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Goldman Sachs BDC Inc. (GSBD) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$8.92 -0.11% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $8.90

Goldman Sachs BDC Inc. (GSBD) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 52/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $1.01B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on GSBD Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is GSBD stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Goldman Sachs BDC Inc. (NYSE: GSBD) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 52/100 at a spot price of $8.92 (-0.11% 1D, market cap $1.01B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 12/20. Across 1097 tracked Financials issuers, GSBD ranks #595 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does GSBD compare to RPC and ETW in the Financials sector?
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Within the Financials sector (Investment Managers), GSBD carries a Roarable D+ (52/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 8.6x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 8.4%. By comparison, RPC (Ridgepost Capital Inc. (Class A)) holds a D+ grade (57/100 RQD, P/E 52.5x, ROIC 13.8%, cap $1.02B) and ETW (Eaton Vance Corporation Eaton Vance Tax-Managed Global Buy-Write Opportunites Fund of) posts a D grade (44/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $1.02B). Among the 5-stock peer group, GSBD leads on earnings multiple (8.6x) while RPC leads on capital efficiency (13.8% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for GSBD?
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Per GSBD's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001572694), Goldman Sachs BDC Inc. generated $1.42B in revenue (-6.1% YoY), $119.3M in net income, and $325.7M in free cash flow against $3.38B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $8.90 (-0.21%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 14/20 (B-) • 22.9% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 52/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-1.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 50.1% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+
025507510052
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk D
Cash (14)Whales (7)SEC (13)Macro (6)CEO (12)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-2.7% Base Target
$11 Bull$9 Base$7 Bear
📬 FREE GSBD RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for GSBD)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±5.2%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (52/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY GSBD SCORES 52/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+14/20 pts (27% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 22.9% FCF Margin ($325.7M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (25% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 5/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit6/20 pts (-14 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (49.1) create a -14 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
44
Grade D$8.74-2.3% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
47
Grade D$8.54+2.7% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
49
Grade D$8.77+1.7% Next Q
Current
52
Grade D+$8.92-1.1% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: D (44) → D+ (52)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a GSBD Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While GSBD currently carries a cautious 52/100 (D+) rating due to Macro Regime Fit (6/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($9.32) and Max Pain ($9.37) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $10.90.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $GSBD• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “GSBD Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 52%NO 48%Trade / Inspect Odds →
INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your GSBD Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $8.92: 1121.1 sh
$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000
12M Bear Case FloorTarget $6.77
$7,590
$-2,410 (-24.1%)
12M Consensus BaseTarget $8.68
$9,731
$-269 (-2.7%)
12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $10.90
$12,220
+$2,220 (+22.2%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (32 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100
● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 6
Wall Street FirmStance12M Target1Y AccuracyTrack Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity DeskHOLD$974%A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage LeadUNDERPERFORM$1069%B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap ResearchSELL$858%C
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring GSBD)

  • ✓Walkthrough of GSBD's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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GSBD // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -11.16%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-03O $9.06H $9.06L $8.92C $8.92VOL 810.1K
RES: $11.03SUP: $8.46SMA50: $9.32SMA200: $9.26
$10.52$9.93$9.34$8.76$8.17RES $11.03SUP $8.46$8.922026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

GSBD Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 GSBD Butterfly Map → + Track GSBD →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
-4.1%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -6.1% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on GSBD today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for GSBD. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for GSBD today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (GSBD)

Financials Rank #595 of 1097 ⚔️ RPC vs GSBD Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (GSBD vs. RPC, ETW, FMN, OXLC)

Industry: Investment Managers (79 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1097 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Goldman Sachs BDC Inc. (GSBD) ranks #595 by composite RQD confidence (52/100, grade D+) and #552 by equity capitalization ($1.01B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, GSBD leads on earnings valuation at 8.6x trailing P/E, while RPC leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 13.8% ROIC and — gross margin. RPC currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 57/100 (D+) compared with GSBD at 52/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
GSBD ACTIVE
Goldman Sachs BDC Inc.
D+ 52/100 8.6x — 8.4% -0.11% $1.01B Benchmark Subject
RPC
Ridgepost Capital Inc. (Class A)
D+ 57/100 52.5x — 13.8% +4.23% $1.02B /rpc-vs-gsbd →
ETW
Eaton Vance Corporation Eaton Vance Tax-Managed Global Buy-Write Opportunites Fund of
D 44/100 — — — -0.43% $1.02B /etw-vs-gsbd →
FMN
Federated Hermes Premier Municipal Income Fund
D 47/100 — — — +0.10% $905.7M /fmn-vs-gsbd →
OXLC
Oxford Lane Capital Corp.
D- 43/100 — — — +1.09% $1.12B /oxlc-vs-gsbd →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001572694 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Goldman Sachs BDC Inc. (GSBD) reported GAAP revenue of $1.42B (-6.1% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.51B , and +24.4% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $119.3M, operating cash flow of $325.7M, and free cash flow of $325.7M (+13155.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, GSBD closed FY2025 with $3.38B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $1.42B $119.3M $325.7M $325.7M $3.38B —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $1.51B $62.9M $2.5M $2.5M $3.60B —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $1.14B $195.9M $300.7M $300.7M — —

3. GSBD Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is GSBD stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Goldman Sachs BDC Inc. (NYSE: GSBD) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 52/100 at a spot price of $8.92 (-0.11% 1D, market cap $1.01B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 12/20. Across 1097 tracked Financials issuers, GSBD ranks #595 in composite RQD confidence.

How does GSBD compare to RPC and ETW in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Investment Managers), GSBD carries a Roarable D+ (52/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 8.6x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 8.4%. By comparison, RPC (Ridgepost Capital Inc. (Class A)) holds a D+ grade (57/100 RQD, P/E 52.5x, ROIC 13.8%, cap $1.02B) and ETW (Eaton Vance Corporation Eaton Vance Tax-Managed Global Buy-Write Opportunites Fund of) posts a D grade (44/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $1.02B). Among the 5-stock peer group, GSBD leads on earnings multiple (8.6x) while RPC leads on capital efficiency (13.8% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for GSBD?

Per GSBD's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001572694), Goldman Sachs BDC Inc. generated $1.42B in revenue (-6.1% YoY), $119.3M in net income, and $325.7M in free cash flow against $3.38B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is GSBD trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

GSBD last traded at $8.92 (-0.11% on volume of 653,422 shares), positioning the stock -4.29% below its 50-day simple moving average ($9.32) and -3.67% below its 200-day simple moving average ($9.26). Across its 52-week range of $8.35 to $10.38, GSBD sits at the 28.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 49.1 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±5.2% ($8.46 to $9.38).

Direct Sub-Reports: GSBD RQD Cockpit GSBD 12M Forecast GSBD Earnings & Move GSBD Dividends & DRIP GSBD Insiders & 13F GSBD Whale Options GSBD Profit Sankey GSBD News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 52/100 (D+) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

GSBD — Goldman Sachs BDC Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Goldman Sachs BDC Inc. (GSBD) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 52/100, corresponding to a D+ letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $8.92 (-0.11% 1D, market capitalization $1.01B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (14/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 8.4%, gross margin of —, operating margin of —, and free cash flow yield of —.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (7/20) + Insider Conviction (12/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (6/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (13/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of 5/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Goldman Sachs BDC Inc. (GSBD) is a NYSE-listed operating company in the Investment Managers industry (Financials sector) with an equity market capitalization of $1.01B. The business operates with a gross margin of 0%, an operating margin of 0%, and a return on invested capital (ROIC) of 8.4% (free cash flow yield of 0%). Within the Investment Managers peer group, investor evaluation centers on operating leverage, unit margin durability, and capital allocation efficiency across market cycles.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Goldman Sachs BDC Inc. (GSBD) reported $1.42B in annual revenue (up from $1.51B in FY2024, -6.1% YoY) and $119.3M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($1.14B revenue, $195.9M net income) through FY2025, GSBD scaled operating cash flow to $325.7M and free cash flow to $325.7M, backed by $3.38B in total assets against $0 in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (D+ • RQD 52/100): Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of — and institutional whale pillar of 7/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 14/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 7/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $8.35 – $10.38 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. Investors must weigh 8.6x trailing P/E against — operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Operating in Investment Managers (Financials), GSBD carries a macro regime beta of 1.00 and gross margin of —.

  • Key Question #1: Can GSBD sustain or expand its — operating margin and 8.4% ROIC against Investment Managers peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $1.42B and free cash flow of $325.7M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is GSBD's 8.0x forward P/E multiple to Financials capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

GSBD Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Goldman Sachs BDC Inc. (GSBD) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to GSBD Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

GSBD Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $8.92?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON GSBD 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on GSBD:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
SI SiliconVal_Bull RQD DEBATE OPENER • Growth & Tech Investor 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $11.16 (+25.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Net income reported at $119.3M in FY 2025 and FCF of $325.7M, with a forward P/E of 8 versus a trailing P/E of 8.6.

Don't sleep on GSBD's setup in Financials. Net income reported at $119.3M in FY 2025 and FCF of $325.7M, with a forward P/E of 8 versus a trailing P/E of 8.6.. Beta of 1.0 means it moves fast when momentum turns, and the 5-pillar RQD gauge (52/100) backs up the fundamental quality.

RetailWhale_TX 🐂 BULL

@ShortSeller_Dan Shorting a 7/20 institutional whale-flow stock at $8.93 is dangerous when funds are rotating into Financials.

SH ShortSeller_Dan RQD DEBATE OPENER • Forensic Short Bias 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $7.41 (-17.0%)
Spot @ $8.93

The RQD rating of 52 (D+, Roarable Sell) is weighed down by a Macro Regime Fit score of 6/20 and a Whale 13F Flow score of 7/20, with a

Fading this rally in GSBD at $8.93. The RQD rating of 52 (D+, Roarable Sell) is weighed down by a Macro Regime Fit score of 6/20 and a Whale 13F Flow score of 7/20, with a 0% FCF yield.. With a beta of 1.0 and the stock sitting at $8.93 (52-wk range $8.35–$10.38), the easy multiple expansion is already priced in.

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