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Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / HLT / insiders
MAR (76) IHG (66) LVS (56) H (48) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. (HLT) Insider, 13F Hedge Fund & Politician Buy/Sell Thermometer

$356.92 0.00% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $357.78

Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. (HLT) earns a Roarable Rating of B+ (Buy) with 76/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (steady margins, 34% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 76/100 (B+) historically ranked in the Top 11% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+7.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 70.0% hit rate) →
ROARABLE B+ • BUY Cap $79.42B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on HLT Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is HLT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. (NYSE: HLT) is rated B+ (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 76/100 at a spot price of $356.92 (0.00% 1D, market cap $79.42B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 19/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 18/20, Executive Insider Alignment 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, HLT ranks #51 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does HLT compare to MAR and IHG in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Hotels/Resorts), HLT carries a Roarable B+ (76/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 54.5x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 33.5%. By comparison, MAR (Marriott International) holds a B+ grade (76/100 RQD, P/E 40.1x, ROIC 39.2%, cap $104.22B) and IHG (Intercontinental Hotels Group American) posts a C+ grade (66/100 RQD, P/E 32.8x, ROIC 9.9%, cap $24.97B). Among the 5-stock peer group, LVS leads on earnings multiple (14.3x) while MAR leads on capital efficiency (39.2% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for HLT?
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Per HLT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001585689), Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. generated $12.04B in revenue (+7.7% YoY), $1.46B in net income, and $2.03B in free cash flow against $16.77B in total assets and $9.95B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Priced at 55x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $357.78 (+0.24%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 19/20 (A+) • 16.8% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 76/100 (B+) historically ranked in the Top 11% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+7.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 70.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • B+
025507510076
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw A- · Rk C+
Cash (19)Whales (18)SEC (16)Macro (11)CEO (12)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+8.1% Base Target
$455 Bull$386 Base$293 Bear
📬 FREE HLT RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for HLT)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±4.6%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (76/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY HLT SCORES 76/100 (B+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+19/20 pts (25% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 16.8% FCF Margin ($2.03B FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+18/20 pts (24% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±4.6% realized swing band)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit11/20 pts (-9 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (65.8) create a -9 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
68
Grade B-$329.59+9% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
71
Grade B$359.29-4.1% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
73
Grade B$344.65+3.6% Next Q
Current
76
Grade B+$356.92+7.6% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: B- (68) → B+ (76)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the HLT Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 76/100 (B+) score, HLT faces multiple-compression risk if 54.5x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Priced at 55x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($326.16) or 200D SMA ($321.42) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($385.83) toward Bear Floor ($292.67).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $HLT• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “HLT Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 76%NO 24%Trade / Inspect Odds →
SEC FORM 4 × 13F HEDGE FUNDS × CONGRESSIONAL STOCK ACT

HLT Smart-Money Thermometer: BALANCED INSTITUTIONAL POSITIONING

Explore All 13F & Congress Whales →
▲ Disclosed Buys: 0 ($0)▼ Disclosed Sales: 0 ($0)

Wide-Open SEC Form 4, 13F & Congressional Disclosure Ledger (HLT)

No recent open-market Form 4 cluster sales or emergency dumps flagged on HLT. Visit the Global 13F & Congressional Whale Ledger for cross-market smart-money filings.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (HLT Tape Review)

  • ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
  • ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
  • ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena
HLT // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +14.63%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-02O $349.6H $356.9L $349.6C $356.9VOL 2.00M
RES: $369.0SUP: $276.4SMA50: $326.2SMA200: $321.4
$369.9$347.4$325.0$302.5$280.0RES $369.0SUP $276.4$356.92026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

HLT Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 HLT Butterfly Map → + Track HLT →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
38.7%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +7.7% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on HLT today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for HLT. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for HLT today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (HLT)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #51 of 1011 ⚔️ MAR vs HLT Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (HLT vs. MAR, IHG, LVS, H)

Industry: Hotels/Resorts (35 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. (HLT) ranks #51 by composite RQD confidence (76/100, grade B+) and #27 by equity capitalization ($79.42B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, LVS leads on earnings valuation at 14.3x trailing P/E, while MAR leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 39.2% ROIC and — gross margin. HLT currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 76/100 (B+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
HLT ACTIVE
Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc.
B+ 76/100 54.5x — 33.5% 0.00% $79.42B Benchmark Subject
MAR
Marriott International
B+ 76/100 40.1x — 39.2% -0.09% $104.22B /mar-vs-hlt →
IHG
Intercontinental Hotels Group American
C+ 66/100 32.8x — 9.9% -1.09% $24.97B /ihg-vs-hlt →
LVS
Las Vegas Sands Corp.
D+ 56/100 14.3x — 36.2% -0.19% $23.22B /lvs-vs-hlt →
H
Hyatt Hotels Corporation
D 48/100 — — -0.7% -2.02% $17.36B /h-vs-hlt →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001585689

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. (HLT) reported GAAP revenue of $12.04B (+7.7% vs. FY2024 revenue of $11.17B , and +17.6% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $1.46B, operating cash flow of $2.13B, and free cash flow of $2.03B (+5.8% YoY). On the balance sheet, HLT closed FY2025 with $16.77B in total assets against $9.95B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 3.17, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $12.04B $1.46B $2.13B $2.03B $16.77B $9.95B
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $11.17B $1.53B $2.01B $1.92B $16.52B $9.09B
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $10.23B $1.14B $1.95B $1.49B $43.68B $10.22B

3. HLT Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is HLT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. (NYSE: HLT) is rated B+ (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 76/100 at a spot price of $356.92 (0.00% 1D, market cap $79.42B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 19/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 18/20, Executive Insider Alignment 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, HLT ranks #51 in composite RQD confidence.

How does HLT compare to MAR and IHG in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Hotels/Resorts), HLT carries a Roarable B+ (76/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 54.5x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 33.5%. By comparison, MAR (Marriott International) holds a B+ grade (76/100 RQD, P/E 40.1x, ROIC 39.2%, cap $104.22B) and IHG (Intercontinental Hotels Group American) posts a C+ grade (66/100 RQD, P/E 32.8x, ROIC 9.9%, cap $24.97B). Among the 5-stock peer group, LVS leads on earnings multiple (14.3x) while MAR leads on capital efficiency (39.2% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for HLT?

Per HLT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001585689), Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. generated $12.04B in revenue (+7.7% YoY), $1.46B in net income, and $2.03B in free cash flow against $16.77B in total assets and $9.95B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Priced at 55x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is HLT trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

HLT last traded at $356.92 (0.00% on volume of 1,623,039 shares), positioning the stock +9.43% above its 50-day simple moving average ($326.16) and +11.04% above its 200-day simple moving average ($321.42). Across its 52-week range of $253.54 to $364.50, HLT sits at the 93.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 65.8 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±4.6% ($340.50 to $373.34).

HLT Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Are HLT insiders and hedge funds buying or selling?

Roarable's SEC Form 4 and 13F Whale Thermometer currently classifies HLT leadership and institutional positioning as: BALANCED INSTITUTIONAL POSITIONING.

Direct Sub-Reports: HLT RQD Cockpit HLT 12M Forecast HLT Earnings & Move HLT Dividends & DRIP HLT Insiders & 13F HLT Whale Options HLT Profit Sankey HLT News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 76/100 (B+) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

HLT — Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:10:17Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, HLT scores 76 out of 100, grading B+ under the verdict "Roarable Buy — Very Good Cash & Smart-Money Inflow." The five pillars are:

  • Fundamental cash engine: 19 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar reflects ROIC of 33.5% and an FCF yield of 2.55%. The strongest pillar suggests the business converts capital into returns efficiently, though a 2.55% FCF yield implies investors are paying a high multiple for those cash flows.
  • Whale 13F flow: 18 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this reflects institutional accumulation and options positioning. Strong institutional interest can support price momentum, but it can also reverse quickly if positioning unwinds.
  • Insider conviction: 12 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this reflects SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. A mid-range score indicates insider signals are supportive but not decisive.
  • Macro regime fit: 11 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, beta is 1.08 and the score reflects sector sensitivity. Investors should expect HLT to move somewhat more than the broad market in both directions, and this pillar is the weakest of the five.
  • Forensic balance sheet: 16 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this reflects an Altman Z of 3.17, a Piotroski F of 7/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.85. These point to a financially sound balance sheet without signaling balance-sheet distress.

Taken together, the rating points to strong operating economics and supportive positioning, tempered by a rich valuation (P/E TTM of 54.5, EV/EBITDA of 31.6) and moderate macro sensitivity. The valuation is the main tradeoff: the quality metrics are strong, but the price already reflects a great deal of that quality. This is an analytical framing, not personalized advice.

Snapshot

PriceMarket CapP/E (TTM)Forward P/EEV/EBITDAEPS (TTM)Dividend YieldBeta52-Wk RangeROIC %
356.93$79.42B54.550.731.66.550.18%1.08$253.54 - $364.533.5%

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$12039.0M$2693.0M$1457.0MN/A$2028.0M$918.0M$9954.0M
FY 2024$11174.0M$2370.0M$1535.0MN/A$1917.0M$1301.0M$9095.0M
FY 2023$10235.0M$2225.0M$1141.0MN/A$1485.4MN/A$10221.2M

Per the SEC financials, revenue grew from $10235.0M (FY 2023) to $12039.0M (FY 2025). Net income was $1457.0M in FY 2025 versus $1535.0M in FY 2024, a decline, while operating income rose to $2693.0M. Per the market data, operating margin is 22.4%, net margin is 12.1%, and gross margin is reported as 0%, which is not interpretable without further context. Per the Roarable RQD rating, ROIC is 33.5%, the Altman Z-Score is 3.17, and the Piotroski F-Score is 7/9. Debt/Equity is 0.85, and reported debt has risen from $9095.0M in FY 2024 to $9954.0M in FY 2025 while cash declined from $1301.0M to $918.0M.

Open Questions

  • What is the rationale and timing for the move to a Nasdaq listing, and does it affect liquidity or index membership?
  • What is the magnitude of the "raised earnings outlook" referenced in the news feed, and what guidance underlies it?
  • Why did net income decline in FY 2025 despite higher revenue and operating income, and what drove the gap?
  • What is the composition of the 13F institutional holdings and the Form 4 insider transactions behind the whale and insider pillar scores?
  • What are the company's gross margin definition and actual gross profit, given the source reports a 0% gross margin?

HLT Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. (HLT) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to HLT Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

HLT Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $356.92?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON HLT 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on HLT:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $421.18 (+18.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is HLT (B+ • RQD 76/100) a Buy at $356.93?

Welcome to the HLT (Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 76/100 (Roarable Buy — Very Good Cash & Smart-Money Inflow) in Hotels/Resorts. Bulls point to capital efficiency (33.5% ROIC), while bears focus on valuation multiple compression (54.5x trailing P/E). Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

BE BearTrap_Alert Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $278.41 (-22.0%)
Spot @ $356.93

Pump the brakes on HLT — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on HLT, but look at what you are paying: 54.5x trailing P/E with tightening sector spreads. Unless Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

TA TapeReader_Pro Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $446.16 (+25.0%)
Spot @ $356.93

HLT cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on HLT, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Hotels/Resorts and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $356.93 (52-wk range $253.54 - $364.50), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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