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Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / FBYD / forecast
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Falcon's Beyond Global Inc. (Class A) (FBYD) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$6.91 -9.91% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $6.77

Falcon's Beyond Global Inc. (Class A) (FBYD) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 26/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $837.9M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on FBYD Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is FBYD stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Falcon's Beyond Global Inc. (Class A) (NASDAQ: FBYD) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 26/100 at a spot price of $6.91 (-9.91% 1D, market cap $837.9M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 5/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 5/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 3/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, FBYD ranks #925 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does FBYD compare to FUN and ACEL in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Services-Misc. Amusement & Recreation), FBYD carries a Roarable E (26/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -22.8%. By comparison, FUN (Six Flags Entertainment Corporation) holds a E grade (33/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -19.3%, cap $765.3M) and ACEL (Accel Entertainment Inc.) posts a D+ grade (58/100 RQD, P/E 17.8x, ROIC 15.7%, cap $922.4M). Among the 5-stock peer group, ACEL leads on earnings multiple (17.8x) while ACEL leads on capital efficiency (15.7% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for FBYD?
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Per FBYD's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001937987), Falcon's Beyond Global Inc. (Class A) generated $14.9M in revenue (+120.8% YoY), $0 in net income, and -$24.8M in free cash flow against $66.7M in total assets and $12.5M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $6.77 (-1.97%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 5/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (26/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-10.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E
025507510026
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk D-
Cash (5)Whales (3)SEC (10)Macro (5)CEO (3)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-14.5% Base Target
$30 Bull$6 Base$5 Bear
📬 FREE FBYD RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for FBYD)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (26/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY FBYD SCORES 26/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+10/20 pts (38% of score)

Altman Z-Score 11.32 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 2/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+5/20 pts (19% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
34
Grade E$8.36+0.2% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
31
Grade E$8.38-8.4% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
29
Grade E$7.68-10% Next Q
Current
26
Grade E$6.91-10.5% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: E (34) → E (26)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a FBYD Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While FBYD currently carries a cautious 26/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($8.00) and Max Pain ($7.26) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $30.47.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $FBYD• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “FBYD Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 26%NO 74%Trade / Inspect Odds →
INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your FBYD Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $6.91: 1447.2 sh
$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000
12M Bear Case FloorTarget $4.61
$6,671
$-3,329 (-33.3%)
12M Consensus BaseTarget $5.91
$8,553
$-1,447 (-14.5%)
12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $30.47
$44,096
+$34,096 (+341.0%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (35 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100
● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 9
Wall Street FirmStance12M Target1Y AccuracyTrack Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity DeskHOLD$674%A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage LeadUNDERPERFORM$2969%B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap ResearchSELL$558%C
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring FBYD)

  • ✓Walkthrough of FBYD's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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FBYD // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -49.08%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-11-03O $7.67H $7.67L $6.91C $6.91VOL 101.4K
RES: $8.19SUP: $2.52SMA50: $8.00SMA200: $10.26
$22.98$18.38$13.79$9.19$4.59RES $8.19SUP $2.52$6.912026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

FBYD Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 FBYD Butterfly Map → + Track FBYD →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +120.8% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on FBYD today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for FBYD. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for FBYD today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (FBYD)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #925 of 1009 ⚔️ FUN vs FBYD Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (FBYD vs. FUN, ACEL, RSVR, BUUU)

Industry: Services-Misc. Amusement & Recreation (51 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Falcon's Beyond Global Inc. (Class A) (FBYD) ranks #925 by composite RQD confidence (26/100, grade E) and #530 by equity capitalization ($837.9M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ACEL leads on earnings valuation at 17.8x trailing P/E, while ACEL leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 15.7% ROIC and — gross margin. BUUU currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 61/100 (C-) compared with FBYD at 26/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
FBYD ACTIVE
Falcon's Beyond Global Inc. (Class A)
E 26/100 — — -22.8% -9.91% $837.9M Benchmark Subject
FUN
Six Flags Entertainment Corporation
E 33/100 — 91.3% -19.3% -2.60% $765.3M /fun-vs-fbyd →
ACEL
Accel Entertainment Inc.
D+ 58/100 17.8x — 15.7% +0.53% $922.4M /acel-vs-fbyd →
RSVR
Reservoir Media Inc.
D 51/100 80.8x 64.7% 3.8% -0.73% $627.7M /rsvr-vs-fbyd →
BUUU
BUUU Group Limited Class A Ordinary Share
C- 61/100 — 31.0% — +4.62% $1.15B /buuu-vs-fbyd →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001937987 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Falcon's Beyond Global Inc. (Class A) (FBYD) reported GAAP revenue of $14.9M (+120.8% vs. FY2024 revenue of $6.7M , and -18.4% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $0, operating cash flow of -$24.6M, and free cash flow of -$24.8M (-97.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, FBYD closed FY2025 with $66.7M in total assets against $12.5M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 11.32, Piotroski F-Score: 2/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $14.9M $0 -$24.6M -$24.8M $66.7M $12.5M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $6.7M $0 -$12.6M -$12.6M $61.2M $31.0M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $18.2M $0 -$23.4M -$23.4M — —

3. FBYD Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is FBYD stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Falcon's Beyond Global Inc. (Class A) (NASDAQ: FBYD) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 26/100 at a spot price of $6.91 (-9.91% 1D, market cap $837.9M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 5/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 5/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 3/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, FBYD ranks #925 in composite RQD confidence.

How does FBYD compare to FUN and ACEL in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Services-Misc. Amusement & Recreation), FBYD carries a Roarable E (26/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -22.8%. By comparison, FUN (Six Flags Entertainment Corporation) holds a E grade (33/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -19.3%, cap $765.3M) and ACEL (Accel Entertainment Inc.) posts a D+ grade (58/100 RQD, P/E 17.8x, ROIC 15.7%, cap $922.4M). Among the 5-stock peer group, ACEL leads on earnings multiple (17.8x) while ACEL leads on capital efficiency (15.7% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for FBYD?

Per FBYD's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001937987), Falcon's Beyond Global Inc. (Class A) generated $14.9M in revenue (+120.8% YoY), $0 in net income, and -$24.8M in free cash flow against $66.7M in total assets and $12.5M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is FBYD trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

FBYD last traded at $6.91 (-9.91% on volume of 101,440 shares), positioning the stock -13.62% below its 50-day simple moving average ($8.00) and -32.65% below its 200-day simple moving average ($10.26). Across its 52-week range of $3.71 to $29.02, FBYD sits at the 12.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 37.1 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($6.05 to $7.77).

Direct Sub-Reports: FBYD RQD Cockpit FBYD 12M Forecast FBYD Earnings & Move FBYD Dividends & DRIP FBYD Insiders & 13F FBYD Whale Options FBYD Profit Sankey FBYD News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 26/100 (E) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

FBYD — Falcon's Beyond Global Inc. (Class A): What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Falcon's Beyond Global Inc. (Class A) (FBYD) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 26/100, corresponding to a E letter grade (Roarable Strong Sell) at a spot price of $6.91 (-9.91% 1D, market capitalization $837.9M).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (5/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of -22.8%, gross margin of —, operating margin of -60.0%, and free cash flow yield of -2.66%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (3/20) + Insider Conviction (3/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (5/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (10/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 11.32, Piotroski F-Score of 2/9, and Debt/Equity of 1.05x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

And profile, Falcon's Beyond Global Inc. (Class A) is listed on NASDAQ and classified in the Consumer Discretionary sector, Services-Misc. Amusement & Recreation industry. The profile does not describe its specific products, customers, or revenue model. Per the financials, revenue was $14.9M in FY 2025, $6.7M in FY 2024, and $18.2M in FY 2023, reflecting a non-linear top line.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Falcon's Beyond Global Inc. (Class A) (FBYD) reported $14.9M in annual revenue (up from $6.7M in FY2024, +120.8% YoY) and $0 in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($18.2M revenue, $0 net income) through FY2025, FBYD scaled operating cash flow to -$24.6M and free cash flow to -$24.8M, backed by $66.7M in total assets against $12.5M in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (E • RQD 26/100): Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of -2.66% and institutional whale pillar of 3/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 5/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 3/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $3.71 – $29.02 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. Investors must weigh current valuation against -60.0% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Supply_chain is NONE, butterfly_links is empty, and proprietary_signals is empty. Upstream suppliers, downstream customers, and sector correlations are — Investors should watch for the following ripples in the source data as it updates: whether the holder share distributions shown in the news wire continue, and whether debt reduction between FY 2024 and FY 2025 is sustained, since both would affect float and balance sheet risk.

  • Key Question #1: Can FBYD sustain or expand its -60.0% operating margin and -22.8% ROIC against Services-Misc. Amusement & Recreation peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $14.9M and free cash flow of -$24.8M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $12.5M in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is FBYD's equity valuation to Consumer Discretionary capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

FBYD Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Falcon's Beyond Global Inc. (Class A) (FBYD) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to FBYD Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

FBYD Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $6.91?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON FBYD 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on FBYD:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
CA CashFlowKing RQD DEBATE OPENER • FCF Compounder Hunter 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $9.12 (+32.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Altman Z of 11.32 in the forensic balance sheet pillar indicates strong solvency headroom despite weak operations.

Long FBYD at $6.91 targeting $9.12. Altman Z of 11.32 in the forensic balance sheet pillar indicates strong solvency headroom despite weak operations.. Institutional whale score is 3/20 and the risk/reward vs. the $3.71 52-week low is skewed heavily in favor of bulls.

VolSurface_Trader 🐂 BULL

Both sides have a point here — FBYD's 10/20 balance sheet score keeps downside contained, so the real swing factor next earnings call is backlog and FCF conversion.

RE RedlineAuditor RQD DEBATE OPENER • Accounting Quality Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $5.60 (-19.0%)
Spot @ $6.91

Operating income is negative in every reported period and ROIC is -22.8%, leaving the business without a current cash-generating engine

Here is the bear case nobody on the bull side wants to address on FBYD: Operating income is negative in every reported period and ROIC is -22.8%, leaving the business without a current cash-generating engine.. At current EV/EBITDA multiples, even a small guidance miss in Services-Misc. Amusement & Recreation triggers a 12-15% air pocket.

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