Energy Services of America Corporation (ESOA) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$9.40 -3.88% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $9.32

Energy Services of America Corporation (ESOA) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 36/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D- • RED ALERT Cap $182.5M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is ESOA stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, Energy Services of America Corporation (NASDAQ: ESOA) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 36/100 at a spot price of $9.40 (-3.88% 1D, market cap $182.5M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 7/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 4/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 6/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, ESOA ranks #368 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does ESOA compare to RNTZ and ITG in the Industrials sector?
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Within the Industrials sector (Water Sewer Pipeline Comm & Power Line Construction), ESOA carries a Roarable D- (36/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 9.4%, and ROIC of 3.9%. By comparison, RNTZ (Rantizo (Class A)) holds a E grade (34/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -16.2%, cap $247.8M) and ITG (ITG Inc. (Class A)) posts a D- grade (43/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $705.2M). Among the 5-stock peer group, PRIM leads on earnings multiple (14.8x) while PRIM leads on capital efficiency (20.9% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ESOA?
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Per ESOA's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30, CIK 0001357971), Energy Services of America Corporation generated $411.0M in revenue (+16.8% YoY), $0 in net income, and -$2.2M in free cash flow against $201.0M in total assets and $40.5M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $9.32 (-0.89%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+1.64% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 7/20 (D-) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (36/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-8.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • D-
025507510036
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk D
Cash (7)Whales (5)SEC (14)Macro (4)CEO (6)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-9.9% Base Target
$21 Bull$8 Base$7 Bear
📬 FREE ESOA RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for ESOA)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±8%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (36/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY ESOA SCORES 36/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+14/20 pts (39% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.13 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 4/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+7/20 pts (19% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 9.4% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (45) create a -16 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
44
Grade D$10.28-8.1% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
41
Grade D$9.45-2.2% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
39
Grade E$9.24+1.7% Next Q
Current
36
Grade D-$9.40-8.3% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: D (44) → D- (36)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a ESOA Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While ESOA currently carries a cautious 36/100 (D-) rating due to Macro Regime Fit (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($10.66) and Max Pain ($9.87) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $20.94.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+1.64% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $ESOA• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “ESOA Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 29, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE
4530 Oversold · 70 Hot
ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)
3.13>3.0 Fortress Safe
PIOTROSKI F-SCOREWEAK QUALITY (1–4)
4 / 99-Pt Accounting
52-WEEK LASER RANGE13% OF RANGE
L: $8$9.40H: $20
1. Money & Cash Health● WEAK
Are profits real cash in the bank?

Weak cash conversion or heavy valuation strain compared to actual cash earned.

Factor Grade: D-RQD 7 / 20
2. Big Money & Insiders● TRIMMING
Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Insiders and big institutional desks have been trimming shares rather than stepping up to buy.

Factor Grade: ERQD 11 / 40
3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WARNING
SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

High sensitivity to tight interest rates or new risk warnings added to recent SEC annual filings.

Factor Grade: DRQD 18 / 40
MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning on ESOA

Cash & Moat Bull AI
ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model
BEARISH (35)

3.9% ROIC with 9.4% gross margin and -1.21% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI
10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard
BULLISH (70)

Altman-Z 3.13 and Piotroski 4/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI
Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq
BEARISH (25)

11/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 4/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like ESOA
  • ✓Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.
Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong
  • !Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.
  • !Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring ESOA)

  • ✓Walkthrough of ESOA's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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ESOA // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -45.19%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-11-02O $9.82H $9.82L $9.40C $9.40VOL 66.5K
RES: $10.15SUP: $8.60SMA50: $10.66SMA200: $13.70
$20.71$17.52$14.34$11.16$7.97RES $10.15SUP $8.60$9.402026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-172026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

ESOA Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
20.4%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +16.8% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ESOA today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ESOA. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ESOA today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ESOA)

Industrials Rank #368 of 485 ⚔️ RNTZ vs ESOA Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (ESOA vs. RNTZ, ITG, PLPC, PRIM)

Industry: Water Sewer Pipeline Comm & Power Line Construction (8 Tracked Issuers)

Across 485 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Energy Services of America Corporation (ESOA) ranks #368 by composite RQD confidence (36/100, grade D-) and #354 by equity capitalization ($182.5M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, PRIM leads on earnings valuation at 14.8x trailing P/E, while PRIM leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 20.9% ROIC and 10.7% gross margin. PRIM currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 67/100 (C+) compared with ESOA at 36/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
ESOA ACTIVE
Energy Services of America Corporation
D- 36/100 — 9.4% 3.9% -3.88% $182.5M Benchmark Subject
RNTZ
Rantizo (Class A)
E 34/100 — 25.1% -16.2% -6.25% $247.8M /rntz-vs-esoa →
ITG
ITG Inc. (Class A)
D- 43/100 — — — +5.11% $705.2M /itg-vs-esoa →
PLPC
Preformed Line Products Company
D+ 52/100 44.3x 31.2% 8.6% -9.02% $1.56B /plpc-vs-esoa →
PRIM
Primoris Services Corporation
C+ 67/100 14.8x 10.7% 20.9% -3.76% $4.07B /prim-vs-esoa →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2024–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-09-30 • CIK 0001357971

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30), Energy Services of America Corporation (ESOA) reported GAAP revenue of $411.0M (+16.8% vs. FY2024 revenue of $351.9M ) , GAAP net income of $0, operating cash flow of $4.1M, and free cash flow of -$2.2M (-122.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, ESOA closed FY2025 with $201.0M in total assets against $40.5M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 3.13, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-09-30 $411.0M $0 $4.1M -$2.2M $201.0M $40.5M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-09-30 $351.9M $0 $18.7M $9.9M $192.1M $39.2M

3. ESOA Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is ESOA stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Energy Services of America Corporation (NASDAQ: ESOA) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 36/100 at a spot price of $9.40 (-3.88% 1D, market cap $182.5M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 7/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 4/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 6/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, ESOA ranks #368 in composite RQD confidence.

How does ESOA compare to RNTZ and ITG in the Industrials sector?

Within the Industrials sector (Water Sewer Pipeline Comm & Power Line Construction), ESOA carries a Roarable D- (36/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 9.4%, and ROIC of 3.9%. By comparison, RNTZ (Rantizo (Class A)) holds a E grade (34/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -16.2%, cap $247.8M) and ITG (ITG Inc. (Class A)) posts a D- grade (43/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $705.2M). Among the 5-stock peer group, PRIM leads on earnings multiple (14.8x) while PRIM leads on capital efficiency (20.9% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ESOA?

Per ESOA's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30, CIK 0001357971), Energy Services of America Corporation generated $411.0M in revenue (+16.8% YoY), $0 in net income, and -$2.2M in free cash flow against $201.0M in total assets and $40.5M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is ESOA trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

ESOA last traded at $9.40 (-3.88% on volume of 75,319 shares), positioning the stock -11.82% below its 50-day simple moving average ($10.66) and -31.39% below its 200-day simple moving average ($13.70). Across its 52-week range of $7.84 to $19.94, ESOA sits at the 12.9% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 45.0 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±8.0% ($8.65 to $10.15).

ESOA Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell ESOA stock right now?

Energy Services of America Corporation (ESOA) currently earns a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell — SELL) with 36/100 RQD Confidence. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (4% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

What is ESOA's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

ESOA's 12-month base price target is $8.47 (range $6.61 to $20.94), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 36/100 (D-) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

ESOA — Energy Services of America Corporation: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:41:47Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, ESOA scores 36 out of 100 with a letter grade of D-, labeled "Roarable Sell — Vulnerable Balance Sheet & Flow." Pillar scores are: Fundamental Cash Engine 7/20 (ROIC 3.9%; FCF yield -1.21%); Whale 13F Flow 5/20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning); Insider Conviction 6/20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow); Macro Regime Fit 4/20 (Beta 1.0; sector sensitivity); and Forensic Balance Sheet 14/20 (Altman Z 3.13; Piotroski F 4/9; Debt/Equity 0.67).

For a prospective investor, the cash-generation pillar is the weakest link: a negative FCF yield and a 3.9% ROIC indicate limited current capacity to convert capital into free cash for shareholders. The forensic pillar is the strongest, with the Altman Z-Score of 3.13 and a Debt/Equity of 0.67 supporting a more stable balance sheet than the cash pillar suggests. Flow signals (13F, insider, and options) are weak, and the macro pillar reflects a beta of 1.0 with sector sensitivity. Upside drivers would need to come from improving cash conversion and margin recovery; valuation tradeoffs are reflected in an EV/EBITDA of 21.5 against thin operating (1%) and net (0%) margins.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$411.0M$4.2M$0.0MN/A$-2.2M$16.7M$40.5M
FY 2024$351.9M$19.8M$0.0MN/A$9.9M$20.3M$39.2M

Per the SEC financials, revenue rose from $351.9M (FY 2024) to $411.0M (FY 2025) while operating income fell from $19.8M to $4.2M and FCF moved from $9.9M to $-2.2M. Per the market data, gross margin is 9.4%, operating margin 1%, and net margin 0%, with ROIC of 3.9%. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 3.13 and the Piotroski F-Score is 4/9. Debt/Equity is 0.67 per the RQD forensic pillar, and cash ($16.7M) remains below debt ($40.5M) in FY 2025.

Open Questions

  • What is the expected revenue and margin contribution from the FAMCO acquisition and the transferred workforce, and is it reflected in any forward estimates?
  • Why did operating income decline sharply from $19.8M to $4.2M while revenue increased, and what drove the swing to negative FCF?
  • What are the EPS and P/E figures, given that EPS (TTM) and P/E are unavailable and net income is reported as $0.0M?
  • What is the company's customer concentration and segment mix within water, sewer, pipeline, and power line construction?
  • Who are the institutional and insider holders, and what is the recent direction of their positions?

ESOA Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Energy Services of America Corporation (ESOA) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to ESOA Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

ESOA Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $9.40?

🐂 33% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON ESOA 🐻 67% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on ESOA:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $8.61 (-12.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is ESOA (D- • RQD 36/100) a Buy at $9.78?

Welcome to the ESOA (Energy Services of America Corporation) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 36/100 (Roarable Sell — Vulnerable Balance Sheet & Flow) in Water Sewer Pipeline Comm & Power Line Construction. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

FO ForensicBear Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $7.34 (-24.9%)
Spot @ $9.78

Pump the brakes on ESOA — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on ESOA, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with 9.4% gross margins. Unless Energy Services of America Corporation expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

AL AlphaFlow_Cap Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $12.52 (+28.0%)
Spot @ $9.78

ESOA cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on ESOA, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Water Sewer Pipeline Comm & Power Line Construction and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $9.78 (52-wk range $7.84 - $19.94), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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