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Stock Ratings / Financials / FRPH / options
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FRP Holdings Inc. (FRPH) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$18.86 +0.59% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $18.84

FRP Holdings Inc. (FRPH) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 28/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $360.0M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is FRPH stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, FRP Holdings Inc. (NASDAQ: FRPH) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 28/100 at a spot price of $18.86 (+0.59% 1D, market cap $360.0M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 7/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 5/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, FRPH ranks #1036 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does FRPH compare to BOC and ARL in the Financials sector?
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Within the Financials sector (Real Estate), FRPH carries a Roarable E (28/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 114.6x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 1.3%. By comparison, BOC (Boston Omaha Corporation (Class A)) holds a E grade (31/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -0.6%, cap $389.8M) and ARL (American Realty Investors Inc.) posts a D- grade (38/100 RQD, P/E 18.4x, ROIC -0.8%, cap $298.0M). Among the 5-stock peer group, ARL leads on earnings multiple (18.4x) while FRPH leads on capital efficiency (1.3% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for FRPH?
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Per FRPH's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000844059), FRP Holdings Inc. generated $42.8M in revenue (+2.6% YoY), $3.2M in net income, and -$21.5M in free cash flow against $735.1M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $18.84 (-0.08%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 7/20 (D-) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (28/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-10.0% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E
025507510028
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk D-
Cash (7)Whales (3)SEC (10)Macro (5)CEO (3)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-13.5% Base Target
$27 Bull$16 Base$13 Bear
📬 FREE FRPH RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for FRPH)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±5.8%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (28/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY FRPH SCORES 28/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+10/20 pts (36% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 3/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+7/20 pts (25% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
36
Grade E$19.99-5.5% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
33
Grade E$18.90-1.2% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
31
Grade E$18.67+1% Next Q
Current
28
Grade E$18.86-10% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: E (36) → E (28)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a FRPH Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While FRPH currently carries a cautious 28/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($20.61) and Max Pain ($19.80) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $27.03.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $FRPH• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “FRPH Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 28%NO 72%Trade / Inspect Odds →
CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE
— (No Active Options Snapshot)
Put/Call Ratio: — (No Active Options Snapshot)
MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET
— (No Active Options Snapshot)
No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file
HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING
±5.8%
Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (FRPH)

— (No Active Options Snapshot) — No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for FRPH.

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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring FRPH)

  • ✓Walkthrough of FRPH's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
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FRPH // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -9.76%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-11-03O $18.94H $18.94L $18.75C $18.86VOL 107.9K
RES: $19.02SUP: $18.08SMA50: $20.61SMA200: $22.37
$26.26$24.10$21.93$19.76$17.60RES $19.02SUP $18.08$18.862026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

FRPH Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 FRPH Butterfly Map → + Track FRPH →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
48.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +2.6% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on FRPH today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for FRPH. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for FRPH today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (FRPH)

Financials Rank #1036 of 1096 ⚔️ BOC vs FRPH Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (FRPH vs. BOC, ARL, OPI, TRC)

Industry: Real Estate (54 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, FRP Holdings Inc. (FRPH) ranks #1036 by composite RQD confidence (28/100, grade E) and #771 by equity capitalization ($360.0M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ARL leads on earnings valuation at 18.4x trailing P/E, while FRPH leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 1.3% ROIC and — gross margin. TRC currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 44/100 (D) compared with FRPH at 28/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
FRPH ACTIVE
FRP Holdings Inc.
E 28/100 114.6x — 1.3% +0.59% $360.0M Benchmark Subject
BOC
Boston Omaha Corporation (Class A)
E 31/100 — — -0.6% +4.02% $389.8M /boc-vs-frph →
ARL
American Realty Investors Inc.
D- 38/100 18.4x — -0.8% +3.52% $298.0M /arl-vs-frph →
OPI
Office Properties Income Trust of
E 22/100 — — -30.9% -4.23% $295.9M /opi-vs-frph →
TRC
Tejon Ranch Co
D 44/100 — — -1.3% -0.92% $442.6M /trc-vs-frph →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000844059

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), FRP Holdings Inc. (FRPH) reported GAAP revenue of $42.8M (+2.6% vs. FY2024 revenue of $41.8M , and +3.2% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $3.2M, operating cash flow of $29.7M, and free cash flow of -$21.5M (+3.4% YoY). On the balance sheet, FRPH closed FY2025 with $735.1M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $42.8M $3.2M $29.7M -$21.5M $735.1M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $41.8M $6.4M $29.0M -$22.2M $728.5M —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $41.5M $5.3M $33.0M $33.0M — —

3. FRPH Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is FRPH stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, FRP Holdings Inc. (NASDAQ: FRPH) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 28/100 at a spot price of $18.86 (+0.59% 1D, market cap $360.0M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 7/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 5/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, FRPH ranks #1036 in composite RQD confidence.

How does FRPH compare to BOC and ARL in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Real Estate), FRPH carries a Roarable E (28/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 114.6x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 1.3%. By comparison, BOC (Boston Omaha Corporation (Class A)) holds a E grade (31/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -0.6%, cap $389.8M) and ARL (American Realty Investors Inc.) posts a D- grade (38/100 RQD, P/E 18.4x, ROIC -0.8%, cap $298.0M). Among the 5-stock peer group, ARL leads on earnings multiple (18.4x) while FRPH leads on capital efficiency (1.3% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for FRPH?

Per FRPH's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000844059), FRP Holdings Inc. generated $42.8M in revenue (+2.6% YoY), $3.2M in net income, and -$21.5M in free cash flow against $735.1M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is FRPH trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

FRPH last traded at $18.86 (+0.59% on volume of 127,667 shares), positioning the stock -8.49% below its 50-day simple moving average ($20.61) and -15.69% below its 200-day simple moving average ($22.37). Across its 52-week range of $18.27 to $25.74, FRPH sits at the 7.9% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 35.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±5.8% ($17.77 to $19.95).

Direct Sub-Reports: FRPH RQD Cockpit FRPH 12M Forecast FRPH Earnings & Move FRPH Dividends & DRIP FRPH Insiders & 13F FRPH Whale Options FRPH Profit Sankey FRPH News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 28/100 (E) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

FRPH — FRP Holdings Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

FRP Holdings Inc. (FRPH) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 28/100, corresponding to a E letter grade (Roarable Strong Sell) at a spot price of $18.86 (+0.59% 1D, market capitalization $360.0M).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (7/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 1.3%, gross margin of —, operating margin of 16.4%, and free cash flow yield of -5.90%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (3/20) + Insider Conviction (10/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (5/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (3/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of 3/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

FRP Holdings Inc. (FRPH) is a NASDAQ-listed issuer classified under the Financials sector and the Real Estate industry. Per the financials, the company reported revenue of $42.8M for FY 2025 and $41.8M for FY 2024.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), FRP Holdings Inc. (FRPH) reported $42.8M in annual revenue (up from $41.8M in FY2024, +2.6% YoY) and $3.2M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($41.5M revenue, $5.3M net income) through FY2025, FRPH scaled operating cash flow to $29.7M and free cash flow to -$21.5M, backed by $735.1M in total assets against $0 in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (E • RQD 28/100): Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of -5.90% and institutional whale pillar of 3/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 7/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 3/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $18.27 – $25.74 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh 114.6x trailing P/E and 7.2x EV/EBITDA against 16.4% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Operating in Real Estate (Financials), FRPH carries a macro regime beta of 1.00 and gross margin of —.

  • Key Question #1: Can FRPH sustain or expand its 16.4% operating margin and 1.3% ROIC against Real Estate peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $42.8M and free cash flow of -$21.5M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is FRPH's 106.6x forward P/E multiple to Financials capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

FRPH Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for FRP Holdings Inc. (FRPH) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to FRPH Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

FRPH Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $18.86?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON FRPH 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on FRPH:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
TA TapeReader_Pro RQD DEBATE OPENER • Price Action & Volume Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $22.12 (+18.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Balance-sheet pillar at 10/20 with Altman Z 2.5 and Debt/Equity 0.5 suggests financial strain is not the dominant risk.

Here is why I am bullish on FRPH here at $18.75: Balance-sheet pillar at 10/20 with Altman Z 2.5 and Debt/Equity 0.5 suggests financial strain is not the dominant risk.. Compare FRPH's 16.4% operating margin and 1.3% ROIC against the rest of Real Estate. As long as cash conversion holds up, dips toward $17.81 are getting bought.

SectorRotator 🐂 BULL

@TapeReader_Pro Agree on the RQD 28/100 quality, though with 1.0 beta I'm scaling in with half-size at $18.75 and keeping dry powder in case we test $17.44.

CR CreditSpread_Watch RQD DEBATE OPENER • Balance Sheet Analyst 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $15.00 (-20.0%)
Spot @ $18.75

Negative FCF yield of -5.9% and ROIC of 1.3% at a P/E of 114.6 show weak cash generation relative to the share price.

Negative FCF yield of -5.9% and ROIC of 1.3% at a P/E of 114.6 show weak cash generation relative to the share price.. Look at the math on FRPH: paying 114.6x trailing P/E for 1.3% ROIC and 16.4% operating margins leaves zero margin of safety if Real Estate demand softens. I'd wait for a retest of $16.50 before getting long.

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