Formula One Group (Series C) (FWONK) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±5.2% Move

$92.47 -0.15% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $92.27

Formula One Group (Series C) (FWONK) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 63/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C • HOLD / WATCH Cap $23.22B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on FWONK Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is FWONK stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
▼

As of 2026-11-02, Formula One Group (Series C) (NASDAQ: FWONK) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 63/100 at a spot price of $92.47 (-0.15% 1D, market cap $23.22B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, Executive Insider Alignment 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20. Across 132 tracked Communication Services issuers, FWONK ranks #19 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does FWONK compare to FOX and FWONA in the Communication Services sector?
▼

Within the Communication Services sector (Broadcasting), FWONK carries a Roarable C (63/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 41.8x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 3.9%. By comparison, FOX (Fox Corporation (Class B)) holds a B+ grade (77/100 RQD, P/E 12.0x, ROIC 14.6%, cap $24.14B) and FWONA (Formula One Group (Series A)) posts a C grade (63/100 RQD, P/E 41.8x, ROIC 3.9%, cap $21.47B). Among the 5-stock peer group, FOX leads on earnings multiple (12.0x) while FOX leads on capital efficiency (14.6% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for FWONK?
▼

Per FWONK's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001560385), Formula One Group (Series C) generated $4.48B in revenue (+22.7% YoY), $555.0M in net income, and $0 in free cash flow against $15.40B in total assets and $5.05B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs.. Primary risk factors monitored: Priced at 42x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $92.27 (-0.22%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.04% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 9.6% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 63/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 54.8% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C
025507510063
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk B
Cash (12)Whales (10)SEC (16)Macro (13)CEO (12)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+2.2% Base Target
$113 Bull$95 Base$74 Bear
📬 FREE FWONK RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for FWONK)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±5.2%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (63/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY FWONK SCORES 63/100 (C) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+16/20 pts (25% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.16 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 9/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+13/20 pts (21% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 45% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 50.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning10/20 pts (-10 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-10 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
71
Grade B$93.02-0.6% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
68
Grade B-$92.48-4% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
66
Grade B-$88.77+4.2% Next Q
Current
63
Grade C$92.47+0.9% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: B (71) → C (63)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the FWONK Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 63/100 (C) score, FWONK faces multiple-compression risk if 41.8x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Priced at 42x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Disciplined Float (-0.04% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($94.41) or 200D SMA ($91.93) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($94.55) toward Bear Floor ($73.75).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $FWONK• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “FWONK Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~57 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±5.2% Swing Band

±$4.81 Expected Swing
$87.66 (-5.2%)Spot $92.47$97.28 (+5.2%)
MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

FWONK Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 63/100

Trailing EPS: $2.21 • YoY Revenue Growth: 22.7%

Model Bullish Setup (63/100)Model Risk Weight (37/100)
Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).
LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

PeriodFiledRevenueNet ProfitFree Cash FlowGross Margin
FY 20252025-12-31$4.48B$555.0M$499.5M52%
FY 20242024-12-31$3.65B-$2.06B-$1.86B52%
FY 20232023-12-31$3.57B$761.0M$2.30B52%
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Options & Swing Structure Desk

Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating FWONK & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

  • ✓Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on FWONK
  • ✓How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
FWONK // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +4.88%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-02O $90.86H $92.61L $90.86C $92.47VOL 2.34M
RES: $115.0SUP: $87.21SMA50: $94.41SMA200: $91.93
$108.9$102.4$96.00$89.57$83.13RES $115.0SUP $87.21$92.472026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

FWONK Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
31.6%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +22.7% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on FWONK today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for FWONK. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for FWONK today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (FWONK)

Communication Services Rank #19 of 132 ⚔️ FOX vs FWONK Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Communication Services Peer Comparison (FWONK vs. FOX, FWONA, FOXA, SKYD)

Industry: Broadcasting (24 Tracked Issuers)

Across 132 tracked Communication Services securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Formula One Group (Series C) (FWONK) ranks #19 by composite RQD confidence (63/100, grade C) and #18 by equity capitalization ($23.22B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, FOX leads on earnings valuation at 12.0x trailing P/E, while FOX leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 14.6% ROIC and — gross margin. FOX currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 77/100 (B+) compared with FWONK at 63/100 (C).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
FWONK ACTIVE
Formula One Group (Series C)
C 63/100 41.8x — 3.9% -0.15% $23.22B Benchmark Subject
FOX
Fox Corporation (Class B)
B+ 77/100 12.0x — 14.6% -1.83% $24.14B /fox-vs-fwonk →
FWONA
Formula One Group (Series A)
C 63/100 41.8x — 3.9% -0.57% $21.47B /fwona-vs-fwonk →
FOXA
Fox Corporation (Class A)
B+ 77/100 12.0x — 14.6% -1.97% $27.20B /foxa-vs-fwonk →
SKYD
Skydance Corporation
D- 43/100 32.8x — 7.2% +0.63% $39.83B /skyd-vs-fwonk →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001560385

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Formula One Group (Series C) (FWONK) reported GAAP revenue of $4.48B (+22.7% vs. FY2024 revenue of $3.65B , and +25.5% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $555.0M, operating cash flow of $0, and free cash flow of $0 . On the balance sheet, FWONK closed FY2025 with $15.40B in total assets against $5.05B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 3.16, Piotroski F-Score: 9/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $4.48B $555.0M — — $15.40B $5.05B
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $3.65B -$2.06B — — $13.00B $2.97B
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $3.57B $761.0M $2.46B $2.30B $12.77B $2.99B

3. FWONK Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is FWONK stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Formula One Group (Series C) (NASDAQ: FWONK) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 63/100 at a spot price of $92.47 (-0.15% 1D, market cap $23.22B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, Executive Insider Alignment 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20. Across 132 tracked Communication Services issuers, FWONK ranks #19 in composite RQD confidence.

How does FWONK compare to FOX and FWONA in the Communication Services sector?

Within the Communication Services sector (Broadcasting), FWONK carries a Roarable C (63/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 41.8x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 3.9%. By comparison, FOX (Fox Corporation (Class B)) holds a B+ grade (77/100 RQD, P/E 12.0x, ROIC 14.6%, cap $24.14B) and FWONA (Formula One Group (Series A)) posts a C grade (63/100 RQD, P/E 41.8x, ROIC 3.9%, cap $21.47B). Among the 5-stock peer group, FOX leads on earnings multiple (12.0x) while FOX leads on capital efficiency (14.6% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for FWONK?

Per FWONK's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001560385), Formula One Group (Series C) generated $4.48B in revenue (+22.7% YoY), $555.0M in net income, and $0 in free cash flow against $15.40B in total assets and $5.05B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs.. Primary risk factors monitored: Priced at 42x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is FWONK trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

FWONK last traded at $92.47 (-0.15% on volume of 1,472,284 shares), positioning the stock -2.05% below its 50-day simple moving average ($94.41) and +0.59% above its 200-day simple moving average ($91.93). Across its 52-week range of $80.15 to $107.31, FWONK sits at the 45.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 50.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±5.2% ($87.66 to $97.28).

FWONK Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is FWONK's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, Formula One Group (Series C) (FWONK)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 30, 2026.

How much is FWONK stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±5.2% event move for FWONK, spanning a range between $87.66 and $97.28.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 63/100 (C) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

FWONK — Formula One Group (Series C): What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:13:11Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, FWONK scores 63 out of 100, graded C, with the verdict "Roarable Hold — Fair / Balanced Risk-Reward." The five pillars are:

  • Fundamental Cash Engine: 12 / 20. Per the RQD rating, this pillar reflects ROIC of 3.9% and an FCF yield of 1.86%. For a prospective investor, the cash return on invested capital and the cash yield at the current price are both modest, which limits the margin of safety if growth expectations fall short.
  • Whale 13F Flow: 10 / 20. The RQD rating cites institutional accumulation and options positioning as the basis for this score. The underlying 13F and options detail is not itemized in the source data, so the score is a summary input rather than something the investor can independently verify here.
  • Insider Conviction: 12 / 20. The RQD rating cites SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. Specific transactions are not itemized in the source data.
  • Macro Regime Fit: 13 / 20. Per the RQD rating, beta is 0.99 and sector sensitivity is the basis. A beta near 1.0 means the stock is expected to move roughly in line with the broader market, offering neither a defensive cushion nor a high-beta amplifier.
  • Forensic Balance Sheet: 16 / 20. The strongest pillar. Per the RQD rating, Altman Z is 3.16, Piotroski F is 9/9, and Debt/Equity is 0.65. This indicates a balance sheet that is structurally sound relative to the other pillars.

Investor implications: the upside case rests on the balance sheet's durability and on operating margin of 12.9% and net margin of 12.4% (per market data) sustaining earnings. The valuation tradeoff is that P/E of 41.8 (TTM), forward P/E of 35.1, and EV/EBITDA of 36.4 are elevated against a cash yield of 1.86% and ROIC of 3.9%, so the price already embeds substantial expectations. The score of 63 reflects a balanced profile rather than a clear directional signal.

Snapshot

PriceMarket CapP/E (TTM)Forward P/EEV/EBITDAEPS (TTM)Dividend YieldBeta52-Wk RangeROIC %
92.61$23.22B41.835.136.42.210%0.99$80.15 - $107.313.9%

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$4482.0M$577.0M$555.0MN/AN/A$1055.0M$5048.0M
FY 2024$3653.0M$287.0M$-2063.0MN/AN/A$2631.0M$2966.0M
FY 2023$3572.0M$266.0M$761.0MN/A$2303.3MN/A$2988.2M

Per the SEC financials, revenue rose from $3572.0M (FY 2023) to $4482.0M (FY 2025), and operating income rose from $266.0M to $577.0M over the same span. FY 2024 shows a net loss of $-2063.0M despite positive operating income of $287.0M. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the forensic balance sheet scores reflect Altman Z 3.16 and Piotroski F 9/9. Debt rose from $2966.0M (FY 2024) to $5048.0M (FY 2025) while cash rose to $1055.0M from $2631.0M in FY 2024 (FY 2024 cash was higher than FY 2025), so the FY 2025 debt-to-cash position is materially more leveraged than the prior year.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the news wire, the most recent items include an upgrade to Buy (headlined as "Upgraded to Buy: Here's Why," tagged CATALYST), a Zacks Research rating upgrade (CATALYST), and a Yahoo! Finance Canada market wire item (MARKET WIRE, YELLOW). Risk-watch items include a price target cut from Susquehanna (RISK WATCH, RED) and a downgrade to "Strong Sell" by Wall Street Zen (MARKET WIRE, YELLOW). An institutional holder sale by Assenagon Asset Management S.A. is also reported (MARKET WIRE, YELLOW). Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, supply chain is listed as NONE, with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals.

Open Questions

  • What drives the FY 2024 net loss of $-2063.0M against positive operating income of $287.0M, and is it recurring or one-time?
  • Why does FY 2025 debt of $5048.0M compare to cash of $1055.0M, and what is the repayment and refinancing schedule?
  • What are the FCF figures for FY 2024 and FY 2025, given both are listed as N/A in the financials?
  • What specific transactions underlie the 13F, Form 4, and Congressional PTR flow scored in the RQD rating?
  • What are the analyst price targets and consensus rating behind the Upgraded to Buy and Strong Sell headlines?

FWONK Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Formula One Group (Series C) (FWONK) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to FWONK Debate Forum (3) ↓
🟢 CATALYST Liberty Formula One Series C (FWONK) Upgraded to Buy: Here's Why • 25d ago
Liberty Media Corporation

Liberty Formula One Series C (FWONK) Upgraded to Buy: Here's Why coverage on FWONK stock catalysts, institutional flow, and earnings outlook.

Read Full Source ↗
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

FWONK Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $92.47?

🐂 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON FWONK 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on FWONK:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk ⚖️ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $100.02 (+8.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is FWONK (C • RQD 63/100) a Buy at $92.61?

Welcome to the FWONK (Formula One Group (Series C)) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 63/100 (Roarable Hold — Fair / Balanced Risk-Reward) in Broadcasting. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on valuation multiple compression (41.8x trailing P/E). Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

BE BearTrap_Alert Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $71.31 (-23.0%)
Spot @ $92.61

Pump the brakes on FWONK — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on FWONK, but look at what you are paying: 41.8x trailing P/E with tightening sector spreads. Unless Formula One Group (Series C) expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

AL AlphaFlow_Cap Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $112.06 (+21.0%)
Spot @ $92.61

FWONK cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on FWONK, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Broadcasting and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $92.61 (52-wk range $80.15 - $107.31), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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