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Gemini Space Station Inc. (Class A) (GEMI) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$2.66 -7.49% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $2.62

Gemini Space Station Inc. (Class A) (GEMI) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 24/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $376.1M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is GEMI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Gemini Space Station Inc. (Class A) (NASDAQ: GEMI) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 24/100 at a spot price of $2.66 (-7.49% 1D, market cap $376.1M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 6/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 4/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 3/20. Across 1097 tracked Financials issuers, GEMI ranks #1065 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does GEMI compare to TREE and BETR in the Financials sector?
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Within the Financials sector (Finance: Consumer Services), GEMI carries a Roarable E (24/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, TREE (LendingTree Inc.) holds a D grade (50/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 8.6%, cap $392.3M) and BETR (Better Home & Finance Holding Company (Class A)) posts a E grade (31/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $395.9M). Among the 5-stock peer group, CCAP leads on earnings multiple (9.9x) while TREE leads on capital efficiency (8.6% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for GEMI?
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Per GEMI's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0002055592), Gemini Space Station Inc. (Class A) generated $179.6M in revenue (+26.3% YoY), -$582.8M in net income, and -$220.1M in free cash flow against $1.80B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $2.62 (-1.54%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 6/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (24/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-10.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E
025507510024
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk E
Cash (6)Whales (3)SEC (8)Macro (4)CEO (3)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-15.4% Base Target
$19 Bull$2 Base$2 Bear
📬 FREE GEMI RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for GEMI)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (24/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY GEMI SCORES 24/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+8/20 pts (33% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 3/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+6/20 pts (25% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
32
Grade E$4.10-23.7% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
29
Grade E$3.13-1.6% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
27
Grade E$3.08-13.6% Next Q
Current
24
Grade E$2.66-10.9% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: E (32) → E (24)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a GEMI Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While GEMI currently carries a cautious 24/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($4.31) and Max Pain ($2.79) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $19.09.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $GEMI• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “GEMI Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
RSI-14 MOMENTUMOVERSOLD (<32)
31.630 Oversold · 70 Hot
ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)
3.80>3.0 Fortress Safe
PIOTROSKI F-SCOREWEAK QUALITY (1–4)
3 / 99-Pt Accounting
52-WEEK LASER RANGE2% OF RANGE
L: $3$2.66H: $18
1. Money & Cash Health● WEAK
Are profits real cash in the bank?

Weak cash conversion or heavy valuation strain compared to actual cash earned.

Factor Grade: ERQD 6 / 20
2. Big Money & Insiders● TRIMMING
Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Insiders and big institutional desks have been trimming shares rather than stepping up to buy.

Factor Grade: ERQD 6 / 40
3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WARNING
SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

High sensitivity to tight interest rates or new risk warnings added to recent SEC annual filings.

Factor Grade: ERQD 12 / 40
MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning on GEMI

Cash & Moat Bull AI
ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model
BEARISH (30)

-35.0% ROIC with 42.0% gross margin and 2.80% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI
10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard
BEARISH (40)

Altman-Z 4.20 and Piotroski 3/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI
Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq
BEARISH (18)

6/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 4/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like GEMI
  • ✓Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.
Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong
  • !Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.
  • !Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.
  • !Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring GEMI)

  • ✓Walkthrough of GEMI's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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GEMI // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -43.40%▼ SUPPORT BREAKDOWN
2026-11-03O $3.08H $3.08L $2.66C $2.66VOL 1.72M
RES: $6.64SUP: $2.67SMA50: $4.31SMA200: $5.14
$12.57$9.88$7.20$4.51$1.83RES $6.64SUP $2.67$2.662026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

GEMI Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +26.3% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on GEMI today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for GEMI. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for GEMI today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (GEMI)

Financials Rank #1065 of 1097 ⚔️ TREE vs GEMI Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (GEMI vs. TREE, BETR, BRBI, CCAP)

Industry: Finance: Consumer Services (156 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1097 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Gemini Space Station Inc. (Class A) (GEMI) ranks #1065 by composite RQD confidence (24/100, grade E) and #763 by equity capitalization ($376.1M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, CCAP leads on earnings valuation at 9.9x trailing P/E, while TREE leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 8.6% ROIC and — gross margin. CCAP currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 51/100 (D) compared with GEMI at 24/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
GEMI ACTIVE
Gemini Space Station Inc. (Class A)
E 24/100 — — -35.0% -7.49% $376.1M Benchmark Subject
TREE
LendingTree Inc.
D 50/100 — — 8.6% -3.08% $392.3M /tree-vs-gemi →
BETR
Better Home & Finance Holding Company (Class A)
E 31/100 — — -35.0% +0.82% $395.9M /betr-vs-gemi →
BRBI
BRBI BR Partners S.A. ADSs
D 45/100 — — — +3.55% $353.5M /brbi-vs-gemi →
CCAP
Crescent Capital BDC Inc.
D 51/100 9.9x — -11.1% +1.56% $341.6M /ccap-vs-gemi →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0002055592 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Gemini Space Station Inc. (Class A) (GEMI) reported GAAP revenue of $179.6M (+26.3% vs. FY2024 revenue of $142.2M , and +83.0% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$582.8M, operating cash flow of -$218.1M, and free cash flow of -$220.1M (-99.7% YoY). On the balance sheet, GEMI closed FY2025 with $1.80B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $179.6M -$582.8M -$218.1M -$220.1M $1.80B —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $142.2M -$158.5M -$109.0M -$110.2M $1.59B —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $98.1M -$319.7M -$207.3M -$207.3M — —

3. GEMI Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is GEMI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Gemini Space Station Inc. (Class A) (NASDAQ: GEMI) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 24/100 at a spot price of $2.66 (-7.49% 1D, market cap $376.1M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 6/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 4/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 3/20. Across 1097 tracked Financials issuers, GEMI ranks #1065 in composite RQD confidence.

How does GEMI compare to TREE and BETR in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Finance: Consumer Services), GEMI carries a Roarable E (24/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, TREE (LendingTree Inc.) holds a D grade (50/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 8.6%, cap $392.3M) and BETR (Better Home & Finance Holding Company (Class A)) posts a E grade (31/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $395.9M). Among the 5-stock peer group, CCAP leads on earnings multiple (9.9x) while TREE leads on capital efficiency (8.6% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for GEMI?

Per GEMI's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0002055592), Gemini Space Station Inc. (Class A) generated $179.6M in revenue (+26.3% YoY), -$582.8M in net income, and -$220.1M in free cash flow against $1.80B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is GEMI trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

GEMI last traded at $2.66 (-7.49% on volume of 1,438,662 shares), positioning the stock -38.28% below its 50-day simple moving average ($4.31) and -48.25% below its 200-day simple moving average ($5.14). Across its 52-week range of $2.77 to $18.18, GEMI sits at the 0.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 31.6 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($2.33 to $2.99).

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 24/100 (E) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

GEMI — Gemini Space Station Inc. (Class A): What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Gemini Space Station Inc. (Class A) (GEMI) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 24/100, corresponding to a E letter grade (Roarable Strong Sell) at a spot price of $2.66 (-7.49% 1D, market capitalization $376.1M).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (6/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of -35.0%, gross margin of —, operating margin of -60.0%, and free cash flow yield of —.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (3/20) + Insider Conviction (3/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (4/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (8/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of 3/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Gemini Space Station Inc. (Class A) is a NASDAQ-listed company classified in the Financials sector and the Finance: Consumer Services industry..4B. Revenue for FY 2025 was $179.6M .

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Gemini Space Station Inc. (Class A) (GEMI) reported $179.6M in annual revenue (up from $142.2M in FY2024, +26.3% YoY) and -$582.8M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($98.1M revenue, -$319.7M net income) through FY2025, GEMI scaled operating cash flow to -$218.1M and free cash flow to -$220.1M, backed by $1.80B in total assets against $0 in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (E • RQD 24/100): Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of — and institutional whale pillar of 3/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 6/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 3/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $2.77 – $18.18 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation against -60.0% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

The second-order bottlenecks a prospective investor should watch cannot be identified from the provided sources; the one signal available is the card revenue growth cited in the news feed, whose dependencies are not described in source data.

  • Key Question #1: Can GEMI sustain or expand its -60.0% operating margin and -35.0% ROIC against Finance: Consumer Services peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $179.6M and free cash flow of -$220.1M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is GEMI's equity valuation to Financials capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

GEMI Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Gemini Space Station Inc. (Class A) (GEMI) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to GEMI Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

GEMI Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $2.66?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON GEMI 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on GEMI:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
CA CashFlowKing RQD DEBATE OPENER • FCF Compounder Hunter 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $3.62 (+26.1%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Reported revenue grew from $98.1M in FY 2023 to $179.6M in FY 2025 while cash rose to $252.2M, and card revenue growth of 231% is cited

Long GEMI at $2.87 targeting $3.62. Reported revenue grew from $98.1M in FY 2023 to $179.6M in FY 2025 while cash rose to $252.2M, and card revenue growth of 231% is cited in the news feed.. Institutional whale score is 3/20 and the risk/reward vs. the $2.77 52-week low is skewed heavily in favor of bulls.

SectorRotator 🐂 BULL

@CashFlowKing Agree on the RQD 24/100 quality, though with 1.0 beta I'm scaling in with half-size at $2.87 and keeping dry powder in case we test $2.67.

FA FadeTheHype RQD DEBATE OPENER • Contrarian Tape Reader 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $2.30 (-19.9%)
Spot @ $2.87

Operating and net margins are both -60%, ROIC is -35%, FCF was -$220.1M in FY 2025, and the RQD score is 24 with a grade of E.

I respect the product at Gemini Space Station Inc. (Class A), but the stock at $2.87 is a different story. Operating and net margins are both -60%, ROIC is -35%, FCF was -$220.1M in FY 2025, and the RQD score is 24 with a grade of E.. FCF yield is 0.0% and RQD sits at 24/100 (E) — why pay up here when you can wait for next quarter's numbers?

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