GlobalFoundries Inc. (GFS) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$41.90 -8.61% NASDAQ β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $41.17

GlobalFoundries Inc. (GFS) carries a Roarable Rating of C- (Hold) with 60/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C- β€’ HOLD / WATCH Cap $25.56B
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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πŸ€– Mara Quenwick β€’ AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is GFS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
β–Ό

As of 2026-11-02, GlobalFoundries Inc. (NASDAQ: GFS) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 60/100 at a spot price of $41.90 (-8.61% 1D, market cap $25.56B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, Executive Insider Alignment 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, GFS ranks #229 in composite RQD confidence.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does GFS compare to Q and CBRS in the Technology sector?
β–Ό

Within the Technology sector (Semiconductors), GFS carries a Roarable C- (60/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 21.7x, gross margin of β€”, and ROIC of 14.9%. By comparison, Q (Qnity Electronics Inc.) holds a D+ grade (55/100 RQD, P/E 35.2x, ROIC 7.8%, cap $25.66B) and CBRS (Cerebras Systems Inc.) posts a C+ grade (66/100 RQD, P/E 21.7x, ROIC 58.3%, cap $27.36B). Among the 5-stock peer group, GFS leads on earnings multiple (21.7x) while CBRS leads on capital efficiency (58.3% ROIC).

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for GFS?
β–Ό

For GlobalFoundries Inc. (GFS), key quantitative strengths include Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. and Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs., while primary risk factors center on Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. and implied 5-year growth hurdle of 15.4%/yr. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $41.17 (-1.74%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 13/20 (C) β€’ 25.5% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record: Scores of 60/100 (C-) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 53.5% hit rate β€” wait for RQD β‰₯ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH β€’ C-
025507510060
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C- Β· Rk C-
Cash (13)Whales (7)SEC (16)Macro (8)CEO (16)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+0.9% Base Target
$97 Bull$42 Base$33 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE GFS RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for GFS)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±10.3%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (60/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY GFS SCORES 60/100 (C-) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+16/20 pts (27% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.87 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) β€’ Piotroski F-Score 8/9

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+16/20 pts (27% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 80% Net Buy β€’ Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning7/20 pts (-13 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-13 pts vs max)

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
68
Grade B-$46.70+0.7% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
65
Grade C+$47.01-0.7% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
63
Grade C+$46.70-10.3% Next Q
Current
60
Grade C-$41.90+0.4% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: B- (68) β†’ C- (60)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the GFS Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

Even with a 60/100 (C-) score, GFS faces multiple-compression risk if 21.7x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares) β€” any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($46.43) or 200D SMA ($55.22) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($42.28) toward Bear Floor ($32.98).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $GFSβ€’ $4.8M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œGFS Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”
CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE
β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
Put/Call Ratio: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET
β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file
HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING
Β±10.3%
Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (GFS)

β€” (No Active Options Snapshot) β€” No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for GFS.

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Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating GFS & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

  • βœ“Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on GFS
  • βœ“How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
  • βœ“Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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GFS // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -38.15%πŸ›‘οΈ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-02O $46.11H $46.11L $41.90C $41.90VOL 2.85M
RES: $49.44SUP: $40.71SMA50: $46.43SMA200: $55.22
$96.22$81.01$65.80$50.59$35.38RES $49.44SUP $40.71$41.902026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

GFS Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
15.4%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +23.1% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on GFS today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for GFS. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for GFS today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (GFS)

Technology Rank #229 of 714 βš”οΈ Q vs GFS Full Matrix β†’

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (GFS vs. Q, CBRS, ON, TSEM)

Industry: Semiconductors (95 Tracked Issuers)

Across 714 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, GlobalFoundries Inc. (GFS) ranks #229 by composite RQD confidence (60/100, grade C-) and #98 by equity capitalization ($25.56B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, GFS leads on earnings valuation at 21.7x trailing P/E, while CBRS leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 58.3% ROIC and β€” gross margin. CBRS currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 66/100 (C+) compared with GFS at 60/100 (C-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
GFS ACTIVE
GlobalFoundries Inc.
C- 60/100 21.7x β€” 14.9% -8.61% $25.56B Benchmark Subject
Q
Qnity Electronics Inc.
D+ 55/100 35.2x 46.2% 7.8% -4.88% $25.66B /q-vs-gfs β†’
CBRS
Cerebras Systems Inc.
C+ 66/100 21.7x β€” 58.3% -5.19% $27.36B /cbrs-vs-gfs β†’
ON
ON Semiconductor Corporation
D+ 54/100 β€” 33.1% 0.8% -4.74% $29.29B /on-vs-gfs β†’
TSEM
Tower Semiconductor Ltd.
D 47/100 96.3x 23.2% 5.4% -11.41% $21.24B /tsem-vs-gfs β†’

2. GFS Fundamental Profitability, Capital Efficiency & Balance-Sheet Forensics

TRAILING 12M & FORWARD QUANTITATIVE SNAPSHOT

GlobalFoundries Inc. (GFS) operates in Semiconductors (Technology) with an equity capitalization of $25.56B, trailing P/E of 21.7x, forward P/E of 18.2x, and EV/EBITDA of 14.9x. Operating profitability registers a gross margin of β€”, operating margin of 21.1%, net profit margin of 16.4%, ROIC of 14.9%, and free cash flow yield of 3.99%, alongside an Altman Z-Score of 3.87 and Piotroski F-Score of 8/9.

3. GFS Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is GFS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, GlobalFoundries Inc. (NASDAQ: GFS) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 60/100 at a spot price of $41.90 (-8.61% 1D, market cap $25.56B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, Executive Insider Alignment 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, GFS ranks #229 in composite RQD confidence.

How does GFS compare to Q and CBRS in the Technology sector?

Within the Technology sector (Semiconductors), GFS carries a Roarable C- (60/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 21.7x, gross margin of β€”, and ROIC of 14.9%. By comparison, Q (Qnity Electronics Inc.) holds a D+ grade (55/100 RQD, P/E 35.2x, ROIC 7.8%, cap $25.66B) and CBRS (Cerebras Systems Inc.) posts a C+ grade (66/100 RQD, P/E 21.7x, ROIC 58.3%, cap $27.36B). Among the 5-stock peer group, GFS leads on earnings multiple (21.7x) while CBRS leads on capital efficiency (58.3% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for GFS?

For GlobalFoundries Inc. (GFS), key quantitative strengths include Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. and Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs., while primary risk factors center on Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity. and implied 5-year growth hurdle of 15.4%/yr. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is GFS trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

GFS last traded at $41.90 (-8.61% on volume of 5,311,171 shares), positioning the stock -9.76% below its 50-day simple moving average ($46.43) and -24.12% below its 200-day simple moving average ($55.22). Across its 52-week range of $32.02 to $92.55, GFS sits at the 16.3% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 48.3 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±10.3% ($37.58 to $46.22).

GFS Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS β€’ SEC EDGAR Γ— CBOE Γ— FRED

What is GFS's options positioning and volatility profile?

Roarable tracks verified CBOE unusual options sweeps, put/call ratios, and OHLCV realized volatility bands for GFS.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 60/100 (C-) βœ“ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

GFS β€” GlobalFoundries Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T14:09:25Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, GFS scores 60 out of 100, a letter grade of C-, labeled "Roarable Hold β€” Cautious Neutral." The five pillars are:

  • Fundamental Cash Engine: 13 / 20. Per the RQD rating, this pillar reflects ROIC of 14.9% and an FCF yield of 3.99%. Returns on capital are positive, but the cash yield at the current price is modest, which limits the margin of safety on valuation.
  • Whale 13F Flow: 7 / 20. Per the RQD rating, institutional accumulation and options positioning score weakly. For a prospective investor, this suggests large-holder conviction is not a current tailwind.
  • Insider Conviction: 16 / 20. Per the RQD rating, SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow is the strongest pillar. This is a relative bright spot, though the underlying transaction detail is not provided in the source data.
  • Macro Regime Fit: 8 / 20. Per the RQD rating, beta of 1.3 and sector sensitivity score weakly. The stock is expected to move more than the market in either direction, which increases exposure to macro risk-off episodes.
  • Forensic Balance Sheet: 16 / 20. Per the RQD rating, Altman Z of 3.87, Piotroski F of 8/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.39 indicate a comparatively healthy balance sheet. This is the most supportive pillar for downside resilience.

Investor implications: the upside drivers in the data are the balance sheet strength, insider flow, and capital returns (ROIC 14.9%). The valuation tradeoff is that the stock trades at a trailing P/E of 21.7 and an EV/EBITDA of 14.9, while the FCF yield of 3.99% is not especially high. Weak institutional flow and high beta point to a stock where the timing of entry matters. The rating's "Hold" verdict reflects a mix of solid fundamentals and weak positioning and macro fit rather than a strong directional call.

Snapshot

PriceMarket CapP/E (TTM)Forward P/EEV/EBITDAEPS (TTM)Dividend YieldBeta52-Wk RangeROIC %
45.85$25.56B21.718.214.92.110%1.3$32.02 - $92.5514.9%

Open Questions

  • What are GFS's reported revenue, operating income, net income, and cash flow across periods, given that the financials section is empty?
  • What is the source of the 0% gross margin figure, and is it consistent with the reported operating margin of 21.1%?
  • Which specific insider and institutional transactions drive the Insider Conviction and Whale 13F Flow scores?
  • Is the government-funded fab deal signed, and what is its size and timing?
  • What supply-chain dependencies and customer concentrations exist, given the Butterfly graph is empty?

GFS Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for GlobalFoundries Inc. (GFS) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to GFS Debate Forum (3) ↓
πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

GFS Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $41.90?

πŸ‚ 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON GFS 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on GFS:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk βš–οΈ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $49.52 (+8.0%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

πŸ”₯ Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is GFS (C- β€’ RQD 60/100) a Buy at $45.85?

Welcome to the GFS (GlobalFoundries Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 60/100 (Roarable Hold β€” Cautious Neutral) in Semiconductors. Bulls point to capital efficiency (14.9% ROIC), while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (πŸ‚ Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

FO ForensicBear Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $37.60 (-18.0%)
Spot @ $45.85

Pump the brakes on GFS β€” check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on GFS, but look at what you are paying: 21.7x trailing P/E with tightening sector spreads. Unless GlobalFoundries Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

SI SiliconVal_Bull Verified K Arena Trader πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $57.77 (+26.0%)
Spot @ $45.85

GFS cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on GFS, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Semiconductors and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $45.85 (52-wk range $32.02 - $92.55), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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