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MicroCloud Hologram Inc. (HOLO) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$1.16 +3.57% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.17

MicroCloud Hologram Inc. (HOLO) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 37/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D- • RED ALERT Cap $25.7M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is HOLO stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, MicroCloud Hologram Inc. (NASDAQ: HOLO) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 37/100 at a spot price of $1.16 (+3.57% 1D, market cap $25.7M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 5/20. Across 715 tracked Technology issuers, HOLO ranks #501 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does HOLO compare to TEAD and GOAI in the Technology sector?
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Within the Technology sector (Computer Software: Programming Data Processing), HOLO carries a Roarable D- (37/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 21.3%, and ROIC of 0.2%. By comparison, TEAD (Teads Holding Co.) holds a D- grade (36/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $28.5M) and GOAI (Eva Live Inc.) posts a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 67.0%, cap $35.6M). Among the 5-stock peer group, HOLO leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while GOAI leads on capital efficiency (67.0% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for HOLO?
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Per HOLO's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001841209), MicroCloud Hologram Inc. generated $56.5M in revenue (+38.6% YoY), -$7.0M in net income, and $7.9M in free cash flow against $395.3M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.17 (+0.45%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 13.9% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (37/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-8.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • D-
025507510037
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk D-
Cash (12)Whales (3)SEC (10)Macro (7)CEO (5)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-9.5% Base Target
$5 Bull$1 Base$1 Bear
📬 FREE HOLO RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for HOLO)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.4%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (37/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY HOLO SCORES 37/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+12/20 pts (32% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 13.9% FCF Margin ($7.9M FCF) & 21.3% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+10/20 pts (27% of score)

Altman Z-Score 2.55 (WATCH ZONE (1.8–3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 6/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
45
Grade D$1.41-10.6% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
42
Grade D$1.26-4.8% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
40
Grade D$1.20-3.3% Next Q
Current
37
Grade D-$1.16-8.1% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: D (45) → D- (37)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a HOLO Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While HOLO currently carries a cautious 37/100 (D-) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($1.51) and Max Pain ($1.22) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $4.75.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $HOLO• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “HOLO Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”
YES 37%NO 63%Trade / Inspect Odds →
INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your HOLO Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $1.16: 8620.7 sh
$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000
12M Bear Case FloorTarget $0.82
$7,069
$-2,931 (-29.3%)
12M Consensus BaseTarget $1.05
$9,052
$-948 (-9.5%)
12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $4.75
$40,948
+$30,948 (+309.5%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (35 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100
● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 9
Wall Street FirmStance12M Target1Y AccuracyTrack Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity DeskHOLD$174%A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage LeadUNDERPERFORM$469%B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap ResearchSELL$158%C
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring HOLO)

  • ✓Walkthrough of HOLO's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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HOLO // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -31.76%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-03O $1.18H $1.18L $1.12C $1.16VOL 188.7K
RES: $1.84SUP: $1.05SMA50: $1.51SMA200: $1.81
$3.59$2.92$2.24$1.57$0.89RES $1.84SUP $1.05$1.162026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

HOLO Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 HOLO Butterfly Map → + Track HOLO →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
33.5%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +38.6% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on HOLO today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for HOLO. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for HOLO today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (HOLO)

Technology Rank #501 of 715 ⚔️ TEAD vs HOLO Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (HOLO vs. TEAD, GOAI, SST, JG)

Industry: Computer Software: Programming Data Processing (72 Tracked Issuers)

Across 715 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, MicroCloud Hologram Inc. (HOLO) ranks #501 by composite RQD confidence (37/100, grade D-) and #600 by equity capitalization ($25.7M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, HOLO leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while GOAI leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 67.0% ROIC and — gross margin. JG currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 54/100 (D+) compared with HOLO at 37/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
HOLO ACTIVE
MicroCloud Hologram Inc.
D- 37/100 — 21.3% 0.2% +3.57% $25.7M Benchmark Subject
TEAD
Teads Holding Co.
D- 36/100 — 33.0% -35.0% -10.62% $28.5M /tead-vs-holo →
GOAI
Eva Live Inc.
D 46/100 — — 67.0% -1.10% $35.6M /goai-vs-holo →
SST
System1 Inc. (Class A)
E 17/100 — 37.7% -28.5% -0.59% $17.8M /sst-vs-holo →
JG
Aurora Mobile Limited
D+ 54/100 — 67.2% 4.0% +1.38% $39.0M /jg-vs-holo →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001841209 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), MicroCloud Hologram Inc. (HOLO) reported GAAP revenue of $56.5M (+38.6% vs. FY2024 revenue of $40.8M , and +95.7% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$7.0M, operating cash flow of $7.9M, and free cash flow of $7.9M (+156.9% YoY). On the balance sheet, HOLO closed FY2025 with $395.3M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 2.55, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $56.5M -$7.0M $7.9M $7.9M $395.3M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $40.8M -$9.0M -$13.8M -$13.8M $224.7M —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $28.9M -$11.6M -$3.9M -$3.9M — —

3. HOLO Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is HOLO stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, MicroCloud Hologram Inc. (NASDAQ: HOLO) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 37/100 at a spot price of $1.16 (+3.57% 1D, market cap $25.7M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 5/20. Across 715 tracked Technology issuers, HOLO ranks #501 in composite RQD confidence.

How does HOLO compare to TEAD and GOAI in the Technology sector?

Within the Technology sector (Computer Software: Programming Data Processing), HOLO carries a Roarable D- (37/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 21.3%, and ROIC of 0.2%. By comparison, TEAD (Teads Holding Co.) holds a D- grade (36/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $28.5M) and GOAI (Eva Live Inc.) posts a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 67.0%, cap $35.6M). Among the 5-stock peer group, HOLO leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while GOAI leads on capital efficiency (67.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for HOLO?

Per HOLO's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001841209), MicroCloud Hologram Inc. generated $56.5M in revenue (+38.6% YoY), -$7.0M in net income, and $7.9M in free cash flow against $395.3M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is HOLO trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

HOLO last traded at $1.16 (+3.57% on volume of 245,201 shares), positioning the stock -23.18% below its 50-day simple moving average ($1.51) and -35.91% below its 200-day simple moving average ($1.81). Across its 52-week range of $1.10 to $4.52, HOLO sits at the 1.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 31.2 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.4% ($1.02 to $1.30).

Direct Sub-Reports: HOLO RQD Cockpit HOLO 12M Forecast HOLO Earnings & Move HOLO Dividends & DRIP HOLO Insiders & 13F HOLO Whale Options HOLO Profit Sankey HOLO News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 37/100 (D-) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

HOLO — MicroCloud Hologram Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

MicroCloud Hologram Inc. (HOLO) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 37/100, corresponding to a D- letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $1.16 (+3.57% 1D, market capitalization $25.7M).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (12/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 0.2%, gross margin of 21.3%, operating margin of 0.6%, and free cash flow yield of —.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (3/20) + Insider Conviction (5/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (7/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (10/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 2.55, Piotroski F-Score of 6/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

MicroCloud Hologram Inc. Is a NASDAQ-listed issuer classified under the Technology sector and the Computer Software: Programming Data Processing industry..

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), MicroCloud Hologram Inc. (HOLO) reported $56.5M in annual revenue (up from $40.8M in FY2024, +38.6% YoY) and -$7.0M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($28.9M revenue, -$11.6M net income) through FY2025, HOLO scaled operating cash flow to $7.9M and free cash flow to $7.9M, backed by $395.3M in total assets against $0 in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (D- • RQD 37/100): Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of — and institutional whale pillar of 3/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 12/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 3/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $1.10 – $4.52 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation and 35.9x EV/EBITDA against 0.6% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Operating in Computer Software: Programming Data Processing (Technology), HOLO carries a macro regime beta of 1.00 and gross margin of 21.3%.

  • Key Question #1: Can HOLO sustain or expand its 0.6% operating margin and 0.2% ROIC against Computer Software: Programming Data Processing peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $56.5M and free cash flow of $7.9M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is HOLO's equity valuation to Technology capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

HOLO Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for MicroCloud Hologram Inc. (HOLO) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to HOLO Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

HOLO Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $1.16?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON HOLO 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on HOLO:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
MA MacroHawk_NYC RQD DEBATE OPENER • Cross-Asset Macro Desk 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $1.40 (+25.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Revenue rose from $28.9M in FY 2023 to $56.5M in FY 2025 while operating income moved to $0.4M and cash reached $262.3M.

Don't sleep on HOLO's setup in Technology. Revenue rose from $28.9M in FY 2023 to $56.5M in FY 2025 while operating income moved to $0.4M and cash reached $262.3M.. Beta of 1.0 means it moves fast when momentum turns, and the 5-pillar RQD gauge (37/100) backs up the fundamental quality.

EarningsSniper 🐂 BULL

Both sides have a point here — HOLO's 10/20 balance sheet score keeps downside contained, so the real swing factor next earnings call is backlog and FCF conversion.

SK SkepticalCFA RQD DEBATE OPENER • Fundamental Contrarian 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $0.86 (-23.2%)
Spot @ $1.12

ROIC of 0.2% and FCF yield of 0% leave the fundamental cash engine pillar at 12 of 20 with near-zero returns on capital.

Fading this rally in HOLO at $1.12. ROIC of 0.2% and FCF yield of 0% leave the fundamental cash engine pillar at 12 of 20 with near-zero returns on capital.. With a beta of 1.0 and the stock sitting at $1.12 (52-wk range $1.10–$4.52), the easy multiple expansion is already priced in.

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