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Stock Ratings / Financials / IOND / forecast
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Ionic Digital Inc. (Class A) (IOND) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$66.26 -4.39% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $65.61

Ionic Digital Inc. (Class A) (IOND) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 48/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (48/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →
ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $3.12B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on IOND Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is IOND stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, Ionic Digital Inc. (Class A) (NASDAQ: IOND) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 48/100 at a spot price of $66.26 (-4.39% 1D, market cap $3.12B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Active quantitative signal LIQUIDITY_TAILWIND (BEARISH, conviction undefined/100) notes: undefined.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does IOND compare to ASST and XXI in the Financials sector?
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Within the Financials sector (Finance: Consumer Services), IOND carries a Roarable D (48/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, ASST (Strive Inc.) holds a C+ grade (67/100 RQD, P/E 32.8x, ROIC 18.8%, cap $3.17B) and XXI (Twenty One Capital Inc. (Class A)) posts a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $3.22B). Among the 5-stock peer group, SLM leads on earnings multiple (4.5x) while ASST leads on capital efficiency (18.8% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for IOND?
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Per IOND's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0002007691), Ionic Digital Inc. (Class A) generated $0 in revenue, $0 in net income, and $0 in free cash flow against $605.0M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $65.61 (-0.98%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 10/20 (D) • 2.2% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (48/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-5.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D
025507510048
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D+
Cash (10)Whales (7)SEC (13)Macro (9)CEO (9)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-4.5% Base Target
$94 Bull$63 Base$49 Bear
📬 FREE IOND RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for IOND)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±11.7%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (48/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY IOND SCORES 48/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (27% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+10/20 pts (21% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 2.2% FCF Margin ($87.3M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning7/20 pts (-13 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-13 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
56
Grade C$75.71-16.3% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
53
Grade C-$63.39+2.9% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
51
Grade C-$65.23+1.6% Next Q
Current
48
Grade D$66.26-5.6% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C (56) → D (48)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a IOND Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While IOND currently carries a cautious 48/100 (D) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (7/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($75.51) and Max Pain ($69.57) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $93.83.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $IOND• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “IOND Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 48%NO 52%Trade / Inspect Odds →
INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your IOND Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $66.26: 150.9 sh
$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000
12M Bear Case FloorTarget $49.36
$7,449
$-2,551 (-25.5%)
12M Consensus BaseTarget $63.28
$9,550
$-450 (-4.5%)
12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $93.83
$14,161
+$4,161 (+41.6%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (32 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100
● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 6
Wall Street FirmStance12M Target1Y AccuracyTrack Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity DeskHOLD$6674%A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage LeadUNDERPERFORM$8869%B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap ResearchSELL$5658%C
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring IOND)

  • ✓Walkthrough of IOND's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena
IOND // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +5.34%▲ ASCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-02O $69.26H $69.30L $66.26C $66.26VOL 290.1K
RES: $103.9SUP: $61.81SMA50: $75.51SMA200: $72.60
$92.12$80.70$69.29$57.87$46.46RES $103.9SUP $61.81$66.262026-07-282026-08-202026-09-152026-10-082026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

IOND Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 IOND Butterfly Map → + Track IOND →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on IOND today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for IOND. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for IOND today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (IOND)

Financials Rank #708 of 1096 ⚔️ ASST vs IOND Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (IOND vs. ASST, XXI, GBDC, SLM)

Industry: Finance: Consumer Services (156 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Ionic Digital Inc. (Class A) (IOND) ranks #708 by composite RQD confidence (48/100, grade D) and #360 by equity capitalization ($3.12B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, SLM leads on earnings valuation at 4.5x trailing P/E, while ASST leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 18.8% ROIC and — gross margin. ASST currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 67/100 (C+) compared with IOND at 48/100 (D).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
IOND ACTIVE
Ionic Digital Inc. (Class A)
D 48/100 — — — -4.39% $3.12B Benchmark Subject
ASST
Strive Inc.
C+ 67/100 32.8x — 18.8% -10.90% $3.17B /asst-vs-iond →
XXI
Twenty One Capital Inc. (Class A)
D 45/100 — — — -4.20% $3.22B /xxi-vs-iond →
GBDC
Golub Capital BDC Inc.
D- 40/100 8.8x — 9.6% -0.47% $3.32B /gbdc-vs-iond →
SLM
SLM Corporation
D- 38/100 4.5x — 7.4% -2.47% $3.34B /slm-vs-iond →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2025–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0002007691

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Ionic Digital Inc. (Class A) (IOND) reported GAAP revenue of $0 , GAAP net income of $0, operating cash flow of $0, and free cash flow of $0 . On the balance sheet, IOND closed FY2025 with $605.0M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: N/A).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $0 $0 — — $605.0M —

3. IOND Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is IOND stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Ionic Digital Inc. (Class A) (NASDAQ: IOND) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 48/100 at a spot price of $66.26 (-4.39% 1D, market cap $3.12B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Active quantitative signal LIQUIDITY_TAILWIND (BEARISH, conviction undefined/100) notes: undefined.

How does IOND compare to ASST and XXI in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Finance: Consumer Services), IOND carries a Roarable D (48/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, ASST (Strive Inc.) holds a C+ grade (67/100 RQD, P/E 32.8x, ROIC 18.8%, cap $3.17B) and XXI (Twenty One Capital Inc. (Class A)) posts a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $3.22B). Among the 5-stock peer group, SLM leads on earnings multiple (4.5x) while ASST leads on capital efficiency (18.8% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for IOND?

Per IOND's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0002007691), Ionic Digital Inc. (Class A) generated $0 in revenue, $0 in net income, and $0 in free cash flow against $605.0M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is IOND trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

IOND last traded at $66.26 (-4.39% on volume of 471,213 shares), positioning the stock -12.25% below its 50-day simple moving average ($75.51) and -8.73% below its 200-day simple moving average ($72.60). Across its 52-week range of $50.00 to $89.36, IOND sits at the 41.3% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 46.7 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±11.7% ($58.51 to $74.01).

IOND Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is IOND's 12-month stock price target?

Ionic Digital Inc. (Class A) (IOND) carries a 12-month consensus base price target of $63.28 (-4.5% from $66.26), with a bull-case target of $93.83 and a bear-case floor of $49.36.

Is IOND stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now?

Roarable's 5-Pillar RQD Quant Engine rates IOND D (Sell — SELL) with an RQD Confidence score of 48/100.

Direct Sub-Reports: IOND RQD Cockpit IOND 12M Forecast IOND Earnings & Move IOND Dividends & DRIP IOND Insiders & 13F IOND Whale Options IOND Profit Sankey IOND News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 48/100 (D) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

IOND — Ionic Digital Inc. (Class A): What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T14:11:59Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, IOND scores 48 out of 100, a D grade, with the verdict label "Roarable Sell — Underperform / Distribution Warning." The five pillars are:

  • Fundamental Cash Engine: 10 / 20. Per the RQD rating, ROIC is 0% and FCF yield is 0%. For an investor, this means the source data shows no measurable return on invested capital or free-cash generation supporting the valuation.
  • Whale 13F Flow: 7 / 20. Per the RQD rating, this pillar reflects institutional accumulation and options positioning. The score is below midpoint, indicating weak institutional support in the data.
  • Insider Conviction: 9 / 20. Per the RQD rating, this pillar reflects SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. The score is below midpoint, suggesting limited insider-conviction signals.
  • Macro Regime Fit: 9 / 20. Per the RQD rating, beta is 1.0 and the pillar reflects sector sensitivity. The score is below midpoint, indicating the stock's macro positioning is not favorable in the data.
  • Forensic Balance Sheet: 13 / 20. Per the RQD rating, Altman Z is 2.5, Piotroski F is 6/9, and Debt/Equity is 0.5. This is the strongest pillar, though still under midpoint.

Taken together, the prospective investor faces a stock where the forensic balance sheet is the relative bright spot, while profitability, institutional flow, insider flow, and macro fit all score weakly. The upside case rests mainly on catalysts rather than current cash generation. The valuation tradeoff is that, with ROIC and FCF yield at 0% and no earnings per share data available, the price of $69.3 cannot be cross-checked against cash-flow or earnings multiples in the source data.

Business

Ionic Digital Inc. (Class A) is a NASDAQ-listed issuer classified in the Financials sector and the Finance: Consumer Services industry, per the company profile. Per the profile, its market capitalization is $3.1B. The source data does not describe what products or services the company sells, to whom, or how it earns revenue.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025 (filed 2025-12-31)$0.0M$0.0M$0.0MN/AN/A$43.5MN/A

Per the SEC financials, reported revenue, operating income, and net income are each $0.0M for FY 2025, and per the market data, gross, operating, and net margins are each 0%. ROIC is 0% per the market data. Per the RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 2.5 and the Piotroski F-Score is 6/9, with Debt/Equity at 0.5. The source data does not report a debt figure for FY 2025, so the balance sheet posture beyond cash and the Debt/Equity ratio cannot be fully assessed.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news and catalysts section, six items are listed, all tied to IOND:

  • A Seeking Alpha item headlined that the stock "could more than double, Sachem Head says," flagged YELLOW, 1h ago.
  • A MEXC price-page item, flagged YELLOW, 3h ago.
  • A MarketBeat competitors item, flagged YELLOW, 6h ago.
  • A Simply Wall St item on high-growth stocks, flagged GREEN and labeled CATALYST, 9h ago.
  • A Stock Titan item reporting swaps tied to 1.5M shares accompanying an investor's reported stake, flagged YELLOW, 12h ago.
  • A MarketBeat forecast and price-target item, flagged YELLOW, 15h ago.

Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the proprietary signal is a LIQUIDITY_TAILWIND with a terminal label of MACRO TAILWIND SCORE (18/100), severity 94, direction BEARISH. The signal reports True Net Liquidity contracting -0.64% over four weeks to $5,746B ($5,745.73B), a 6.1 z-score alert, high-yield OAS widening by 2 bps, and a 6.00x net liquidity elasticity beta with weak correlation (r=+0.19). The most actionable watch item is the conflict between the bullish Sachem Head headline and the bearish liquidity signal.

Open Questions

  • What products or services does Ionic Digital generate revenue from, and who are its customers?
  • What were the FY 2025 debt levels and total revenue, given that the reported financials show $0.0M revenue alongside $43.5M cash?
  • What is the basis for the Sachem Head claim that the stock could more than double, and what valuation assumptions underlie it?
  • Who are the institutional holders and insiders driving the RQD whale and insider pillars, given that the holders section is empty?
  • How does the reported 6.00x liquidity elasticity translate into realized price sensitivity over the 52-week range of $50 - $89.36?

IOND Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Ionic Digital Inc. (Class A) (IOND) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to IOND Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

IOND Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $66.26?

🐂 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON IOND 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on IOND:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk ⚖️ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $74.84 (+8.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is IOND (D • RQD 48/100) a Buy at $69.30?

Welcome to the IOND (Ionic Digital Inc. (Class A)) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 48/100 (Roarable Sell — Underperform / Distribution Warning) in Finance: Consumer Services. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

BE BearTrap_Alert Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $52.67 (-24.0%)
Spot @ $69.30

Pump the brakes on IOND — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on IOND, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with tightening sector spreads. Unless Ionic Digital Inc. (Class A) expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

CA CashFlowKing Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $84.55 (+22.0%)
Spot @ $69.30

IOND cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on IOND, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Finance: Consumer Services and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $69.30 (52-wk range $50.00 - $89.36), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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