Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / EMPD / forecast

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Empery Digital Inc. (EMPD) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$2.69 -6.27% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $2.65

Empery Digital Inc. (EMPD) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 21/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (21/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $85.2M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on EMPD Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is EMPD stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-02, Empery Digital Inc. (NASDAQ: EMPD) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 21/100 at a spot price of $2.69 (-6.27% 1D, market cap $85.2M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 5/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, Executive Insider Alignment 3/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, EMPD ranks #986 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does EMPD compare to SEV and GGR in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Auto Manufacturing), EMPD carries a Roarable E (21/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of -30.0%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, SEV (Aptera Motors Corp. (Class B)) holds a E grade (33/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $68.4M) and GGR (Gogoro Inc.) posts a D grade (48/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $60.2M). Among the 5-stock peer group, EMPD leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while EMPD leads on capital efficiency (-35.0% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for EMPD?

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Per EMPD's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001829794), Empery Digital Inc. generated $975.0K in revenue (-75.5% YoY), -$150.1M in net income, and -$18.1M in free cash flow against $372.4M in total assets and $49.9M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $2.65 (-1.32%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 5/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (21/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-11.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk E

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-16.7% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for EMPD)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (21/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY EMPD SCORES 21/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+6/20 pts (29% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 5% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 47.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+5/20 pts (24% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 0% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade E$3.27-16.5% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade E$2.73+0% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade E$2.73-1.5% Next Q

Current

Grade E$2.69-11.6% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: E (29) → E (21)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a EMPD Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While EMPD currently carries a cautious 21/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($3.03) and Max Pain ($2.82) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $7.47.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $EMPD• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “EMPD Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 21%NO 79%Trade / Inspect Odds →

INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your EMPD Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $2.69: 3717.5 sh

$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000

12M Bear Case FloorTarget $1.75

$6,506

$-3,494 (-34.9%)

12M Consensus BaseTarget $2.24

$8,327

$-1,673 (-16.7%)

12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $7.47

$27,770

+$17,770 (+177.7%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (35 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100

● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 9

Wall Street Firm	Stance	12M Target	1Y Accuracy	Track Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity Desk	HOLD	$2	74%	A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage Lead	UNDERPERFORM	$7	69%	B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap Research	SELL	$2	58%	C

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring EMPD)

✓Walkthrough of EMPD's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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EMPD // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -45.21%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT

2026-11-02O $3.00H $3.00L $2.69C $2.69VOL 68.6K

RES: $3.18SUP: $2.65SMA50: $3.03SMA200: $3.82

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

EMPD Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 EMPD Butterfly Map → + Track EMPD →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -65.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on EMPD today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for EMPD. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for EMPD today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (EMPD)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #986 of 1011 ⚔️ SEV vs EMPD Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (EMPD vs. SEV, GGR, NIU, AIIO)

Industry: Auto Manufacturing (28 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Empery Digital Inc. (EMPD) ranks #986 by composite RQD confidence (21/100, grade E) and #766 by equity capitalization ($85.2M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, EMPD leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while EMPD leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -35.0% ROIC and -30.0% gross margin. GGR currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 48/100 (D) compared with EMPD at 21/100 (E).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
EMPD ACTIVE Empery Digital Inc.	E	21/100	—	-30.0%	-35.0%	-6.27%	$85.2M	Benchmark Subject
SEV Aptera Motors Corp. (Class B)	E	33/100	—	—	-35.0%	-1.20%	$68.4M	/sev-vs-empd →
GGR Gogoro Inc.	D	48/100	—	—	—	0.00%	$60.2M	/ggr-vs-empd →
NIU Niu Technologies	D-	38/100	—	19.6%	-35.0%	-4.25%	$147.5M	/niu-vs-empd →
AIIO Robo.ai Inc. (Class B)	E	24/100	—	62.5%	-35.0%	-11.24%	$161.2M	/aiio-vs-empd →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001829794

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Empery Digital Inc. (EMPD) reported GAAP revenue of $975.0K (-75.5% vs. FY2024 revenue of $4.0M , and -70.1% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$150.1M, operating cash flow of -$17.8M, and free cash flow of -$18.1M (-10.4% YoY). On the balance sheet, EMPD closed FY2025 with $372.4M in total assets against $49.9M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.20, Piotroski F-Score: 2/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$975.0K	-$150.1M	-$17.8M	-$18.1M	$372.4M	$49.9M
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$4.0M	-$45.5M	-$16.0M	-$16.3M	$6.2M	$0
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$3.3M	-$45.1M	-$29.6M	-$29.6M	—	—

3. EMPD Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is EMPD stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does EMPD compare to SEV and GGR in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for EMPD?

Where is EMPD trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

EMPD last traded at $2.69 (-6.27% on volume of 103,272 shares), positioning the stock -11.22% below its 50-day simple moving average ($3.03) and -29.58% below its 200-day simple moving average ($3.82). Across its 52-week range of $2.48 to $7.11, EMPD sits at the 4.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 47.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($2.35 to $3.03).

EMPD Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is EMPD's 12-month stock price target?

Empery Digital Inc. (EMPD) carries a 12-month consensus base price target of $2.24 (-16.7% from $2.69), with a bull-case target of $7.47 and a bear-case floor of $1.75.

Is EMPD stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now?

Roarable's 5-Pillar RQD Quant Engine rates EMPD E (Strong Sell — SELL) with an RQD Confidence score of 21/100.

Direct Sub-Reports: EMPD RQD Cockpit EMPD 12M Forecast EMPD Earnings & Move EMPD Dividends & DRIP EMPD Insiders & 13F EMPD Whale Options EMPD Profit Sankey EMPD News & Why

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 21/100 (E) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

EMPD — Empery Digital Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5

As of: 2026-11-02T15:44:42Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, EMPD scores 21 out of 100 with a letter grade of E, labeled "Roarable Strong Sell — Forensic Risk / Avoid." The five pillars are: Fundamental Cash Engine at 5 / 20 (ROIC -35%; FCF yield -21.18%); Whale 13F Flow at 5 / 20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning); Insider Conviction at 3 / 20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow); Macro Regime Fit at 6 / 20 (Beta 1.0; sector sensitivity); and Forensic Balance Sheet at 2 / 20 (Altman Z 0.2; Piotroski F 2/9; Debt/Equity 0.19). The weakest pillar is the forensic balance sheet, followed by insider conviction, which together signal that the model sees limited near-term support for the equity. The cash engine and whale-flow pillars also score poorly, meaning the rating reflects weakness across operating economics and ownership signals rather than a single factor. Per the rating's own framing, the implication for a prospective investor is that the source data identifies forensic and cash-generation risk as dominant; any upside case would need to overcome these pillar scores rather than rely on macro or sector tailwinds, which the model scores only modestly. This is an analytical reading of the rating, not a recommendation.

Financial Trend

Period	Revenue	Operating Income	Net Income	EPS	FCF	Cash	Debt
FY 2025	$1.0M	$-153.5M	$-150.1M	N/A	$-18.1M	$9.0M	$49.9M
FY 2024	$4.0M	$-25.7M	$-45.5M	N/A	$-16.3M	$2.2M	$0.0M
FY 2023	$3.3M	$-29.8M	$-45.1M	N/A	$-29.6M	N/A	N/A

Per the market data, gross margin is -30%, operating margin -60%, net margin -60%, and ROIC -35%. Per the RQD pillar detail, the Altman Z-Score is 0.2 and the Piotroski F-Score is 2/9, both in the distressed range by the cited scores. Debt/Equity is 0.19 per the rating, while reported FY 2025 debt of $49.9M rose from $0.0M in FY 2024. Revenue declined from $4.0M in FY 2024 to $1.0M in FY 2025 while net loss widened to $-150.1M.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news wire, the items are: a Stocktwits market-wire item covering trading and positioning; a Yahoo Finance report that the Delaware Supreme Court affirmed the Chancery Court's ruling in an Empery Digital appeal, described as upholding stockholder franchise; a TradingView estimates item; a MarketScreener item on the appointment of E. Taylor Robertson as director; a Simply Wall St item titled around when the company will break even; and a Stock Title item on an initial statement of beneficial ownership. All items are flagged YELLOW with the MARKET WIRE impact label. The source data contains no quantified catalyst outcomes. Risk watch items per the financial data include continued operating losses, revenue decline, and negative FCF. The Butterfly graph records no proprietary signals.

Open Questions

What are the company's products, customers, and revenue sources, given that FY 2025 revenue fell to $1.0M?
What drove the increase in debt from $0.0M to $49.9M, and what are its terms and maturities?
What is the composition of the FY 2025 net loss of $-150.1M, and how much is recurring versus one-time?
What is the outcome and financial significance of the Delaware appeal referenced in the news wire?
What is the current cash runway given FY 2025 cash of $9.0M against negative FCF of $-18.1M?

EMPD Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Empery Digital Inc. (EMPD) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to EMPD Debate Forum (3) ↓

🟡 MARKET WIRE Stocktwits • 14h ago

EMPD: Empery Digital Inc. Latest Stock Price, Analysis, News and Trading Ideas

Stocktwits report covering Empery Digital Inc. (EMPD) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 17h ago

ATG Capital Announces that the Delaware Supreme Court has Affirmed the Chancery Court’s Ruling in Empery Digital Appeal – Upholding Stockholder Franchise

Yahoo Finance report covering Empery Digital Inc. (EMPD) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE TradingView • 20h ago

Empery Digital Inc. Estimates – NASDAQ:EMPD

TradingView report covering Empery Digital Inc. (EMPD) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE www.marketscreener.com • 23h ago

Empery Digital Inc. Appoints E. Taylor Robertson as Director

www.marketscreener.com report covering Empery Digital Inc. (EMPD) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Simply Wall St • 1d ago

Empery Digital Inc. (NASDAQ:EMPD): When Will It Breakeven?

Simply Wall St report covering Empery Digital Inc. (EMPD) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Stock Titan • 1d ago

Empery Digital Inc. Initial Statement of Beneficial Ownership

Stock Titan report covering Empery Digital Inc. (EMPD) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Business Wire • 1d ago

Empery Digital Announces Update on Share Repurchase Program

Business Wire report covering Empery Digital Inc. (EMPD) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE TradingView • 1d ago

Empery Digital Repurchases 167,809 Shares, With $50 Million Remaining

TradingView report covering Empery Digital Inc. (EMPD) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

EMPD Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $2.69?

🐂 33% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON EMPD 🐻 67% BEARISH CONVICTION

RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $2.53 (-11.8%)

📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is EMPD (E • RQD 21/100) a Buy at $2.87?

Welcome to the EMPD (Empery Digital Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 21/100 (Roarable Strong Sell — Forensic Risk / Avoid) in Auto Manufacturing. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

BE BearTrap_Alert Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $2.32 (-19.2%)

Spot @ $2.87

Pump the brakes on EMPD — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on EMPD, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with -30.0% gross margins. Unless Empery Digital Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

MA MacroHawk_NYC Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $3.36 (+17.1%)

Spot @ $2.87

EMPD cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on EMPD, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Auto Manufacturing and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $2.87 (52-wk range $2.48 - $7.11), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.