FibroBiologics Inc. (FBLG) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$0.93 +0.21% NASDAQ β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $0.93

FibroBiologics Inc. (FBLG) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 36/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D- β€’ RED ALERT Cap $6.3M
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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β–Ό

As of 2026-11-02, FibroBiologics Inc. (NASDAQ: FBLG) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 36/100 at a spot price of $0.93 (+0.21% 1D, market cap $6.3M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 1016 tracked Health Care issuers, FBLG ranks #658 in composite RQD confidence.

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πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does FBLG compare to APRE and XCUR in the Health Care sector?
β–Ό

Within the Health Care sector (Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations), FBLG carries a Roarable D- (36/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of β€”, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, APRE (Aprea Therapeutics Inc.) holds a D- grade (40/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $6.2M) and XCUR (Exicure Inc.) posts a E grade (32/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $6.1M). Among the 5-stock peer group, FBLG leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while FBLG leads on capital efficiency (-35.0% ROIC).

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πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for FBLG?
β–Ό

Per FBLG's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001958777), FibroBiologics Inc. generated $0 in revenue, -$18.6M in net income, and -$16.7M in free cash flow against $9.6M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $0.93 (-0.15%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 8/20 (D-) β€’ 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (36/100 Β· D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-8.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT β€’ D-
025507510036
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E Β· Rk D
Cash (8)Whales (3)SEC (10)Macro (10)CEO (5)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-9.7% Base Target
$10 Bull$1 Base$1 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE FBLG RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for FBLG)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (36/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY FBLG SCORES 36/100 (D-) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+10/20 pts (28% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) β€’ Piotroski F-Score 2/9

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+10/20 pts (28% of score)

FRED Regime Γ— Technicals: 3% of 52W Range β€’ RSI-14 at 36.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
44
Grade D$1.00-6% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
41
Grade D$0.94+0% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
39
Grade E$0.94-1.1% Next Q
Current
36
Grade D-$0.93-8.3% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: D (44) β†’ D- (36)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a FBLG Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

While FBLG currently carries a cautious 36/100 (D-) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($1.30) and Max Pain ($0.98) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $10.08.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $FBLGβ€’ $2.4M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œFBLG Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE
β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
Put/Call Ratio: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET
β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file
HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING
Β±12.5%
Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (FBLG)

β€” (No Active Options Snapshot) β€” No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for FBLG.

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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring FBLG)

  • βœ“Walkthrough of FBLG's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • βœ“3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
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FBLG // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -32.61%πŸ›‘οΈ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-02O $0.97H $0.97L $0.93C $0.93VOL 18.1K
RES: $2.89SUP: $0.92SMA50: $1.30SMA200: $2.35
$7.76$5.82$3.89$1.95$0.02RES $2.89SUP $0.92$0.932026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-172026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

FBLG Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on FBLG today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for FBLG. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for FBLG today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (FBLG)

1. Head-to-Head Health Care Peer Comparison (FBLG vs. APRE, XCUR, ENVB, ACXP)

Industry: Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations (489 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1016 tracked Health Care securities in the Roarable RQD universe, FibroBiologics Inc. (FBLG) ranks #658 by composite RQD confidence (36/100, grade D-) and #924 by equity capitalization ($6.3M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, FBLG leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while FBLG leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -35.0% ROIC and β€” gross margin. APRE currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 40/100 (D-) compared with FBLG at 36/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
FBLG ACTIVE
FibroBiologics Inc.
D- 36/100 β€” β€” -35.0% +0.21% $6.3M Benchmark Subject
APRE
Aprea Therapeutics Inc.
D- 40/100 β€” β€” -35.0% -1.82% $6.2M /apre-vs-fblg β†’
XCUR
Exicure Inc.
E 32/100 β€” β€” -35.0% +8.05% $6.1M /xcur-vs-fblg β†’
ENVB
Enveric Biosciences Inc.
E 34/100 β€” β€” -35.0% -2.06% $6.5M /envb-vs-fblg β†’
ACXP
Acurx Pharmaceuticals Inc.
E 33/100 β€” β€” -35.0% -2.80% $5.9M /acxp-vs-fblg β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-12-31 β€’ CIK 0001958777

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), FibroBiologics Inc. (FBLG) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (N/A vs. FY2024 revenue of $0 ) , GAAP net income of -$18.6M, operating cash flow of -$16.4M, and free cash flow of -$16.7M (-37.8% YoY). On the balance sheet, FBLG closed FY2025 with $9.6M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 2/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $0 -$18.6M -$16.4M -$16.7M $9.6M β€”
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $0 -$11.2M -$11.9M -$12.1M $16.4M β€”
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $0 -$16.5M -$6.4M -$6.4M β€” β€”

3. FBLG Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is FBLG stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, FibroBiologics Inc. (NASDAQ: FBLG) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 36/100 at a spot price of $0.93 (+0.21% 1D, market cap $6.3M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 1016 tracked Health Care issuers, FBLG ranks #658 in composite RQD confidence.

How does FBLG compare to APRE and XCUR in the Health Care sector?

Within the Health Care sector (Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations), FBLG carries a Roarable D- (36/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of β€”, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, APRE (Aprea Therapeutics Inc.) holds a D- grade (40/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $6.2M) and XCUR (Exicure Inc.) posts a E grade (32/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $6.1M). Among the 5-stock peer group, FBLG leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while FBLG leads on capital efficiency (-35.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for FBLG?

Per FBLG's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001958777), FibroBiologics Inc. generated $0 in revenue, -$18.6M in net income, and -$16.7M in free cash flow against $9.6M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is FBLG trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

FBLG last traded at $0.93 (+0.21% on volume of 20,677 shares), positioning the stock -28.46% below its 50-day simple moving average ($1.30) and -60.43% below its 200-day simple moving average ($2.35). Across its 52-week range of $0.62 to $9.60, FBLG sits at the 3.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 36.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±12.5% ($1.00 to $1.05).

FBLG Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS β€’ SEC EDGAR Γ— CBOE Γ— FRED

What is FBLG's options positioning and volatility profile?

Roarable tracks verified CBOE unusual options sweeps, put/call ratios, and OHLCV realized volatility bands for FBLG.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF β€’ RQD 36/100 (D-) βœ“ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

FBLG β€” FibroBiologics Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:52:43Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, FBLG scores 36 out of 100, a letter grade of D- under the verdict label "Roarable Sell β€” Vulnerable Balance Sheet & Flow." Across its five pillars: Fundamental Cash Engine scores 8/20 (ROIC -35%; FCF yield 0%), indicating the business is not currently generating returns or free cash flow. Whale 13F Flow scores 3/20 on institutional accumulation and options positioning, the weakest pillar, and the source provides no further 13F detail. Insider Conviction scores 5/20 on SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. Macro Regime Fit scores 10/20 with Beta of 1.0 and sector sensitivity. Forensic Balance Sheet scores 10/20, reflecting Altman Z 2.5, Piotroski F 2/9, and Debt/Equity 0.5. For a prospective investor, the rating frames a stock with negative operating economics, weak institutional and insider signals, and a balance sheet the rating characterizes as vulnerable. Any upside case would have to rest on factors outside the reported fundamentals, and the source data does not identify such drivers. Valuation tradeoffs are not assessable from the sources because P/E and EV/EBITDA are not available in source data.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$0.0M$-16.6M$-18.6MN/A$-16.7M$4.9MN/A
FY 2024$0.0M$-13.7M$-11.2MN/A$-12.1M$14.0MN/A
FY 2023$0.0M$-8.9M$-16.5MN/A$-6.4MN/AN/A

Per the SEC financials, the company reported operating losses in each period shown, with gross, operating, and net margins all at 0%. Per the Roarable RQD rating, ROIC is -35% and the Altman Z-Score is 2.5, with a Piotroski F-Score of 2/9. Reported cash declined from $14.0M in FY 2024 to $4.9M in FY 2025. Debt/Equity is 0.5 per the Roarable RQD rating, while period-level debt values are not available in source data.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news feed, the most recent items reference a 125,000 restricted-share package tied to a convertible debt offering, a patent filing for cell-based peptide delivery, and an SEC filing dated October 20, 2026. Multiple headlines describe the share price slipping to $0.98 and $0.97 and testing support zones near $0.92. These items are tagged as YELLOW light and MARKET WIRE impact. Risk watch items per the sources include the convertible debt financing, which the headline ties to restricted share issuance, and the continued price weakness. The Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph lists no proprietary signals and no butterfly links.

Open Questions

  • What are the terms of the convertible debt offering, and how does the 125,000 restricted-share package affect dilution given a $6.3M market capitalization?
  • What is the company's cash runway given reported cash of $4.9M against FY 2025 operating income of $-16.6M?
  • What clinical or regulatory milestones, if any, are referenced in the patent and SEC filing items, and their timing?
  • What is the composition of the institutional, insider, and Congressional flow underlying the 3/20 and 5/20 pillar scores?
  • Why are period-level debt and EPS values unavailable, and how was the Debt/Equity ratio of 0.5 derived?

FBLG Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for FibroBiologics Inc. (FBLG) β€’ Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

πŸ’¬ Jump to FBLG Debate Forum (3) ↓
πŸ”₯ THE ROAR PIT β€’ LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

FBLG Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board β€” What's Your Call at $0.93?

πŸ‚ 33% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON FBLG 🐻 67% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on FBLG:
πŸ’‘ Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $0.82 (-11.8%)
πŸ“Œ Pinned Debate

πŸ”₯ Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is FBLG (D- β€’ RQD 36/100) a Buy at $0.93?

Welcome to the FBLG (FibroBiologics Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 36/100 (Roarable Sell β€” Vulnerable Balance Sheet & Flow) in Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (πŸ‚ Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

VA ValDiscipline Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $0.73 (-21.5%)
Spot @ $0.93

Pump the brakes on FBLG β€” check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on FBLG, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with tightening sector spreads. Unless FibroBiologics Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

MI MidwestValue Verified K Arena Trader πŸ‚ BULLISH 🎯 Target: $1.12 (+20.4%)
Spot @ $0.93

FBLG cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on FBLG, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $0.93 (52-wk range $0.62 - $9.60), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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