as a CATALYST); a Yahoo Finance piece asking whether a fourth straight profitable quarter supports index entry (YELLOW); and a Simply Wall St analyst forecast roundup (YELLOW). Per the feed, the first headline is associated with an 8.4% gain. The most prominent signal flagged green is the ChartMill breakout note; the remainder are yellow. The Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph reports no supply-chain links and no proprietary signals.

Butterfly Effect: 2nd-Order Supply-Chain & Sector Ripples

Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply chain is listed as NONE, with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals. The source data therefore does not identify upstream suppliers, downstream customers, or cross-sector correlations. The one sector-level input available is the Technology / EDP Services classification and the beta of 1.42, which suggests sensitivity to broader market moves. A prospective investor should watch whether the AI-related catalysts cited in the news feed translate into revenue, since that would be the most direct second-order channel, but the source data does not quantify any such linkage.

Open Questions

  • What is the company's trailing P/E and EV/EBITDA, given both are absent from the source data while forward P/E is 23?
  • Does the current FY 2025 positive free cash flow of $207.4M reflect durable operating cash generation, and how does it reconcile with the -2.1% ROIC?
  • What specific institutional 13F and insider Form 4 transactions underlie the moderate whale-flow score and the low insider-conviction score?
  • What is the Asplundh deal and what revenue or margin impact does the source data attribute to it?
  • What are the company's products, customer base, and revenue model, which the source data does not describe?

IOT Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Samsara Inc. (IOT) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to IOT Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

IOT Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $42.07?

🐂 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON IOT 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on IOT:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk ⚖️ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $44.98 (+8.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is IOT (C • RQD 64/100) a Buy at $41.65?

Welcome to the IOT (Samsara Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 64/100 (Roarable Hold — Fair / Balanced Risk-Reward) in EDP Services. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

BE BearTrap_Alert Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $34.57 (-17.0%)
Spot @ $41.65

Pump the brakes on IOT — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on IOT, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with 76.7% gross margins. Unless Samsara Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

SI SiliconVal_Bull Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $52.06 (+25.0%)
Spot @ $41.65

IOT cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on IOT, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in EDP Services and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $41.65 (52-wk range $23.38 - $47.47), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

LIVE TAPE SPY $755.72 -0.38% QQQ $690.49 -1.44% DIA $517.13 -0.37% IWM $279.33 +0.96% NVDA $204.64 -4.22% AAPL $344.63 -1.23% MSFT $521.91 -1.55% TSLA $399.81 -0.86% PLTR $184.11 -6.27% SOFI $16.76 -4.83% IBIT $43.36 -0.94% GLD $355.78 -1.34%