Fox Factory Holding Corp. (FOXF) Dividend Safety Gauge & 10-Year DRIP Compounder

$15.99 -2.08% NASDAQ β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $15.90

Fox Factory Holding Corp. (FOXF) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 39/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D- β€’ RED ALERT Cap $686.4M
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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πŸ€– Mara Quenwick β€’ AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is FOXF stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
β–Ό

As of 2026-11-02, Fox Factory Holding Corp. (NASDAQ: FOXF) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 39/100 at a spot price of $15.99 (-2.08% 1D, market cap $686.4M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 5/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, FOXF ranks #749 in composite RQD confidence.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does FOXF compare to LVWR and HOG in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
β–Ό

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Motor Vehicles), FOXF carries a Roarable D- (39/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 30.2%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, LVWR (LiveWire Group Inc.) holds a E grade (20/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $184.9M) and HOG (Harley-Davidson Inc.) posts a B grade (75/100 RQD, P/E 9.3x, ROIC 18.0%, cap $3.16B). Among the 5-stock peer group, LKQ leads on earnings multiple (7.5x) while HOG leads on capital efficiency (18.0% ROIC).

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for FOXF?
β–Ό

Per FOXF's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-01-02, CIK 0001424929), Fox Factory Holding Corp. generated $1.47B in revenue (+5.3% YoY), -$544.6M in net income, and $27.0M in free cash flow against $1.67B in total assets and $496.7M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $15.90 (-0.56%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 9/20 (D) β€’ 1.8% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (39/100 Β· D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-7.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT β€’ D-
025507510039
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- Β· Rk D-
Cash (9)Whales (6)SEC (10)Macro (5)CEO (9)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-8.6% Base Target
$24 Bull$15 Base$11 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE FOXF RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for FOXF)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±11.3%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (39/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY FOXF SCORES 39/100 (D-) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+10/20 pts (26% of score)

Altman Z-Score 0.88 (DISTRESS RISK (<1.8)) β€’ Piotroski F-Score 7/9

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+9/20 pts (23% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 1.8% FCF Margin ($27.0M FCF) & 30.2% Gross Margin

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit5/20 pts (-15 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (45.6) create a -15 pt regime headwind

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
47
Grade D$18.02-17.9% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
44
Grade D$14.79-0.4% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
42
Grade D$14.73+8.6% Next Q
Current
39
Grade D-$15.99-7.6% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: D (47) β†’ D- (39)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a FOXF Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

While FOXF currently carries a cautious 39/100 (D-) rating due to Macro Regime Fit (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($18.43) and Max Pain ($16.79) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $24.22.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $FOXFβ€’ $2.4M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œFOXF Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Jan 1, 2027) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
CASH DIVIDEND + BUYBACK YIELD
1.8% Total Yield
0% Cash ($0.00/yr) + 1.8% Buybacks
PAYOUT SAFETY SPEEDOMETER
74/100 β€’ REINVESTING IN GROWTH + BUYBACKS
FREE CASH FLOW PAYOUT RATIO
0% (100% Reinvested)
Retains cash flow for R&D and share repurchases
INTERACTIVE DRIP & SHAREHOLDER-YIELD COMPOUNDER (5.5% EST. ANNUAL)

$10,000 Compounded Over 10 Years β†’ $17,081

Est. Year-10 Shareholder Yield: $307/yr
$10.6K
Yr 1
$11.1K
Yr 2
$11.7K
Yr 3
$12.4K
Yr 4
$13.1K
Yr 5
$13.8K
Yr 6
$14.5K
Yr 7
$15.3K
Yr 8
$16.2K
Yr 9
$17.1K
Yr 10
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP β€’ SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring FOXF)

  • βœ“Walkthrough of FOXF's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • βœ“3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • βœ“Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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FOXF // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -5.05%πŸ“ HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-02O $15.49H $16.33L $15.49C $15.99VOL 561.7K
RES: $23.03SUP: $14.33SMA50: $18.43SMA200: $18.12
$22.63$20.40$18.17$15.94$13.71RES $23.03SUP $14.33$15.992026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-172026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

FOXF Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +5.3% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on FOXF today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for FOXF. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for FOXF today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (FOXF)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #749 of 1011 βš”οΈ LVWR vs FOXF Full Matrix β†’

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (FOXF vs. LVWR, HOG, LKQ, INEO)

Industry: Motor Vehicles (8 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Fox Factory Holding Corp. (FOXF) ranks #749 by composite RQD confidence (39/100, grade D-) and #557 by equity capitalization ($686.4M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, LKQ leads on earnings valuation at 7.5x trailing P/E, while HOG leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 18.0% ROIC and 23.9% gross margin. HOG currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 75/100 (B) compared with FOXF at 39/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
FOXF ACTIVE
Fox Factory Holding Corp.
D- 39/100 β€” 30.2% -35.0% -2.08% $686.4M Benchmark Subject
LVWR
LiveWire Group Inc.
E 20/100 β€” -17.3% -35.0% -26.67% $184.9M /lvwr-vs-foxf β†’
HOG
Harley-Davidson Inc.
B 75/100 9.3x 23.9% 18.0% +2.93% $3.16B /hog-vs-foxf β†’
LKQ
LKQ Corporation
D+ 56/100 7.5x 38.6% 8.5% +2.54% $4.58B /lkq-vs-foxf β†’
INEO
INNEOVA Holdings Limited (Class A)
D 44/100 β€” 19.2% -1.0% -7.00% $9.2M /ineo-vs-foxf β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2026-01-02 β€’ CIK 0001424929

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2026-01-02), Fox Factory Holding Corp. (FOXF) reported GAAP revenue of $1.47B (+5.3% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.39B , and +0.2% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$544.6M, operating cash flow of $60.9M, and free cash flow of $27.0M (-69.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, FOXF closed FY2025 with $1.67B in total assets against $496.7M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.88, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2026-01-02 $1.47B -$544.6M $60.9M $27.0M $1.67B $496.7M
FY2024 (FY) 2025-01-03 $1.39B $6.5M $131.8M $87.8M $2.23B $527.8M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-29 $1.46B $120.8M $178.7M $178.7M β€” β€”

3. FOXF Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is FOXF stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Fox Factory Holding Corp. (NASDAQ: FOXF) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 39/100 at a spot price of $15.99 (-2.08% 1D, market cap $686.4M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 5/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, FOXF ranks #749 in composite RQD confidence.

How does FOXF compare to LVWR and HOG in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Motor Vehicles), FOXF carries a Roarable D- (39/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 30.2%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, LVWR (LiveWire Group Inc.) holds a E grade (20/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $184.9M) and HOG (Harley-Davidson Inc.) posts a B grade (75/100 RQD, P/E 9.3x, ROIC 18.0%, cap $3.16B). Among the 5-stock peer group, LKQ leads on earnings multiple (7.5x) while HOG leads on capital efficiency (18.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for FOXF?

Per FOXF's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-01-02, CIK 0001424929), Fox Factory Holding Corp. generated $1.47B in revenue (+5.3% YoY), -$544.6M in net income, and $27.0M in free cash flow against $1.67B in total assets and $496.7M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is FOXF trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

FOXF last traded at $15.99 (-2.08% on volume of 1,309,734 shares), positioning the stock -13.24% below its 50-day simple moving average ($18.43) and -11.75% below its 200-day simple moving average ($18.12). Across its 52-week range of $13.08 to $23.07, FOXF sits at the 29.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 45.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±11.3% ($14.18 to $17.80).

FOXF Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS β€’ SEC EDGAR Γ— CBOE Γ— FRED

Does FOXF pay a dividend and is it safe?

Fox Factory Holding Corp. (FOXF) offers a 0% cash dividend yield ($0.00 annualized) and 1.8% total shareholder yield including buybacks. Roarable rates its payout coverage as REINVESTING IN GROWTH + BUYBACKS.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 39/100 (D-) βœ“ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

FOXF β€” Fox Factory Holding Corp.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:33:51Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, FOXF scores 39 / 100 with a letter grade of D- and a verdict label of "Roarable Sell β€” Vulnerable Balance Sheet & Flow." The five pillars are:

  • Fundamental Cash Engine: 9 / 20. The rating cites ROIC of -35% and an FCF yield of 3.93%. Negative ROIC means the company is currently not earning a return on invested capital; the modest FCF yield is the main offsetting cash-generation datapoint.
  • Whale 13F Flow: 6 / 20. The rating references institutional accumulation and options positioning. The holders section contains no 13F detail, so the underlying positioning cannot be verified from the source data provided.
  • Insider Conviction: 9 / 20. The rating references SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. No insider transaction records are included in the source data.
  • Macro Regime Fit: 5 / 20. The rating cites a beta of 1.0 and sector sensitivity, indicating the stock is expected to move in line with the broader market rather than dampen it.
  • Forensic Balance Sheet: 10 / 20. The rating cites an Altman Z-Score of 0.88, a Piotroski F-Score of 7/9, and a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.74. The low Altman Z-Score is the most significant distress flag in this pillar; the Piotroski score is comparatively stronger.

For a prospective investor evaluating the stock today, the rating's weakest pillars (Macro Regime Fit and Whale/Insider flow) and the negative ROIC point toward a stock with limited current earnings support and a stressed balance sheet. The strongest upside driver cited in the source data is the FCF yield and the Piotroski score; the main valuation tradeoff is that without reported EPS or forward P/E data, earnings-based valuation cannot be assessed from the source material. Second-order risk centers on the balance sheet: the distress-zone Altman Z-Score combined with the operating loss means refinancing and liquidity conditions warrant close monitoring.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$1467.3M$-522.9M$-544.6MN/A$27.0M$58.0M$496.7M
FY 2024$1393.9M$57.7M$6.5MN/A$87.8M$71.7M$527.8M
FY 2023$1464.2M$160.1M$120.8MN/A$178.7MN/AN/A

Per the SEC financials, revenue was broadly stable across the three reported periods, while operating income swung from $160.1M in FY 2023 to $57.7M in FY 2024 and then to $-522.9M in FY 2025. The market data reports an operating margin of -35.6% and a net margin of -37.1%, with a gross margin of 30.2%. ROIC is -35% per the market data section. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 0.88 and the Piotroski F-Score is 7/9, with a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.74. Cash declined from $71.7M to $58.0M between FY 2024 and FY 2025 while reported debt fell from $527.8M to $496.7M.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

  • Full-year guidance cut and CEO departure (RISK WATCH, GuruFocus): Headline reports a stock drop of over 18% following a full-year guidance cut and CEO departure.
  • Price target cut (RISK WATCH, TradingView): Headline reports a 12-month price target cut to $19.33, which it states implies 21% upside.
  • Gap down (MARKET WIRE, MarketBeat): Headline reports shares gapping down.
  • Consumer cyclical sentiment (MARKET WIRE, The Globe and Mail): Headline reports conflicting analyst sentiment across FOXF and EVgo.
  • Market wire items (MARKET WIRE, Yahoo! Finance Canada and Yahoo Finance UK): Generic quote and history pages with no substantive event detail.

The news wire shows two RED-flagged risk items centered on guidance, leadership change, and price-target revision. The price-target headline is reported alongside a 5.42% price change in the market data section. The Butterfly supply-chain graph contains no proprietary signals.

Open Questions

  • What are the company's reported EPS and trailing/forward valuation multiples, given that P/E, EV/EBITDA, and EPS are all absent from the source data?
  • What drove the operating loss swing from $57.7M in FY 2024 to $-522.9M in FY 2025, and what portion reflects one-time items versus recurring operations?
  • What are the terms, maturities, and covenant status of the $496.7M in reported debt against $58.0M in cash?
  • What were the specifics of the full-year guidance cut and CEO departure, and what replacement or transition plan is in place?
  • What are the company's products, customers, and revenue segments, which the source data does not describe?

FOXF Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Fox Factory Holding Corp. (FOXF) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to FOXF Debate Forum (3) ↓
πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

FOXF Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $15.99?

πŸ‚ 33% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON FOXF 🐻 67% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on FOXF:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $14.37 (-12.0%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

πŸ”₯ Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is FOXF (D- β€’ RQD 39/100) a Buy at $16.33?

Welcome to the FOXF (Fox Factory Holding Corp.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 39/100 (Roarable Sell β€” Vulnerable Balance Sheet & Flow) in Motor Vehicles. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (πŸ‚ Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

SH ShortSeller_Dan Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $12.74 (-22.0%)
Spot @ $16.33

Pump the brakes on FOXF β€” check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on FOXF, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with 30.2% gross margins. Unless Fox Factory Holding Corp. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

DE DeltaGamma_99 Verified K Arena Trader πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $19.60 (+20.0%)
Spot @ $16.33

FOXF cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on FOXF, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Motor Vehicles and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $16.33 (52-wk range $13.08 - $23.07), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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