Honeywell Aerospace Inc. (HONA) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$154.15 -3.68% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $152.84

Honeywell Aerospace Inc. (HONA) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 63/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C • HOLD / WATCH Cap $50.74B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is HONA stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, Honeywell Aerospace Inc. (NASDAQ: HONA) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 63/100 at a spot price of $154.15 (-3.68% 1D, market cap $50.74B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 18/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, HONA ranks #103 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does HONA compare to HEI and HON in the Industrials sector?
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Within the Industrials sector (Aerospace), HONA carries a Roarable C (63/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 32.8x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 19.1%. By comparison, HEI (Heico Corporation) holds a B- grade (70/100 RQD, P/E 66.1x, ROIC 13.6%, cap $45.61B) and HON (Honeywell International Inc.) posts a B grade (73/100 RQD, P/E 14.9x, ROIC 38.9%, cap $70.50B). Among the 5-stock peer group, HON leads on earnings multiple (14.9x) while HON leads on capital efficiency (38.9% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for HONA?
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Per HONA's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0002089271), Honeywell Aerospace Inc. generated $0 in revenue, $0 in net income, and $0 in free cash flow against $17.68B in total assets and $4.0M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $152.84 (-0.85%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 13/20 (C) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 63/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 54.8% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C
025507510063
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk B-
Cash (13)Whales (9)SEC (18)Macro (10)CEO (13)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+2.3% Base Target
$312 Bull$158 Base$123 Bear
📬 FREE HONA RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for HONA)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±10.4%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (63/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY HONA SCORES 63/100 (C) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+18/20 pts (29% of score)

Altman Z-Score 4.61 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 8/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+13/20 pts (21% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 0% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning9/20 pts (-11 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-11 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
71
Grade B$158.18+1.1% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
68
Grade B-$159.90+5% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
66
Grade B-$167.90-8.2% Next Q
Current
63
Grade C$154.15+0.9% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: B (71) → C (63)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the HONA Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 63/100 (C) score, HONA faces multiple-compression risk if 32.8x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 15.0% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($159.88) or 200D SMA ($183.15) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($157.62) toward Bear Floor ($122.94).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $HONA• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “HONA Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your HONA Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $154.15: 64.9 sh
$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000
12M Bear Case FloorTarget $122.94
$7,975
$-2,025 (-20.2%)
12M Consensus BaseTarget $157.62
$10,225
+$225 (+2.3%)
12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $312.38
$20,265
+$10,265 (+102.6%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (28 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100
● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 2
Wall Street FirmStance12M Target1Y AccuracyTrack Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity DeskHOLD$16474%A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage LeadBUY$29469%B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap ResearchHOLD$14058%C
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (HONA Tape Review)

  • ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
  • ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
  • ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
HONA // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -22.92%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-02O $177.0H $177.0L $154.2C $154.2VOL 7.44M
RES: $178.5SUP: $151.4SMA50: $159.9SMA200: $183.2
$307.9$264.9$221.9$178.9$135.8RES $178.5SUP $151.4$154.22026-06-152026-07-212026-08-252026-09-292026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

HONA Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
25.3%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +14.3% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on HONA today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for HONA. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for HONA today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (HONA)

Industrials Rank #103 of 485 ⚔️ HEI vs HONA Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (HONA vs. HEI, HON, BA, TXT)

Industry: Aerospace (31 Tracked Issuers)

Across 485 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Honeywell Aerospace Inc. (HONA) ranks #103 by composite RQD confidence (63/100, grade C) and #32 by equity capitalization ($50.74B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, HON leads on earnings valuation at 14.9x trailing P/E, while HON leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 38.9% ROIC and 36.9% gross margin. HON currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 73/100 (B) compared with HONA at 63/100 (C).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
HONA ACTIVE
Honeywell Aerospace Inc.
C 63/100 32.8x — 19.1% -3.68% $50.74B Benchmark Subject
HEI
Heico Corporation
B- 70/100 66.1x 39.8% 13.6% -1.53% $45.61B /hei-vs-hona →
HON
Honeywell International Inc.
B 73/100 14.9x 36.9% 38.9% -1.71% $70.50B /hon-vs-hona →
BA
Boeing Company
E 28/100 61.2x 4.8% 5.4% -0.64% $136.82B /ba-vs-hona →
TXT
Textron Inc.
C 64/100 16.3x — 8.9% -2.01% $15.04B /txt-vs-hona →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2025–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0002089271

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Honeywell Aerospace Inc. (HONA) reported GAAP revenue of $0 , GAAP net income of $0, operating cash flow of $0, and free cash flow of $0 . On the balance sheet, HONA closed FY2025 with $17.68B in total assets against $4.0M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 4.61, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $0 $0 $0 $0 $17.68B $4.0M

3. HONA Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is HONA stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Honeywell Aerospace Inc. (NASDAQ: HONA) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 63/100 at a spot price of $154.15 (-3.68% 1D, market cap $50.74B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 18/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, HONA ranks #103 in composite RQD confidence.

How does HONA compare to HEI and HON in the Industrials sector?

Within the Industrials sector (Aerospace), HONA carries a Roarable C (63/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 32.8x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 19.1%. By comparison, HEI (Heico Corporation) holds a B- grade (70/100 RQD, P/E 66.1x, ROIC 13.6%, cap $45.61B) and HON (Honeywell International Inc.) posts a B grade (73/100 RQD, P/E 14.9x, ROIC 38.9%, cap $70.50B). Among the 5-stock peer group, HON leads on earnings multiple (14.9x) while HON leads on capital efficiency (38.9% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for HONA?

Per HONA's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0002089271), Honeywell Aerospace Inc. generated $0 in revenue, $0 in net income, and $0 in free cash flow against $17.68B in total assets and $4.0M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is HONA trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

HONA last traded at $154.15 (-3.68% on volume of 5,241,741 shares), positioning the stock -3.58% below its 50-day simple moving average ($159.88) and -15.83% below its 200-day simple moving average ($183.15). Across its 52-week range of $149.19 to $297.50, HONA sits at the 3.3% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 48.4 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±10.4% ($138.12 to $170.18).

HONA Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is HONA's 12-month stock price target?

Honeywell Aerospace Inc. (HONA) carries a 12-month consensus base price target of $157.62 (+2.3% from $154.15), with a bull-case target of $312.38 and a bear-case floor of $122.94.

Is HONA stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now?

Roarable's 5-Pillar RQD Quant Engine rates HONA C (Hold — HOLD) with an RQD Confidence score of 63/100.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 63/100 (C) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

HONA — Honeywell Aerospace Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T14:08:43Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, HONA scores 63 out of 100, earning a C grade and the verdict "Roarable Hold — Fair / Balanced Risk-Reward." The five pillars are:

  • Fundamental Cash Engine: 13 / 20. Per the RQD rating, this pillar reflects ROIC of 19.1% and an FCF yield of 2.21%. A strong return on invested capital is a genuine upside driver, but a 2.21% FCF yield implies the market is paying a rich price for each dollar of free cash flow, which is a valuation tradeoff.
  • Whale 13F Flow: 9 / 20. Per the RQD rating, this pillar measures institutional accumulation and options positioning. It is the weakest of the five, indicating limited evidence of smart-money conviction in the source data.
  • Insider Conviction: 13 / 20. Per the RQD rating, this pillar reflects SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. The score is moderate; it neither signals strong insider buying nor a clear warning.
  • Macro Regime Fit: 10 / 20. Per the RQD rating, this pillar reflects a beta of 0.92 and sector sensitivity. A beta below 1.0 suggests the stock has historically moved less than the broader market, which can cushion drawdowns but also limits participation in strong rallies.
  • Forensic Balance Sheet: 18 / 20. Per the RQD rating, this is the strongest pillar, citing an Altman Z of 4.61, Piotroski F of 8/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.5. This is a meaningful defensive positive.

Taken together, the investor implication is a split profile: a financially sound balance sheet and high return on capital, offset by a demanding valuation and weak institutional and macro-regime signals. The rating's own verdict of "Balanced Risk-Reward" reflects this tension. This is educational analysis, not personalized financial advice.

Snapshot

PriceMarket CapP/E (TTM)Forward P/EEV/EBITDAEPS (TTM)Dividend YieldBeta52-Wk RangeROIC %
$160.04$50.74B32.827.6204.870%0.92$149.19 - $297.519.1%

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025 (filed 2025-12-31)$0.0M$0.0M$0.0MN/A$0.0M$213.0M$4.0M

Per the SEC financials, the reported FY 2025 revenue, operating income, net income, and FCF are all listed as $0.0M, which does not allow meaningful trend or profitability analysis from the filing itself. Per the market data, operating margin is 13.9%, net margin is 10.9%, and gross margin is 0%, the latter of which appears to be a data gap rather than a true reading. ROIC is 19.1%. Per the RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 4.61 and the Piotroski F-Score is 8/9, both pointing to a sound balance sheet and healthy financial posture. Debt/Equity is 0.5 per the RQD rating, while the SEC financials show $213.0M in cash against $4.0M in debt.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

  • RISK WATCH (RED): "Why Did Honeywell Aerospace Stock Drop on Thursday?" appears from Yahoo Finance and The Motley Fool, both flagged as risk-watch items, indicating a recent price decline.
  • MARKET WIRE (YELLOW): A WSJ report describes higher third-quarter profit and revenue on continued demand. Per this headline, the company reported growth, though no figures are provided in the source data.
  • MARKET WIRE (YELLOW): Trefis and Morningstar items cover market action; the Morningstar item also references a securities class-action notice to stockholders with a deadline, which is a legal risk to monitor.
  • MARKET WIRE (YELLOW): A Yahoo Finance piece on valuation notes that valuation "tells only part of the story," reflecting the elevated multiples noted in the snapshot.
  • Proprietary signals: Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, none are listed.

Open Questions

  • What are the company's revenue and earnings figures, given that the FY 2025 SEC financials report $0.0M across revenue, operating income, net income, and FCF?
  • What is the nature and timing of the securities class-action matter referenced in the news wire?
  • What caused the 9.6% price decline, and does the Q3 profit growth reported by WSJ reconcile with the drop?
  • Why is gross margin reported as 0%, and is that a data omission or a true reading?
  • Who are the company's major customers and suppliers, given that the supply-chain graph is empty?

HONA Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Honeywell Aerospace Inc. (HONA) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to HONA Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

HONA Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $154.15?

🐂 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON HONA 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on HONA:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk ⚖️ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $172.84 (+8.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is HONA (C • RQD 63/100) a Buy at $160.04?

Welcome to the HONA (Honeywell Aerospace Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 63/100 (Roarable Hold — Fair / Balanced Risk-Reward) in Aerospace. Bulls point to capital efficiency (19.1% ROIC), while bears focus on valuation multiple compression (32.8x trailing P/E). Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

MU MultipleCompression Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $129.63 (-19.0%)
Spot @ $160.04

Pump the brakes on HONA — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on HONA, but look at what you are paying: 32.8x trailing P/E with tightening sector spreads. Unless Honeywell Aerospace Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

DE DeltaGamma_99 Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $195.25 (+22.0%)
Spot @ $160.04

HONA cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on HONA, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Aerospace and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $160.04 (52-wk range $149.19 - $297.50), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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