Yahoo Finance report covering Freeport-McMoRan Inc. (FCX) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Why FCX Stock dropped -5.55% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Freeport-McMoRan Inc. (FCX) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 65/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief)
Is FCX stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
▼
As of 2026-11-02, Freeport-McMoRan Inc. (NYSE: FCX) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 65/100 at a spot price of $62.47 (-5.55% 1D, market cap $94.98B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, Executive Insider Alignment 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, FCX ranks #21 in composite RQD confidence.
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief)
How does FCX compare to RIO and SCCO in the Materials sector?
▼
Within the Materials sector (Metal Mining), FCX carries a Roarable C (65/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 43.1x, gross margin of 26.1%, and ROIC of 21.5%. By comparison, RIO (Rio Tinto Plc) holds a D+ grade (53/100 RQD, P/E 32.8x, ROIC 9.9%, cap $104.57B) and SCCO (Southern Copper Corporation) posts a C+ grade (69/100 RQD, P/E 37.3x, ROIC 41.0%, cap $161.89B). Among the 5-stock peer group, RIO leads on earnings multiple (32.8x) while SCCO leads on capital efficiency (41.0% ROIC).
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for FCX?
▼
Per FCX's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000831259), Freeport-McMoRan Inc. generated $25.19B in revenue (+0.1% YoY), $2.20B in net income, and $4.48B in free cash flow against $58.17B in total assets and $8.91B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs.. Primary risk factors monitored: Priced at 43x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
Altman Z-Score 3.08 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9
SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 17.8% FCF Margin ($4.48B FCF) & 26.1% Gross Margin
Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-10 pts vs max)
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the FCX Bull Thesis Could Fail
Even with a 65/100 (C) score, FCX faces multiple-compression risk if 43.1x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.
Priced at 43x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.
Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 23.6% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.
Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($71.14) or 200D SMA ($65.28) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($64.44) toward Bear Floor ($50.26).
Why FCX Stock dropped -5.55% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Freeport-McMoRan Inc. (FCX) dropped -5.55% to $62.47, trading at 57% of its 52-week range ($38.54 – $80.24). Solid 26% profit margin (22% return on capital), mixed timing at 43x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 57% of its 52-week range ($38.54 – $80.24) with RSI-14 at 43.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±6.4% around $62.47 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable C (Hold) backed by 26.1% gross margin and $4.5B annual free cash flow.
The Motley Fool report covering Freeport-McMoRan Inc. (FCX) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Freeport-McMoRan Inc. (FCX) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Freeport-McMoRan Inc. (FCX) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Freeport-McMoRan Inc. (FCX) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Freeport-McMoRan Inc. (FCX) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Freeport-McMoRan Inc. (FCX) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Due to Freeport-McMoRan's strong performance relative to the broader market over the past year, Wall Street analysts maintain a bullish outlook about the stock’s prospects.
US Metal News News Commentary - Quarterly reports released over the past two weeks trace higher metal prices through the supply chain, from copper mines and steel mills to makers of specialty aluminum products and of nic
SCCO, FCX, FQVLF, LUNMF and LEU offer growth opportunities amid metal price volatility, rising production costs and supply challenges, supported by energy-transition demand.
Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (FCX Tape Review)
- ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
- ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
- ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
FCX Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. +0.1% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on FCX today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for FCX. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (FCX)
1. Head-to-Head Materials Peer Comparison (FCX vs. RIO, SCCO, VALE, HBM)
Industry: Metal Mining (41 Tracked Issuers)Across 270 tracked Materials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Freeport-McMoRan Inc. (FCX) ranks #21 by composite RQD confidence (65/100, grade C) and #5 by equity capitalization ($94.98B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, RIO leads on earnings valuation at 32.8x trailing P/E, while SCCO leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 41.0% ROIC and 60.1% gross margin. SCCO currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 69/100 (C+) compared with FCX at 65/100 (C).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FCX
ACTIVE
Freeport-McMoRan Inc. | C | 65/100 | 43.1x | 26.1% | 21.5% | -5.55% | $94.98B | Benchmark Subject |
| RIO Rio Tinto Plc | D+ | 53/100 | 32.8x | — | 9.9% | -1.63% | $104.57B | /rio-vs-fcx → |
| SCCO Southern Copper Corporation | C+ | 69/100 | 37.3x | 60.1% | 41.0% | -7.42% | $161.89B | /scco-vs-fcx → |
| VALE VALE S.A. American | D+ | 52/100 | 32.8x | — | 9.9% | +1.88% | $47.73B | /vale-vs-fcx → |
| HBM Hudbay Minerals Inc. (Canada) | D+ | 53/100 | 32.8x | — | 9.9% | -7.11% | $10.38B | /hbm-vs-fcx → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000831259In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Freeport-McMoRan Inc. (FCX) reported GAAP revenue of $25.19B (+0.1% vs. FY2024 revenue of $25.17B , and +10.9% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $2.20B, operating cash flow of $5.61B, and free cash flow of $4.48B (-25.7% YoY). On the balance sheet, FCX closed FY2025 with $58.17B in total assets against $8.91B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 3.08, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $25.19B | $2.20B | $5.61B | $4.48B | $58.17B | $8.91B |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $25.17B | $1.89B | $7.16B | $6.03B | $54.85B | $8.91B |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $22.70B | $1.85B | $5.28B | $4.26B | $52.24B | $12.22B |
3. FCX Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs FCX stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-02, Freeport-McMoRan Inc. (NYSE: FCX) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 65/100 at a spot price of $62.47 (-5.55% 1D, market cap $94.98B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, Executive Insider Alignment 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, FCX ranks #21 in composite RQD confidence.
How does FCX compare to RIO and SCCO in the Materials sector?
Within the Materials sector (Metal Mining), FCX carries a Roarable C (65/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 43.1x, gross margin of 26.1%, and ROIC of 21.5%. By comparison, RIO (Rio Tinto Plc) holds a D+ grade (53/100 RQD, P/E 32.8x, ROIC 9.9%, cap $104.57B) and SCCO (Southern Copper Corporation) posts a C+ grade (69/100 RQD, P/E 37.3x, ROIC 41.0%, cap $161.89B). Among the 5-stock peer group, RIO leads on earnings multiple (32.8x) while SCCO leads on capital efficiency (41.0% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for FCX?
Per FCX's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000831259), Freeport-McMoRan Inc. generated $25.19B in revenue (+0.1% YoY), $2.20B in net income, and $4.48B in free cash flow against $58.17B in total assets and $8.91B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs.. Primary risk factors monitored: Priced at 43x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is FCX trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
FCX last traded at $62.47 (-5.55% on volume of 17,937,398 shares), positioning the stock -12.19% below its 50-day simple moving average ($71.14) and -4.30% below its 200-day simple moving average ($65.28). Across its 52-week range of $38.54 to $80.24, FCX sits at the 57.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 43.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.4% ($58.47 to $66.47).
FCX Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is FCX stock moving today?
Why FCX Stock dropped -5.55% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Solid 26% profit margin (22% return on capital), mixed timing at 43x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.
FCX — Freeport-McMoRan Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor
Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor
Per the Roarable RQD rating, FCX scores 65 out of 100 (letter grade C, verdict "Roarable Hold — Fair / Balanced Risk-Reward"). The five pillars are: Fundamental Cash Engine at 14 of 20 (ROIC 21.5%; FCF yield 4.71%); Whale 13F Flow at 10 of 20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning); Insider Conviction at 13 of 20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow); Macro Regime Fit at 12 of 20 (Beta 0.95; sector sensitivity); and Forensic Balance Sheet at 16 of 20 (Altman Z 3.08; Piotroski F 7/9; Debt/Equity 0.47).
For a prospective investor, the strongest pillar is the forensic balance sheet, which indicates financial stability relative to the other pillars. The fundamental cash engine is solid rather than exceptional, with the ROIC and FCF yield figures supporting cash generation at the current price. The weakest pillar is whale 13F flow at 10 of 20, meaning institutional accumulation signals are comparatively muted. Insider conviction and macro regime fit sit in the middle of the range. The overall verdict implies that upside drivers and valuation tradeoffs are roughly balanced at the current price: the company's cash and balance-sheet metrics offset valuation figures that are elevated on earnings-based measures (P/E TTM 43.1; Forward P/E 40.1).
Snapshot
Financial Trend
| Period | Revenue | Operating Income | Net Income | EPS | FCF | Cash | Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY 2025 | $25186.0M | $6518.0M | $2204.0M | N/A | $4476.6M | $3824.0M | $8913.0M |
| FY 2024 | $25169.0M | $6864.0M | $1889.0M | N/A | $6027.4M | $3923.0M | $8907.0M |
| FY 2023 | $22703.0M | $6225.0M | $1848.0M | N/A | $4257.4M | N/A | $12223.7M |
Per the SEC financials, revenue was broadly flat between FY 2024 and FY 2025 while net income rose from $1889.0M to $2204.0M. Per the market data, the gross margin is 26.1%, the operating margin 25.9%, and the net margin 8.8%, with ROIC at 21.5%. The Altman Z-Score is 3.08 and the Piotroski F-Score is 7/9, both per the Forensic Balance Sheet pillar of the RQD rating. Debt/Equity is 0.47 per the same source, and reported debt declined from $12223.7M in FY 2023 to $8913.0M in FY 2025.
Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis
The news wire contains six items, all relating to FCX:
- Catalyst (GREEN): a Yahoo Finance report on the stock's market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts, noting it sank while the market gained.
- Market wire (YELLOW): a Motley Fool report on whether buying the stock today could set an investor up for life.
- Market wire (YELLOW): a second Yahoo Finance report on the stock's market action and positioning.
- Market wire (YELLOW): a Yahoo Finance headline flagging copper prices as a potential key test for the stock.
- Market wire (YELLOW): a Yahoo Finance headline noting Q3 earnings valuation questions.
- Catalyst (GREEN): a Yahoo Finance headline asking whether FCX will beat estimates again in its next earnings report.
Risk watch items: the copper price sensitivity noted in the news wire, and valuation questions around the upcoming earnings report. The Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph contains no proprietary signals and no links, so no supply-chain signal is available beyond the news wire.
Open Questions
- What is the company's revenue breakdown by product, commodity, and geography, and how is it exposed to copper price movements?
- Why are EPS figures reported as N/A for all three periods when net income is available, and what share count underlies the TTM EPS of 1.53?
- What is the cash balance for FY 2023, which is listed as N/A in the source data?
- What specific institutional 13F and insider Form 4 transactions underlie the whale and insider pillar scores?
- What is the forward earnings outlook behind the Forward P/E of 40.1 and the Q3 earnings valuation questions mentioned in the news wire?
FCX Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire
Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Freeport-McMoRan Inc. (FCX) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below
Yahoo Finance report covering Freeport-McMoRan Inc. (FCX) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
The Motley Fool report covering Freeport-McMoRan Inc. (FCX) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Freeport-McMoRan Inc. (FCX) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Freeport-McMoRan Inc. (FCX) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Freeport-McMoRan Inc. (FCX) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Freeport-McMoRan Inc. (FCX) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Yahoo Finance report covering Freeport-McMoRan Inc. (FCX) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.
Due to Freeport-McMoRan's strong performance relative to the broader market over the past year, Wall Street analysts maintain a bullish outlook about the stock’s prospects.
FCX Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $62.47?
🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is FCX (C • RQD 65/100) a Buy at $66.14?
Welcome to the FCX (Freeport-McMoRan Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 65/100 (Roarable Hold — Fair / Balanced Risk-Reward) in Metal Mining. Bulls point to capital efficiency (21.5% ROIC), while bears focus on valuation multiple compression (43.1x trailing P/E). Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.
Pump the brakes on FCX — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds
Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on FCX, but look at what you are paying: 43.1x trailing P/E with 26.1% gross margins. Unless Freeport-McMoRan Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.
FCX cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here
Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on FCX, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Metal Mining and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $66.14 (52-wk range $38.54 - $80.24), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.