Stock Ratings / Industrials / HUBG / options

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Hub Group Inc. (Class A) (HUBG) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$26.71 +0.11% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $26.66

Hub Group Inc. (Class A) (HUBG) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 42/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (42/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →

ROARABLE D- • SELL / AVOID Cap $1.63B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is HUBG stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-03, Hub Group Inc. (Class A) (NASDAQ: HUBG) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 42/100 at a spot price of $26.71 (+0.11% 1D, market cap $1.63B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 4/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, HUBG ranks #322 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does HUBG compare to BCO and FWRD in the Industrials sector?

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Within the Industrials sector (Integrated Freight & Logistics), HUBG carries a Roarable D- (42/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, BCO (Brinks Company) holds a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E 21.1x, ROIC 19.6%, cap $4.23B) and FWRD (Forward Air Corporation) posts a E grade (25/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 1.7%, cap $595.2M). Among the 5-stock peer group, BCO leads on earnings multiple (21.1x) while CHRW leads on capital efficiency (22.6% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for HUBG?

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Per HUBG's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30, CIK 0000940942), Hub Group Inc. (Class A) generated $0 in revenue (-100.0% YoY), $0 in net income, and $0 in free cash flow against $2.90B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $26.66 (-0.17%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 10/20 (D) • 1.1% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (42/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-7.0% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D-

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-7.2% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for HUBG)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±8.5%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (42/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY HUBG SCORES 42/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (31% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+10/20 pts (24% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 1.1% FCF Margin ($45.7M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade E$26.38-1.2% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade E$26.07+5.3% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade E$27.45-2.7% Next Q

Current

Grade D-$26.71-7% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: E (34) → D- (42)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a HUBG Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While HUBG currently carries a cautious 42/100 (D-) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($30.95) and Max Pain ($28.05) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $55.92.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $HUBG• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “HUBG Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 29, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 42%NO 58%Trade / Inspect Odds →

CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE

— (No Active Options Snapshot)

Put/Call Ratio: — (No Active Options Snapshot)

MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET

— (No Active Options Snapshot)

No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file

HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING

±8.5%

Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (HUBG)

— (No Active Options Snapshot) — No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for HUBG.

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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring HUBG)

✓Walkthrough of HUBG's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
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HUBG // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -34.92%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT

2026-11-03O $26.68H $26.71L $26.68C $26.71VOL 718.4K

SUP: $24.34SMA50: $30.95SMA200: $39.78

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

HUBG Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 HUBG Butterfly Map → + Track HUBG →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on HUBG today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for HUBG. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for HUBG today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (HUBG)

Industrials Rank #322 of 485 ⚔️ BCO vs HUBG Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (HUBG vs. BCO, FWRD, RLGT, CHRW)

Industry: Integrated Freight & Logistics (16 Tracked Issuers)

Across 485 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Hub Group Inc. (Class A) (HUBG) ranks #322 by composite RQD confidence (42/100, grade D-) and #223 by equity capitalization ($1.63B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, BCO leads on earnings valuation at 21.1x trailing P/E, while CHRW leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 22.6% ROIC and — gross margin. CHRW currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 68/100 (C+) compared with HUBG at 42/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
HUBG ACTIVE Hub Group Inc. (Class A)	D-	42/100	—	—	—	+0.11%	$1.63B	Benchmark Subject
BCO Brinks Company	D	46/100	21.1x	25.8%	19.6%	+0.51%	$4.23B	/bco-vs-hubg →
FWRD Forward Air Corporation	E	25/100	—	—	1.7%	-1.40%	$595.2M	/fwrd-vs-hubg →
RLGT Radiant Logistics Inc.	D+	55/100	24.7x	—	8.4%	0.00%	$426.6M	/rlgt-vs-hubg →
CHRW C.H. Robinson Worldwide Inc.	C+	68/100	25.4x	—	22.6%	-2.21%	$14.56B	/chrw-vs-hubg →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-09-30 • CIK 0000940942

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30), Hub Group Inc. (Class A) (HUBG) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (-100.0% vs. FY2024 revenue of $3.95B , and -100.0% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $0, operating cash flow of $0, and free cash flow of $0 . On the balance sheet, HUBG closed FY2025 with $2.90B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: N/A).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-09-30	$0	$0	—	—	$2.90B	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$3.95B	$104.0M	$194.4M	$143.6M	$2.87B	$164.4M
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$4.20B	$167.5M	$422.2M	$422.2M	—	—

3. HUBG Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is HUBG stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does HUBG compare to BCO and FWRD in the Industrials sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for HUBG?

Where is HUBG trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

HUBG last traded at $26.71 (+0.11% on volume of 718,432 shares), positioning the stock -13.70% below its 50-day simple moving average ($30.95) and -32.86% below its 200-day simple moving average ($39.78). Across its 52-week range of $24.98 to $53.26, HUBG sits at the 6.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 41.3 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±8.5% ($24.44 to $28.98).

HUBG Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is HUBG's options positioning and volatility profile?

Roarable tracks verified CBOE unusual options sweeps, put/call ratios, and OHLCV realized volatility bands for HUBG.

Direct Sub-Reports: HUBG RQD Cockpit HUBG 12M Forecast HUBG Earnings & Move HUBG Dividends & DRIP HUBG Insiders & 13F HUBG Whale Options HUBG Profit Sankey HUBG News & Why

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 42/100 (D-) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

HUBG — Hub Group Inc. (Class A): What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5

As of: 2026-11-02T15:28:25Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, HUBG holds an RQD Score of 42 out of 100, a letter grade of D-, and the verdict label "Roarable Sell — Vulnerable Balance Sheet & Flow." Across the five pillars: Fundamental Cash Engine scores 10 of 20 (ROIC 0%; FCF yield 0%); Whale 13F Flow scores 4 of 20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning); Insider Conviction scores 9 of 20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow); Macro Regime Fit scores 6 of 20 (Beta 1.0; sector sensitivity); and Forensic Balance Sheet scores 13 of 20 (Altman Z 2.5; Piotroski F 6/9; Debt/Equity 0.5).

For a prospective investor, the weakest pillars are flow and macro fit, while the balance sheet is the relative strength. The 0% ROIC and 0% FCF yield in the cash-engine pillar mean the rating does not credit the company with current returns on capital or free-cash generation, so the score rests on the balance-sheet metrics rather than earnings power. The Altman Z of 2.5 and Piotroski F of 6/9 are the supporting forensic inputs. A beta of 1.0 indicates market-level sensitivity, and the low macro-fit score reflects sector sensitivity as the source frames it. Upside drivers would have to come from a shift in institutional or insider flow or from a recovery in the cash-generation metrics; the source data does not quantify either.

Business

Hub Group Inc. (Class A) is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Industrials sector, operating in the Integrated Freight & Logistics industry, per the company profile. The source data does not describe its specific services, customer base, or revenue model. Its market capitalization is listed at $1.6B.

Financial Trend

Period	Revenue	Operating Income	Net Income	EPS	FCF	Cash	Debt
FY 2025	$0.0M	$0.0M	$0.0M	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A
FY 2024	$3946.4M	$140.3M	$104.0M	N/A	$143.6M	$98.2M	$164.4M
FY 2023	$4202.6M	$212.2M	$167.5M	N/A	$422.2M	N/A	N/A

Per the SEC financials, reported revenue declined from $4202.6M (FY 2023) to $3946.4M (FY 2024), and net income declined from $167.5M to $104.0M over the same span. The FY 2025 row reports zero values, which the source data does not explain. Market data reports gross, operating, and net margins of 0%, along with ROIC of 0%. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 2.5, the Piotroski F-Score is 6/9, and Debt/Equity is 0.5, which together describe a balance sheet the rating treats as a relative strength despite the weak cash-generation metrics.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news section, six items reference HUBG. Headlines include an analyst upgrade by Baird on possible gains amid accounting turmoil (flagged GREEN, CATALYST), a separate Baird upgrade citing attractive valuation (GREEN, CATALYST), a Yahoo Finance report referencing a 38% slide, and several market-wire aggregator items (YELLOW). The source data does not provide the content of the accounting turmoil referenced in the Baird headline. The Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph reports no supply-chain links and no proprietary signals.

Open Questions

What is the nature of the "accounting turmoil" referenced in the Baird upgrade headline, and how does it relate to the FY 2025 zero-value financials?
Why do the FY 2025 financial values read $0.0M across revenue and income, and is this a reporting gap or an actual result?
What are the specific drivers behind the reported decline in revenue and net income from FY 2023 to FY 2024?
What is the source of the Baird upgrade rationale, and what price targets or rating levels accompany it?
How do the institutional and insider flow pillars (4/20 and 9/20) reflect actual holder activity, given the holders section is empty?

HUBG Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Hub Group Inc. (Class A) (HUBG) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to HUBG Debate Forum (3) ↓

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 18h ago

Where Does Hub Group (HUBG) Value Sit After Its 38% Slide?

Yahoo Finance report covering Hub Group Inc. (Class A) (HUBG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Stocktwits • 21h ago

HUBG: Hub Group, Inc. - Ordinary Shares - Class A Latest Stock Price, Analysis, News and Trading Ideas

Stocktwits report covering Hub Group Inc. (Class A) (HUBG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟢 CATALYST Seeking Alpha • 1d ago

Hub Group upgraded by Baird on possible gains amid accounting turmoil (HUBG:NASDAQ)

Seeking Alpha report covering Hub Group Inc. (Class A) (HUBG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo! Finance Canada • 1d ago

Hub Group, Inc. (HUBG) Stock Price, News, Quote & History

Yahoo! Finance Canada report covering Hub Group Inc. (Class A) (HUBG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟢 CATALYST Investing.com • 1d ago

Baird upgrades Hub Group stock rating on attractive valuation

Investing.com report covering Hub Group Inc. (Class A) (HUBG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE TradingView • 1d ago

Hub Group, Inc. Estimates – NASDAQ:HUBG

TradingView report covering Hub Group Inc. (Class A) (HUBG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Simply Wall St • 1d ago

Hub Group (HUBG) Pulls Back Sharply, Is The 29% Undervaluation Real?

Simply Wall St report covering Hub Group Inc. (Class A) (HUBG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Stock Titan • 1d ago

An initial ownership report names Gregory David Bunch as a director of Hub Group (HUBG).

Stock Titan report covering Hub Group Inc. (Class A) (HUBG) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

HUBG Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $26.71?

🐂 33% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON HUBG 🐻 67% BEARISH CONVICTION

RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $23.48 (-12.0%)

📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is HUBG (D- • RQD 42/100) a Buy at $26.68?

Welcome to the HUBG (Hub Group Inc. (Class A)) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 42/100 (Roarable Sell — Vulnerable Balance Sheet & Flow) in Integrated Freight & Logistics. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

SH ShortSeller_Dan Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $22.14 (-17.0%)

Spot @ $26.68

Pump the brakes on HUBG — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on HUBG, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with tightening sector spreads. Unless Hub Group Inc. (Class A) expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

SI SiliconVal_Bull Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $30.68 (+15.0%)

Spot @ $26.68

HUBG cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on HUBG, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Integrated Freight & Logistics and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $26.68 (52-wk range $24.98 - $53.26), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.