Formula One Group (Series A) (FWONA) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$85.13 -0.57% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $84.88

Formula One Group (Series A) (FWONA) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 63/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C • HOLD / WATCH Cap $21.47B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on FWONA Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is FWONA stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
▼

As of 2026-11-02, Formula One Group (Series A) (NASDAQ: FWONA) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 63/100 at a spot price of $85.13 (-0.57% 1D, market cap $21.47B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, Executive Insider Alignment 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20. Across 132 tracked Communication Services issuers, FWONA ranks #21 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does FWONA compare to FWONK and FOX in the Communication Services sector?
▼

Within the Communication Services sector (Broadcasting), FWONA carries a Roarable C (63/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 41.8x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 3.9%. By comparison, FWONK (Formula One Group (Series C)) holds a C grade (63/100 RQD, P/E 41.8x, ROIC 3.9%, cap $23.22B) and FOX (Fox Corporation (Class B)) posts a B+ grade (77/100 RQD, P/E 12.0x, ROIC 14.6%, cap $24.14B). Among the 5-stock peer group, FOX leads on earnings multiple (12.0x) while FOX leads on capital efficiency (14.6% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for FWONA?
▼

Per FWONA's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001560385), Formula One Group (Series A) generated $4.48B in revenue (+22.7% YoY), $555.0M in net income, and $0 in free cash flow against $15.40B in total assets and $5.05B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs.. Primary risk factors monitored: Priced at 42x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $84.88 (-0.29%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.04% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 8.9% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 63/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 54.8% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C
025507510063
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk B
Cash (12)Whales (10)SEC (16)Macro (13)CEO (12)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+2.3% Base Target
$104 Bull$87 Base$68 Bear
📬 FREE FWONA RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for FWONA)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±5.3%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (63/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY FWONA SCORES 63/100 (C) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+16/20 pts (25% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.16 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 9/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+13/20 pts (21% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 46% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 52.4 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning10/20 pts (-10 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-10 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
71
Grade B$85.21-0.6% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
68
Grade B-$84.66-3.2% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
66
Grade B-$81.99+3.8% Next Q
Current
63
Grade C$85.13+0.9% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: B (71) → C (63)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the FWONA Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 63/100 (C) score, FWONA faces multiple-compression risk if 41.8x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Priced at 42x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Disciplined Float (-0.04% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($86.71) or 200D SMA ($84.40) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($87.05) toward Bear Floor ($67.90).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $FWONA• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “FWONA Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE
— (No Active Options Snapshot)
Put/Call Ratio: — (No Active Options Snapshot)
MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET
— (No Active Options Snapshot)
No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file
HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING
±5.3%
Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (FWONA)

— (No Active Options Snapshot) — No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for FWONA.

Sponsored / Partner SpotlightACTIVE TRADER & PROP EVALUATION DESK

Practice in Our Weekly $100,000 Paper Arena Before Risking Personal Capital

Keep your personal nest egg in cash while trading NQ, ES, Crude, and Gold momentum using institutional prop-desk buying power.

FTC Disclosure: Roarable may receive partner referral compensation at no cost to you. Partner relationships never influence RQD scores.

🏆 Enter Free $100K Paper Arena →
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Options & Swing Structure Desk

Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating FWONA & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

  • ✓Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on FWONA
  • ✓How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
FWONA // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +4.84%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-02O $83.88H $85.62L $83.88C $85.13VOL 194.2K
RES: $106.5SUP: $80.35SMA50: $86.71SMA200: $84.40
$100.2$94.26$88.30$82.33$76.37RES $106.5SUP $80.35$85.132026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

FWONA Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
31.6%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +22.7% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on FWONA today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for FWONA. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for FWONA today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (FWONA)

Communication Services Rank #21 of 132 ⚔️ FWONK vs FWONA Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Communication Services Peer Comparison (FWONA vs. FWONK, FOX, FOXA, TME)

Industry: Broadcasting (24 Tracked Issuers)

Across 132 tracked Communication Services securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Formula One Group (Series A) (FWONA) ranks #21 by composite RQD confidence (63/100, grade C) and #21 by equity capitalization ($21.47B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, FOX leads on earnings valuation at 12.0x trailing P/E, while FOX leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 14.6% ROIC and — gross margin. FOX currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 77/100 (B+) compared with FWONA at 63/100 (C).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
FWONA ACTIVE
Formula One Group (Series A)
C 63/100 41.8x — 3.9% -0.57% $21.47B Benchmark Subject
FWONK
Formula One Group (Series C)
C 63/100 41.8x — 3.9% -0.15% $23.22B /fwonk-vs-fwona →
FOX
Fox Corporation (Class B)
B+ 77/100 12.0x — 14.6% -1.83% $24.14B /fox-vs-fwona →
FOXA
Fox Corporation (Class A)
B+ 77/100 12.0x — 14.6% -1.97% $27.20B /foxa-vs-fwona →
TME
Tencent Music Entertainment Group American
D+ 55/100 32.8x — 9.9% +0.48% $13.17B /tme-vs-fwona →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001560385

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Formula One Group (Series A) (FWONA) reported GAAP revenue of $4.48B (+22.7% vs. FY2024 revenue of $3.65B , and +25.5% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $555.0M, operating cash flow of $0, and free cash flow of $0 . On the balance sheet, FWONA closed FY2025 with $15.40B in total assets against $5.05B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 3.16, Piotroski F-Score: 9/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $4.48B $555.0M — — $15.40B $5.05B
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $3.65B -$2.06B — — $13.00B $2.97B
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $3.57B $761.0M $2.46B $2.30B $11.81B $2.76B

3. FWONA Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is FWONA stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Formula One Group (Series A) (NASDAQ: FWONA) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 63/100 at a spot price of $85.13 (-0.57% 1D, market cap $21.47B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, Executive Insider Alignment 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20. Across 132 tracked Communication Services issuers, FWONA ranks #21 in composite RQD confidence.

How does FWONA compare to FWONK and FOX in the Communication Services sector?

Within the Communication Services sector (Broadcasting), FWONA carries a Roarable C (63/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 41.8x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 3.9%. By comparison, FWONK (Formula One Group (Series C)) holds a C grade (63/100 RQD, P/E 41.8x, ROIC 3.9%, cap $23.22B) and FOX (Fox Corporation (Class B)) posts a B+ grade (77/100 RQD, P/E 12.0x, ROIC 14.6%, cap $24.14B). Among the 5-stock peer group, FOX leads on earnings multiple (12.0x) while FOX leads on capital efficiency (14.6% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for FWONA?

Per FWONA's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001560385), Formula One Group (Series A) generated $4.48B in revenue (+22.7% YoY), $555.0M in net income, and $0 in free cash flow against $15.40B in total assets and $5.05B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs.. Primary risk factors monitored: Priced at 42x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is FWONA trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

FWONA last traded at $85.13 (-0.57% on volume of 329,818 shares), positioning the stock -1.82% below its 50-day simple moving average ($86.71) and +0.86% above its 200-day simple moving average ($84.40). Across its 52-week range of $73.70 to $98.79, FWONA sits at the 45.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 52.4 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±5.3% ($80.62 to $89.64).

FWONA Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is FWONA's options positioning and volatility profile?

Roarable tracks verified CBOE unusual options sweeps, put/call ratios, and OHLCV realized volatility bands for FWONA.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 63/100 (C) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

FWONA — Formula One Group (Series A): What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:13:28Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, FWONA scores 63 out of 100, a letter grade of C, labeled "Roarable Hold — Fair / Balanced Risk-Reward." The five pillars are:

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (12/20): Per the RQD rating, ROIC is 3.9% and FCF yield is 1.86%. For an investor, these figures indicate modest returns on invested capital relative to the market price, which limits the cash-generation case for upside at the current valuation.
  • Whale 13F Flow (10/20): Per the RQD rating, this pillar reflects institutional accumulation and options positioning. The score sits below midpoint, suggesting institutional conviction is not a strong tailwind in the source data.
  • Insider Conviction (12/20): Per the RQD rating, this pillar reflects SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. The below-midpoint score indicates insider signaling is not a decisive positive.
  • Macro Regime Fit (13/20): Per the RQD rating, beta is 0.93 and sector sensitivity is factored in. A beta below 1.0 implies the stock has historically moved less than the broader market, which may appeal to investors seeking lower volatility, though the score remains only moderately favorable.
  • Forensic Balance Sheet (16/20): Per the RQD rating, Altman Z is 3.16, Piotroski F is 9/9, and Debt/Equity is 0.65. This is the strongest pillar and suggests financial health is a relative strength.

Taken together, the rating frames FWONA as a balanced proposition: solid balance-sheet quality is offset by weak cash-return metrics and muted ownership signals. Upside drivers the data supports are balance-sheet resilience and the reported net margin of 12.4%. Valuation tradeoffs are notable: per the market data, P/E (TTM) is 41.8 and EV/EBITDA is 36.4, which are high multiples relative to the modest ROIC and FCF yield. Investors weighing the stock would need to consider whether those multiples are supported by growth not captured in these sources.

Snapshot

PriceMarket CapP/E (TTM)Forward P/EEV/EBITDAEPS (TTM)Dividend YieldBeta52-Wk RangeROIC %
85.62$21.47B41.835.136.42.210%0.93$73.7 - $98.793.9%

Business

Per the profile, Liberty Media Corporation Series A (FWONA) is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Communication Services sector, operating in the Broadcasting industry. Per the financials, the company reported FY 2025 revenue of $4482.0M. Not available in source data for the specific products sold, customer base, or detailed revenue model.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$4482.0M$577.0M$555.0MN/AN/A$1055.0M$5048.0M
FY 2024$3653.0M$287.0M$-2063.0MN/AN/A$2631.0M$2966.0M
FY 2023$3572.0M$266.0M$761.0MN/A$2303.3MN/A$2762.6M

Per the SEC financials, revenue grew from $3572.0M in FY 2023 to $4482.0M in FY 2025, and operating income rose from $266.0M to $577.0M over the same span. FY 2024 shows a net loss of $-2063.0M despite positive operating income of $287.0M. Per the market data, operating margin is 12.9% and net margin is 12.4%, with ROIC at 3.9%. Per the RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 3.16 and the Piotroski F-Score is 9/9. Per the RQD rating, Debt/Equity is 0.65, and the balance sheet posture is rated as a relative strength.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news section, six MarketBeat items relate to FWONA, each tagged with a YELLOW signal and a "MARKET WIRE" impact label:

  • A headline reports a consensus price target of $114.67 according to analysts.
  • A headline reports the stock price crossing above its 200-day moving average.
  • A headline notes FWONA is expected to release earnings on Thursday.
  • A headline reports a new $1.03 Million investment by Evergreen Capital Management LLC.
  • Additional headlines cover research commentary and a competitor listing for TKO Group.

Risk watch items: the source data does not describe the content of the earnings release or the drivers of the 200-day crossing. Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, no proprietary signals are present (see below).

Open Questions

  • What is the content and result of the upcoming Thursday earnings release referenced in the news wire?
  • Which specific business lines and customers drive the broadcasting revenue reflected in the financials?
  • Why are FCF and EPS reported as N/A for FY 2024 and FY 2025 when FCF was reported for FY 2023?
  • What explains the FY 2024 net loss of $-2063.0M against positive operating income?
  • What are the individual analyst ratings and ownership changes behind the $114.67 consensus target and the cited institutional investment?

FWONA Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Formula One Group (Series A) (FWONA) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to FWONA Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

FWONA Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $85.13?

🐂 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON FWONA 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on FWONA:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk ⚖️ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $92.47 (+8.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is FWONA (C • RQD 63/100) a Buy at $85.62?

Welcome to the FWONA (Formula One Group (Series A)) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 63/100 (Roarable Hold — Fair / Balanced Risk-Reward) in Broadcasting. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on valuation multiple compression (41.8x trailing P/E). Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

RE RedlineAuditor Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $67.64 (-21.0%)
Spot @ $85.62

Pump the brakes on FWONA — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on FWONA, but look at what you are paying: 41.8x trailing P/E with tightening sector spreads. Unless Formula One Group (Series A) expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

DE DeltaGamma_99 Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $101.89 (+19.0%)
Spot @ $85.62

FWONA cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on FWONA, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Broadcasting and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $85.62 (52-wk range $73.70 - $98.79), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

LIVE TAPE SPY $755.72 -0.38% QQQ $690.49 -1.44% DIA $517.13 -0.37% IWM $279.33 +0.96% NVDA $204.64 -4.22% AAPL $344.63 -1.23% MSFT $521.91 -1.55% TSLA $399.81 -0.86% PLTR $184.11 -6.27% SOFI $16.76 -4.83% IBIT $43.36 -0.94% GLD $355.78 -1.34%