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Humana Inc. (HUM) Dividend Safety Gauge & 10-Year DRIP Compounder

$410.41 -0.99% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $408.90

Humana Inc. (HUM) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 64/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C • HOLD / WATCH Cap $49.77B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is HUM stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Humana Inc. (NYSE: HUM) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 64/100 at a spot price of $410.41 (-0.99% 1D, market cap $49.77B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 16/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 18/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 9/20. Across 1015 tracked Health Care issuers, HUM ranks #124 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does HUM compare to NTRA and ILMN in the Health Care sector?
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Within the Health Care sector (Medical Specialities), HUM carries a Roarable C (64/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 42.2x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 8.3%. By comparison, NTRA (Natera Inc.) holds a C+ grade (68/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -4.9%, cap $59.72B) and ILMN (Illumina Inc.) posts a B- grade (70/100 RQD, P/E 51.5x, ROIC 18.2%, cap $35.63B). Among the 5-stock peer group, CI leads on earnings multiple (13.2x) while ILMN leads on capital efficiency (18.2% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for HUM?
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Per HUM's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000049071), Humana Inc. generated $129.66B in revenue (+10.1% YoY), $1.19B in net income, and $375.0M in free cash flow against $48.91B in total assets and $12.37B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $408.89 (-0.37%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.80% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 9/20 (D) • 0.3% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 64/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 55.2% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C
025507510064
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk B
Cash (9)Whales (16)SEC (18)Macro (12)CEO (9)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+2.7% Base Target
$497 Bull$421 Base$329 Bear
📬 FREE HUM RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for HUM)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6.9%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (64/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY HUM SCORES 64/100 (C) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+18/20 pts (28% of score)

Altman Z-Score 5.03 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+16/20 pts (25% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±6.9% realized swing band)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution9/20 pts (-11 pt drag)

Disciplined Float (+0.80% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 11 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
72
Grade B$427.40-0.5% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
69
Grade B-$425.42-3.2% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
67
Grade B-$411.87-0.4% Next Q
Current
64
Grade C$410.41+1.1% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: B (72) → C (64)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the HUM Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 64/100 (C) score, HUM faces multiple-compression risk if 42.2x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Priced at 42x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($402.92) or 200D SMA ($310.46) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($421.49) toward Bear Floor ($328.76).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $HUM• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “HUM Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
CASH DIVIDEND + BUYBACK YIELD
1.46% Total Yield
0.86% Cash ($3.53/yr) + 0.6% Buybacks
PAYOUT SAFETY SPEEDOMETER
68/100 • SAFE COVERAGE
FREE CASH FLOW PAYOUT RATIO
69.9% of FCF
8 consecutive years of payout growth
INTERACTIVE DRIP & SHAREHOLDER-YIELD COMPOUNDER (7% EST. ANNUAL)

$10,000 Compounded Over 10 Years → $19,672

Est. Year-10 Shareholder Yield: $287/yr
$10.7K
Yr 1
$11.4K
Yr 2
$12.3K
Yr 3
$13.1K
Yr 4
$14.0K
Yr 5
$15.0K
Yr 6
$16.1K
Yr 7
$17.2K
Yr 8
$18.4K
Yr 9
$19.7K
Yr 10
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Cash-Flow & Quality Compounder Desk

Cash-Fortress Compounders: Auditing Free Cash Flow & Yield Safety in HUM & A-Rated Leaders

  • ✓12-month Bull/Base/Bear fair-value walkthrough on HUM and its top sector peer
  • ✓Top Roarable A-Rated cash compounders with verified executive & 13F accumulation
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
HUM // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +72.47%▲ ASCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-03O $417.6H $417.6L $410.4C $410.4VOL 888.0K
RES: $464.8SUP: $385.2SMA50: $402.9SMA200: $310.5
$475.1$398.0$320.8$243.7$166.5RES $464.8SUP $385.2$410.42026-05-042026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

HUM Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
31.8%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +10.1% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on HUM today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for HUM. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for HUM today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (HUM)

Health Care Rank #124 of 1015 ⚔️ NTRA vs HUM Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Health Care Peer Comparison (HUM vs. NTRA, ILMN, CNC, CI)

Industry: Medical Specialities (41 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1015 tracked Health Care securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Humana Inc. (HUM) ranks #124 by composite RQD confidence (64/100, grade C) and #37 by equity capitalization ($49.77B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, CI leads on earnings valuation at 13.2x trailing P/E, while ILMN leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 18.2% ROIC and 66.1% gross margin. ILMN currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 70/100 (B-) compared with HUM at 64/100 (C).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
HUM ACTIVE
Humana Inc.
C 64/100 42.2x — 8.3% -0.99% $49.77B Benchmark Subject
NTRA
Natera Inc.
C+ 68/100 — — -4.9% -8.54% $59.72B /ntra-vs-hum →
ILMN
Illumina Inc.
B- 70/100 51.5x 66.1% 18.2% -3.99% $35.63B /ilmn-vs-hum →
CNC
Centene Corporation
C 63/100 — 8.1% -31.0% -2.80% $33.89B /cnc-vs-hum →
CI
The Cigna Group
D+ 53/100 13.2x 21.8% 8.8% -1.02% $78.80B /ci-vs-hum →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000049071 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Humana Inc. (HUM) reported GAAP revenue of $129.66B (+10.1% vs. FY2024 revenue of $117.76B , and +21.9% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $1.19B, operating cash flow of $921.0M, and free cash flow of $375.0M (-84.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, HUM closed FY2025 with $48.91B in total assets against $12.37B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 5.03, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $129.66B $1.19B $921.0M $375.0M $48.91B $12.37B
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $117.76B $1.21B $2.97B $2.39B $46.48B $11.14B
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $106.37B $2.49B $3.98B -$805.8M $127.65B $29.87B

3. HUM Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is HUM stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Humana Inc. (NYSE: HUM) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 64/100 at a spot price of $410.41 (-0.99% 1D, market cap $49.77B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 16/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 18/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 9/20. Across 1015 tracked Health Care issuers, HUM ranks #124 in composite RQD confidence.

How does HUM compare to NTRA and ILMN in the Health Care sector?

Within the Health Care sector (Medical Specialities), HUM carries a Roarable C (64/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 42.2x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 8.3%. By comparison, NTRA (Natera Inc.) holds a C+ grade (68/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -4.9%, cap $59.72B) and ILMN (Illumina Inc.) posts a B- grade (70/100 RQD, P/E 51.5x, ROIC 18.2%, cap $35.63B). Among the 5-stock peer group, CI leads on earnings multiple (13.2x) while ILMN leads on capital efficiency (18.2% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for HUM?

Per HUM's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000049071), Humana Inc. generated $129.66B in revenue (+10.1% YoY), $1.19B in net income, and $375.0M in free cash flow against $48.91B in total assets and $12.37B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is HUM trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

HUM last traded at $410.41 (-0.99% on volume of 917,994 shares), positioning the stock +1.86% above its 50-day simple moving average ($402.92) and +32.19% above its 200-day simple moving average ($310.46). Across its 52-week range of $163.11 to $456.50, HUM sits at the 84.3% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 51.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.9% ($382.09 to $438.73).

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 64/100 (C) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

HUM — Humana Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Humana Inc. (HUM) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 64/100, corresponding to a C letter grade (Roarable Hold) at a spot price of $410.41 (-0.99% 1D, market capitalization $49.77B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (9/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 8.3%, gross margin of —, operating margin of 2.1%, and free cash flow yield of 0.75%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (16/20) + Insider Conviction (9/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (12/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (18/20): Incorporates a 0.88x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 5.03, Piotroski F-Score of 7/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.70x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Humana Inc. Is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Health Care sector and the Medical Specialities industry,. The company reported FY 2025 revenue of $129.66B. — for detailed business model descriptions.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Humana Inc. (HUM) reported $129.66B in annual revenue (up from $117.76B in FY2024, +10.1% YoY) and $1.19B in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($106.37B revenue, $2.49B net income) through FY2025, HUM scaled operating cash flow to $921.0M and free cash flow to $375.0M, backed by $48.91B in total assets against $12.37B in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (C • RQD 64/100): Big institutional funds and options desks are actively positioning on the bullish side. Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 9/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 16/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $163.11 – $456.50 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh 42.2x trailing P/E and 18.4x EV/EBITDA against 2.1% operating margins and a 0.88x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Operating in Medical Specialities (Health Care), HUM carries a macro regime beta of 0.88 and gross margin of —.

  • Key Question #1: Can HUM sustain or expand its 2.1% operating margin and 8.3% ROIC against Medical Specialities peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $129.66B and free cash flow of $375.0M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $12.37B in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is HUM's 39.2x forward P/E multiple to Health Care capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 0.88x)?

HUM Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Humana Inc. (HUM) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to HUM Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

HUM Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $410.41?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON HUM 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on HUM:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
MA MacroHawk_NYC RQD DEBATE OPENER • Cross-Asset Macro Desk 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $501.54 (+21.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Forensic balance sheet scores 18/20 (Altman Z 5.03, Piotroski F 7/9, Debt/Equity 0.7) and debt fell from $29.87B in FY 2023 to $12369

Forensic balance sheet scores 18/20 (Altman Z 5.03, Piotroski F 7/9, Debt/Equity 0.7) and debt fell from $29.87B in FY 2023 to $12.37B in FY 2025.. When you look under the hood at HUM, Fundamental Cash Engine is 9/20 with 0.0% gross margins and 8.3% ROIC. Bears are staring in the rearview mirror while institutional 13F flow (16/20) has been quietly accumulating below $456.50. My 12M target is $501.54.

ArenaChamp_24 🐂 BULL

@MacroHawk_NYC Agree on the RQD 64/100 quality, though with 0.88 beta I'm scaling in with half-size at $414.50 and keeping dry powder in case we test $385.49.

SK SkepticalCFA RQD DEBATE OPENER • Fundamental Contrarian 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $348.18 (-16.0%)
Spot @ $414.50

Trailing P/E of 42.2 sits against an FCF yield of only 0.75% and net income that fell from $2.49B to $1.19B between FY 2023 and FY

Careful chasing HUM at $414.50. Trailing P/E of 42.2 sits against an FCF yield of only 0.75% and net income that fell from $2.49B to $1.19B between FY 2023 and FY 2025.. Gross margin is 0.0%, but operating margin is 2.1%, which shows SG&A and reinvestment are eating into bottom-line EPS. Target $348.18 on multiple compression.

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