FuelCell Energy Inc. (FCEL) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±12.5% Move

$11.22 -7.88% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $11.04

FuelCell Energy Inc. (FCEL) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 21/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $973.8M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on FCEL Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is FCEL stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
▼

As of 2026-11-02, FuelCell Energy Inc. (NASDAQ: FCEL) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 21/100 at a spot price of $11.22 (-7.88% 1D, market cap $973.8M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 5/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 4/20, Executive Insider Alignment 5/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 4/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, FCEL ranks #208 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does FCEL compare to BLDP and EROC in the Energy sector?
▼

Within the Energy sector (Industrial Machinery/Components), FCEL carries a Roarable E (21/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of -16.7%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, BLDP (Ballard Power Systems Inc.) holds a D grade (44/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $561.7M) and EROC (ERock Inc. (Class A)) posts a D- grade (37/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $1.97B). Among the 5-stock peer group, FCEL leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while EAF leads on capital efficiency (-7.3% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for FCEL?
▼

Per FCEL's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-10-31, CIK 0000886128), FuelCell Energy Inc. generated $158.2M in revenue (+41.0% YoY), -$187.9M in net income, and -$125.3M in free cash flow against $978.5M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $11.04 (-1.61%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 5/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (21/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-11.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E
025507510021
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk E
Cash (5)Whales (4)SEC (5)Macro (4)CEO (3)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-16.7% Base Target
$40 Bull$9 Base$7 Bear
📬 FREE FCEL RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for FCEL)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (21/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY FCEL SCORES 21/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+5/20 pts (24% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 0% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+5/20 pts (24% of score)

Altman Z-Score 0.20 (DISTRESS RISK (<1.8)) • Piotroski F-Score 3/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
29
Grade E$16.37-21.3% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
26
Grade E$12.89-11.1% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
24
Grade E$11.46-2.1% Next Q
Current
21
Grade E$11.22-11.6% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: E (29) → E (21)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a FCEL Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While FCEL currently carries a cautious 21/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($15.78) and Max Pain ($11.78) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $39.77.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $FCEL• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “FCEL Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Jan 29, 2027) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
NEXT EST. WINDOW: Jan 29, 2027 (~87 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±12.5% Swing Band

±$1.40 Expected Swing
$9.82 (-12.5%)Spot $11.22$12.62 (+12.5%)
MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

FCEL Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 21/100

Trailing EPS: $4.25 • YoY Revenue Growth: 41%

Model Bullish Setup (21/100)Model Risk Weight (79/100)
Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).
LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

PeriodFiledRevenueNet ProfitFree Cash FlowGross Margin
FY 20252025-10-31$158.2M-$187.9M-$125.3M-16.7%
FY 20242024-10-31$112.1M-$126.0M-$152.9M-32%
FY 20232023-10-31$123.4M-$107.6M-$140.3M8%
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring FCEL)

  • ✓Walkthrough of FCEL's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
FCEL // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -13.82%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-02O $12.38H $12.38L $11.22C $11.22VOL 3.45M
RES: $19.14SUP: $9.98SMA50: $15.78SMA200: $14.96
$40.01$31.18$22.35$13.52$4.69RES $19.14SUP $9.98$11.222026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-172026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

FCEL Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +41.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on FCEL today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for FCEL. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for FCEL today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (FCEL)

1. Head-to-Head Energy Peer Comparison (FCEL vs. BLDP, EROC, PLUG, EAF)

Industry: Industrial Machinery/Components (208 Tracked Issuers)

Across 211 tracked Energy securities in the Roarable RQD universe, FuelCell Energy Inc. (FCEL) ranks #208 by composite RQD confidence (21/100, grade E) and #138 by equity capitalization ($973.8M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, FCEL leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while EAF leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -7.3% ROIC and -3.1% gross margin. BLDP currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 44/100 (D) compared with FCEL at 21/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
FCEL ACTIVE
FuelCell Energy Inc.
E 21/100 — -16.7% -35.0% -7.88% $973.8M Benchmark Subject
BLDP
Ballard Power Systems Inc.
D 44/100 — — — -1.87% $561.7M /bldp-vs-fcel →
EROC
ERock Inc. (Class A)
D- 37/100 — — — -6.91% $1.97B /eroc-vs-fcel →
PLUG
Plug Power Inc.
E 27/100 — -30.0% -35.0% -3.87% $1.98B /plug-vs-fcel →
EAF
GrafTech International Ltd.
D- 42/100 — -3.1% -7.3% -1.25% $324.1M /eaf-vs-fcel →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-10-31 • CIK 0000886128

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-10-31), FuelCell Energy Inc. (FCEL) reported GAAP revenue of $158.2M (+41.0% vs. FY2024 revenue of $112.1M , and +28.2% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$187.9M, operating cash flow of -$125.3M, and free cash flow of -$125.3M (+18.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, FCEL closed FY2025 with $978.5M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.20, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-10-31 $158.2M -$187.9M -$125.3M -$125.3M $978.5M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-10-31 $112.1M -$126.0M -$152.9M -$152.9M $907.5M —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-10-31 $123.4M -$107.6M -$140.3M -$140.3M — —

3. FCEL Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is FCEL stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, FuelCell Energy Inc. (NASDAQ: FCEL) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 21/100 at a spot price of $11.22 (-7.88% 1D, market cap $973.8M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 5/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 4/20, Executive Insider Alignment 5/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 4/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, FCEL ranks #208 in composite RQD confidence.

How does FCEL compare to BLDP and EROC in the Energy sector?

Within the Energy sector (Industrial Machinery/Components), FCEL carries a Roarable E (21/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of -16.7%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, BLDP (Ballard Power Systems Inc.) holds a D grade (44/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $561.7M) and EROC (ERock Inc. (Class A)) posts a D- grade (37/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $1.97B). Among the 5-stock peer group, FCEL leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while EAF leads on capital efficiency (-7.3% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for FCEL?

Per FCEL's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-10-31, CIK 0000886128), FuelCell Energy Inc. generated $158.2M in revenue (+41.0% YoY), -$187.9M in net income, and -$125.3M in free cash flow against $978.5M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is FCEL trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

FCEL last traded at $11.22 (-7.88% on volume of 5,091,418 shares), positioning the stock -28.90% below its 50-day simple moving average ($15.78) and -25.00% below its 200-day simple moving average ($14.96). Across its 52-week range of $5.71 to $37.88, FCEL sits at the 17.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 40.7 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($9.82 to $12.62).

FCEL Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is FCEL's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, FuelCell Energy Inc. (FCEL)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Jan 29, 2027.

How much is FCEL stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±12.5% event move for FCEL, spanning a range between $9.82 and $12.62.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 21/100 (E) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

FCEL — FuelCell Energy Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:31:28Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, FCEL scores 21 out of 100, a letter grade of E, labeled "Roarable Strong Sell — Forensic Risk / Avoid." The five pillars are: Fundamental Cash Engine at 5/20 (ROIC -35%; FCF yield -12.87%), Whale 13F Flow at 4/20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning), Insider Conviction at 3/20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow), Macro Regime Fit at 4/20 (Beta 1.0; sector sensitivity), and Forensic Balance Sheet at 5/20 (Altman Z 0.2; Piotroski F 3/9; Debt/Equity 0.5).

For a prospective investor, the pillar profile indicates weakness across every dimension scored. The cash engine and balance sheet pillars, which carry the most weight in fundamental assessment, are both at 5/20, and the reported ROIC and FCF yield are both negative. The insider and whale pillars are also weak, indicating limited evidence of conviction from informed holders in the source data. The beta of 1.0 places the stock in line with market volatility, but the rating attributes sector sensitivity as a further drag under the macro regime pillar. Any upside case would need to rest on a turnaround in cash generation or a sharp shift in institutional sentiment, neither of which the source data demonstrates.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$158.2M$-192.3M$-187.9MN/A$-125.3M$311.8MN/A
FY 2024$112.1M$-158.5M$-126.0MN/A$-152.9M$98.1MN/A
FY 2023$123.4M$-136.1M$-107.6MN/A$-140.2MN/AN/A

Per the SEC financials, reported operating income and net income are negative in all three periods, and FCF is negative in all three. Per the market data, gross margin is -16.7%, operating margin is -60%, net margin is -60%, and ROIC is -35%. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 0.2, the Piotroski F-Score is 3/9, and Debt/Equity is 0.5. Cash rose to $311.8M in FY 2025 from $98.1M in FY 2024 per the SEC financials, while the debt line is reported as N/A across periods.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news and catalysts feed, six headlines are tagged to FCEL. A Yahoo Finance item (MARKET WIRE, YELLOW) reports the stock trading up today. A Motley Fool item (MARKET WIRE, YELLOW) reports the stock plummeting today. A 24/7 Wall St. item (CATALYST, GREEN) covers a reported 11% surge tied to a Fit Energy Pennsylvania data center plan, alongside peer moves for Bloom Energy and Plug Power. A Benzinga item (CATALYST, GREEN) reports a 14% gain. An Investing.com item (MARKET WIRE, YELLOW) asks why the stock is sliding. A Seeking Alpha item (CATALYST, GREEN) frames the downtrend against data center growth as a profit test. Risk watch items include the conflicting intraday direction of these reports and the absence of any detailed catalyst content in the feed beyond headlines. The Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph reports no supply-chain links and no proprietary signals.

Open Questions

  • What drove the reported debt line to N/A across all periods, and what is the actual debt load behind the 0.5 Debt/Equity figure?
  • What are the EPS and forward earnings estimates, given that EPS and P/E fields are unavailable?
  • What is the source and content of the Fit Energy Pennsylvania data center plan referenced in the news wire?
  • What institutional, 13F, insider, and Congressional holdings exist, given the holders section is empty?
  • Why does the news wire show conflicting intraday directional reports (up and down) on the same date?

FCEL Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for FuelCell Energy Inc. (FCEL) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to FCEL Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

FCEL Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $11.22?

🐂 33% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON FCEL 🐻 67% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on FCEL:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $10.72 (-12.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is FCEL (E • RQD 21/100) a Buy at $12.18?

Welcome to the FCEL (FuelCell Energy Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 21/100 (Roarable Strong Sell — Forensic Risk / Avoid) in Industrial Machinery/Components. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

FO ForensicBear Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $9.50 (-22.0%)
Spot @ $12.18

Pump the brakes on FCEL — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on FCEL, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with -16.7% gross margins. Unless FuelCell Energy Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

CA CashFlowKing Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $14.01 (+15.0%)
Spot @ $12.18

FCEL cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on FCEL, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Industrial Machinery/Components and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $12.18 (52-wk range $5.71 - $37.88), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

LIVE TAPE SPY $755.72 -0.38% QQQ $690.49 -1.44% DIA $517.13 -0.37% IWM $279.33 +0.96% NVDA $204.64 -4.22% AAPL $344.63 -1.23% MSFT $521.91 -1.55% TSLA $399.81 -0.86% PLTR $184.11 -6.27% SOFI $16.76 -4.83% IBIT $43.36 -0.94% GLD $355.78 -1.34%