VanEck Gold Miners ETF (GDX) Revenue-to-Profit Sankey Flow & SEC XBRL Financials

$77.09 -3.22% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $76.50

VanEck Gold Miners ETF (GDX) earns a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 38/100 RQD Confidence. As an exchange-traded fund, single-company GAAP gross margins, Altman-Z, and CEO Form 4 insider metrics are N/A for fund structure; its score reflects basket trend, institutional flow, and macro regime alignment.

ROARABLE D- • RED ALERT Cap $14.00B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is GDX stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, VanEck Gold Miners ETF (NYSE: GDX) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 38/100 at a spot price of $77.09 (-3.22% 1D, market cap $14.00B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 7/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 13/20, Executive Insider Alignment 7/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 4/20. Across 40 tracked ETF / Index issuers, GDX ranks #34 in composite RQD confidence.

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🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does GDX compare to SOXX and SLV in the ETF / Index sector?
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Within the ETF / Index sector (Senior Gold Mining Equities), GDX carries a Roarable D- (38/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of N/A (ETF), and ROIC of N/A (ETF). By comparison, SOXX (iShares Semiconductor ETF) holds a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $15.00B) and SLV (iShares Silver Trust) posts a E grade (32/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $15.00B). Among the 5-stock peer group, GDX leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while GDX leads on capital efficiency (— ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for GDX?
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For VanEck Gold Miners ETF (GDX), key quantitative strengths include Diversified Senior Gold Mining Equities basket eliminates single-company earnings blowup risk. and Deep intraday secondary-market liquidity with transparent underlying index holdings., while primary risk factors center on Corporate GAAP gross margin, Altman-Z, and Form 4 insider metrics are N/A for ETF fund structures. and Underlying index basket remains sensitive to Federal Reserve liquidity and Treasury yield swings.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $76.50 (-0.77%)🧬 ETF Open-End Share Creation/Redemption⚙️ Cash Engine: 7/20 (D-) • Liquid Basket
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (38/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-7.8% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • D-
025507510038
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D-
Fund (7)Whales (13)Struct (7)Macro (7)Flow (4)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-9% Base Target
$123 Bull$70 Base$55 Bear
📬 FREE GDX RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for GDX)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (38/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY GDX SCORES 38/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+13/20 pts (34% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±6% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+7/20 pts (18% of score)

ETF liquidity & tracking efficiency ($14.00B AUM)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

ETF Open-End Share Creation/Redemption & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
46
Grade D$87.24-1.3% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
43
Grade D$86.10-3.4% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
41
Grade D$83.19-7.3% Next Q
Current
38
Grade D-$77.09-7.8% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: D (46) → D- (38)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a GDX Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While GDX currently carries a cautious 38/100 (D-) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Diversified Senior Gold Mining Equities basket eliminates single-company earnings blowup risk.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Deep intraday secondary-market liquidity with transparent underlying index holdings.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (ETF Open-End Share Creation/Redemption) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $GDX• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “GDX Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Quarterly Rebalance / Distribution) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
ETF / INDEX COMPOSITE — N/A FOR FUND STRUCTURE

Corporate GAAP Income Statement & Revenue-to-Profit Sankey Not Applicable to GDX

VanEck Gold Miners ETF (GDX) is an exchange-traded fund / index composite rather than a single operating corporation. Single-issuer SEC Form 10-K GAAP revenue, cost of goods sold, R&D expense, Altman-Z bankruptcy score, and Piotroski 9-point accounting scores do not apply to fund structures. Use the 12M Forecast, Dividends & DRIP, and News tabs to inspect GDX price targets, distributions, and macro regime alignment.

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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring GDX)

  • ✓Walkthrough of GDX's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
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GDX // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -9.99%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-02O $79.71H $79.71L $77.09C $77.09VOL 35.52M
RES: $110.3SUP: $75.99SMA50: $90.59SMA200: $90.41
$108.2$97.77$87.35$76.93$66.51RES $110.3SUP $75.99$77.092026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

GDX Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
ETF / Index Composite — N/A for Fund Structure

Single-issuer corporate Reverse-DCF growth hurdles do not apply to index funds or ETFs.

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on GDX today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for GDX. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for GDX today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (GDX)

ETF / Index Rank #34 of 40 ⚔️ SOXX vs GDX Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head ETF / Index Peer Comparison (GDX vs. SOXX, SLV, HYG, XLP)

Industry: Senior Gold Mining Equities (1 Tracked Issuers)

Across 40 tracked ETF / Index securities in the Roarable RQD universe, VanEck Gold Miners ETF (GDX) ranks #34 by composite RQD confidence (38/100, grade D-) and #28 by equity capitalization ($14.00B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, GDX leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while GDX leads on capital efficiency and profitability with ETF composite structure and benchmark tracking. XLP currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 80/100 (B+) compared with GDX at 38/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
GDX ACTIVE
VanEck Gold Miners ETF
D- 38/100 — — — -3.22% $14.00B Benchmark Subject
SOXX
iShares Semiconductor ETF
D 46/100 — — — -1.57% $15.00B /soxx-vs-gdx →
SLV
iShares Silver Trust
E 32/100 — — — -3.76% $15.00B /slv-vs-gdx →
HYG
iShares iBoxx $ High Yield Corporate Bond ETF
D 50/100 — — — -0.01% $16.00B /hyg-vs-gdx →
XLP
Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR
B+ 80/100 — — — +1.52% $17.00B /xlp-vs-gdx →

2. GDX ETF Structure, Technical Regime & Benchmark Role Breakdown

EXCHANGE-TRADED FUND / COMPOSITE VEHICLE • NYSE

Because VanEck Gold Miners ETF (GDX) is structured as an exchange-traded fund / composite basket rather than a single operating corporation filing 10-K GAAP income statements, Roarable evaluates GDX on technical trend regime, moving-average dispersion, 52-week range positioning, relative strength (RSI-14), and secondary-market share volume liquidity. At $77.09, GDX trades vs. its 50-day SMA of $90.59 and 200-day SMA of $90.41 on daily liquidity of 35,517,339 shares.

50D SMA Level
$90.59
Medium-Term Trend Anchor
200D SMA Level
$90.41
Institutional Secular Line
52-Week Range Pos
18.0%
$68.20 – $117.18
RSI-14 Momentum
33.3
NEUTRAL RANGE
Volume Liquidity
35,517,339
AUM Cap $14.00B

3. GDX Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is GDX stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, VanEck Gold Miners ETF (NYSE: GDX) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 38/100 at a spot price of $77.09 (-3.22% 1D, market cap $14.00B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 7/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 13/20, Executive Insider Alignment 7/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 4/20. Across 40 tracked ETF / Index issuers, GDX ranks #34 in composite RQD confidence.

How does GDX compare to SOXX and SLV in the ETF / Index sector?

Within the ETF / Index sector (Senior Gold Mining Equities), GDX carries a Roarable D- (38/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of N/A (ETF), and ROIC of N/A (ETF). By comparison, SOXX (iShares Semiconductor ETF) holds a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $15.00B) and SLV (iShares Silver Trust) posts a E grade (32/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $15.00B). Among the 5-stock peer group, GDX leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while GDX leads on capital efficiency (— ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for GDX?

For VanEck Gold Miners ETF (GDX), key quantitative strengths include Diversified Senior Gold Mining Equities basket eliminates single-company earnings blowup risk. and Deep intraday secondary-market liquidity with transparent underlying index holdings., while primary risk factors center on Corporate GAAP gross margin, Altman-Z, and Form 4 insider metrics are N/A for ETF fund structures. and Underlying index basket remains sensitive to Federal Reserve liquidity and Treasury yield swings.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is GDX trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

GDX last traded at $77.09 (-3.22% on volume of 35,517,339 shares), positioning the stock -14.90% below its 50-day simple moving average ($90.59) and -14.73% below its 200-day simple moving average ($90.41). Across its 52-week range of $68.20 to $117.18, GDX sits at the 18.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 33.3 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.0% ($72.46 to $81.72).

GDX Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

How profitable is VanEck Gold Miners ETF (GDX)?

In ETF / Index Composite — N/A for Fund Structure, GDX converted $4.0B of revenue into a 52% gross margin, 27% operating margin, and $392.0M in free cash flow (9.8% FCF margin).

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 38/100 (D-) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

GDX — VanEck Gold Miners ETF: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T14:09:59Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, GDX scores 38 out of 100, a letter grade of D-, with the verdict "Roarable Sell — Vulnerable Balance Sheet & Flow (ETF Composite Methodology)." The Fundamental Cash Engine pillar scores 7 of 20, with ROIC at 0% and FCF yield at 0%; for an ETF this reflects that the fund's holdings are not represented by a reported cash-generation profile in the source data. The Whale 13F Flow pillar scores 13 of 20, indicating institutional accumulation and options positioning contribute the strongest relative support in the composite. The Insider Conviction pillar scores 4 of 20, reflecting weak SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. The Macro Regime Fit pillar scores 7 of 20, consistent with a beta of 1.0 and sector sensitivity to gold-mining equities. The Forensic Balance Sheet pillar scores 7 of 20, citing an Altman Z of 2.5, a Piotroski F of 6/9, and a Debt/Equity of 0.5.

For a prospective investor, the upside drivers visible in the source data are the institutional flow signal (13 of 20) and a 1.0 beta that tracks the broader market rather than amplifying it. The valuation tradeoff is that the composite offers no earnings-based valuation anchor: P/E, forward P/E, and EV/EBITDA are not available in source data, so the stock cannot be assessed on those terms. The price sits at 77.09 against a 52-week range of $68.2 to $117.18, placing it in the lower portion of its recent range. The weakest pillars (insider conviction and cash engine) mean the rating's negative verdict is driven by absent cash-generation and insider signals rather than by a single balance-sheet failure. This analysis is educational and does not constitute personalized financial advice.

Business

VanEck Gold Miners ETF is an exchange-traded fund listed on the NYSE, classified under the ETF / Index sector and the Senior Gold Mining Equities industry. Per the profile, the fund is a liquid institutional vehicle tracking senior gold mining equities with approximately $14.0B in assets under management. The fund's revenue model is not described in the source data beyond its role as an ETF offering exposure to the senior gold mining segment. Its customers are investors seeking that exposure through a listed fund structure.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

The news wire contains six items, all related to GDX and all flagged YELLOW with the MARKET WIRE impact label. The headlines reference: a Yahoo Finance Singapore report on market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts; a Motley Fool comparison of abrdn's Silver SIVR against VanEck's Gold Miners GDX; a Seeking Alpha piece titled "GDX Vs. SGDM Is A Draw, Gold Miners Are A Buy"; a ChartMill technical analysis of trend, signals, and chart patterns; a US News Money piece on the best gold ETFs for 2026; and a 24/7 Wall St. piece comparing GLD, GDX, and GDXJ as gold exposure vehicles, noting that the same move can produce different returns across them. Summaries are generic and do not contain specific fundamental data points. Risk watch items: the day's price change of -3.22% and the 52-week low of $68.2 are the observable market-level pressure points. The Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph reports no supply-chain relationships and no proprietary signals.

Open Questions

  • What is the composition of GDX's underlying holdings, and how do their individual cash flows and balance sheets aggregate into the fund-level ROIC and FCF yield shown as 0%?
  • What are the trailing and forward earnings or valuation multiples for the fund's constituents, given that P/E and EV/EBITDA are unavailable?
  • Which institutional 13F holders and insider or Congressional transactions drive the Whale 13F Flow score of 13 of 20 and the Insider Conviction score of 4 of 20?
  • How has the fund's gold-mining exposure performed across the 52-week range from $68.2 to $117.18, and what drove the decline to the current price of 77.09?
  • What are the expense ratio and tracking methodology details that would determine how closely the fund's return reflects its underlying senior gold miners?

GDX Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for VanEck Gold Miners ETF (GDX) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to GDX Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

GDX Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $77.09?

🐂 33% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON GDX 🐻 67% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on GDX:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $67.84 (-12.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is GDX (D- • RQD 38/100) a Buy at $77.09?

Welcome to the GDX (VanEck Gold Miners ETF) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 38/100 (Roarable Sell — Vulnerable Balance Sheet & Flow (ETF Composite Methodology)) in Senior Gold Mining Equities. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

SH ShortSeller_Dan Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $62.44 (-19.0%)
Spot @ $77.09

Pump the brakes on GDX — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on GDX, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with tightening sector spreads. Unless VanEck Gold Miners ETF expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

SI SiliconVal_Bull Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $97.90 (+27.0%)
Spot @ $77.09

GDX cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on GDX, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Senior Gold Mining Equities and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $77.09 (52-wk range $68.20 - $117.18), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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