Fortinet Inc. (FTNT) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±12.5% Move

$136.08 -2.17% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $135.88

Fortinet Inc. (FTNT) earns a Roarable Rating of B (Buy) with 74/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (81% profit margin, 20% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

ROARABLE B • BUY Cap $102.06B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is FTNT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, Fortinet Inc. (NASDAQ: FTNT) is rated B (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 74/100 at a spot price of $136.08 (-2.17% 1D, market cap $102.06B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 18/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, Executive Insider Alignment 18/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, FTNT ranks #43 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does FTNT compare to PANW and LOGI in the Technology sector?
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Within the Technology sector (Computer peripheral equipment), FTNT carries a Roarable B (74/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 55.1x, gross margin of 80.5%, and ROIC of 20.2%. By comparison, PANW (Palo Alto Networks Inc.) holds a B grade (72/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 3.9%, cap $311.47B) and LOGI (Logitech International S.A.) posts a B- grade (71/100 RQD, P/E 19.7x, ROIC 48.7%, cap $14.03B). Among the 5-stock peer group, LOGI leads on earnings multiple (19.7x) while LOGI leads on capital efficiency (48.7% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for FTNT?
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Per FTNT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001262039), Fortinet Inc. generated $6.80B in revenue (+14.2% YoY), $1.85B in net income, and $2.28B in free cash flow against $10.39B in total assets and $496.6M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (81% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Priced at 55x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $135.88 (-0.15%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 18/20 (A) • 33.6% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 74/100 (B) historically ranked in the Top 12% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+7.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 69.4% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • B
025507510074
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C+ · Rk A-
Cash (18)Whales (10)SEC (18)Macro (15)CEO (13)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+7.2% Base Target
$207 Bull$146 Base$112 Bear
📬 FREE FTNT RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for FTNT)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (74/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY FTNT SCORES 74/100 (B) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+18/20 pts (24% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 33.6% FCF Margin ($2.28B FCF) & 80.5% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+18/20 pts (24% of score)

Altman Z-Score 8.04 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 9/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning10/20 pts (-10 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-10 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
82
Grade A$190.76-10.4% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
79
Grade A-$170.93+8.2% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
77
Grade B+$185.00-26.4% Next Q
Current
74
Grade B$136.08+7.3% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: A (82) → B (74)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the FTNT Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 74/100 (B) score, FTNT faces multiple-compression risk if 55.1x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Priced at 55x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 78.0% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($170.80) or 200D SMA ($129.02) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($145.88) toward Bear Floor ($111.59).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $FTNT• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “FTNT Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”
NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~57 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±12.5% Swing Band

±$17.01 Expected Swing
$119.07 (-12.5%)Spot $136.08$153.09 (+12.5%)
MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

FTNT Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 74/100

Trailing EPS: $2.53 • YoY Revenue Growth: 14.2%

Model Bullish Setup (74/100)Model Risk Weight (26/100)
Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).
LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

PeriodFiledRevenueNet ProfitFree Cash FlowGross Margin
FY 20252025-12-31$6.80B$1.85B$2.28B80.5%
FY 20242024-12-31$5.96B$1.75B$1.99B80.6%
FY 20232023-12-31$5.30B$1.15B$1.70B80.5%
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Options & Swing Structure Desk

Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating FTNT & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

  • ✓Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on FTNT
  • ✓How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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FTNT // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +52.49%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-02O $174.1H $174.1L $136.1C $136.1VOL 17.36M
RES: $208.0SUP: $126.6SMA50: $170.8SMA200: $129.0
$205.2$171.8$138.5$105.1$71.74RES $208.0SUP $126.6$136.12026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

FTNT Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
39.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +14.2% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on FTNT today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for FTNT. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for FTNT today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (FTNT)

Technology Rank #43 of 714 ⚔️ PANW vs FTNT Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (FTNT vs. PANW, LOGI, CRSR, EVLV)

Industry: Computer peripheral equipment (18 Tracked Issuers)

Across 714 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Fortinet Inc. (FTNT) ranks #43 by composite RQD confidence (74/100, grade B) and #42 by equity capitalization ($102.06B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, LOGI leads on earnings valuation at 19.7x trailing P/E, while LOGI leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 48.7% ROIC and 43.2% gross margin. FTNT currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 74/100 (B).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
FTNT ACTIVE
Fortinet Inc.
B 74/100 55.1x 80.5% 20.2% -2.17% $102.06B Benchmark Subject
PANW
Palo Alto Networks Inc.
B 72/100 — 73.4% 3.9% -3.86% $311.47B /panw-vs-ftnt →
LOGI
Logitech International S.A.
B- 71/100 19.7x 43.2% 48.7% -3.47% $14.03B /logi-vs-ftnt →
CRSR
Corsair Gaming Inc.
D+ 56/100 92.8x 28.9% 0.2% -8.23% $1.49B /crsr-vs-ftnt →
EVLV
Evolv Technologies Holdings Inc. (Class A)
D- 43/100 — 51.6% -35.0% -3.30% $878.5M /evlv-vs-ftnt →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001262039

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Fortinet Inc. (FTNT) reported GAAP revenue of $6.80B (+14.2% vs. FY2024 revenue of $5.96B , and +28.2% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $1.85B, operating cash flow of $2.59B, and free cash flow of $2.28B (+14.8% YoY). On the balance sheet, FTNT closed FY2025 with $10.39B in total assets against $496.6M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 8.04, Piotroski F-Score: 9/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $6.80B $1.85B $2.59B $2.28B $10.39B $496.6M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $5.96B $1.75B $2.26B $1.99B $9.76B $994.3M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $5.30B $1.15B $1.94B $1.70B $56.13B $13.14B

3. FTNT Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is FTNT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Fortinet Inc. (NASDAQ: FTNT) is rated B (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 74/100 at a spot price of $136.08 (-2.17% 1D, market cap $102.06B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 18/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, Executive Insider Alignment 18/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, FTNT ranks #43 in composite RQD confidence.

How does FTNT compare to PANW and LOGI in the Technology sector?

Within the Technology sector (Computer peripheral equipment), FTNT carries a Roarable B (74/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 55.1x, gross margin of 80.5%, and ROIC of 20.2%. By comparison, PANW (Palo Alto Networks Inc.) holds a B grade (72/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 3.9%, cap $311.47B) and LOGI (Logitech International S.A.) posts a B- grade (71/100 RQD, P/E 19.7x, ROIC 48.7%, cap $14.03B). Among the 5-stock peer group, LOGI leads on earnings multiple (19.7x) while LOGI leads on capital efficiency (48.7% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for FTNT?

Per FTNT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001262039), Fortinet Inc. generated $6.80B in revenue (+14.2% YoY), $1.85B in net income, and $2.28B in free cash flow against $10.39B in total assets and $496.6M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (81% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Priced at 55x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is FTNT trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

FTNT last traded at $136.08 (-2.17% on volume of 8,678,036 shares), positioning the stock -20.33% below its 50-day simple moving average ($170.80) and +5.47% above its 200-day simple moving average ($129.02). Across its 52-week range of $73.55 to $197.13, FTNT sits at the 50.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 29.4 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($119.07 to $153.09).

FTNT Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is FTNT's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, Fortinet Inc. (FTNT)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 30, 2026.

How much is FTNT stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±12.5% event move for FTNT, spanning a range between $119.07 and $153.09.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 74/100 (B) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

FTNT — Fortinet Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:09:44Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, FTNT scores 74 out of 100, graded B, with the verdict "Roarable Buy — Good Risk/Reward." The five pillars are:

  • Fundamental Cash Engine: 18 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar reflects ROIC of 20.2% and an FCF yield of 2.24%. For a prospective investor, the high return on invested capital is a genuine strength, but the low FCF yield means the stock's cash generation is priced richly relative to its current price.
  • Whale 13F Flow: 10 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar covers institutional accumulation and options positioning. It is the weakest-scoring pillar, suggesting institutional conviction is only moderate in the source data.
  • Insider Conviction: 13 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar reflects SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. The moderate score indicates insider signals are present but not strongly directional.
  • Macro Regime Fit: 15 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, beta is 1.14 with sector sensitivity noted. For an investor, this implies the stock tends to move somewhat more than the broader market, amplifying both gains and drawdowns in volatile regimes.
  • Forensic Balance Sheet: 18 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, Altman Z is 8.04, Piotroski F is 9/9, and Debt/Equity is 0.4. These readings point to a financially sound balance sheet with low distress risk.

Taken together, the investor implication is that the score is driven by strong profitability and balance-sheet quality, while valuation (see Snapshot) and institutional/insider conviction are the more contested elements. The "Good Risk/Reward" label is a Roarable model output and should be weighed against the valuation multiples and the recent price decline noted below.

Snapshot

PriceMarket CapP/E (TTM)Forward P/EEV/EBITDAEPS (TTM)Dividend YieldBeta52-Wk RangeROIC %
139.1$102.06B55.146.342.72.530%1.14$73.55 - $197.1320.2%

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$6799.6M$2084.7M$1853.4MN/A$2284.6M$2495.3M$496.6M
FY 2024$5955.8M$1803.4M$1745.2MN/A$1990.1M$2875.9M$994.3M
FY 2023$5304.8M$1241.1M$1147.8MN/A$1696.8MN/A$13135.1M

Per the SEC financials, operating margin is 30.7% and net margin is 27.3%, with gross margin at 80.5% per the market data. Per the Roarable RQD rating, ROIC is 20.2%, the Altman Z-Score is 8.04, and the Piotroski F-Score is 9/9. The balance sheet posture is low-leverage per the Debt/Equity reading of 0.4 in the RQD rating, though the FY 2023 debt figure of $13135.1M against FY 2025 debt of $496.6M shows a large shift that the source does not explain.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news feed, headlines include a report on a 119.9% rise over six months, a report on a more-than-20% single-day plunge, and reports stating earnings topped views while billings growth underwhelmed. A MarketWatch headline describes the stock "taking a dive after earnings," and a Reuters headline attributes a software-sector slide to Fortinet and ServiceNow failing to meet investor expectations. Per the market data, the stock change is -20.09%. Watch items include billings growth and expectation risk following earnings. The Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph reports no proprietary signals and no links.

Open Questions

  • What drove the reported change from FY 2023 to FY 2025 in debt (from $13135.1M to $496.6M), and was it a repayment, reclassification, or other event?
  • What is the EPS for FY 2023 through FY 2025, since the financials list EPS as N/A for all periods?
  • What is the cash balance for FY 2023, which the source lists as N/A?
  • What specific billings figures underlie the reported earnings-versus-billings divergence?
  • What portion of the 52-week range move and recent -20.09% change reflects company-specific news versus sector-wide software repricing?

FTNT Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Fortinet Inc. (FTNT) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to FTNT Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

FTNT Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $136.08?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON FTNT 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on FTNT:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $164.14 (+18.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is FTNT (B • RQD 74/100) a Buy at $139.10?

Welcome to the FTNT (Fortinet Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 74/100 (Roarable Buy — Good Risk/Reward) in Computer peripheral equipment. Bulls point to capital efficiency (20.2% ROIC), while bears focus on valuation multiple compression (55.1x trailing P/E). Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

SK SkepticalCFA Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $109.89 (-21.0%)
Spot @ $139.10

Pump the brakes on FTNT — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on FTNT, but look at what you are paying: 55.1x trailing P/E with 80.5% gross margins. Unless Fortinet Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

SI SiliconVal_Bull Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $165.53 (+19.0%)
Spot @ $139.10

FTNT cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on FTNT, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Computer peripheral equipment and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $139.10 (52-wk range $73.55 - $197.13), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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