Stock Ratings / Materials / ECVT / forecast

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Ecovyst Inc. (ECVT) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$10.12 -1.17% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $10.08

Ecovyst Inc. (ECVT) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 48/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (48/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $1.12B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on ECVT Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is ECVT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-02, Ecovyst Inc. (NYSE: ECVT) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 48/100 at a spot price of $10.12 (-1.17% 1D, market cap $1.12B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 11/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, ECVT ranks #116 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does ECVT compare to REX and GPRE in the Materials sector?

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Within the Materials sector (Major Chemicals), ECVT carries a Roarable D (48/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 21.8%, and ROIC of 6.4%. By comparison, REX (REX American Resources Corporation) holds a D+ grade (57/100 RQD, P/E 15.5x, ROIC 13.6%, cap $1.29B) and GPRE (Green Plains Inc.) posts a D- grade (43/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -5.6%, cap $954.7M). Among the 5-stock peer group, REX leads on earnings multiple (15.5x) while FTK leads on capital efficiency (17.1% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ECVT?

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Per ECVT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001708035), Ecovyst Inc. generated $723.5M in revenue (+20.9% YoY), -$71.1M in net income, and $69.9M in free cash flow against $1.26B in total assets and $392.6M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $10.08 (-0.40%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-0.96% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 9.7% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (48/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-5.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk D

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-4.5% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for ECVT)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±5%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (48/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY ECVT SCORES 48/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+12/20 pts (25% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 9.7% FCF Margin ($69.9M FCF) & 21.8% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+11/20 pts (23% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 55% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-0.96% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning7/20 pts (-13 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-13 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade D$9.92+2.1% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade D$10.13-3% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade D$9.83+3% Next Q

Current

Grade D$10.12-5.6% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: D (40) → D (48)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a ECVT Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While ECVT currently carries a cautious 48/100 (D) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (7/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($10.16) and Max Pain ($10.63) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $15.84.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Cannibal Buyback (-0.96% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $ECVT• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “ECVT Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 48%NO 52%Trade / Inspect Odds →

INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your ECVT Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $10.12: 988.1 sh

$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000

12M Bear Case FloorTarget $7.53

$7,441

$-2,559 (-25.6%)

12M Consensus BaseTarget $9.66

$9,545

$-455 (-4.5%)

12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $15.84

$15,652

+$5,652 (+56.5%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (32 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100

● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 6

Wall Street Firm	Stance	12M Target	1Y Accuracy	Track Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity Desk	HOLD	$10	74%	A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage Lead	UNDERPERFORM	$15	69%	B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap Research	SELL	$9	58%	C

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring ECVT)

✓Walkthrough of ECVT's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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ECVT // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -28.33%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE

2026-11-02O $10.19H $10.24L $10.12C $10.12VOL 1.32M

RES: $10.55SUP: $9.34SMA50: $10.16SMA200: $11.81

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

ECVT Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 ECVT Butterfly Map → + Track ECVT →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

4.6%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +20.9% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ECVT today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ECVT. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ECVT today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ECVT)

Materials Rank #116 of 270 ⚔️ REX vs ECVT Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Materials Peer Comparison (ECVT vs. REX, GPRE, FTK, KRO)

Industry: Major Chemicals (67 Tracked Issuers)

Across 270 tracked Materials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Ecovyst Inc. (ECVT) ranks #116 by composite RQD confidence (48/100, grade D) and #132 by equity capitalization ($1.12B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, REX leads on earnings valuation at 15.5x trailing P/E, while FTK leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 17.1% ROIC and 25.2% gross margin. FTK currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 61/100 (C-) compared with ECVT at 48/100 (D).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
ECVT ACTIVE Ecovyst Inc.	D	48/100	—	21.8%	6.4%	-1.17%	$1.12B	Benchmark Subject
REX REX American Resources Corporation	D+	57/100	15.5x	19.3%	13.6%	+0.98%	$1.29B	/rex-vs-ecvt →
GPRE Green Plains Inc.	D-	43/100	—	72.5%	-5.6%	+3.52%	$954.7M	/gpre-vs-ecvt →
FTK Flotek Industries Inc.	C-	61/100	30.5x	25.2%	17.1%	-1.28%	$930.1M	/ftk-vs-ecvt →
KRO Kronos Worldwide Inc	D-	36/100	—	11.5%	-2.3%	+0.67%	$857.5M	/kro-vs-ecvt →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001708035

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Ecovyst Inc. (ECVT) reported GAAP revenue of $723.5M (+20.9% vs. FY2024 revenue of $598.3M , and +23.7% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$71.1M, operating cash flow of $140.3M, and free cash flow of $69.9M (-25.9% YoY). On the balance sheet, ECVT closed FY2025 with $1.26B in total assets against $392.6M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.68, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$723.5M	-$71.1M	$140.3M	$69.9M	$1.26B	$392.6M
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$598.3M	-$6.7M	$149.9M	$94.3M	$1.80B	$852.1M
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$584.8M	$71.2M	$137.6M	$137.6M	—	—

3. ECVT Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is ECVT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does ECVT compare to REX and GPRE in the Materials sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ECVT?

Where is ECVT trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

ECVT last traded at $10.12 (-1.17% on volume of 1,337,438 shares), positioning the stock -0.39% below its 50-day simple moving average ($10.16) and -14.31% below its 200-day simple moving average ($11.81). Across its 52-week range of $7.41 to $15.09, ECVT sits at the 35.3% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 53.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±5.0% ($9.61 to $10.63).

ECVT Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is ECVT's 12-month stock price target?

Ecovyst Inc. (ECVT) carries a 12-month consensus base price target of $9.66 (-4.5% from $10.12), with a bull-case target of $15.84 and a bear-case floor of $7.53.

Is ECVT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now?

Roarable's 5-Pillar RQD Quant Engine rates ECVT D (Sell — SELL) with an RQD Confidence score of 48/100.

Direct Sub-Reports: ECVT RQD Cockpit ECVT 12M Forecast ECVT Earnings & Move ECVT Dividends & DRIP ECVT Insiders & 13F ECVT Whale Options ECVT Profit Sankey ECVT News & Why

Sector Peer Dials

Compare →

REX D+

REX American Resources Corporation

Flotek Industries Inc.

ECVT Core Snapshot

Market Cap $1.12B

Trailing / Fwd P/E — / —

Gross Profit Margin 21.8%

Return on Capital (ROIC) 6.4%

Free Cash Flow Yield 6.24%

12M Base Price Target $9.66

FREE TRADER TOOLS

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Drop 3–5 tickers into our live Portfolio X-Ray to spot hidden accounting time-bombs and see your composite RQD dial.

⚡ X-Ray My Portfolio With ECVT → 🏆 Trade ECVT in $100K Prop Arena →

ECVT Wire

Why It Moved →

Direct Company Event TradingView • 5h ago

ECVT Stock Price and Chart — NYSE:ECVT

Direct Company Event Yahoo Finance • 8h ago

Is Ecovyst (ECVT) Cheap Following Its November Results Call Date?

Direct Company Event TradingView • 11h ago

Ecovyst Inc. Estimates – NYSE:ECVT

Direct Company Event Stock Traders Daily • 14h ago

(ECVT) as a Liquidity Pulse for Institutional Tactics

Direct Company Event https://www.siam.in/ • 17h ago

Ecovyst Inc. (ECVT) Holds Near $10.27 as Traders Eye Resistance - Volatility Skew

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 48/100 (D) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

ECVT — Ecovyst Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5

As of: 2026-11-02T15:30:42Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, ECVT scores 48 out of 100, earning a D grade and the verdict "Roarable Sell — Underperform / Distribution Warning." The five pillars are: Fundamental Cash Engine at 12 / 20 (ROIC 6.4%; FCF yield 6.24%); Whale 13F Flow at 7 / 20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning); Insider Conviction at 11 / 20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow); Macro Regime Fit at 10 / 20 (Beta 1.0; sector sensitivity); and Forensic Balance Sheet at 8 / 20 (Altman Z 1.68; Piotroski F 6/9; Debt/Equity 0.65). The weakest pillars are institutional flow and the balance sheet, while the cash engine is the strongest of the five but still only moderate. For a prospective investor evaluating the stock today, the rating points to limited upside support from ownership flows and a forensic profile that sits in the distress-adjacent range by the Altman Z-Score reading. The 6.24% FCF yield and 6.4% ROIC are the main upside-leaning inputs, but the overall verdict flags underperformance risk and distribution pressure as the dominant signal.

Financial Trend

Period	Revenue	Operating Income	Net Income	EPS	FCF	Cash	Debt
FY 2025	$723.5M	$64.9M	$-71.1M	N/A	$69.9M	$197.2M	$392.6M
FY 2024	$598.3M	$85.1M	$-6.7M	N/A	$94.3M	$131.4M	$852.1M
FY 2023	$584.8M	$89.6M	$71.2M	N/A	$137.6M	N/A	N/A

Per the SEC financials, revenue rose from $584.8M in FY 2023 to $723.5M in FY 2025, while operating income declined from $89.6M to $64.9M and net income moved from $71.2M to $-71.1M. The operating margin in the market data is 9% and the net margin is -9.8%. ROIC is 6.4% per the market data. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 1.68 and the Piotroski F-Score is 6/9. Debt/Equity is 0.65, and reported debt fell from $852.1M in FY 2024 to $392.6M in FY 2025 while cash rose to $197.2M.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news and catalysts feed, the wire contains five items, all relating to ECVT market action and positioning, sourced from TradingView, Yahoo Finance, Stock Traders Daily, and a siam.in-attributed item. Four are flagged YELLOW (market wire) and one is flagged RED (risk watch). The RED-flagged item is a Stock Traders Daily report on price dynamics and execution-aware positioning. The headlines themselves are generic market commentary; the feed contains no discrete, verifiable corporate event such as an earnings release, guidance change, or transaction. The supplied price reference of $10.27 in one headline is consistent with the $10.24 market price. The Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph reports no proprietary signals and no links.

Open Questions

What are Ecovyst's products, end markets, and customer concentration? The source data does not describe the business model.
Why did net income swing from $71.2M in FY 2023 to $-71.1M in FY 2025 while revenue grew, and what drove the decline in operating income?
What are the EPS figures, since every reported period shows EPS as N/A and TTM P/E is unavailable?
Does the debt reduction from $852.1M to $392.6M reflect repayment, refinancing, or reclassification, and what is the maturity profile?
Who are the institutional and insider holders, and what specific 13F or Form 4 transactions underpin the Whale and Insider pillar scores?

ECVT Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Ecovyst Inc. (ECVT) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to ECVT Debate Forum (3) ↓

🟡 MARKET WIRE TradingView • 5h ago

ECVT Stock Price and Chart — NYSE:ECVT

TradingView report covering Ecovyst Inc. (ECVT) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 8h ago

Is Ecovyst (ECVT) Cheap Following Its November Results Call Date?

Yahoo Finance report covering Ecovyst Inc. (ECVT) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE TradingView • 11h ago

Ecovyst Inc. Estimates – NYSE:ECVT

TradingView report covering Ecovyst Inc. (ECVT) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Stock Traders Daily • 14h ago

(ECVT) as a Liquidity Pulse for Institutional Tactics

Stock Traders Daily report covering Ecovyst Inc. (ECVT) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE https://www.siam.in/ • 17h ago

Ecovyst Inc. (ECVT) Holds Near $10.27 as Traders Eye Resistance - Volatility Skew

https://www.siam.in/ report covering Ecovyst Inc. (ECVT) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🔴 RISK WATCH Stock Traders Daily • 20h ago

(ECVT) Price Dynamics and Execution-Aware Positioning

Stock Traders Daily report covering Ecovyst Inc. (ECVT) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟢 CATALYST TradingView • 23h ago

These three materials stocks combine revenue growth with attractive valuations

TradingView report covering Ecovyst Inc. (ECVT) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Stock Traders Daily • 1d ago

Price-Driven Insight from (ECVT) for Rule-Based Strategy

Stock Traders Daily report covering Ecovyst Inc. (ECVT) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

ECVT Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $10.12?

🐂 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON ECVT 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION

RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk ⚖️ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $11.06 (+8.0%)

📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is ECVT (D • RQD 48/100) a Buy at $10.24?

Welcome to the ECVT (Ecovyst Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 48/100 (Roarable Sell — Underperform / Distribution Warning) in Major Chemicals. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

RI RiskArb_Desk Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $8.19 (-20.0%)

Spot @ $10.24

Pump the brakes on ECVT — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on ECVT, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with 21.8% gross margins. Unless Ecovyst Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

CA CashFlowKing Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $12.08 (+18.0%)

Spot @ $10.24

ECVT cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on ECVT, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Major Chemicals and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $10.24 (52-wk range $7.41 - $15.09), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.