Investcorp Credit Management BDC Inc. (ICMB) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$0.72 -4.73% NASDAQ β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $0.71

Investcorp Credit Management BDC Inc. (ICMB) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 40/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D- β€’ RED ALERT Cap $10.8M
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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As of 2026-11-02, Investcorp Credit Management BDC Inc. (NASDAQ: ICMB) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 40/100 at a spot price of $0.72 (-4.73% 1D, market cap $10.8M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, ICMB ranks #939 in composite RQD confidence.

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πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does ICMB compare to MDBH and BTCT in the Financials sector?
β–Ό

Within the Financials sector (Finance: Consumer Services), ICMB carries a Roarable D- (40/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of β€”, and ROIC of -14.9%. By comparison, MDBH (MDB Capital Holdings LLC Class A common) holds a D- grade (38/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 8.2%, cap $9.8M) and BTCT (BTC Digital Ltd.) posts a E grade (25/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -18.9%, cap $8.4M). Among the 5-stock peer group, ICMB leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while MDBH leads on capital efficiency (8.2% ROIC).

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πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ICMB?
β–Ό

Per ICMB's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001578348), Investcorp Credit Management BDC Inc. generated $0 in revenue, -$8.8M in net income, and $11.7M in free cash flow against $188.8M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $0.71 (-1.04%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 10/20 (D) β€’ 0.3% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (40/100 Β· D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-7.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT β€’ D-
025507510040
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- Β· Rk D
Cash (10)Whales (7)SEC (10)Macro (8)CEO (5)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-8.3% Base Target
$3 Bull$1 Base$1 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE ICMB RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for ICMB)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (40/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY ICMB SCORES 40/100 (D-) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+10/20 pts (25% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0.3% FCF Margin ($11.7M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+10/20 pts (25% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) β€’ Piotroski F-Score 3/9

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution5/20 pts (-15 pt drag)

Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 15 pts from alignment

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
32
Grade E$0.69-10.1% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
35
Grade E$0.62+17.7% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
37
Grade E$0.73-1.4% Next Q
Current
40
Grade D-$0.72-7.4% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: E (32) β†’ D- (40)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a ICMB Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

While ICMB currently carries a cautious 40/100 (D-) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($0.79) and Max Pain ($0.76) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $3.28.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $ICMBβ€’ $2.4M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œICMB Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE
β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
Put/Call Ratio: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET
β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file
HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING
Β±12.5%
Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (ICMB)

β€” (No Active Options Snapshot) β€” No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for ICMB.

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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring ICMB)

  • βœ“Walkthrough of ICMB's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • βœ“3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
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ICMB // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -60.22%β–Ό DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-02O $0.75H $0.75L $0.72C $0.72VOL 125.2K
RES: $0.85SUP: $0.59SMA50: $0.79SMA200: $1.48
$2.79$2.20$1.61$1.03$0.44RES $0.85SUP $0.59$0.722026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-172026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

ICMB Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ICMB today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ICMB. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ICMB today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ICMB)

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (ICMB vs. MDBH, BTCT, NCPL, BENF)

Industry: Finance: Consumer Services (156 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Investcorp Credit Management BDC Inc. (ICMB) ranks #939 by composite RQD confidence (40/100, grade D-) and #1073 by equity capitalization ($10.8M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ICMB leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while MDBH leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 8.2% ROIC and β€” gross margin. NCPL currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 63/100 (C) compared with ICMB at 40/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
ICMB ACTIVE
Investcorp Credit Management BDC Inc.
D- 40/100 β€” β€” -14.9% -4.73% $10.8M Benchmark Subject
MDBH
MDB Capital Holdings LLC Class A common
D- 38/100 β€” β€” 8.2% -6.08% $9.8M /mdbh-vs-icmb β†’
BTCT
BTC Digital Ltd.
E 25/100 β€” β€” -18.9% -5.30% $8.4M /btct-vs-icmb β†’
NCPL
Netcapital Inc.
C 63/100 β€” β€” β€” -10.67% $14.3M /ncpl-vs-icmb β†’
BENF
Beneficient (Class A)
D- 35/100 β€” β€” -35.0% -8.88% $15.3M /benf-vs-icmb β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-12-31 β€’ CIK 0001578348

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Investcorp Credit Management BDC Inc. (ICMB) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (N/A vs. FY2024 revenue of $0 ) , GAAP net income of -$8.8M, operating cash flow of $11.7M, and free cash flow of $11.7M (-68.6% YoY). On the balance sheet, ICMB closed FY2025 with $188.8M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $0 -$8.8M $11.7M $11.7M $188.8M β€”
FY2024 (FY) 2024-06-30 $0 -$4.1M $37.1M $37.1M $206.9M β€”
FY2023 (FY) 2023-06-30 $0 $3.2M $20.7M $20.7M β€” β€”

3. ICMB Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is ICMB stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Investcorp Credit Management BDC Inc. (NASDAQ: ICMB) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 40/100 at a spot price of $0.72 (-4.73% 1D, market cap $10.8M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, ICMB ranks #939 in composite RQD confidence.

How does ICMB compare to MDBH and BTCT in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Finance: Consumer Services), ICMB carries a Roarable D- (40/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of β€”, and ROIC of -14.9%. By comparison, MDBH (MDB Capital Holdings LLC Class A common) holds a D- grade (38/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 8.2%, cap $9.8M) and BTCT (BTC Digital Ltd.) posts a E grade (25/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -18.9%, cap $8.4M). Among the 5-stock peer group, ICMB leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while MDBH leads on capital efficiency (8.2% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ICMB?

Per ICMB's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001578348), Investcorp Credit Management BDC Inc. generated $0 in revenue, -$8.8M in net income, and $11.7M in free cash flow against $188.8M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is ICMB trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

ICMB last traded at $0.72 (-4.73% on volume of 142,674 shares), positioning the stock -8.86% below its 50-day simple moving average ($0.79) and -51.35% below its 200-day simple moving average ($1.48). Across its 52-week range of $0.62 to $3.12, ICMB sits at the 4.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 53.0 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±12.5% ($1.00 to $0.81).

ICMB Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS β€’ SEC EDGAR Γ— CBOE Γ— FRED

What is ICMB's options positioning and volatility profile?

Roarable tracks verified CBOE unusual options sweeps, put/call ratios, and OHLCV realized volatility bands for ICMB.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 40/100 (D-) βœ“ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

ICMB β€” Investcorp Credit Management BDC Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:51:37Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, ICMB scores 40 out of 100, earning a letter grade of D- and the verdict label "Roarable Sell β€” Vulnerable Balance Sheet & Flow." The five pillars are:

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (10 / 20): Return on invested capital is -14.9% and FCF yield is 0%. For a prospective investor, this indicates the business is not currently generating returns on capital employed, and no free-cash-flow yield is available to support the valuation.
  • Whale 13F Flow (7 / 20): Institutional accumulation and options positioning are scored below midpoint, signaling limited large-holder conviction in the source data.
  • Insider Conviction (5 / 20): SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow scores weakest of the five pillars, indicating little visible insider buying support.
  • Macro Regime Fit (8 / 20): Beta is 1.0 and sector sensitivity is noted, meaning the stock tracks market movements without a defensive profile evident in the data.
  • Forensic Balance Sheet (10 / 20): Altman Z-Score is 2.5, Piotroski F-Score is 3 out of 9, and Debt/Equity is 0.5. These readings place the balance sheet in a vulnerable posture relative to healthier issuers.

Taken together, the rating frames ICMB as a high-risk, low-conviction setup. Upside drivers would require a turnaround in cash generation and visible insider or institutional accumulation; the current pillar scores do not show either. Valuation tradeoffs are difficult to assess because forward earnings metrics are unavailable, so a prospective investor should weigh the stock's sub-$1 price and small market capitalization against the negative returns on capital and weak balance-sheet indicators.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$0.0M$0.0M$-8.8MN/A$11.7M$4.6MN/A
FY 2024$0.0M$0.0M$-4.1MN/A$37.1M$0.8MN/A
FY 2023$0.0M$0.0M$3.2MN/A$20.7MN/AN/A

Per the SEC financials, reported net income moved from $3.2M in FY 2023 to $-4.1M in FY 2024 and $-8.8M in FY 2025, while reported revenue and operating income are shown as $0.0M across all three periods. Per the market data, gross, operating, and net margins are each 0%, and ROIC is -14.9%. The Altman Z-Score is 2.5 and the Piotroski F-Score is 3 out of 9, per the Roarable RQD rating, which together indicate a weak-to-moderate balance sheet. Debt/Equity is 0.5 per the same rating; reported debt figures are not available in source data.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news feed, all six items are tagged YELLOW with a MARKET WIRE impact label and relate to ICMB:

  • A company profile piece from Moomoo, published about one hour before the data timestamp.
  • A Yahoo! Finance Canada item referencing seasonal returns for OFS Capital Corporation, a peer, rather than ICMB itself.
  • A report titled "ICMB Stock Rises 3.70%," describing the stock testing $0.73 resistance.
  • A Benzinga pre-market list of financials movers that includes ICMB.
  • An ad-hoc-news.de headline stating the stock "faces strategic review."
  • A Kalkine pre-market roundup citing Goldman Sachs BDC movers.

Risk watch items: the "strategic review" headline is the most material catalyst referenced, though the source provides no detail on its scope or outcome. Proprietary signals per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph: none.

Open Questions

  • What is the scope and outcome of the reported strategic review?
  • What are the reported revenue and debt figures, given that the financials show $0.0M revenue and debt as N/A?
  • Why does the reported net income decline from $3.2M to $-8.8M across the three periods, and what drove it?
  • What are the forward earnings expectations, given that forward P/E and EPS are unavailable?
  • What are the sources and terms of the institutional and insider holdings the rating references, which the holders section does not provide?

ICMB Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Investcorp Credit Management BDC Inc. (ICMB) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to ICMB Debate Forum (3) ↓
πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

ICMB Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $0.72?

πŸ‚ 33% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON ICMB 🐻 67% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on ICMB:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $0.66 (-12.0%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

πŸ”₯ Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is ICMB (D- β€’ RQD 40/100) a Buy at $0.75?

Welcome to the ICMB (Investcorp Credit Management BDC Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 40/100 (Roarable Sell β€” Vulnerable Balance Sheet & Flow) in Finance: Consumer Services. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (πŸ‚ Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

FO ForensicBear Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $0.59 (-21.3%)
Spot @ $0.75

Pump the brakes on ICMB β€” check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on ICMB, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with tightening sector spreads. Unless Investcorp Credit Management BDC Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

CA CashFlowKing Verified K Arena Trader πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $0.89 (+18.7%)
Spot @ $0.75

ICMB cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on ICMB, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Finance: Consumer Services and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $0.75 (52-wk range $0.62 - $3.12), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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