Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / GPN / options

TCOM (53) BR (77) FISV (57) CPAY (65) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Global Payments Inc. (GPN) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$96.84 +12.97% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $98.92

Global Payments Inc. (GPN) carries a Roarable Rating of C- (Hold) with 61/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 61/100 (C-) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE C- • HOLD / WATCH Cap $22.68B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is GPN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-02, Global Payments Inc. (NYSE: GPN) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 61/100 at a spot price of $96.84 (+12.97% 1D, market cap $22.68B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 17/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, GPN ranks #313 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does GPN compare to TCOM and BR in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Business Services), GPN carries a Roarable C- (61/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 16.2x, gross margin of 72.6%, and ROIC of 5.1%. By comparison, TCOM (Trip.com Group Limited) holds a D+ grade (53/100 RQD, P/E 5.1x, ROIC 8.8%, cap $24.28B) and BR (Broadridge Financial Solutions Inc.) posts a B+ grade (77/100 RQD, P/E 24.0x, ROIC 18.1%, cap $20.11B). Among the 5-stock peer group, TCOM leads on earnings multiple (5.1x) while CPAY leads on capital efficiency (23.2% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for GPN?

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Per GPN's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001123360), Global Payments Inc. generated $7.71B in revenue (-0.4% YoY), $1.40B in net income, and $2.31B in free cash flow against $53.34B in total assets and $13.30B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $98.91 (+2.14%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 9/20 (D) • 30% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 61/100 (C-) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 53.9% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C-

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C · Rk D+

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+1.4% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for GPN)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±7.7%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (61/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY GPN SCORES 61/100 (C-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+17/20 pts (28% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 85% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+13/20 pts (21% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 89% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 51.2 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Cash Engine Quality9/20 pts (-11 pt drag)

Capital intensity & 22.8% operating margin leave 11 pts on the table

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C-$81.88+3.6% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C$84.82-4% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C$81.43+18.9% Next Q

Current

Grade C-$96.84+0.5% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C- (53) → C- (61)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the GPN Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 61/100 (C-) score, GPN faces multiple-compression risk if 16.2x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 70.1% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($85.97) or 200D SMA ($77.03) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($98.15) toward Bear Floor ($76.56).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $GPN• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “GPN Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 61%NO 39%Trade / Inspect Odds →

CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE

— (No Active Options Snapshot)

Put/Call Ratio: — (No Active Options Snapshot)

MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET

— (No Active Options Snapshot)

No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file

HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING

±7.7%

Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (GPN)

— (No Active Options Snapshot) — No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for GPN.

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Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating GPN & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

✓Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on GPN
✓How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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GPN // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +34.87%▲ ASCENDING CHANNEL

2026-11-02O $83.55H $96.84L $83.55C $96.84VOL 2.32M

RES: $101.5SUP: $81.67SMA50: $85.97SMA200: $77.03

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

GPN Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 GPN Butterfly Map → + Track GPN →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.8%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -0.4% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on GPN today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for GPN. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for GPN today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (GPN)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #313 of 1011 ⚔️ TCOM vs GPN Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (GPN vs. TCOM, BR, FISV, CPAY)

Industry: Business Services (90 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Global Payments Inc. (GPN) ranks #313 by composite RQD confidence (61/100, grade C-) and #89 by equity capitalization ($22.68B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, TCOM leads on earnings valuation at 5.1x trailing P/E, while CPAY leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 23.2% ROIC and — gross margin. BR currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 77/100 (B+) compared with GPN at 61/100 (C-).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
GPN ACTIVE Global Payments Inc.	C-	61/100	16.2x	72.6%	5.1%	+12.97%	$22.68B	Benchmark Subject
TCOM Trip.com Group Limited	D+	53/100	5.1x	80.6%	8.8%	+2.67%	$24.28B	/tcom-vs-gpn →
BR Broadridge Financial Solutions Inc.	B+	77/100	24.0x	31.0%	18.1%	+0.38%	$20.11B	/br-vs-gpn →
FISV Fiserv Inc.	D+	57/100	7.4x	—	9.6%	+3.18%	$25.78B	/fisv-vs-gpn →
CPAY Corpay Inc.	C	65/100	24.4x	—	23.2%	+0.75%	$26.13B	/cpay-vs-gpn →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001123360

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Global Payments Inc. (GPN) reported GAAP revenue of $7.71B (-0.4% vs. FY2024 revenue of $7.74B , and +4.4% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $1.40B, operating cash flow of $2.66B, and free cash flow of $2.31B (-14.7% YoY). On the balance sheet, GPN closed FY2025 with $53.34B in total assets against $13.30B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.99, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$7.71B	$1.40B	$2.66B	$2.31B	$53.34B	$13.30B
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$7.74B	$1.57B	$3.06B	$2.71B	$46.89B	$10.74B
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$7.38B	$986.2M	$2.55B	$2.22B	$12.48B	$2.92B

3. GPN Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is GPN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does GPN compare to TCOM and BR in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for GPN?

Where is GPN trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

GPN last traded at $96.84 (+12.97% on volume of 16,726,747 shares), positioning the stock +12.64% above its 50-day simple moving average ($85.97) and +25.72% above its 200-day simple moving average ($77.03). Across its 52-week range of $61.16 to $101.32, GPN sits at the 88.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 51.2 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±7.7% ($89.38 to $104.30).

GPN Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is GPN's options positioning and volatility profile?

Roarable tracks verified CBOE unusual options sweeps, put/call ratios, and OHLCV realized volatility bands for GPN.

Direct Sub-Reports: GPN RQD Cockpit GPN 12M Forecast GPN Earnings & Move GPN Dividends & DRIP GPN Insiders & 13F GPN Whale Options GPN Profit Sankey GPN News & Why

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 61/100 (C-) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

GPN — Global Payments Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5

As of: 2026-11-02T15:13:16Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, GPN scores 61 out of 100, graded C- as a "Roarable Hold — Cautious Neutral." The five pillars are:

Fundamental Cash Engine: 9 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar reflects ROIC of 5.1% and an FCF yield of 10.18%. Per the market data, ROIC is modest, while the FCF yield is high. For a prospective investor, this suggests the company generates substantial free cash relative to its market value, but the return on invested capital is low, so cash generation is not translating efficiently into returns on the capital base.
Whale 13F Flow: 12 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar captures institutional accumulation and options positioning. The source data contains no 13F holdings detail, so the basis for this score cannot be independently verified from the provided material. Investors should treat this pillar as moderately supportive but unconfirmed.
Insider Conviction: 17 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this is the strongest pillar, reflecting SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. The underlying transactions are not itemized in the source data, so the direction and size of insider activity should be verified before weighting this signal heavily.
Macro Regime Fit: 13 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating and market data, beta is 1.09, indicating slightly above-market sensitivity to broad moves. For a prospective investor, this implies the stock is likely to move somewhat more than the market in either direction.
Forensic Balance Sheet: 10 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 0.99, the Piotroski F-Score is 7/9, and Debt/Equity is 0.54. The low Altman Z-Score is a distress-zone reading that tempers the otherwise solid Piotroski result, so balance-sheet strength should be weighed with caution.

Investor implications. Upside drivers in the data include the high FCF yield and the strong insider-conviction pillar. Valuation is a tradeoff: per the market data, the P/E (TTM) is 16.2 and forward P/E is 15.1, which is not extreme, but the 22.8% operating margin and 5.1% ROIC indicate that earnings quality relative to capital deployed is a central question. The 52-week range of $61.16 to $101.32 and the current price of $85.72 place the stock in the upper-middle portion of its recent band. The overall verdict is cautious neutral, consistent with a mixed set of strengths and balance-sheet concerns.

Snapshot

Price	Market Cap	P/E (TTM)	Forward P/E	EV/EBITDA	EPS (TTM)	Dividend Yield	Beta	52-Wk Range	ROIC %
$85.72	$22.68B	16.2	15.1	13.1	5.29	1.05%	1.09	$61.16 - $101.32	5.1%

Business

Global Payments Inc. (GPN) is a NYSE-listed issuer classified under the Consumer Discretionary sector and the Business Services industry, per the company profile. The source data does not describe its products, customer segments, or revenue model beyond this classification. Revenue and margin figures are reported in the financial and market sections below.

Financial Trend

Period	Revenue	Operating Income	Net Income	EPS	FCF	Cash	Debt
FY 2025	$7705.9M	$1754.6M	$1400.1M	N/A	$2309.8M	$8336.4M	$13301.6M
FY 2024	$7736.0M	$1974.5M	$1570.4M	N/A	$2709.5M	$2356.5M	$10743.2M
FY 2023	$7379.8M	$1315.6M	$986.2M	N/A	$2217.7M	N/A	$2919.3M

Per the market data, gross margin is 72.6%, operating margin 22.8%, and net margin 18.2%, with ROIC at 5.1%. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 0.99 and the Piotroski F-Score is 7/9. Per the financials, total debt rose from $2919.3M in FY 2023 to $13301.6M in FY 2025, while reported cash moved from N/A to $8336.4M over the same span. Debt/Equity is 0.54 per the Roarable RQD rating.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

The news wire contains six items, all tagged to GPN, with the following headlines and impact labels:

A Yahoo Finance report states that the stock "Looks Fully Priced On Current Earnings" (Market Wire, YELLOW).
An Investing.com report states that Global Payments "jumps 12% on report of potential $40 billion buyout" (Catalyst, GREEN).
A MarketWatch report describes the stock as outperforming competitors on a strong trading day (Catalyst, GREEN).
A Cassandra Unchained | Michael Burry report links a buyout report to payments-sector stock movement (Catalyst, GREEN).
A Seeking Alpha report states that the stock "surges on report CD&R pursuing takeover" (Catalyst, GREEN).
A Yahoo Finance report references a fair-value upgrade (Catalyst, GREEN).

Risk watch item: the YELLOW-tagged report questions valuation on current earnings, which conflicts with the buyout-driven catalysts. Proprietary signals: none are listed in the Butterfly graph. Per the market data, the stock's 2.6% change and volume of 2,322,946 are consistent with the reported price action, though the source data does not itemize the buyout rumor's terms beyond the headline figure.

Open Questions

What is the verified status and terms of the reported buyout interest, and does the $40 billion figure appear in any filing?
What drives the gap between the 22.8% operating margin and the 5.1% ROIC, and how much of the invested capital is goodwill or acquisition-related?
What explains the jump in total debt from $2919.3M in FY 2023 to $13301.6M in FY 2025, and how is it serviced given the 0.99 Altman Z-Score?
Which specific SEC Form 4 and Congressional trades drive the Insider Conviction pillar, and in what direction?
Why are EPS figures reported as N/A for all three periods, given that TTM EPS is listed at 5.29?

GPN Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Global Payments Inc. (GPN) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to GPN Debate Forum (3) ↓

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 8h ago

Global Payments (GPN) Stock Looks Fully Priced On Current Earnings

Yahoo Finance report covering Global Payments Inc. (GPN) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟢 CATALYST Investing.com • 11h ago

Global Payments jumps 12% on report of potential $40 billion buyout

Investing.com report covering Global Payments Inc. (GPN) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟢 CATALYST MarketWatch • 14h ago

Global Payments Inc. stock outperforms competitors on strong trading day

MarketWatch report covering Global Payments Inc. (GPN) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟢 CATALYST Cassandra Unchained | Michael Burry • 17h ago

Trading Post November 2, 2026: Global Payments Buyout Report Juices Payments Stocks, The Retail Trade, Hong Kong Calling Once Again

Cassandra Unchained | Michael Burry report covering Global Payments Inc. (GPN) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟢 CATALYST Seeking Alpha • 20h ago

Global Payments surges on report CD&R pursuing takeover (GPN:NYSE)

Seeking Alpha report covering Global Payments Inc. (GPN) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟢 CATALYST Yahoo Finance • 23h ago

Global Payments (GPN) Upgrade Puts Fair Value Back In Focus

Yahoo Finance report covering Global Payments Inc. (GPN) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟢 CATALYST Investing.com • 1d ago

KeyBanc upgrades Global Payments stock rating on capital return outlook

Investing.com report covering Global Payments Inc. (GPN) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟢 CATALYST Yahoo Finance • 1d ago

Will Global Payments (GPN) Beat Estimates Again in Its Next Earnings Report?

Yahoo Finance report covering Global Payments Inc. (GPN) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

GPN Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $96.84?

🐂 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON GPN 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION

RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk ⚖️ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $92.58 (+8.0%)

📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is GPN (C- • RQD 61/100) a Buy at $85.72?

Welcome to the GPN (Global Payments Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 61/100 (Roarable Hold — Cautious Neutral) in Business Services. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

MU MultipleCompression Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $66.86 (-22.0%)

Spot @ $85.72

Pump the brakes on GPN — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on GPN, but look at what you are paying: 16.2x trailing P/E with 72.6% gross margins. Unless Global Payments Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

DE DeltaGamma_99 Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $98.58 (+15.0%)

Spot @ $85.72

GPN cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on GPN, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Business Services and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $85.72 (52-wk range $61.16 - $101.32), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.