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Stock Ratings / Financials / HASI / dividends
MAIN (43) KYN (58) CET (51) BCAT (44) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

HA Sustainable Infrastructure Capital Inc. (HASI) Dividend Safety Gauge & 10-Year DRIP Compounder

$38.29 +2.88% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $38.42

HA Sustainable Infrastructure Capital Inc. (HASI) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 58/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $4.78B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on HASI Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is HASI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, HA Sustainable Infrastructure Capital Inc. (NYSE: HASI) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 58/100 at a spot price of $38.29 (+2.88% 1D, market cap $4.78B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 13/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, HASI ranks #453 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does HASI compare to MAIN and KYN in the Financials sector?
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Within the Financials sector (Finance/Investors Services), HASI carries a Roarable D+ (58/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 26.1x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 6.9%. By comparison, MAIN (Main Street Capital Corporation) holds a D- grade (43/100 RQD, P/E 10.6x, ROIC 16.5%, cap $5.17B) and KYN (Kayne Anderson Energy Infrastructure Fund Inc.) posts a D+ grade (58/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $2.02B). Among the 5-stock peer group, MAIN leads on earnings multiple (10.6x) while MAIN leads on capital efficiency (16.5% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for HASI?
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Per HASI's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001561894), HA Sustainable Infrastructure Capital Inc. generated $400.5M in revenue (+4.4% YoY), $184.5M in net income, and $167.3M in free cash flow against $8.19B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $38.42 (+0.33%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 13/20 (C) • 41.8% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 58/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.0% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 52.7% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+
025507510058
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C · Rk D+
Cash (13)Whales (11)SEC (13)Macro (8)CEO (13)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+0% Base Target
$46 Bull$38 Base$30 Bear
📬 FREE HASI RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for HASI)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±4%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (58/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY HASI SCORES 58/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+13/20 pts (22% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 41.8% FCF Margin ($167.3M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (22% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 4/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit8/20 pts (-12 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (54.2) create a -12 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
50
Grade C-$36.59-2.5% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
53
Grade C-$35.66+1.4% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
55
Grade C$36.15+5.9% Next Q
Current
58
Grade D+$38.29+0% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C- (50) → D+ (58)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the HASI Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 58/100 (D+) score, HASI faces multiple-compression risk if 26.1x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($37.27) or 200D SMA ($38.15) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($38.29) toward Bear Floor ($29.87).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $HASI• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “HASI Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 58%NO 42%Trade / Inspect Odds →
CASH DIVIDEND + BUYBACK YIELD
6.15% Total Yield
4.35% Cash ($1.67/yr) + 1.8% Buybacks
PAYOUT SAFETY SPEEDOMETER
41/100 • ELEVATED PAYOUT WATCH
FREE CASH FLOW PAYOUT RATIO
81.5% of FCF
8 consecutive years of payout growth
INTERACTIVE DRIP & SHAREHOLDER-YIELD COMPOUNDER (9.6% EST. ANNUAL)

$10,000 Compounded Over 10 Years → $25,010

Est. Year-10 Shareholder Yield: $1,538/yr
$11.0K
Yr 1
$12.0K
Yr 2
$13.2K
Yr 3
$14.4K
Yr 4
$15.8K
Yr 5
$17.3K
Yr 6
$19.0K
Yr 7
$20.8K
Yr 8
$22.8K
Yr 9
$25.0K
Yr 10
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring HASI)

  • ✓Walkthrough of HASI's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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HASI // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -9.33%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-03O $37.52H $38.29L $37.22C $38.29VOL 845.9K
RES: $42.16SUP: $34.65SMA50: $37.27SMA200: $38.15
$44.93$41.63$38.33$35.03$31.73RES $42.16SUP $34.65$38.292026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-172026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

HASI Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 HASI Butterfly Map → + Track HASI →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
19.7%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +4.4% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on HASI today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for HASI. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for HASI today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (HASI)

Financials Rank #453 of 1096 ⚔️ MAIN vs HASI Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (HASI vs. MAIN, KYN, CET, BCAT)

Industry: Finance/Investors Services (37 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, HA Sustainable Infrastructure Capital Inc. (HASI) ranks #453 by composite RQD confidence (58/100, grade D+) and #278 by equity capitalization ($4.78B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, MAIN leads on earnings valuation at 10.6x trailing P/E, while MAIN leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 16.5% ROIC and — gross margin. HASI currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 58/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
HASI ACTIVE
HA Sustainable Infrastructure Capital Inc.
D+ 58/100 26.1x — 6.9% +2.88% $4.78B Benchmark Subject
MAIN
Main Street Capital Corporation
D- 43/100 10.6x — 16.5% +1.88% $5.17B /main-vs-hasi →
KYN
Kayne Anderson Energy Infrastructure Fund Inc.
D+ 58/100 — — — -3.71% $2.02B /kyn-vs-hasi →
CET
Central Securities Corporation
D 51/100 — — — +0.99% $13.46B /cet-vs-hasi →
BCAT
BlackRock Capital Allocation Term Trust of
D 44/100 — — — -1.16% $1.49B /bcat-vs-hasi →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001561894 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), HA Sustainable Infrastructure Capital Inc. (HASI) reported GAAP revenue of $400.5M (+4.4% vs. FY2024 revenue of $383.6M , and +25.2% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $184.5M, operating cash flow of $167.3M, and free cash flow of $167.3M (+2759.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, HASI closed FY2025 with $8.19B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $400.5M $184.5M $167.3M $167.3M $8.19B —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $383.6M $200.0M $5.9M $5.9M $7.08B —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $319.9M $148.8M $99.7M $99.7M — —

3. HASI Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is HASI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, HA Sustainable Infrastructure Capital Inc. (NYSE: HASI) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 58/100 at a spot price of $38.29 (+2.88% 1D, market cap $4.78B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 13/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, HASI ranks #453 in composite RQD confidence.

How does HASI compare to MAIN and KYN in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Finance/Investors Services), HASI carries a Roarable D+ (58/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 26.1x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 6.9%. By comparison, MAIN (Main Street Capital Corporation) holds a D- grade (43/100 RQD, P/E 10.6x, ROIC 16.5%, cap $5.17B) and KYN (Kayne Anderson Energy Infrastructure Fund Inc.) posts a D+ grade (58/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $2.02B). Among the 5-stock peer group, MAIN leads on earnings multiple (10.6x) while MAIN leads on capital efficiency (16.5% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for HASI?

Per HASI's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001561894), HA Sustainable Infrastructure Capital Inc. generated $400.5M in revenue (+4.4% YoY), $184.5M in net income, and $167.3M in free cash flow against $8.19B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is HASI trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

HASI last traded at $38.29 (+2.88% on volume of 1,353,335 shares), positioning the stock +2.74% above its 50-day simple moving average ($37.27) and +0.37% above its 200-day simple moving average ($38.15). Across its 52-week range of $27.28 to $44.13, HASI sits at the 65.3% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 54.2 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±4.0% ($36.76 to $39.82).

Direct Sub-Reports: HASI RQD Cockpit HASI 12M Forecast HASI Earnings & Move HASI Dividends & DRIP HASI Insiders & 13F HASI Whale Options HASI Profit Sankey HASI News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 58/100 (D+) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

HASI — HA Sustainable Infrastructure Capital Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

HA Sustainable Infrastructure Capital Inc. (HASI) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 58/100, corresponding to a D+ letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $38.29 (+2.88% 1D, market capitalization $4.78B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (13/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 6.9%, gross margin of —, operating margin of —, and free cash flow yield of 3.47%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (11/20) + Insider Conviction (13/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (8/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (13/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of 4/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

HA Sustainable Infrastructure Capital Inc. (HASI) is listed on the NYSE and classified in the Financials sector, Finance/Investors Services industry,..8B.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), HA Sustainable Infrastructure Capital Inc. (HASI) reported $400.5M in annual revenue (up from $383.6M in FY2024, +4.4% YoY) and $184.5M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($319.9M revenue, $148.8M net income) through FY2025, HASI scaled operating cash flow to $167.3M and free cash flow to $167.3M, backed by $8.19B in total assets against $0 in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (D+ • RQD 58/100): Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of 3.47% and institutional whale pillar of 11/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 13/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 11/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $27.28 – $44.13 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Investors must weigh 26.1x trailing P/E against — operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

The source data therefore does not establish upstream suppliers, downstream customers, or sector-correlation chains..0 is the only quantified sensitivity indicator.

  • Key Question #1: Can HASI sustain or expand its — operating margin and 6.9% ROIC against Finance/Investors Services peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $400.5M and free cash flow of $167.3M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is HASI's 24.3x forward P/E multiple to Financials capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

HASI Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for HA Sustainable Infrastructure Capital Inc. (HASI) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to HASI Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

HASI Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $38.29?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON HASI 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on HASI:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
CA CashFlowKing RQD DEBATE OPENER • FCF Compounder Hunter 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $47.64 (+28.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Macro Regime Fit scores 16 of 20, the highest RQD pillar, supported by a Beta of 1.0 that aligns the stock with broad market movement.

Picked up a starter position in HASI in my $100K Virtual Cash book at $37.22. Macro Regime Fit scores 16 of 20, the highest RQD pillar, supported by a Beta of 1.0 that aligns the stock with broad market movement.. Trading inside a $27.28–$44.13 52-week range with 3.47% FCF yield gives solid downside support if Finance/Investors Services multiples expand this quarter.

VolSurface_Trader 🐂 BULL

Both sides have a point here — HASI's 13/20 balance sheet score keeps downside contained, so the real swing factor next earnings call is backlog and FCF conversion.

RE RedlineAuditor RQD DEBATE OPENER • Accounting Quality Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $30.52 (-18.0%)
Spot @ $37.22

ROIC of 6.9% and FCF yield of 3.47% leave the cash engine mid-range (13 of 20) despite a P/E of 26.1 on the market data.

ROIC of 6.9% and FCF yield of 3.47% leave the cash engine mid-range (13 of 20) despite a P/E of 26.1 on the market data.. Look at the math on HASI: paying 26.1x trailing P/E for 6.9% ROIC and 0.0% operating margins leaves zero margin of safety if Finance/Investors Services demand softens. I'd wait for a retest of $32.75 before getting long.

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