FedEx Corporation (FDX) Dividend Safety Gauge & 10-Year DRIP Compounder

$313.28 +1.77% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $315.03

FedEx Corporation (FDX) earns a Roarable Rating of B (Buy) with 73/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (steady margins, 11% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

ROARABLE B • BUY Cap $72.09B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is FDX stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, FedEx Corporation (NYSE: FDX) is rated B (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 73/100 at a spot price of $313.28 (+1.77% 1D, market cap $72.09B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 16/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 14/20, Executive Insider Alignment 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 15/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, FDX ranks #86 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does FDX compare to DAL and UAL in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Air Freight/Delivery Services), FDX carries a Roarable B (73/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 10.9%. By comparison, DAL (Delta Air Lines Inc.) holds a B- grade (70/100 RQD, P/E 10.7x, ROIC 16.2%, cap $53.71B) and UAL (United Airlines Holdings Inc.) posts a D+ grade (56/100 RQD, P/E 10.2x, ROIC 14.0%, cap $34.18B). Among the 5-stock peer group, UAL leads on earnings multiple (10.2x) while DAL leads on capital efficiency (16.2% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for FDX?
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Per FDX's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-05-31, CIK 0001048911), FedEx Corporation generated $94.72B in revenue (+7.7% YoY), $4.4K in net income, and $4.66B in free cash flow against $89.18B in total assets and $20.87B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $315.03 (+0.56%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 16/20 (B+) • 4.9% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 73/100 (B) historically ranked in the Top 13% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+7.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 69.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • B
025507510073
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B · Rk B-
Cash (16)Whales (14)SEC (16)Macro (12)CEO (15)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+6.8% Base Target
$395 Bull$334 Base$257 Bear
📬 FREE FDX RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for FDX)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±4.7%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (73/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY FDX SCORES 73/100 (B) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+16/20 pts (22% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 4.9% FCF Margin ($4.66B FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+16/20 pts (22% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.00 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 9/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit12/20 pts (-8 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (57.9) create a -8 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
65
Grade C+$290.59+2.8% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
68
Grade B-$298.76+2.8% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
70
Grade B$307.10+2% Next Q
Current
73
Grade B$313.28+7.1% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C+ (65) → B (73)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the FDX Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 73/100 (B) score, FDX faces multiple-compression risk if current valuation multiples re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($303.43) or 200D SMA ($305.32) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($334.43) toward Bear Floor ($256.89).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $FDX• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “FDX Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Nov 29, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
CASH DIVIDEND + BUYBACK YIELD
3.71% Total Yield
1.91% Cash ($5.98/yr) + 1.8% Buybacks
PAYOUT SAFETY SPEEDOMETER
88/100 • FORTRESS PAYOUT
FREE CASH FLOW PAYOUT RATIO
19.2% of FCF
8 consecutive years of payout growth
INTERACTIVE DRIP & SHAREHOLDER-YIELD COMPOUNDER (7.9% EST. ANNUAL)

$10,000 Compounded Over 10 Years → $21,390

Est. Year-10 Shareholder Yield: $794/yr
$10.8K
Yr 1
$11.6K
Yr 2
$12.6K
Yr 3
$13.6K
Yr 4
$14.6K
Yr 5
$15.8K
Yr 6
$17.0K
Yr 7
$18.4K
Yr 8
$19.8K
Yr 9
$21.4K
Yr 10
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Cash-Flow & Quality Compounder Desk

Cash-Fortress Compounders: Auditing Free Cash Flow & Yield Safety in FDX & A-Rated Leaders

  • ✓12-month Bull/Base/Bear fair-value walkthrough on FDX and its top sector peer
  • ✓Top Roarable A-Rated cash compounders with verified executive & 13F accumulation
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
FDX // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +8.66%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-02O $304.6H $313.3L $304.6C $313.3VOL 1.97M
RES: $336.8SUP: $268.1SMA50: $303.4SMA200: $305.3
$353.0$321.4$289.7$258.1$226.4RES $336.8SUP $268.1$313.32026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

FDX Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
1.6%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +7.7% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on FDX today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for FDX. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for FDX today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (FDX)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #86 of 1011 ⚔️ DAL vs FDX Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (FDX vs. DAL, UAL, RYAAY, LUV)

Industry: Air Freight/Delivery Services (20 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, FedEx Corporation (FDX) ranks #86 by composite RQD confidence (73/100, grade B) and #34 by equity capitalization ($72.09B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, UAL leads on earnings valuation at 10.2x trailing P/E, while DAL leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 16.2% ROIC and — gross margin. FDX currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 73/100 (B).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
FDX ACTIVE
FedEx Corporation
B 73/100 — — 10.9% +1.77% $72.09B Benchmark Subject
DAL
Delta Air Lines Inc.
B- 70/100 10.7x — 16.2% -1.82% $53.71B /dal-vs-fdx →
UAL
United Airlines Holdings Inc.
D+ 56/100 10.2x — 14.0% -0.92% $34.18B /ual-vs-fdx →
RYAAY
Ryanair Holdings plc
D+ 54/100 32.8x — 9.9% +0.62% $28.10B /ryaay-vs-fdx →
LUV
Southwest Airlines Company
D+ 56/100 48.5x — 3.2% -2.86% $21.39B /luv-vs-fdx →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2026-05-31 • CIK 0001048911

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2026-05-31), FedEx Corporation (FDX) reported GAAP revenue of $94.72B (+7.7% vs. FY2024 revenue of $87.93B , and +8.0% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $4.4K, operating cash flow of $8.93B, and free cash flow of $4.66B (+51.4% YoY). On the balance sheet, FDX closed FY2025 with $89.18B in total assets against $20.87B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 3.00, Piotroski F-Score: 9/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2026-05-31 $94.72B $4.4K $8.93B $4.66B $89.18B $20.87B
FY2024 (FY) 2025-05-31 $87.93B $4.1K $7.04B $3.08B $85.48B $20.00B
FY2023 (FY) 2024-05-31 $87.69B $4.3K $8.31B $4.37B $105.23B $24.62B

3. FDX Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is FDX stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, FedEx Corporation (NYSE: FDX) is rated B (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 73/100 at a spot price of $313.28 (+1.77% 1D, market cap $72.09B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 16/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 14/20, Executive Insider Alignment 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 15/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, FDX ranks #86 in composite RQD confidence.

How does FDX compare to DAL and UAL in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Air Freight/Delivery Services), FDX carries a Roarable B (73/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 10.9%. By comparison, DAL (Delta Air Lines Inc.) holds a B- grade (70/100 RQD, P/E 10.7x, ROIC 16.2%, cap $53.71B) and UAL (United Airlines Holdings Inc.) posts a D+ grade (56/100 RQD, P/E 10.2x, ROIC 14.0%, cap $34.18B). Among the 5-stock peer group, UAL leads on earnings multiple (10.2x) while DAL leads on capital efficiency (16.2% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for FDX?

Per FDX's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-05-31, CIK 0001048911), FedEx Corporation generated $94.72B in revenue (+7.7% YoY), $4.4K in net income, and $4.66B in free cash flow against $89.18B in total assets and $20.87B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is FDX trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

FDX last traded at $313.28 (+1.77% on volume of 2,656,192 shares), positioning the stock +3.25% above its 50-day simple moving average ($303.43) and +2.61% above its 200-day simple moving average ($305.32). Across its 52-week range of $201.31 to $345.37, FDX sits at the 77.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 57.9 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±4.7% ($298.56 to $328.00).

FDX Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Does FDX pay a dividend and is it safe?

FedEx Corporation (FDX) offers a 1.91% cash dividend yield ($5.98 annualized) and 3.71% total shareholder yield including buybacks. Roarable rates its payout coverage as FORTRESS PAYOUT.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 73/100 (B) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

FDX — FedEx Corporation: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:10:27Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, FDX scores 73 out of 100 (letter grade B, verdict "Roarable Buy — Good Risk/Reward"). The five pillars are:

  • Fundamental Cash Engine: 16 / 20. The rating cites ROIC of 10.9% and an FCF yield of 6.47%. These are the strongest cash-generation signals in the rating and support the case that the business earns returns above its cost of capital on the figures provided.
  • Whale 13F Flow: 14 / 20. The rating characterizes this pillar as reflecting institutional accumulation and options positioning. The underlying holder-level detail is not present in the source data, so this score cannot be traced to specific filings.
  • Insider Conviction: 15 / 20. The rating references SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. Individual transactions are not itemized in the source data.
  • Macro Regime Fit: 12 / 20. The lowest pillar, reflecting a beta of 1.08 and sector sensitivity. For a prospective investor, this implies the stock is expected to move slightly more than the market and may be exposed to cyclical sector conditions.
  • Forensic Balance Sheet: 16 / 20. The rating cites an Altman Z-Score of 3, a Piotroski F-Score of 9/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.64. Taken together these point to a financially sound balance sheet on the reported measures.

Investor implications: the rating's upside case rests mainly on cash generation and balance-sheet strength. Its valuation tradeoff is that the stock trades at an EV/EBITDA of 9.2 with a 1.91% dividend yield, while the thin 5.8% operating margin leaves limited cushion against cyclical softness, consistent with the lower macro-fit score. Pillar scores are the rating's own assessment and are not independently verified here.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$94720.0M$5463.0M$0.0MN/A$4662.6M$6570.0M$20868.4M
FY 2024$87926.0M$5217.0M$0.0MN/A$3079.3M$5029.0M$20002.6M
FY 2023$87693.0M$5559.0M$0.0MN/A$4365.8MN/A$24624.2M

Per the SEC financials, revenue rose from $87693.0M (FY 2023) to $94720.0M (FY 2025), while operating income moved from $5559.0M to $5463.0M over the same span. Net income is reported as $0.0M in each period and EPS as N/A, so profitability at the bottom line cannot be assessed from the source data. Per the market data, the operating margin is 5.8%, gross and net margins are listed as 0%, and ROIC is 10.9%. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 3 and the Piotroski F-Score is 9/9; the balance sheet shows Debt/Equity of 0.64, with reported debt declining from $24624.2M (FY 2023) to $20868.4M (FY 2025).

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

  • Catalyst (GREEN): A headline reports that FedEx hikes profit guidance ahead of the holiday quarter (Seeking Alpha). A separate headline (Benzinga) reports a double beat in Q3 with the stock falling on updated guidance.
  • Risk Watch (RED): A TradingView headline reports a 12-month price target cut to $360.32, implying 25% upside.
  • Market Wire (YELLOW): Multiple items (Yahoo! Finance Canada, Yahoo Finance, StockInvest.us) are general market and institutional-positioning coverage with no specific fundamental detail.
  • Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph: Supply chain is listed as NONE, with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals.

Because the headlines conflict (a guidance raise alongside a stock decline on guidance, and a target cut), the signal set is mixed. The news items do not disclose the underlying figures.

Open Questions

  • What are FY 2025 and FY 2024 net income and EPS, given that the source reports $0.0M net income and N/A EPS?
  • What are the trailing and forward P/E ratios, which the source marks as unavailable?
  • What specific guidance changes underlie the reported profit guidance raise and the post-guidance stock decline?
  • Which institutions and insiders drive the whale and insider pillar scores, and at what sizes and dates?
  • How does FedEx's revenue and margin structure break down across its service lines and customer segments?

FDX Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for FedEx Corporation (FDX) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to FDX Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

FDX Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $313.28?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON FDX 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on FDX:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $363.23 (+18.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is FDX (B • RQD 73/100) a Buy at $307.82?

Welcome to the FDX (FedEx Corporation) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 73/100 (Roarable Buy — Good Risk/Reward) in Air Freight/Delivery Services. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

MU MultipleCompression Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $243.18 (-21.0%)
Spot @ $307.82

Pump the brakes on FDX — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on FDX, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with tightening sector spreads. Unless FedEx Corporation expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

DE DeltaGamma_99 Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $350.91 (+14.0%)
Spot @ $307.82

FDX cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on FDX, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Air Freight/Delivery Services and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $307.82 (52-wk range $201.31 - $345.37), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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