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EuroDry Ltd. (EDRY) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$40.71 -8.12% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $40.04

EuroDry Ltd. (EDRY) carries a Roarable Rating of C- (Hold) with 60/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C- • HOLD / WATCH Cap $127.0M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on EDRY Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is EDRY stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, EuroDry Ltd. (NASDAQ: EDRY) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 60/100 at a spot price of $40.71 (-8.12% 1D, market cap $127.0M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 12/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, EDRY ranks #336 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does EDRY compare to TORO and AIOK in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Marine Transportation), EDRY carries a Roarable C- (60/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 1.4%. By comparison, TORO (Toro Corp.) holds a D- grade (36/100 RQD, P/E 25.7x, ROIC -4.8%, cap $149.0M) and AIOK (AI OKTO CORP.) posts a C grade (63/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $104.4M). Among the 5-stock peer group, TORO leads on earnings multiple (25.7x) while PXS leads on capital efficiency (3.4% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for EDRY?
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Per EDRY's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001731388), EuroDry Ltd. generated $8.3M in revenue (-52.8% YoY), $0 in net income, and $12.8M in free cash flow against $212.1M in total assets and $90.9M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $40.04 (-1.65%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 13/20 (C) • 153.4% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 60/100 (C-) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 53.5% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C-
025507510060
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk B-
Cash (13)Whales (7)SEC (13)Macro (15)CEO (12)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+0.9% Base Target
$77 Bull$41 Base$32 Bear
📬 FREE EDRY RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for EDRY)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (60/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY EDRY SCORES 60/100 (C-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+15/20 pts (25% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 47% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 41 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+13/20 pts (22% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 153.4% FCF Margin ($12.8M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning7/20 pts (-13 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-13 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
68
Grade B-$53.23-14.9% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
65
Grade C+$45.31+0.5% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
63
Grade C+$45.53-10.6% Next Q
Current
60
Grade C-$40.71+0.4% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: B- (68) → C- (60)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the EDRY Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 60/100 (C-) score, EDRY faces multiple-compression risk if current valuation multiples re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($53.63) or 200D SMA ($29.99) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($41.08) toward Bear Floor ($32.04).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $EDRY• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “EDRY Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
YES 60%NO 40%Trade / Inspect Odds →
INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your EDRY Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $40.71: 245.6 sh
$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000
12M Bear Case FloorTarget $32.04
$7,870
$-2,130 (-21.3%)
12M Consensus BaseTarget $41.08
$10,091
+$91 (+0.9%)
12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $76.72
$18,845
+$8,845 (+88.5%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (28 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100
● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 2
Wall Street FirmStance12M Target1Y AccuracyTrack Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity DeskHOLD$4374%A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage LeadBUY$7269%B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap ResearchHOLD$3758%C
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (EDRY Tape Review)

  • ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
  • ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
  • ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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EDRY // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +108.66%▼ SUPPORT BREAKDOWN
2026-11-03O $44.79H $44.79L $40.71C $40.71VOL 40.0K
RES: $91.69SUP: $43.77SMA50: $53.63SMA200: $29.99
$77.18$60.16$43.13$26.11$9.09RES $91.69SUP $43.77$40.712026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

EDRY Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 EDRY Butterfly Map → + Track EDRY →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
48.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -52.8% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on EDRY today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for EDRY. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for EDRY today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (EDRY)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #336 of 1009 ⚔️ TORO vs EDRY Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (EDRY vs. TORO, AIOK, HMR, PXS)

Industry: Marine Transportation (67 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, EuroDry Ltd. (EDRY) ranks #336 by composite RQD confidence (60/100, grade C-) and #736 by equity capitalization ($127.0M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, TORO leads on earnings valuation at 25.7x trailing P/E, while PXS leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 3.4% ROIC and — gross margin. PXS currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 66/100 (C+) compared with EDRY at 60/100 (C-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
EDRY ACTIVE
EuroDry Ltd.
C- 60/100 — — 1.4% -8.12% $127.0M Benchmark Subject
TORO
Toro Corp.
D- 36/100 25.7x — -4.8% +0.70% $149.0M /toro-vs-edry →
AIOK
AI OKTO CORP.
C 63/100 — — — -47.74% $104.4M /aiok-vs-edry →
HMR
Heidmar Maritime Holdings Corp.
E 34/100 — — -35.0% +5.88% $80.2M /hmr-vs-edry →
PXS
Pyxis Tankers Inc.
C+ 66/100 37.5x — 3.4% -8.51% $73.0M /pxs-vs-edry →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2024–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001731388 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), EuroDry Ltd. (EDRY) reported GAAP revenue of $8.3M (-52.8% vs. FY2024 revenue of $17.6M ) , GAAP net income of $0, operating cash flow of $12.8M, and free cash flow of $12.8M (+165.2% YoY). On the balance sheet, EDRY closed FY2025 with $212.1M in total assets against $90.9M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $8.3M $0 $12.8M $12.8M $212.1M $90.9M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $17.6M $0 $4.8M $4.8M $219.7M $95.4M

3. EDRY Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is EDRY stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, EuroDry Ltd. (NASDAQ: EDRY) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 60/100 at a spot price of $40.71 (-8.12% 1D, market cap $127.0M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 12/20. Across 1009 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, EDRY ranks #336 in composite RQD confidence.

How does EDRY compare to TORO and AIOK in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Marine Transportation), EDRY carries a Roarable C- (60/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 1.4%. By comparison, TORO (Toro Corp.) holds a D- grade (36/100 RQD, P/E 25.7x, ROIC -4.8%, cap $149.0M) and AIOK (AI OKTO CORP.) posts a C grade (63/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $104.4M). Among the 5-stock peer group, TORO leads on earnings multiple (25.7x) while PXS leads on capital efficiency (3.4% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for EDRY?

Per EDRY's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001731388), EuroDry Ltd. generated $8.3M in revenue (-52.8% YoY), $0 in net income, and $12.8M in free cash flow against $212.1M in total assets and $90.9M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is EDRY trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

EDRY last traded at $40.71 (-8.12% on volume of 122,532 shares), positioning the stock -24.09% below its 50-day simple moving average ($53.63) and +35.75% above its 200-day simple moving average ($29.99). Across its 52-week range of $12.09 to $73.07, EDRY sits at the 46.9% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 41.0 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($35.62 to $45.80).

Direct Sub-Reports: EDRY RQD Cockpit EDRY 12M Forecast EDRY Earnings & Move EDRY Dividends & DRIP EDRY Insiders & 13F EDRY Whale Options EDRY Profit Sankey EDRY News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 60/100 (C-) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

EDRY — EuroDry Ltd.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

EuroDry Ltd. (EDRY) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 60/100, corresponding to a C- letter grade (Roarable Hold) at a spot price of $40.71 (-8.12% 1D, market capitalization $127.0M).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (13/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 1.4%, gross margin of —, operating margin of —, and free cash flow yield of 9.94%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (7/20) + Insider Conviction (12/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (15/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (13/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of 4/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.97x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

EuroDry Ltd. Is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Consumer Discretionary sector, within the Marine Transportation industry..1B.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), EuroDry Ltd. (EDRY) reported $8.3M in annual revenue (up from $17.6M in FY2024, -52.8% YoY) and $0 in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2024 ($17.6M revenue, $0 net income) through FY2025, EDRY scaled operating cash flow to $12.8M and free cash flow to $12.8M, backed by $212.1M in total assets against $90.9M in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (C- • RQD 60/100): Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of 9.94% and institutional whale pillar of 7/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 13/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 7/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $12.09 – $73.07 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. Investors must weigh current valuation and 67.0x EV/EBITDA against — operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Operating in Marine Transportation (Consumer Discretionary), EDRY carries a macro regime beta of 1.00 and gross margin of —.

  • Key Question #1: Can EDRY sustain or expand its — operating margin and 1.4% ROIC against Marine Transportation peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $8.3M and free cash flow of $12.8M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $90.9M in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is EDRY's equity valuation to Consumer Discretionary capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

EDRY Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for EuroDry Ltd. (EDRY) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to EDRY Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

EDRY Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $40.71?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON EDRY 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on EDRY:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
TA TapeReader_Pro RQD DEBATE OPENER • Price Action & Volume Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $54.06 (+22.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Free cash flow rose to $12.8M with a 9.94% FCF yield and cash climbing to $20.3M while debt fell to $90.9M.

Picked up a starter position in EDRY in my $100K Virtual Cash book at $44.31. Free cash flow rose to $12.8M with a 9.94% FCF yield and cash climbing to $20.3M while debt fell to $90.9M.. Trading inside a $12.09–$73.07 52-week range with 9.94% FCF yield gives solid downside support if Marine Transportation multiples expand this quarter.

VolSurface_Trader 🐂 BULL

Both sides have a point here — EDRY's 13/20 balance sheet score keeps downside contained, so the real swing factor next earnings call is backlog and FCF conversion.

RI RiskArb_Desk RQD DEBATE OPENER • Hedged Event Driven 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $36.33 (-18.0%)
Spot @ $44.31

ROIC of 1.4% and zero reported net income leave the stock trading at an EV/EBITDA of 67 with little demonstrated return on capital.

Fading this rally in EDRY at $44.31. ROIC of 1.4% and zero reported net income leave the stock trading at an EV/EBITDA of 67 with little demonstrated return on capital.. With a beta of 1.0 and the stock sitting at $44.31 (52-wk range $12.09–$73.07), the easy multiple expansion is already priced in.

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