eToro Group Ltd. (Class A) (ETOR) Dividend Safety Gauge & 10-Year DRIP Compounder

$22.51 -3.68% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $22.32

eToro Group Ltd. (Class A) (ETOR) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 45/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $1.88B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is ETOR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
▼

As of 2026-11-02, eToro Group Ltd. (Class A) (NASDAQ: ETOR) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 45/100 at a spot price of $22.51 (-3.68% 1D, market cap $1.88B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 4/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, ETOR ranks #815 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does ETOR compare to MIY and TOP in the Financials sector?
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Within the Financials sector (Investment Bankers/Brokers/Service), ETOR carries a Roarable D (45/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, MIY (Blackrock MuniYield Michigan Quality Fund Inc.) holds a D grade (49/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $1.79B) and TOP (TOP Financial Group Limited (Class A)) posts a D+ grade (55/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $1.77B). Among the 5-stock peer group, ETOR leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while ETOR leads on capital efficiency (— ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ETOR?
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For eToro Group Ltd. (Class A) (ETOR), key quantitative strengths include Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity. and sector rank #815 in Financials, while primary risk factors center on Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. and Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $22.32 (-0.85%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 11/20 (D+) • 1.3% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (45/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-6.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D
025507510045
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D+
Cash (11)Whales (4)SEC (13)Macro (8)CEO (9)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-5.9% Base Target
$46 Bull$21 Base$17 Bear
📬 FREE ETOR RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for ETOR)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6.3%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (45/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY ETOR SCORES 45/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (29% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+11/20 pts (24% of score)

SEC XBRL Trailing 12 Months: 1.3% FCF Margin ($52.7M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
53
Grade C-$25.03-3.6% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
50
Grade C-$24.12-2.5% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
48
Grade D$23.52-4.3% Next Q
Current
45
Grade D$22.51-6.3% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C- (53) → D (45)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a ETOR Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While ETOR currently carries a cautious 45/100 (D) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($27.16) and Max Pain ($23.64) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $46.42.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $ETOR• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “ETOR Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Upcoming Quarter) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
CASH DIVIDEND + BUYBACK YIELD
1.8% Total Yield
0% Cash ($0.00/yr) + 1.8% Buybacks
PAYOUT SAFETY SPEEDOMETER
74/100 • REINVESTING IN GROWTH + BUYBACKS
FREE CASH FLOW PAYOUT RATIO
0% (100% Reinvested)
Retains cash flow for R&D and share repurchases
INTERACTIVE DRIP & SHAREHOLDER-YIELD COMPOUNDER (6.8% EST. ANNUAL)

$10,000 Compounded Over 10 Years → $19,307

Est. Year-10 Shareholder Yield: $348/yr
$10.7K
Yr 1
$11.4K
Yr 2
$12.2K
Yr 3
$13.0K
Yr 4
$13.9K
Yr 5
$14.8K
Yr 6
$15.8K
Yr 7
$16.9K
Yr 8
$18.1K
Yr 9
$19.3K
Yr 10
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring ETOR)

  • ✓Walkthrough of ETOR's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
ETOR // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -41.24%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-02O $23.61H $23.61L $22.51C $22.51VOL 842.1K
RES: $25.02SUP: $20.95SMA50: $27.16SMA200: $32.71
$44.80$38.63$32.47$26.30$20.14RES $25.02SUP $20.95$22.512026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-172026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

ETOR Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ETOR today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ETOR. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ETOR today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ETOR)

Financials Rank #815 of 1096 ⚔️ MIY vs ETOR Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (ETOR vs. MIY, TOP, MUJ, MHD)

Industry: Investment Bankers/Brokers/Service (64 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, eToro Group Ltd. (Class A) (ETOR) ranks #815 by composite RQD confidence (45/100, grade D) and #436 by equity capitalization ($1.88B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ETOR leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while ETOR leads on capital efficiency and profitability with — ROIC and — gross margin. TOP currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 55/100 (D+) compared with ETOR at 45/100 (D).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
ETOR ACTIVE
eToro Group Ltd. (Class A)
D 45/100 — — — -3.68% $1.88B Benchmark Subject
MIY
Blackrock MuniYield Michigan Quality Fund Inc.
D 49/100 — — — +1.33% $1.79B /miy-vs-etor →
TOP
TOP Financial Group Limited (Class A)
D+ 55/100 — — — -22.42% $1.77B /top-vs-etor →
MUJ
Blackrock MuniHoldings New Jersey Quality Fund Inc.
D 45/100 — — — +0.35% $1.70B /muj-vs-etor →
MHD
Blackrock MuniHoldings Fund Inc.
D 47/100 — — — +0.56% $1.61B /mhd-vs-etor →

2. ETOR Fundamental Profitability, Capital Efficiency & Balance-Sheet Forensics

TRAILING 12M & FORWARD QUANTITATIVE SNAPSHOT

eToro Group Ltd. (Class A) (ETOR) operates in Investment Bankers/Brokers/Service (Financials) with an equity capitalization of $1.88B, trailing P/E of N/A, forward P/E of N/A, and EV/EBITDA of N/A. Operating profitability registers a gross margin of —, operating margin of —, net profit margin of —, ROIC of —, and free cash flow yield of —, alongside an Altman Z-Score of N/A and Piotroski F-Score of N/A.

3. ETOR Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is ETOR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, eToro Group Ltd. (Class A) (NASDAQ: ETOR) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 45/100 at a spot price of $22.51 (-3.68% 1D, market cap $1.88B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 4/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, ETOR ranks #815 in composite RQD confidence.

How does ETOR compare to MIY and TOP in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Investment Bankers/Brokers/Service), ETOR carries a Roarable D (45/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, MIY (Blackrock MuniYield Michigan Quality Fund Inc.) holds a D grade (49/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $1.79B) and TOP (TOP Financial Group Limited (Class A)) posts a D+ grade (55/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $1.77B). Among the 5-stock peer group, ETOR leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while ETOR leads on capital efficiency (— ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ETOR?

For eToro Group Ltd. (Class A) (ETOR), key quantitative strengths include Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity. and sector rank #815 in Financials, while primary risk factors center on Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. and Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is ETOR trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

ETOR last traded at $22.51 (-3.68% on volume of 2,879,212 shares), positioning the stock -17.12% below its 50-day simple moving average ($27.16) and -31.18% below its 200-day simple moving average ($32.71). Across its 52-week range of $22.05 to $44.21, ETOR sits at the 2.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 35.7 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.3% ($21.09 to $23.93).

ETOR Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Does ETOR pay a dividend and is it safe?

eToro Group Ltd. (Class A) (ETOR) offers a 0% cash dividend yield ($0.00 annualized) and 1.8% total shareholder yield including buybacks. Roarable rates its payout coverage as REINVESTING IN GROWTH + BUYBACKS.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 45/100 (D) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

ETOR — eToro Group Ltd. (Class A): What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T14:12:59Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, ETOR carries an RQD Score of 45 out of 100, letter grade D, labeled "Roarable Sell — Underperform / Distribution Warning." The five pillars are scored as follows:

  • Fundamental Cash Engine: 11 / 20 (ROIC 0%; FCF yield 0%). The rating reflects no measurable return on invested capital and no free-cash-flow yield in the source data, so the business is not currently shown to generate cash returns that would support the equity on a standalone basis.
  • Whale 13F Flow: 4 / 20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning). This is the weakest pillar and points to limited institutional accumulation in the source data. Holder-level detail is not available in source data.
  • Insider Conviction: 9 / 20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow). The score is below midpoint; specific trade detail is not available in source data.
  • Macro Regime Fit: 8 / 20 (Beta 1.0; sector sensitivity). A beta of 1.0 means the stock is expected to move in line with the market, offering no defensive cushion, and the low pillar score reflects weak alignment with the current regime as scored by the rating.
  • Forensic Balance Sheet: 13 / 20 (Altman Z 2.5; Piotroski F 6/9; Debt/Equity 0.5). This is the strongest pillar. Per the rating, the balance sheet is more solid than the cash-generation and flow pillars, with moderate leverage and a Piotroski score of 6 of 9.

For a prospective investor evaluating the stock today, the composite reading is negative: cash-generation and institutional-flow signals are weak, while balance-sheet metrics are the main offset. Upside drivers would need to come from improving cash returns and flow participation; valuation tradeoffs cannot be fully assessed because P/E and EV/EBITDA are not available in source data. This is an educational reading of the rating, not personalized financial advice.

Business

Per the profile, eToro Group Ltd. (Class A) is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Financials sector, Investment Bankers/Brokers/Service industry, with a market capitalization of $1.9B. Customer segments, product lines, and revenue model are not available in source data. Per the profile, the company is classified as a broker-type service provider.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per <recent_news_and_catalysts>, the feed contains six items, all related to ETOR:

  • Market wire (YELLOW): a Yahoo Finance report on fresh attention, covering market action and institutional positioning.
  • Catalyst (GREEN): a Yahoo Finance report on whether trading growth can outrun costs, framed around the stock looking cheap on earnings.
  • Catalyst (GREEN): a CoinMarketCap report describing a share jump tied to a crypto-driven Q4 earnings beat.
  • Risk watch (RED): a TradingView report on a 12-month price target cut to $47.13.
  • Market wire (YELLOW): a Quantisnow report on an SEC Form 4 filing by eToro Group Ltd.
  • Risk watch (RED): a Stocktwits report on a BofA price-target cut for ETOR ahead of Q3 earnings, alongside target hikes for peers.

The feed mixes positive earnings-related catalysts with two risk-watch items on price-target cuts. Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, no proprietary signals are present.

Butterfly Effect: 2nd-Order Supply-Chain & Sector Ripples

Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply chain is recorded as NONE, with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals. Upstream and downstream dependencies, sector correlations, and second-order bottlenecks are not available in source data. The only sector context provided is the Financials / Investment Bankers/Brokers/Service classification and beta of 1.0.

Open Questions

  • What are eToro's reported revenue, operating income, net income, and free cash flow across recent periods, given that the financials section is empty?
  • What are the trailing and forward P/E and EV/EBITDA multiples, which would allow valuation tradeoffs to be assessed?
  • What is the consensus analyst rating and full price-target distribution behind the cited $47.13 target and the BofA cut?
  • Which institutions and insiders hold or transacted in ETOR, given that the holders section is empty and the Form 4 filing is referenced only in headline form?
  • How do the crypto-driven earnings drivers cited in the news feed reconcile with the 0% ROIC and 0% FCF yield in the RQD rating?

ETOR Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for eToro Group Ltd. (Class A) (ETOR) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to ETOR Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

ETOR Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $22.51?

🐂 33% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON ETOR 🐻 67% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on ETOR:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $20.57 (-12.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is ETOR (D • RQD 45/100) a Buy at $23.37?

Welcome to the ETOR (eToro Group Ltd. (Class A)) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 45/100 (Roarable Sell — Underperform / Distribution Warning) in Investment Bankers/Brokers/Service. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

SK SkepticalCFA Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $19.16 (-18.0%)
Spot @ $23.37

Pump the brakes on ETOR — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on ETOR, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with tightening sector spreads. Unless eToro Group Ltd. (Class A) expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

DE DeltaGamma_99 Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $28.28 (+21.0%)
Spot @ $23.37

ETOR cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on ETOR, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Investment Bankers/Brokers/Service and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $23.37 (52-wk range $22.05 - $44.21), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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