HMH Holding Inc. (Class A) (HMH) Insider, 13F Hedge Fund & Politician Buy/Sell Thermometer

$17.39 -8.18% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $17.10

HMH Holding Inc. (Class A) (HMH) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 51/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $835.1M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is HMH stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, HMH Holding Inc. (Class A) (NASDAQ: HMH) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 51/100 at a spot price of $17.39 (-8.18% 1D, market cap $835.1M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, HMH ranks #528 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does HMH compare to FET and OIS in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Oil and Gas Field Machinery), HMH carries a Roarable D (51/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, FET (Forum Energy Technologies Inc.) holds a D+ grade (57/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 6.1%, cap $974.5M) and OIS (Oil States International Inc.) posts a D grade (51/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -15.4%, cap $579.1M). Among the 5-stock peer group, INVX leads on earnings multiple (25.2x) while FLOC leads on capital efficiency (30.0% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for HMH?
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Per HMH's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0002021880), HMH Holding Inc. (Class A) generated $570.2M in revenue, $0 in net income, and $0 in free cash flow against $1.36B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $17.10 (-1.66%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 10/20 (D) • 4.1% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 51/100 (D) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-1.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 49.7% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D
025507510051
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk C
Cash (10)Whales (7)SEC (13)Macro (12)CEO (9)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-3.2% Base Target
$26 Bull$17 Base$13 Bear
📬 FREE HMH RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for HMH)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±9.4%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (51/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY HMH SCORES 51/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (25% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+12/20 pts (24% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 13% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 53.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning7/20 pts (-13 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-13 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
59
Grade C$18.98-7.1% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
56
Grade C$17.63+8% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
54
Grade C-$19.04-8.7% Next Q
Current
51
Grade D$17.39-1.3% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C (59) → D (51)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a HMH Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While HMH currently carries a cautious 51/100 (D) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (7/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($18.81) and Max Pain ($18.26) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $25.73.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $HMH• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “HMH Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
SEC FORM 4 × 13F HEDGE FUNDS × CONGRESSIONAL STOCK ACT

HMH Smart-Money Thermometer: BALANCED INSTITUTIONAL POSITIONING

Explore All 13F & Congress Whales →
▲ Disclosed Buys: 0 ($0)▼ Disclosed Sales: 0 ($0)

Wide-Open SEC Form 4, 13F & Congressional Disclosure Ledger (HMH)

No recent open-market Form 4 cluster sales or emergency dumps flagged on HMH. Visit the Global 13F & Congressional Whale Ledger for cross-market smart-money filings.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring HMH)

  • ✓Walkthrough of HMH's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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HMH // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -21.74%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-03O $18.67H $18.94L $17.39C $17.39VOL 60.0K
RES: $19.99SUP: $16.45SMA50: $18.81SMA200: $19.77
$25.06$22.74$20.43$18.11$15.79RES $19.99SUP $16.45$17.392026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

HMH Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on HMH today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for HMH. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for HMH today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (HMH)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #528 of 1011 ⚔️ FET vs HMH Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (HMH vs. FET, OIS, FLOC, INVX)

Industry: Oil and Gas Field Machinery (17 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, HMH Holding Inc. (Class A) (HMH) ranks #528 by composite RQD confidence (51/100, grade D) and #533 by equity capitalization ($835.1M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, INVX leads on earnings valuation at 25.2x trailing P/E, while FLOC leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 30.0% ROIC and — gross margin. FLOC currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 74/100 (B) compared with HMH at 51/100 (D).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
HMH ACTIVE
HMH Holding Inc. (Class A)
D 51/100 — — — -8.18% $835.1M Benchmark Subject
FET
Forum Energy Technologies Inc.
D+ 57/100 — 27.7% 6.1% -8.62% $974.5M /fet-vs-hmh →
OIS
Oil States International Inc.
D 51/100 — 19.9% -15.4% -7.50% $579.1M /ois-vs-hmh →
FLOC
Flowco Holdings Inc. (Class A)
B 74/100 43.8x — 30.0% -4.05% $1.81B /floc-vs-hmh →
INVX
Innovex International Inc.
B 73/100 25.2x 31.0% 9.9% -7.23% $1.96B /invx-vs-hmh →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2025–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0002021880

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), HMH Holding Inc. (Class A) (HMH) reported GAAP revenue of $570.2M , GAAP net income of $0, operating cash flow of $0, and free cash flow of $0 . On the balance sheet, HMH closed FY2025 with $1.36B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: N/A).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $570.2M $0 — — $1.36B —

3. HMH Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is HMH stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, HMH Holding Inc. (Class A) (NASDAQ: HMH) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 51/100 at a spot price of $17.39 (-8.18% 1D, market cap $835.1M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, HMH ranks #528 in composite RQD confidence.

How does HMH compare to FET and OIS in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Oil and Gas Field Machinery), HMH carries a Roarable D (51/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, FET (Forum Energy Technologies Inc.) holds a D+ grade (57/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 6.1%, cap $974.5M) and OIS (Oil States International Inc.) posts a D grade (51/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -15.4%, cap $579.1M). Among the 5-stock peer group, INVX leads on earnings multiple (25.2x) while FLOC leads on capital efficiency (30.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for HMH?

Per HMH's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0002021880), HMH Holding Inc. (Class A) generated $570.2M in revenue, $0 in net income, and $0 in free cash flow against $1.36B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is HMH trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

HMH last traded at $17.39 (-8.18% on volume of 148,135 shares), positioning the stock -7.55% below its 50-day simple moving average ($18.81) and -12.04% below its 200-day simple moving average ($19.77). Across its 52-week range of $16.32 to $24.50, HMH sits at the 13.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 53.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±9.4% ($15.76 to $19.02).

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 51/100 (D) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

HMH — HMH Holding Inc. (Class A): What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T14:14:45Z

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

HMH scores 51 out of 100, a letter grade of D, with the verdict label "Roarable Sell — Underperform / Distribution Warning." The five pillars are: Fundamental Cash Engine at 10 of 20 (ROIC 0%; FCF yield 0%); Whale 13F Flow at 7 of 20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning); Insider Conviction at 9 of 20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow); Macro Regime Fit at 12 of 20 (Beta 1.0; sector sensitivity); and Forensic Balance Sheet at 13 of 20 (Altman Z 2.5; Piotroski F 6/9; Debt/Equity 0.5). For a prospective investor, the weakest pillars are the cash-generation engine and insider/institutional conviction, which together indicate that the rating does not see strong evidence of current cash returns or committed buying. The balance sheet and macro-fit pillars are comparatively stronger, which means the rating's downgrade is driven mainly by the absence of demonstrated returns rather than by acute balance-sheet stress. Any upside case would need to come from improvement in cash generation or from a change in the flow signals that the rating currently scores low.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

— The source data identifies HMH Holding Inc. (Class A) as a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Consumer Discretionary sector and the Oil and Gas Field Machinery industry, with a market capitalization of $0.8B.

Reported FY 2025 revenue, operating income, and net income are each —, and EPS and FCF are not reported; cash is $96.6M and debt is not reported. Per the market data, gross, operating, and net margins are each 0%, and ROIC is 0%. The Altman Z-Score is 2.5, the Piotroski F-Score is 6 of 9, and Debt/Equity is 0.5. Taken together, the reported figures show no revenue or profit in the period, with the balance sheet metrics as the only quantified strength in the source data.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case: Balance-sheet pillars are comparatively sound, with a Piotroski F-Score of 6/9, an Altman Z-Score of 2.5, and $96.6M in reported cash. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 10/20 (ROIC —, FCF yield —) and Institutional Whale Flow at 7/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the top of the $16.32 – $24.50 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case: The stock carries a D grade with 0% ROIC and 0% FCF yield, and the rating shows weak institutional and insider conviction. Investors must weigh current valuation against — operating margins and a 1.00 macro beta if sector demand softens.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

The sector classification (Consumer Discretionary / Oil and Gas Field Machinery) is the only available context.

  • Key Question #1: What products or services generate HMH's revenue, and who are its customers?
  • Key Question #2: Why were FY 2025 revenue and operating income reported as —, and what is the path to positive cash generation?
  • Key Question #3: What drove the cut to the 12-month price target, and what assumptions underlie the remaining analyst view?

HMH Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for HMH Holding Inc. (Class A) (HMH) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to HMH Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

HMH Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $17.39?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON HMH 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on HMH:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
MI MidwestValue Fundamental Long-Only 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $24.43 (+29.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Balance-sheet pillars are comparatively sound, with a Piotroski F-Score of 6/9, an Altman Z-Score of 2.5, and $96.6M in reported cash.

The street is overcomplicating HMH Holding Inc. (Class A) (HMH). Balance-sheet pillars are comparatively sound, with a Piotroski F-Score of 6/9, an Altman Z-Score of 2.5, and $96.6M in reported cash.. With an RQD score of 51/100 (D) and Forensic Balance Sheet at 13/20, any positive earnings surprise or guidance raise forces underweight funds to chase above $20.46.

ArenaChamp_24 🐂 BULL

@BearTrap_Alert Fair point on current EV/EBITDA multiples, but you're ignoring the forward operating leverage in Oil and Gas Field Machinery. If gross margin (0.0%) holds, EPS grows into the multiple faster than bears think.

BE BearTrap_Alert Cycle Peak Watcher 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $16.10 (-15.0%)
Spot @ $18.94

The stock carries a D grade with 0% ROIC and 0% FCF yield, and the rating shows weak institutional and insider conviction.

Sitting on the sidelines or leaning short HMH above $18.94. The stock carries a D grade with 0% ROIC and 0% FCF yield, and the rating shows weak institutional and insider conviction.. Until Fundamental Cash Engine (10/20) and FCF yield (0.0%) inflect higher, upside is capped near $24.50.

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