Why GAP Stock dropped -2.49% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

$22.32 -2.49% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $22.18

Gap Inc. (GAP) carries a Roarable Rating of C+ (Hold) with 68/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C+ • HOLD / WATCH Cap $8.04B
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As of 2026-11-02, Gap Inc. (NYSE: GAP) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 68/100 at a spot price of $22.32 (-2.49% 1D, market cap $8.04B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 17/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 18/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, GAP ranks #181 in composite RQD confidence.

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🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does GAP compare to VSXY and URBN in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Clothing/Shoe/Accessory Stores), GAP carries a Roarable C+ (68/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 9.9x, gross margin of 40.8%, and ROIC of 32.9%. By comparison, VSXY (Victorias Secret & Co.) holds a B- grade (71/100 RQD, P/E 49.1x, ROIC 16.4%, cap $7.91B) and URBN (Urban Outfitters Inc.) posts a B+ grade (80/100 RQD, P/E 17.0x, ROIC 14.2%, cap $7.90B). Among the 5-stock peer group, GAP leads on earnings multiple (9.9x) while ANF leads on capital efficiency (40.7% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for GAP?
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Per GAP's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-01-31, CIK 0000039911), Gap Inc. generated $15.37B in revenue (+1.9% YoY), $816.0M in net income, and $823.0M in free cash flow against $12.63B in total assets and $1.49B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (41% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $22.18 (-0.64%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.92% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 17/20 (A-) • 5.4% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 68/100 (C+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.8% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 56.9% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C+
025507510068
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B · Rk D+
Cash (17)Whales (10)SEC (14)Macro (9)CEO (18)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+4.5% Base Target
$31 Bull$23 Base$18 Bear
📬 FREE GAP RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for GAP)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (68/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY GAP SCORES 68/100 (C+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+18/20 pts (26% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 86% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.92% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+17/20 pts (25% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 5.4% FCF Margin ($823.0M FCF) & 40.8% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit9/20 pts (-11 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (53.1) create a -11 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
76
Grade B+$22.83+2.8% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
73
Grade B$23.47-7.5% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
71
Grade B$21.70+2.9% Next Q
Current
68
Grade C+$22.32+1.8% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: B+ (76) → C+ (68)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the GAP Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 68/100 (C+) score, GAP faces multiple-compression risk if 9.9x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.92% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 38.3% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($22.24) or 200D SMA ($23.08) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($23.32) toward Bear Floor ($18.19).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $GAP• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “GAP Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Jan 30, 2027) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →

Why GAP Stock dropped -2.49% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

Gap Inc. (GAP) dropped -2.49% to $22.32, trading at 37% of its 52-week range ($18.11 – $29.36). Solid 41% profit margin (33% return on capital), mixed timing at 10x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.

  • ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 37% of its 52-week range ($18.11 – $29.36) with RSI-14 at 53.1 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
  • ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±6.5% around $22.32 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
  • ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable C+ (Hold) backed by 40.8% gross margin and $823.0M annual free cash flow.
Live GAP Headlines & Catalysts
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Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (GAP Tape Review)

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GAP // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -5.70%▲ ASCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-02O $22.00H $22.89L $22.00C $22.32VOL 4.59M
RES: $28.80SUP: $20.95SMA50: $22.24SMA200: $23.08
$26.34$24.11$21.88$19.65$17.42RES $28.80SUP $20.95$22.322026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

GAP Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
-1.4%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +1.9% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on GAP today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for GAP. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for GAP today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (GAP)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #181 of 1011 ⚔️ VSXY vs GAP Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (GAP vs. VSXY, URBN, ANF, BOOT)

Industry: Clothing/Shoe/Accessory Stores (25 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Gap Inc. (GAP) ranks #181 by composite RQD confidence (68/100, grade C+) and #198 by equity capitalization ($8.04B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, GAP leads on earnings valuation at 9.9x trailing P/E, while ANF leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 40.7% ROIC and — gross margin. ANF currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 84/100 (A-) compared with GAP at 68/100 (C+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
GAP ACTIVE
Gap Inc.
C+ 68/100 9.9x 40.8% 32.9% -2.49% $8.04B Benchmark Subject
VSXY
Victorias Secret & Co.
B- 71/100 49.1x 36.4% 16.4% -2.54% $7.91B /vsxy-vs-gap →
URBN
Urban Outfitters Inc.
B+ 80/100 17.0x 36.0% 14.2% -1.59% $7.90B /urbn-vs-gap →
ANF
Abercrombie & Fitch Company
A- 84/100 13.9x — 40.7% -0.80% $7.03B /anf-vs-gap →
BOOT
Boot Barn Holdings Inc.
C- 61/100 17.3x 38.1% 15.2% +1.35% $3.90B /boot-vs-gap →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2026-01-31 • CIK 0000039911

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2026-01-31), Gap Inc. (GAP) reported GAAP revenue of $15.37B (+1.9% vs. FY2024 revenue of $15.09B , and +3.2% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $816.0M, operating cash flow of $1.29B, and free cash flow of $823.0M (-20.8% YoY). On the balance sheet, GAP closed FY2025 with $12.63B in total assets against $1.49B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 2.94, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2026-01-31 $15.37B $816.0M $1.29B $823.0M $12.63B $1.49B
FY2024 (FY) 2025-02-01 $15.09B $844.0M $1.49B $1.04B $11.88B $1.49B
FY2023 (FY) 2024-02-03 $14.89B $502.0M $1.53B $862.0M $17.87B $4.18B

3. GAP Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is GAP stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Gap Inc. (NYSE: GAP) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 68/100 at a spot price of $22.32 (-2.49% 1D, market cap $8.04B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 17/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 18/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, GAP ranks #181 in composite RQD confidence.

How does GAP compare to VSXY and URBN in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Clothing/Shoe/Accessory Stores), GAP carries a Roarable C+ (68/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 9.9x, gross margin of 40.8%, and ROIC of 32.9%. By comparison, VSXY (Victorias Secret & Co.) holds a B- grade (71/100 RQD, P/E 49.1x, ROIC 16.4%, cap $7.91B) and URBN (Urban Outfitters Inc.) posts a B+ grade (80/100 RQD, P/E 17.0x, ROIC 14.2%, cap $7.90B). Among the 5-stock peer group, GAP leads on earnings multiple (9.9x) while ANF leads on capital efficiency (40.7% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for GAP?

Per GAP's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-01-31, CIK 0000039911), Gap Inc. generated $15.37B in revenue (+1.9% YoY), $816.0M in net income, and $823.0M in free cash flow against $12.63B in total assets and $1.49B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (41% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is GAP trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

GAP last traded at $22.32 (-2.49% on volume of 5,157,150 shares), positioning the stock +0.36% above its 50-day simple moving average ($22.24) and -3.29% below its 200-day simple moving average ($23.08). Across its 52-week range of $18.11 to $29.36, GAP sits at the 37.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 53.1 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.5% ($20.87 to $23.77).

GAP Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Why is GAP stock moving today?

Why GAP Stock dropped -2.49% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Solid 41% profit margin (33% return on capital), mixed timing at 10x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 68/100 (C+) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

GAP — Gap Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:17:48Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, GAP scores 68 out of 100, a letter grade of C+, with the verdict "Roarable Hold — Upper Neutral / Watch for Breakout." The five pillars are: Fundamental Cash Engine at 17/20 (ROIC 32.9%; FCF yield 10.24%), Whale 13F Flow at 10/20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning), Insider Conviction at 18/20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow), Macro Regime Fit at 9/20 (Beta 1.08; sector sensitivity), and Forensic Balance Sheet at 14/20 (Altman Z 2.94; Piotroski F 7/9; Debt/Equity 0.39). The strongest pillars are insider conviction and the cash engine, which together suggest the business converts capital efficiently and that insider flow has been constructive. The weakest pillars are institutional flow and macro fit, which indicate that broader institutional positioning is less supportive and that the stock's market sensitivity (Beta 1.08) is slightly above the market's. For a prospective investor, the upside case rests on continued cash generation and insider activity; the valuation tradeoff is that the market data shows a low P/E (TTM 9.9) alongside a compressed operating margin (7.3%), so the market is pricing in limited expected growth. The grade reflects a balanced profile rather than a clear directional signal, so the rating frames this as a name to monitor for a breakout rather than a conviction call.

Snapshot

PriceMarket CapP/E (TTM)Forward P/EEV/EBITDAEPS (TTM)Dividend YieldBeta52-Wk RangeROIC %
22.89$8.04B9.99.24.62.323.07%1.08$18.11 - $29.3632.9%

Business

Gap Inc. (The) is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Consumer Discretionary sector, operating in the Clothing/Shoe/Accessory Stores industry, per the SEC financials and profile. Per the profile, the company is a clothing, shoe, and accessory retailer. The source data does not specify product lines, customer segments, brand portfolio, or channel mix. Revenue generation is reflected in reported revenue of $15366.0M for FY 2025 (per the SEC financials), with gross margin of 40.8% per the market data. Additional detail on how the company monetizes beyond these figures is not available in source data.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$15366.0M$1115.0M$816.0MN/A$823.0M$2616.0M$1492.0M
FY 2024$15086.0M$1112.0M$844.0MN/A$1039.0M$2335.0M$1490.0M
FY 2023$14889.0M$560.0M$502.0MN/A$862.0MN/A$4180.8M

Per the market data, operating margin is 7.3%, net margin is 5.3%, and ROIC is 32.9%. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 2.94 and the Piotroski F-Score is 7/9, and Debt/Equity is 0.39. Reported revenue rose from $14889.0M in FY 2023 to $15366.0M in FY 2025 per the SEC financials. Reported net income declined from $844.0M in FY 2024 to $816.0M in FY 2025 over the same comparison window.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news and catalysts feed:

  • CATALYST (GREEN): A Yahoo Finance report headlined that GAP stock climbed 25% over three months, framing growth momentum as a question.
  • RISK WATCH (RED): A Seeking Alpha report carried a downgrade headline focused on Old Navy as a concern.
  • MARKET WIRE (YELLOW): Items from Benzinga, ChartMill, and Yahoo Finance covering market action and valuation, plus an Investing.com report on a director's stock sale of $22.07 million.

Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the sector is Consumer Discretionary, the industry is Clothing/Shoe/Accessory Stores, and the supply chain is listed as NONE, with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals.

Open Questions

  • What are the company's product lines, brand portfolio, and channel breakdown, given that the profile describes only the sector and industry?
  • What are the reported EPS figures for FY 2023 through FY 2025, which are listed as N/A?
  • What drove the FY 2023 debt level of $4180.8M versus $1492.0M in FY 2025, and is the current debt structure stable?
  • What is the basis for the Old Navy downgrade referenced in the Seeking Alpha headline, and how material is it to the thesis?
  • What consensus rating, price targets, and 13F institutional holdings exist, given that analyst and holder data are unavailable?

GAP Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Gap Inc. (GAP) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to GAP Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

GAP Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $22.32?

🐂 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON GAP 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on GAP:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk ⚖️ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $24.72 (+8.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is GAP (C+ • RQD 68/100) a Buy at $22.89?

Welcome to the GAP (Gap Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 68/100 (Roarable Hold — Upper Neutral / Watch for Breakout) in Clothing/Shoe/Accessory Stores. Bulls point to capital efficiency (32.9% ROIC), while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

MU MultipleCompression Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $18.54 (-19.0%)
Spot @ $22.89

Pump the brakes on GAP — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on GAP, but look at what you are paying: 9.9x trailing P/E with 40.8% gross margins. Unless Gap Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

MA MacroHawk_NYC Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $26.78 (+17.0%)
Spot @ $22.89

GAP cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on GAP, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Clothing/Shoe/Accessory Stores and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $22.89 (52-wk range $18.11 - $29.36), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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