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Greif Inc. (Class A) (GEF) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$82.82 +1.01% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $82.81

Greif Inc. (Class A) (GEF) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 53/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $3.79B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on GEF Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is GEF stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Greif Inc. (Class A) (NYSE: GEF) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 53/100 at a spot price of $82.82 (+1.01% 1D, market cap $3.79B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 5/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 13/20. Across 486 tracked Industrials issuers, GEF ranks #196 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does GEF compare to BELFB and OTF in the Industrials sector?
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Within the Industrials sector (Diversified Equities), GEF carries a Roarable D+ (53/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 4.5x, gross margin of 22.2%, and ROIC of 3.9%. By comparison, BELFB (Bel Fuse Inc.) holds a C- grade (61/100 RQD, P/E 45.9x, ROIC 15.5%, cap $3.41B) and OTF (Blue Owl Technology Finance Corp.) posts a D- grade (35/100 RQD, P/E 6.1x, ROIC 9.0%, cap $4.36B). Among the 5-stock peer group, GEF leads on earnings multiple (4.5x) while BELFB leads on capital efficiency (15.5% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for GEF?
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Per GEF's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30, CIK 0000043920), Greif Inc. (Class A) generated $3.93B in revenue (-9.7% YoY), $840.0M in net income, and $58.6M in free cash flow against $5.50B in total assets and $655.1M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $82.81 (-0.01%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.32% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 5/20 (E) • 1.5% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 53/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 50.6% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+
025507510053
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk C-
Cash (5)Whales (11)SEC (13)Macro (11)CEO (13)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-2.2% Base Target
$96 Bull$81 Base$63 Bear
📬 FREE GEF RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for GEF)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±5.6%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (53/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY GEF SCORES 53/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (25% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 6/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+13/20 pts (25% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 65% Net Buy • Disciplined Float (-0.32% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Cash Engine Quality5/20 pts (-15 pt drag)

Capital intensity & 4.3% operating margin leave 15 pts on the table

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
45
Grade D$78.51+3.9% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
48
Grade D$81.56+2% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
50
Grade C-$83.17-0.4% Next Q
Current
53
Grade D+$82.82-0.9% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: D (45) → D+ (53)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a GEF Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While GEF currently carries a cautious 53/100 (D+) rating due to Cash Engine Quality (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($82.47) and Max Pain ($86.96) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $95.53.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.32% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $GEF• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “GEF Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 29, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 53%NO 47%Trade / Inspect Odds →
INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your GEF Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $82.82: 120.7 sh
$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000
12M Bear Case FloorTarget $63.15
$7,625
$-2,375 (-23.8%)
12M Consensus BaseTarget $80.96
$9,775
$-225 (-2.2%)
12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $95.53
$11,535
+$1,535 (+15.3%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (32 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100
● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 6
Wall Street FirmStance12M Target1Y AccuracyTrack Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity DeskHOLD$8474%A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage LeadUNDERPERFORM$9069%B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap ResearchSELL$7258%C
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring GEF)

  • ✓Walkthrough of GEF's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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GEF // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +25.37%📐 WEDGE COMPRESSION COIL
2026-11-03O $82.19H $82.82L $81.99C $82.82VOL 339.9K
RES: $88.29SUP: $79.55SMA50: $82.47SMA200: $74.60
$92.67$83.97$75.26$66.55$57.85RES $88.29SUP $79.55$82.822026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

GEF Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 GEF Butterfly Map → + Track GEF →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
-15.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -9.7% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on GEF today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for GEF. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for GEF today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (GEF)

Industrials Rank #196 of 486 ⚔️ BELFB vs GEF Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (GEF vs. BELFB, OTF, ARIS, BELFA)

Industry: Diversified Equities (43 Tracked Issuers)

Across 486 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Greif Inc. (Class A) (GEF) ranks #196 by composite RQD confidence (53/100, grade D+) and #170 by equity capitalization ($3.79B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, GEF leads on earnings valuation at 4.5x trailing P/E, while BELFB leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 15.5% ROIC and 39.1% gross margin. BELFB currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 61/100 (C-) compared with GEF at 53/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
GEF ACTIVE
Greif Inc. (Class A)
D+ 53/100 4.5x 22.2% 3.9% +1.01% $3.79B Benchmark Subject
BELFB
Bel Fuse Inc.
C- 61/100 45.9x 39.1% 15.5% -0.47% $3.41B /belfb-vs-gef →
OTF
Blue Owl Technology Finance Corp.
D- 35/100 6.1x — 9.0% +2.52% $4.36B /otf-vs-gef →
ARIS
Aris Mining Corporation
D 46/100 — — — +1.73% $2.98B /aris-vs-gef →
BELFA
Bel Fuse Inc. (Class A)
C- 60/100 36.5x 39.1% 15.5% +0.34% $2.73B /belfa-vs-gef →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-09-30 • CIK 0000043920 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30), Greif Inc. (Class A) (GEF) reported GAAP revenue of $3.93B (-9.7% vs. FY2024 revenue of $4.35B , and +229.1% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $840.0M, operating cash flow of $58.6M, and free cash flow of $58.6M (-83.5% YoY). On the balance sheet, GEF closed FY2025 with $5.50B in total assets against $655.1M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-09-30 $3.93B $840.0M $58.6M $58.6M $5.50B $655.1M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-10-31 $4.35B $268.8M $356.0M $356.0M $6.59B $2.42B
FY2023 (FY) 2023-10-31 $1.20B $359.2M $649.5M $649.5M — —

3. GEF Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is GEF stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Greif Inc. (Class A) (NYSE: GEF) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 53/100 at a spot price of $82.82 (+1.01% 1D, market cap $3.79B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 5/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 13/20. Across 486 tracked Industrials issuers, GEF ranks #196 in composite RQD confidence.

How does GEF compare to BELFB and OTF in the Industrials sector?

Within the Industrials sector (Diversified Equities), GEF carries a Roarable D+ (53/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 4.5x, gross margin of 22.2%, and ROIC of 3.9%. By comparison, BELFB (Bel Fuse Inc.) holds a C- grade (61/100 RQD, P/E 45.9x, ROIC 15.5%, cap $3.41B) and OTF (Blue Owl Technology Finance Corp.) posts a D- grade (35/100 RQD, P/E 6.1x, ROIC 9.0%, cap $4.36B). Among the 5-stock peer group, GEF leads on earnings multiple (4.5x) while BELFB leads on capital efficiency (15.5% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for GEF?

Per GEF's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30, CIK 0000043920), Greif Inc. (Class A) generated $3.93B in revenue (-9.7% YoY), $840.0M in net income, and $58.6M in free cash flow against $5.50B in total assets and $655.1M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is GEF trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

GEF last traded at $82.82 (+1.01% on volume of 381,888 shares), positioning the stock +0.42% above its 50-day simple moving average ($82.47) and +11.02% above its 200-day simple moving average ($74.60). Across its 52-week range of $55.75 to $90.57, GEF sits at the 77.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 49.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±5.6% ($78.18 to $87.46).

Direct Sub-Reports: GEF RQD Cockpit GEF 12M Forecast GEF Earnings & Move GEF Dividends & DRIP GEF Insiders & 13F GEF Whale Options GEF Profit Sankey GEF News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 53/100 (D+) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

GEF — Greif Inc. (Class A): What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-09-30

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Greif Inc. (Class A) (GEF) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 53/100, corresponding to a D+ letter grade (Roarable Sell) at a spot price of $82.82 (+1.01% 1D, market capitalization $3.79B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (5/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 3.9%, gross margin of 22.2%, operating margin of 4.3%, and free cash flow yield of 1.54%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (11/20) + Insider Conviction (13/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (11/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (13/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of 6/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.22x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Greif Inc. (Class A) (GEF) is a NYSE-listed operating company in the Diversified Equities industry (Industrials sector) with an equity market capitalization of $3.79B. The business operates with a gross margin of 22.2%, an operating margin of 4.3%, and a return on invested capital (ROIC) of 3.9% (free cash flow yield of 1.54%). Within the Diversified Equities peer group, investor evaluation centers on operating leverage, unit margin durability, and capital allocation efficiency across market cycles.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-09-30), Greif Inc. (Class A) (GEF) reported $3.93B in annual revenue (up from $4.35B in FY2024, -9.7% YoY) and $840.0M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($1.20B revenue, $359.2M net income) through FY2025, GEF scaled operating cash flow to $58.6M and free cash flow to $58.6M, backed by $5.50B in total assets against $655.1M in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (D+ • RQD 53/100): Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of 1.54% and institutional whale pillar of 11/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 5/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 11/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $55.75 – $90.57 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. Investors must weigh 4.5x trailing P/E and 25.1x EV/EBITDA against 4.3% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Upstream and downstream dependencies cannot be assessed from the source data.

  • Key Question #1: Can GEF sustain or expand its 4.3% operating margin and 3.9% ROIC against Diversified Equities peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $3.93B and free cash flow of $58.6M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $655.1M in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is GEF's 4.2x forward P/E multiple to Industrials capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

GEF Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Greif Inc. (Class A) (GEF) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to GEF Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

GEF Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $82.82?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON GEF 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on GEF:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
AL AlphaFlow_Cap RQD DEBATE OPENER • Verified $100K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $94.29 (+15.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Forward P/E of 4.2 and trailing P/E of 4.5 signal low earnings multiples, with Piotroski F-Score 6/9 and Debt/Equity 0.22 supporting ba

Forward P/E of 4.2 and trailing P/E of 4.5 signal low earnings multiples, with Piotroski F-Score 6/9 and Debt/Equity 0.22 supporting balance-sheet strength.. When you look under the hood at GEF, Fundamental Cash Engine is 5/20 with 22.2% gross margins and 3.9% ROIC. Bears are staring in the rearview mirror while institutional 13F flow (11/20) has been quietly accumulating below $90.57. My 12M target is $94.29.

SectorRotator 🐂 BULL

@RedlineAuditor Fair point on 4.5x trailing P/E, but you're ignoring the forward operating leverage in Diversified Equities. If gross margin (22.2%) holds, EPS grows into the multiple faster than bears think.

RE RedlineAuditor RQD DEBATE OPENER • Accounting Quality Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $67.23 (-18.0%)
Spot @ $81.99

ROIC of 3.9% and FCF yield of 1.54% drive a 5/20 Fundamental Cash Engine score, with FY 2025 revenue and operating income both declinin

Fading this rally in GEF at $81.99. ROIC of 3.9% and FCF yield of 1.54% drive a 5/20 Fundamental Cash Engine score, with FY 2025 revenue and operating income both declining year over year.. With a beta of 1.0 and the stock sitting at $81.99 (52-wk range $55.75–$90.57), the easy multiple expansion is already priced in.

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