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HawkEye 360 Inc. (HAWK) Revenue-to-Profit Sankey Flow & SEC XBRL Financials

$13.55 -4.64% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $13.41

HawkEye 360 Inc. (HAWK) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 44/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $1.33B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is HAWK stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, HawkEye 360 Inc. (NYSE: HAWK) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 44/100 at a spot price of $13.55 (-4.64% 1D, market cap $1.33B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 9/20. Across 715 tracked Technology issuers, HAWK ranks #435 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does HAWK compare to WRD and GDRX in the Technology sector?
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Within the Technology sector (EDP Services), HAWK carries a Roarable D (44/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, WRD (WeRide Inc.) holds a D grade (44/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $1.39B) and GDRX (GoodRx Holdings Inc. (Class A)) posts a D+ grade (58/100 RQD, P/E 39.7x, ROIC 8.3%, cap $1.19B). Among the 5-stock peer group, GDRX leads on earnings multiple (39.7x) while INOD leads on capital efficiency (39.7% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for HAWK?
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Per HAWK's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001750704), HawkEye 360 Inc. generated $205.8M in revenue, $0 in net income, and $0 in free cash flow against $489.9M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $13.41 (-1.03%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 10/20 (D) • 18.1% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (44/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-6.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D
025507510044
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D
Cash (10)Whales (5)SEC (13)Macro (7)CEO (9)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-6.3% Base Target
$38 Bull$13 Base$10 Bear
📬 FREE HAWK RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for HAWK)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.3%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (44/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY HAWK SCORES 44/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (30% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+10/20 pts (23% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 18.1% FCF Margin ($37.2M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning5/20 pts (-15 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-15 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
36
Grade E$12.98-8.3% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
39
Grade E$11.90+13.6% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
41
Grade D$13.52+0.2% Next Q
Current
44
Grade D$13.55-6.5% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: E (36) → D (44)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a HAWK Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While HAWK currently carries a cautious 44/100 (D) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($15.34) and Max Pain ($14.23) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $37.52.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $HAWK• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “HAWK Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”
YES 44%NO 56%Trade / Inspect Odds →
VISUAL REVENUE-TO-PROFIT SANKEY WATERFALL • FY 2025 (10-K)

How HAWK Turns Every Dollar of Sales Into Real Bottom-Line Profit

Free Cash Flow:$37.2M (18.1% FCF Margin)
Revenue$205.8MGross Profit $107.0M (52%)Cost of Sales $98.8MOp Profit $0 (0%)OpEx (R&D/SG&A) $107.0MNet Profit$0 (0%)Tax/Other $0

Multi-Year SEC EDGAR XBRL Revenue, Net Profit & Free Cash Flow Trajectory

■ Revenue■ Net Profit■ Free Cash Flow
FY25
Rev $205.8M
Fiscal YearRevenueGross MarginOp MarginNet ProfitFree Cash FlowROIC %
FY 2025$205.8M52%0%$0$015%
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring HAWK)

  • ✓Walkthrough of HAWK's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
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HAWK // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -60.15%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-03O $14.21H $14.21L $13.55C $13.55VOL 1.82M
RES: $15.74SUP: $10.62SMA50: $15.34SMA200: $20.75
$37.44$30.34$23.25$16.15$9.05RES $15.74SUP $10.62$13.552026-05-072026-06-232026-08-062026-09-212026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

HAWK Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 HAWK Butterfly Map → + Track HAWK →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on HAWK today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for HAWK. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for HAWK today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (HAWK)

Technology Rank #435 of 715 ⚔️ WRD vs HAWK Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (HAWK vs. WRD, GDRX, INOD, LZ)

Industry: EDP Services (163 Tracked Issuers)

Across 715 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, HawkEye 360 Inc. (HAWK) ranks #435 by composite RQD confidence (44/100, grade D) and #331 by equity capitalization ($1.33B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, GDRX leads on earnings valuation at 39.7x trailing P/E, while INOD leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 39.7% ROIC and 39.5% gross margin. INOD currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 62/100 (C) compared with HAWK at 44/100 (D).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
HAWK ACTIVE
HawkEye 360 Inc.
D 44/100 — — — -4.64% $1.33B Benchmark Subject
WRD
WeRide Inc.
D 44/100 — — — -5.05% $1.39B /wrd-vs-hawk →
GDRX
GoodRx Holdings Inc. (Class A)
D+ 58/100 39.7x — 8.3% -1.41% $1.19B /gdrx-vs-hawk →
INOD
Innodata Inc.
C 62/100 49.3x 39.5% 39.7% -5.11% $1.51B /inod-vs-hawk →
LZ
LegalZoom.com Inc.
C- 59/100 73.7x 65.9% 34.7% +1.21% $1.15B /lz-vs-hawk →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2025–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001750704 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), HawkEye 360 Inc. (HAWK) reported GAAP revenue of $205.8M , GAAP net income of $0, operating cash flow of $0, and free cash flow of $0 . On the balance sheet, HAWK closed FY2025 with $489.9M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: N/A).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $205.8M $0 — — $489.9M —

3. HAWK Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is HAWK stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, HawkEye 360 Inc. (NYSE: HAWK) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 44/100 at a spot price of $13.55 (-4.64% 1D, market cap $1.33B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 9/20. Across 715 tracked Technology issuers, HAWK ranks #435 in composite RQD confidence.

How does HAWK compare to WRD and GDRX in the Technology sector?

Within the Technology sector (EDP Services), HAWK carries a Roarable D (44/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, WRD (WeRide Inc.) holds a D grade (44/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $1.39B) and GDRX (GoodRx Holdings Inc. (Class A)) posts a D+ grade (58/100 RQD, P/E 39.7x, ROIC 8.3%, cap $1.19B). Among the 5-stock peer group, GDRX leads on earnings multiple (39.7x) while INOD leads on capital efficiency (39.7% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for HAWK?

Per HAWK's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001750704), HawkEye 360 Inc. generated $205.8M in revenue, $0 in net income, and $0 in free cash flow against $489.9M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is HAWK trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

HAWK last traded at $13.55 (-4.64% on volume of 1,817,559 shares), positioning the stock -11.67% below its 50-day simple moving average ($15.34) and -34.70% below its 200-day simple moving average ($20.75). Across its 52-week range of $11.25 to $35.73, HAWK sits at the 9.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 47.0 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.3% ($11.88 to $15.22).

Direct Sub-Reports: HAWK RQD Cockpit HAWK 12M Forecast HAWK Earnings & Move HAWK Dividends & DRIP HAWK Insiders & 13F HAWK Whale Options HAWK Profit Sankey HAWK News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 44/100 (D) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

HAWK — HawkEye 360 Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

HawkEye 360 Inc. (HAWK) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 44/100, corresponding to a D letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $13.55 (-4.64% 1D, market capitalization $1.33B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (10/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of —, gross margin of —, operating margin of —, and free cash flow yield of —.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (5/20) + Insider Conviction (9/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (7/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (13/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of N/A, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

HawkEye 360 Inc. Is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Technology sector, operating in the EDP Services industry. The profile reports a market capitalization of $1.4B.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), HawkEye 360 Inc. (HAWK) reported $205.8M in annual revenue and $0 in GAAP net income. Operating cash flow reached $0 and free cash flow totaled $0, backed by $489.9M in total assets against $0 in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (D • RQD 44/100): Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of — and institutional whale pillar of 5/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 10/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 5/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $11.25 – $35.73 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation against — operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

The sector is Technology and the industry is EDP Services, but the source does not map specific suppliers, customers, or sector peers. Investors should watch for these relationships in future disclosures.

  • Key Question #1: Can HAWK sustain or expand its — operating margin and — ROIC against EDP Services peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $205.8M and free cash flow of $0, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is HAWK's equity valuation to Technology capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

HAWK Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for HawkEye 360 Inc. (HAWK) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to HAWK Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

HAWK Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $13.55?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON HAWK 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on HAWK:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
DE DeltaGamma_99 RQD DEBATE OPENER • Options Flow Specialist 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $16.53 (+22.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

The forensic balance sheet pillar scores 13 of 20, with Altman Z 2.5, Piotroski F 6/9, and cash of $92.7M providing a relatively sound

Picked up a starter position in HAWK in my $100K Virtual Cash book at $13.55. The forensic balance sheet pillar scores 13 of 20, with Altman Z 2.5, Piotroski F 6/9, and cash of $92.7M providing a relatively sound financial base.. Trading inside a $11.25–$35.73 52-week range with 0.0% FCF yield gives solid downside support if EDP Services multiples expand this quarter.

RetailWhale_TX 🐂 BULL

Both sides have a point here — HAWK's 13/20 balance sheet score keeps downside contained, so the real swing factor next earnings call is backlog and FCF conversion.

FA FadeTheHype RQD DEBATE OPENER • Contrarian Tape Reader 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $11.52 (-15.0%)
Spot @ $13.55

The cash engine pillar scores 10 of 20 with ROIC at 0% and FCF yield at 0%, and the RQD verdict is a distribution warning.

The cash engine pillar scores 10 of 20 with ROIC at 0% and FCF yield at 0%, and the RQD verdict is a distribution warning.. Look at the math on HAWK: paying current EV/EBITDA multiples for 0.0% ROIC and 0.0% operating margins leaves zero margin of safety if EDP Services demand softens. I'd wait for a retest of $11.92 before getting long.

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