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Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / FTDR / earnings
ADT (69) EQPT (40) KFY (75) ABM (64) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Frontdoor Inc. (FTDR) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±6.6% Move

$87.62 +0.31% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $87.88

Frontdoor Inc. (FTDR) earns a Roarable Rating of A (Strong Buy) with 86/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (55% profit margin, 51% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 86/100 (A) historically ranked in the Top 5% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+9.2% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 73.2% hit rate) →
ROARABLE A • STRONG BUY Cap $6.02B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on FTDR Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is FTDR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, Frontdoor Inc. (NASDAQ: FTDR) is rated A (Strong Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 86/100 at a spot price of $87.62 (+0.31% 1D, market cap $6.02B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 20/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 17/20, Executive Insider Alignment 18/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 19/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, FTDR ranks #5 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does FTDR compare to ADT and EQPT in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Diversified Commercial Services), FTDR carries a Roarable A (86/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 23.6x, gross margin of 55.3%, and ROIC of 51.1%. By comparison, ADT (ADT Inc.) holds a C+ grade (69/100 RQD, P/E 12.1x, ROIC 9.3%, cap $7.21B) and EQPT (EquipmentShare.com Inc) posts a D- grade (40/100 RQD, P/E 115.2x, ROIC 6.7%, cap $4.61B). Among the 5-stock peer group, ADT leads on earnings multiple (12.1x) while FTDR leads on capital efficiency (51.1% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for FTDR?
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Per FTDR's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001727263), Frontdoor Inc. generated $2.09B in revenue (+13.6% YoY), $255.0M in net income, and $390.0M in free cash flow against $2.14B in total assets and $501.2M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (55% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $87.88 (+0.30%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-3.20% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 20/20 (A+) • 18.6% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 86/100 (A) historically ranked in the Top 5% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+9.2% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 73.2% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSTRONG BUY • A
025507510086
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw A+ · Rk B
Cash (20)Whales (17)SEC (18)Macro (12)CEO (19)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+12.6% Base Target
$116 Bull$99 Base$72 Bear
📬 FREE FTDR RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for FTDR)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6.6%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (86/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY FTDR SCORES 86/100 (A) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+20/20 pts (23% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 18.6% FCF Margin ($390.0M FCF) & 55.3% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+19/20 pts (22% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 86% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-3.20% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit12/20 pts (-8 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (67.9) create a -8 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
78
Grade A-$77.83+3.4% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
81
Grade A-$80.48+5% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
83
Grade A$84.52+3.7% Next Q
Current
86
Grade A$87.62+9.2% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: A- (78) → A (86)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the FTDR Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 86/100 (A) score, FTDR faces multiple-compression risk if 23.6x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-3.20% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 52.8% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($80.12) or 200D SMA ($69.66) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($98.66) toward Bear Floor ($71.85).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $FTDR• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “FTDR Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 86%NO 14%Trade / Inspect Odds →
NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~57 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±6.6% Swing Band

±$5.78 Expected Swing
$81.84 (-6.6%)Spot $87.62$93.40 (+6.6%)
MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

FTDR Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 86/100

Trailing EPS: $3.70 • YoY Revenue Growth: 13.6%

Model Bullish Setup (86/100)Model Risk Weight (14/100)
Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).
LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

PeriodFiledRevenueNet ProfitFree Cash FlowGross Margin
FY 20252025-12-31$2.09B$255.0M$390.0M55.3%
FY 20242024-12-31$1.84B$235.0M$231.0M53.8%
FY 20232023-12-31$1.78B$171.0M$121.9M55.3%
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Options & Swing Structure Desk

Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating FTDR & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

  • ✓Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on FTDR
  • ✓How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena
FTDR // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +37.27%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-11-02O $84.20H $87.62L $84.20C $87.62VOL 490.8K
RES: $88.28SUP: $70.43SMA50: $80.12SMA200: $69.66
$95.80$85.98$76.15$66.33$56.50RES $88.28SUP $70.43$87.622026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

FTDR Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 FTDR Butterfly Map → + Track FTDR →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
17.4%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +13.6% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on FTDR today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for FTDR. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for FTDR today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (FTDR)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #5 of 1011 ⚔️ ADT vs FTDR Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (FTDR vs. ADT, EQPT, KFY, ABM)

Industry: Diversified Commercial Services (32 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Frontdoor Inc. (FTDR) ranks #5 by composite RQD confidence (86/100, grade A) and #238 by equity capitalization ($6.02B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ADT leads on earnings valuation at 12.1x trailing P/E, while FTDR leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 51.1% ROIC and 55.3% gross margin. FTDR currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 86/100 (A).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
FTDR ACTIVE
Frontdoor Inc.
A 86/100 23.6x 55.3% 51.1% +0.31% $6.02B Benchmark Subject
ADT
ADT Inc.
C+ 69/100 12.1x — 9.3% -0.10% $7.21B /adt-vs-ftdr →
EQPT
EquipmentShare.com Inc
D- 40/100 115.2x 60.7% 6.7% -5.50% $4.61B /eqpt-vs-ftdr →
KFY
Korn Ferry
B 75/100 14.8x — 20.2% +0.83% $4.14B /kfy-vs-ftdr →
ABM
ABM Industries Incorporated
C 64/100 19.5x 12.3% 7.6% -0.83% $3.16B /abm-vs-ftdr →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001727263

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Frontdoor Inc. (FTDR) reported GAAP revenue of $2.09B (+13.6% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.84B , and +17.6% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $255.0M, operating cash flow of $416.0M, and free cash flow of $390.0M (+68.8% YoY). On the balance sheet, FTDR closed FY2025 with $2.14B in total assets against $501.2M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 5.61, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $2.09B $255.0M $416.0M $390.0M $2.14B $501.2M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $1.84B $235.0M $270.0M $231.0M $2.11B $493.0M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $1.78B $171.0M $202.0M $121.9M $3.31B $774.5M

3. FTDR Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is FTDR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Frontdoor Inc. (NASDAQ: FTDR) is rated A (Strong Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 86/100 at a spot price of $87.62 (+0.31% 1D, market cap $6.02B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 20/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 17/20, Executive Insider Alignment 18/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 19/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, FTDR ranks #5 in composite RQD confidence.

How does FTDR compare to ADT and EQPT in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Diversified Commercial Services), FTDR carries a Roarable A (86/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 23.6x, gross margin of 55.3%, and ROIC of 51.1%. By comparison, ADT (ADT Inc.) holds a C+ grade (69/100 RQD, P/E 12.1x, ROIC 9.3%, cap $7.21B) and EQPT (EquipmentShare.com Inc) posts a D- grade (40/100 RQD, P/E 115.2x, ROIC 6.7%, cap $4.61B). Among the 5-stock peer group, ADT leads on earnings multiple (12.1x) while FTDR leads on capital efficiency (51.1% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for FTDR?

Per FTDR's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001727263), Frontdoor Inc. generated $2.09B in revenue (+13.6% YoY), $255.0M in net income, and $390.0M in free cash flow against $2.14B in total assets and $501.2M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (55% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is FTDR trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

FTDR last traded at $87.62 (+0.31% on volume of 524,037 shares), positioning the stock +9.36% above its 50-day simple moving average ($80.12) and +25.78% above its 200-day simple moving average ($69.66). Across its 52-week range of $48.47 to $93.43, FTDR sits at the 87.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 67.9 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.6% ($81.84 to $93.40).

FTDR Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is FTDR's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, Frontdoor Inc. (FTDR)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 30, 2026.

How much is FTDR stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±6.6% event move for FTDR, spanning a range between $81.84 and $93.4.

Direct Sub-Reports: FTDR RQD Cockpit FTDR 12M Forecast FTDR Earnings & Move FTDR Dividends & DRIP FTDR Insiders & 13F FTDR Whale Options FTDR Profit Sankey FTDR News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 86/100 (A) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

FTDR — Frontdoor Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:19:31Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, FTDR scores 86 out of 100 for an A grade, labeled "Roarable Strong Buy — Excellent Cash & Whale Support." The five pillars are: Fundamental Cash Engine at 20 of 20 (ROIC 51.1%; FCF yield 6.48%), Whale 13F Flow at 17 of 20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning), Insider Conviction at 19 of 20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow), Macro Regime Fit at 12 of 20 (Beta 0.98; sector sensitivity), and Forensic Balance Sheet at 18 of 20 (Altman Z 5.61; Piotroski F 8/9; Debt/Equity 1.78). For a prospective investor, the top two pillars point to strong cash generation and high capital efficiency. The lowest pillar, Macro Regime Fit, indicates the score gives less credit to how the stock is positioned against the macro environment, so the rating is weaker on that dimension. The Debt/Equity of 1.78 is a valuation and balance-sheet tradeoff worth weighing even though the forensic pillar is strong. The rating is a composite of the provided signals and does not by itself describe future returns.

Snapshot

PriceMarket CapP/E (TTM)Forward P/EEV/EBITDAEPS (TTM)Dividend YieldBeta52-Wk RangeROIC %
87.35$6.02B23.619.817.73.70%0.98$48.47 - $93.4351.1%

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$2093.0M$300.9M$255.0MN/A$390.0M$566.0M$501.2M
FY 2024$1843.0M$277.3M$235.0MN/A$231.0M$421.0M$493.0M
FY 2023$1780.0M$201.8M$171.0MN/A$121.9MN/A$774.5M

Per the SEC financials, revenue, operating income, net income, and free cash flow each rose from FY 2023 through FY 2025, and debt declined from $774.5M to $501.2M over the same span. Market data reports a gross margin of 55.3%, operating margin of 14.9%, and net margin of 12.2%, with ROIC of 51.1%. The Altman Z-Score of 5.61 and Piotroski F-Score of 8/9 are cited within the RQD forensic pillar. Debt/Equity is 1.78 per the RQD rating.

Open Questions

  • What drives the FY 2025 EPS field being reported as N/A while net income is $255.0M, and what is the share count used for the $3.7 TTM EPS figure?
  • What is the FY 2023 cash balance, which is reported as N/A?
  • What specific customer, product, and revenue-mix details underlie the Diversified Commercial Services classification?
  • What do the buyback and raised-outlook headlines specify in terms of amounts, guidance figures, and timing?
  • Which individual SEC Form 4, 13F, and Congressional filings make up the cited insider and whale signals?

FTDR Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Frontdoor Inc. (FTDR) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to FTDR Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

FTDR Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $87.62?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON FTDR 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on FTDR:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $103.07 (+18.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is FTDR (A • RQD 86/100) a Buy at $87.35?

Welcome to the FTDR (Frontdoor Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 86/100 (Roarable Strong Buy — Excellent Cash & Whale Support) in Diversified Commercial Services. Bulls point to capital efficiency (51.1% ROIC), while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

RI RiskArb_Desk Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $72.50 (-17.0%)
Spot @ $87.35

Pump the brakes on FTDR — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on FTDR, but look at what you are paying: 23.6x trailing P/E with 55.3% gross margins. Unless Frontdoor Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

MI MidwestValue Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $104.82 (+20.0%)
Spot @ $87.35

FTDR cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on FTDR, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Diversified Commercial Services and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $87.35 (52-wk range $48.47 - $93.43), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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