Intercontinental Exchange Inc. (ICE) Dividend Safety Gauge & 10-Year DRIP Compounder

$168.85 +3.56% NYSE β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $170.34

Intercontinental Exchange Inc. (ICE) earns a Roarable Rating of B (Buy) with 74/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (steady margins, 8% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

ROARABLE B β€’ BUY Cap $91.53B
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚑ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW β€’ $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on ICE Below β€” or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
πŸ€– Mara Quenwick β€’ AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is ICE stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
β–Ό

As of 2026-11-02, Intercontinental Exchange Inc. (NYSE: ICE) is rated B (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 74/100 at a spot price of $168.85 (+3.56% 1D, market cap $91.53B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 17/20, Executive Insider Alignment 15/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 14/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 14/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, ICE ranks #41 in composite RQD confidence.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does ICE compare to HOOD and CME in the Financials sector?
β–Ό

Within the Financials sector (Investment Bankers/Brokers/Service), ICE carries a Roarable B (74/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 27.6x, gross margin of β€”, and ROIC of 8.3%. By comparison, HOOD (Robinhood Markets Inc.) holds a C- grade (61/100 RQD, P/E 43.8x, ROIC 27.5%, cap $82.48B) and CME (CME Group Inc.) posts a B grade (72/100 RQD, P/E 26.1x, ROIC 3.5%, cap $106.10B). Among the 5-stock peer group, CME leads on earnings multiple (26.1x) while HOOD leads on capital efficiency (27.5% ROIC).

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ICE?
β–Ό

Per ICE's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001571949), Intercontinental Exchange Inc. generated $12.64B in revenue (+7.5% YoY), $3.31B in net income, and $4.29B in free cash flow against $136.89B in total assets and $18.61B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists β€” not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $170.34 (+0.88%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.80% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 14/20 (B-) β€’ 33.9% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record: Scores of 74/100 (B) historically ranked in the Top 12% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+7.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 69.4% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY β€’ B
025507510074
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B Β· Rk B
Cash (14)Whales (17)SEC (15)Macro (14)CEO (14)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+7.2% Base Target
$214 Bull$181 Base$138 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE ICE RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for ICE)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±5.2%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (74/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY ICE SCORES 74/100 (B) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+17/20 pts (23% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (Β±5.2% realized swing band)

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+15/20 pts (20% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) β€’ Piotroski F-Score 9/9

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution14/20 pts (-6 pt drag)

Cannibal Buyback (-1.80% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 6 pts from alignment

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
66
Grade B-$156.42+1.4% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
69
Grade B-$158.57-2% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
71
Grade B$155.44+8.6% Next Q
Current
74
Grade B$168.85+7.3% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: B- (66) β†’ B (74)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the ICE Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

Even with a 74/100 (B) score, ICE faces multiple-compression risk if 27.6x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-1.80% YoY Shares) β€” any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($157.60) or 200D SMA ($154.38) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($181.01) toward Bear Floor ($138.46).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $ICEβ€’ $2.4M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œICE Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
CASH DIVIDEND + BUYBACK YIELD
3.01% Total Yield
1.21% Cash ($2.04/yr) + 1.8% Buybacks
PAYOUT SAFETY SPEEDOMETER
88/100 β€’ FORTRESS PAYOUT
FREE CASH FLOW PAYOUT RATIO
16.8% of FCF
8 consecutive years of payout growth
INTERACTIVE DRIP & SHAREHOLDER-YIELD COMPOUNDER (7.1% EST. ANNUAL)

$10,000 Compounded Over 10 Years β†’ $19,856

Est. Year-10 Shareholder Yield: $598/yr
$10.7K
Yr 1
$11.5K
Yr 2
$12.3K
Yr 3
$13.2K
Yr 4
$14.1K
Yr 5
$15.1K
Yr 6
$16.2K
Yr 7
$17.3K
Yr 8
$18.5K
Yr 9
$19.9K
Yr 10
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP β€’ SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Cash-Flow & Quality Compounder Desk

Cash-Fortress Compounders: Auditing Free Cash Flow & Yield Safety in ICE & A-Rated Leaders

  • βœ“12-month Bull/Base/Bear fair-value walkthrough on ICE and its top sector peer
  • βœ“Top Roarable A-Rated cash compounders with verified executive & 13F accumulation
  • βœ“Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
ICE // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +7.93%⚑ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-11-02O $156.0H $168.9L $156.0C $168.9VOL 5.95M
RES: $170.2SUP: $155.4SMA50: $157.6SMA200: $154.4
$173.3$159.3$145.4$131.4$117.5RES $170.2SUP $155.4$168.92026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

ICE Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
21.1%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +7.5% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ICE today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ICE. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ICE today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ICE)

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (ICE vs. HOOD, CME, NDAQ, SCHW)

Industry: Investment Bankers/Brokers/Service (64 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Intercontinental Exchange Inc. (ICE) ranks #41 by composite RQD confidence (74/100, grade B) and #39 by equity capitalization ($91.53B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, CME leads on earnings valuation at 26.1x trailing P/E, while HOOD leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 27.5% ROIC and β€” gross margin. ICE currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 74/100 (B).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
ICE ACTIVE
Intercontinental Exchange Inc.
B 74/100 27.6x β€” 8.3% +3.56% $91.53B Benchmark Subject
HOOD
Robinhood Markets Inc.
C- 61/100 43.8x β€” 27.5% -7.21% $82.48B /hood-vs-ice β†’
CME
CME Group Inc.
B 72/100 26.1x β€” 3.5% +2.27% $106.10B /cme-vs-ice β†’
NDAQ
Nasdaq Inc.
B 72/100 32.8x β€” 9.1% +0.60% $58.60B /ndaq-vs-ice β†’
SCHW
Charles Schwab Corporation
D+ 54/100 β€” β€” 0.0% -1.59% $154.72B /schw-vs-ice β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-12-31 β€’ CIK 0001571949

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Intercontinental Exchange Inc. (ICE) reported GAAP revenue of $12.64B (+7.5% vs. FY2024 revenue of $11.76B , and +27.6% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $3.31B, operating cash flow of $4.66B, and free cash flow of $4.29B (+2.0% YoY). On the balance sheet, ICE closed FY2025 with $136.89B in total assets against $18.61B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 9/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $12.64B $3.31B $4.66B $4.29B $136.89B $18.61B
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $11.76B $2.75B $4.61B $4.20B $139.43B $17.34B
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $9.90B $2.37B $3.54B $3.10B $50.34B $11.78B

3. ICE Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is ICE stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Intercontinental Exchange Inc. (NYSE: ICE) is rated B (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 74/100 at a spot price of $168.85 (+3.56% 1D, market cap $91.53B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 17/20, Executive Insider Alignment 15/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 14/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 14/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, ICE ranks #41 in composite RQD confidence.

How does ICE compare to HOOD and CME in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Investment Bankers/Brokers/Service), ICE carries a Roarable B (74/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 27.6x, gross margin of β€”, and ROIC of 8.3%. By comparison, HOOD (Robinhood Markets Inc.) holds a C- grade (61/100 RQD, P/E 43.8x, ROIC 27.5%, cap $82.48B) and CME (CME Group Inc.) posts a B grade (72/100 RQD, P/E 26.1x, ROIC 3.5%, cap $106.10B). Among the 5-stock peer group, CME leads on earnings multiple (26.1x) while HOOD leads on capital efficiency (27.5% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ICE?

Per ICE's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001571949), Intercontinental Exchange Inc. generated $12.64B in revenue (+7.5% YoY), $3.31B in net income, and $4.29B in free cash flow against $136.89B in total assets and $18.61B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is ICE trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

ICE last traded at $168.85 (+3.56% on volume of 5,163,906 shares), positioning the stock +7.14% above its 50-day simple moving average ($157.60) and +9.37% above its 200-day simple moving average ($154.38). Across its 52-week range of $121.79 to $176.05, ICE sits at the 86.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 56.0 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±5.2% ($160.07 to $177.63).

ICE Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS β€’ SEC EDGAR Γ— CBOE Γ— FRED

Does ICE pay a dividend and is it safe?

Intercontinental Exchange Inc. (ICE) offers a 1.21% cash dividend yield ($2.04 annualized) and 3.01% total shareholder yield including buybacks. Roarable rates its payout coverage as FORTRESS PAYOUT.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 74/100 (B) βœ“ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

ICE β€” Intercontinental Exchange Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:10:02Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, ICE scores 74 out of 100 (letter grade B, verdict "Roarable Buy β€” Good Risk/Reward"). The five pillars are:

  • Fundamental Cash Engine: 14 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar reflects ROIC of 8.3% and an FCF yield of 4.69%. For an investor, this indicates the business generates cash relative to its valuation, though not at a level that by itself makes the stock cheap.
  • Whale 13F Flow: 17 / 20. The highest-scoring pillar, described as institutional accumulation and options positioning. The source data does not itemize the specific 13F holdings, so the strength of this signal cannot be traced to named holders.
  • Insider Conviction: 14 / 20. Described as SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. The source data does not provide the underlying transactions, so the direction and size of insider activity cannot be verified here.
  • Macro Regime Fit: 14 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, beta is 0.89 and the score reflects sector sensitivity. Lower beta implies smaller expected moves than the broad market relative to the stated regime, which may appeal to investors seeking lower market sensitivity.
  • Forensic Balance Sheet: 15 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, Altman Z is 2.5, Piotroski F is 9/9, and Debt/Equity is 0.5. These readings point to a financially sound balance sheet by the cited measures.

Investor implications: upside drivers in the source data are institutional positioning and balance-sheet strength. Valuation tradeoffs are visible in the market data: trailing P/E of 27.6 and EV/EBITDA of 20.8 are elevated relative to the rating's cash-yield pillar, so the rating's favorable verdict depends on continued earnings delivery. The rating is an analytical framework output, not a recommendation.

Snapshot

PriceMarket CapP/E (TTM)Forward P/EEV/EBITDAEPS (TTM)Dividend YieldBeta52-Wk RangeROIC %
$163.04$91.53B27.625.720.85.91.21%0.89$121.79 - $176.058.3%

Business

Per the profile, Intercontinental Exchange Inc. (ICE) is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Financials sector, Investment Bankers/Brokers/Service industry. Per the SEC financials and market data, the company reports a 39% operating margin and 26.2% net margin. Not available in source data: a description of specific products, customer segments, or revenue model beyond sector and industry classification.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$12640.0M$4929.0M$3315.0MN/A$4289.0M$837.0M$18609.0M
FY 2024$11761.0M$4309.0M$2754.0MN/A$4203.0M$844.0M$17341.0M
FY 2023$9903.0M$3694.0M$2368.0MN/A$3096.4MN/A$11779.9M

Per the SEC financials, revenue grew from $9903.0M (FY 2023) to $12640.0M (FY 2025), and net income rose from $2368.0M to $3315.0M over the same span. Per the Roarable RQD rating, ROIC is 8.3%. Per the Roarable RQD rating, Altman Z-Score is 2.5 and Piotroski F-Score is 9/9. Per the Roarable RQD rating, Debt/Equity is 0.5. Gross margin is reported as 0% in the market data, which the source data does not explain.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news wire, all six items are flagged YELLOW and labeled MARKET WIRE:

  • A report that the stock rose sharply on a given day (source: Yahoo Finance).
  • A KBW price target of $170 on the stock (source: Investing.com).
  • Coverage of tokenized trading, including a filing that the stock may be near fair value and a report of an SEC approval request for 24/7 tokenized stock trading (source: Yahoo Finance).
  • A report that the stock could be 16% undervalued following a trading update (source: Yahoo Finance).
  • A report describing solid results and robust trading activity (source: Yahoo Finance).

Risk watch items: the news wire summaries are generic and do not state the underlying data behind the valuation claims; treat them as unverified. Proprietary signals: per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, none are present.

Butterfly Effect: 2nd-Order Supply-Chain & Sector Ripples

Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, supply chain is NONE, with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals. Not available in source data: upstream and downstream dependencies, sector correlations, or second-order bottlenecks.

Open Questions

  • What are the specific revenue sources and segment breakdown behind the $12640.0M FY 2025 revenue figure?
  • The FY 2023 cash figure is N/A and EPS is N/A across all periods; what are the reported per-share earnings and full cash history?
  • Which institutions and insiders underlie the Whale 13F and Insider Conviction pillar scores?
  • Why is gross margin reported as 0% alongside a 39% operating margin?
  • What do the news wire valuation claims (fair value, 16% undervalued) rest on, and do they reflect the same inputs as the RQD rating?

ICE Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Intercontinental Exchange Inc. (ICE) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to ICE Debate Forum (3) ↓
πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

ICE Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $168.85?

πŸ‚ 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON ICE 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on ICE:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $192.39 (+18.0%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

πŸ”₯ Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is ICE (B β€’ RQD 74/100) a Buy at $163.04?

Welcome to the ICE (Intercontinental Exchange Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 74/100 (Roarable Buy β€” Good Risk/Reward) in Investment Bankers/Brokers/Service. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (πŸ‚ Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

RI RiskArb_Desk Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $133.69 (-18.0%)
Spot @ $163.04

Pump the brakes on ICE β€” check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on ICE, but look at what you are paying: 27.6x trailing P/E with tightening sector spreads. Unless Intercontinental Exchange Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

TA TapeReader_Pro Verified K Arena Trader πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $189.13 (+16.0%)
Spot @ $163.04

ICE cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on ICE, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Investment Bankers/Brokers/Service and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $163.04 (52-wk range $121.79 - $176.05), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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