Why IBM Stock slipped -0.18% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

$257.81 -0.18% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $258.35

International Business Machines Corporation (IBM) earns a Roarable Rating of B- (Buy) with 71/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (58% profit margin, 14% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

ROARABLE B- • BUY Cap $244.11B
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is IBM stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, International Business Machines Corporation (NYSE: IBM) is rated B- (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 71/100 at a spot price of $257.81 (-0.18% 1D, market cap $244.11B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 15/20, Executive Insider Alignment 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 17/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, IBM ranks #75 in composite RQD confidence.

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🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does IBM compare to DELL and HPQ in the Technology sector?
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Within the Technology sector (Computer Manufacturing), IBM carries a Roarable B- (71/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 23.0x, gross margin of 58.2%, and ROIC of 13.8%. By comparison, DELL (Dell Technologies Inc. (Class C)) holds a B- grade (71/100 RQD, P/E 50.9x, ROIC 26.6%, cap $302.34B) and HPQ (HP Inc.) posts a B- grade (70/100 RQD, P/E 11.3x, ROIC 51.0%, cap $28.70B). Among the 5-stock peer group, HPQ leads on earnings multiple (11.3x) while HPQ leads on capital efficiency (51.0% ROIC).

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🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for IBM?
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Per IBM's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000051143), International Business Machines Corporation generated $67.53B in revenue (+7.6% YoY), $10.59B in net income, and $12.10B in free cash flow against $151.88B in total assets and $54.84B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $258.35 (+0.21%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 14/20 (B-) • 17.9% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 71/100 (B-) historically ranked in the Top 14% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+6.8% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 68.4% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • B-
025507510071
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B+ · Rk C
Cash (14)Whales (15)SEC (16)Macro (9)CEO (17)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+5.8% Base Target
$349 Bull$273 Base$211 Bear
📬 FREE IBM RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for IBM)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (71/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY IBM SCORES 71/100 (B-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+17/20 pts (24% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 85% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+16/20 pts (23% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.38 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit9/20 pts (-11 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (71.2) create a -11 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
63
Grade C+$230.78+4.8% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
66
Grade B-$241.92+3.4% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
68
Grade B-$250.25+3% Next Q
Current
71
Grade B-$257.81+6.8% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C+ (63) → B- (71)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the IBM Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 71/100 (B-) score, IBM faces multiple-compression risk if 23.0x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 55.7% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($236.16) or 200D SMA ($248.73) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($272.89) toward Bear Floor ($211.40).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $IBM• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “IBM Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”
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Why IBM Stock slipped -0.18% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

International Business Machines Corporation (IBM) slipped -0.18% to $257.81, trading at 44% of its 52-week range ($199.19 – $332.46). High-quality cash engine (58% profit margin, 14% return on capital) with steady institutional support.

  • ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 44% of its 52-week range ($199.19 – $332.46) with RSI-14 at 71.2 (OVERBOUGHT (>70)).
  • ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±6.5% around $257.81 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
  • ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable B- (Buy) backed by 58.2% gross margin and $12.1B annual free cash flow.
Live IBM Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIREYahoo • 3h ago
How Investors Are Reacting To IBM (IBM) AI Product Launches

International Business Machines renewed its role as the US Open's Official AI and Cloud Partner through 2031 and rolled out new AI agent, security and infrastructure tools alongside reported third quarter 2026 revenue of

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IBM // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +12.35%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-11-02O $253.2H $258.3L $253.2C $257.8VOL 3.93M
RES: $258.3SUP: $213.1SMA50: $236.2SMA200: $248.7
$341.8$303.1$264.5$225.8$187.2RES $258.3SUP $213.1$257.82026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

IBM Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
16.8%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +7.6% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on IBM today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for IBM. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for IBM today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (IBM)

Technology Rank #75 of 714 ⚔️ DELL vs IBM Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (IBM vs. DELL, HPQ, SMCI, OMCL)

Industry: Computer Manufacturing (9 Tracked Issuers)

Across 714 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, International Business Machines Corporation (IBM) ranks #75 by composite RQD confidence (71/100, grade B-) and #23 by equity capitalization ($244.11B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, HPQ leads on earnings valuation at 11.3x trailing P/E, while HPQ leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 51.0% ROIC and 20.6% gross margin. IBM currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 71/100 (B-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
IBM ACTIVE
International Business Machines Corporation
B- 71/100 23.0x 58.2% 13.8% -0.18% $244.11B Benchmark Subject
DELL
Dell Technologies Inc. (Class C)
B- 71/100 50.9x 20.0% 26.6% -10.77% $302.34B /dell-vs-ibm →
HPQ
HP Inc.
B- 70/100 11.3x 20.6% 51.0% -9.58% $28.70B /hpq-vs-ibm →
SMCI
Super Micro Computer Inc.
C- 60/100 21.6x 11.1% 8.4% -4.30% $22.62B /smci-vs-ibm →
OMCL
Omnicell Inc. ($0.001 par value)
D+ 53/100 — 42.5% 0.4% -0.62% $1.68B /omcl-vs-ibm →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000051143

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), International Business Machines Corporation (IBM) reported GAAP revenue of $67.53B (+7.6% vs. FY2024 revenue of $62.75B , and +9.2% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $10.59B, operating cash flow of $13.19B, and free cash flow of $12.10B (-2.4% YoY). On the balance sheet, IBM closed FY2025 with $151.88B in total assets against $54.84B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 3.38, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $67.53B $10.59B $13.19B $12.10B $151.88B $54.84B
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $62.75B $6.02B $13.45B $12.40B $137.18B $49.88B
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $61.86B $7.50B $13.93B $11.15B $134.26B $31.42B

3. IBM Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is IBM stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, International Business Machines Corporation (NYSE: IBM) is rated B- (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 71/100 at a spot price of $257.81 (-0.18% 1D, market cap $244.11B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 15/20, Executive Insider Alignment 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 17/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, IBM ranks #75 in composite RQD confidence.

How does IBM compare to DELL and HPQ in the Technology sector?

Within the Technology sector (Computer Manufacturing), IBM carries a Roarable B- (71/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 23.0x, gross margin of 58.2%, and ROIC of 13.8%. By comparison, DELL (Dell Technologies Inc. (Class C)) holds a B- grade (71/100 RQD, P/E 50.9x, ROIC 26.6%, cap $302.34B) and HPQ (HP Inc.) posts a B- grade (70/100 RQD, P/E 11.3x, ROIC 51.0%, cap $28.70B). Among the 5-stock peer group, HPQ leads on earnings multiple (11.3x) while HPQ leads on capital efficiency (51.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for IBM?

Per IBM's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000051143), International Business Machines Corporation generated $67.53B in revenue (+7.6% YoY), $10.59B in net income, and $12.10B in free cash flow against $151.88B in total assets and $54.84B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is IBM trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

IBM last traded at $257.81 (-0.18% on volume of 5,741,790 shares), positioning the stock +9.17% above its 50-day simple moving average ($236.16) and +3.65% above its 200-day simple moving average ($248.73). Across its 52-week range of $199.19 to $332.46, IBM sits at the 44.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 71.2 (OVERBOUGHT (>70)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.5% ($241.05 to $274.57).

IBM Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Why is IBM stock moving today?

Why IBM Stock slipped -0.18% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. High-quality cash engine (58% profit margin, 14% return on capital) with steady institutional support.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 71/100 (B-) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

IBM — International Business Machines Corporation: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:08:59Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, IBM scores 71 out of 100 with a letter grade of B- and the verdict label "Roarable Buy — Sound Institutional Accumulation." Across the five pillars, the Fundamental Cash Engine scores 14 of 20 (ROIC 13.8%; FCF yield 4.96%), indicating solid but not exceptional cash generation relative to the capital employed. Whale/13F Flow scores 15 of 20, reflecting institutional accumulation and options positioning. Insider Conviction scores 17 of 20, the strongest pillar, based on SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. Macro Regime Fit scores 9 of 20, the weakest pillar, tied to a Beta of 1.3 and sector sensitivity. Forensic Balance Sheet scores 16 of 20, supported by an Altman Z of 3.38, a Piotroski F of 7/9, and a Debt/Equity of 1.68.

For a prospective investor, the upside case rests on the insider and institutional flow pillars and on the cash-generation and balance-sheet scores. The valuation tradeoff is visible in the market data: a trailing P/E of 23 and an EV/EBITDA of 20.6 sit against a 4.96% FCF yield, so the stock is priced for continued earnings delivery. The below-average macro score signals amplified movement relative to the broader market given the 1.3 Beta. These are educational observations drawn from the rating components, not a recommendation.

Snapshot

PriceMarket CapP/E (TTM)Forward P/EEV/EBITDAEPS (TTM)Dividend YieldBeta52-Wk RangeROIC %
$258.28$244.11B2321.420.611.212.56%1.3$199.19 - $332.4613.8%

Business

International Business Machines Corporation (IBM) is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Technology sector, operating in the Computer Manufacturing industry, per the Company Profile. The source data identifies the company's sector, industry, and market capitalization but does not provide a detailed description of its products, customer base, or revenue model. Gross margin is 58.2%, operating margin is 19.1%, and net margin is 15.7%, per Market Data.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

The news wire contains five items tagged to IBM, four marked YELLOW (market wire) and one marked GREEN (catalyst). The GREEN item is a MarketBeat report headlined that the stock rose 1.6%, published approximately two days before the data timestamp. The remaining items are aggregator and institutional-positioning reports, including a MarketBeat item on a position change by Ridgewood Investments LLC and a Simply Wall St forecast item, with no specific fundamental event described in the summaries. The Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph lists no supply-chain links and no proprietary signals. Risk watch items drawn from the rating components are the 1.3 Beta and the 1.68 Debt/Equity ratio.

Butterfly Effect: 2nd-Order Supply-Chain & Sector Ripples

Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply chain is recorded as NONE, with no upstream or downstream links and no sector-correlation entries. No 2nd-order bottlenecks can be identified from the source data. The sector classification (Technology / Computer Manufacturing) is the only contextual linkage available.

Open Questions

  • What are the specific products, customer segments, and revenue mix behind the reported FY 2025 revenue of $67535.0M?
  • Why is EPS unavailable for all three reported periods, and how does the $10593.0M net income translate to per-share earnings?
  • What explains the cash line being missing for FY 2023 and how does FY 2025 cash of $13587.0M compare on a like-for-like basis?
  • What drove the increase in debt from $31416.4M to $54836.0M, and what are its maturity and interest-cost terms?
  • Which named institutional holders and insider transactions make up the Whale/13F and Insider Conviction pillar scores?

IBM Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for International Business Machines Corporation (IBM) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to IBM Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

IBM Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $257.81?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON IBM 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on IBM:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $304.77 (+18.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is IBM (B- • RQD 71/100) a Buy at $258.28?

Welcome to the IBM (International Business Machines Corporation) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 71/100 (Roarable Buy — Sound Institutional Accumulation) in Computer Manufacturing. Bulls point to capital efficiency (13.8% ROIC), while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

FO ForensicBear Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $193.71 (-25.0%)
Spot @ $258.28

Pump the brakes on IBM — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on IBM, but look at what you are paying: 23.0x trailing P/E with 58.2% gross margins. Unless International Business Machines Corporation expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

SI SiliconVal_Bull Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $317.68 (+23.0%)
Spot @ $258.28

IBM cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on IBM, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Computer Manufacturing and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $258.28 (52-wk range $199.19 - $332.46), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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