Why ECHO Stock slipped -0.74% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

$96.94 -0.74% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $96.63

EchoStar Corporation (ECHO) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 22/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $28.19B
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is ECHO stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, EchoStar Corporation (NASDAQ: ECHO) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 22/100 at a spot price of $96.94 (-0.74% 1D, market cap $28.19B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 3/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, Executive Insider Alignment 3/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 3/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 4/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, ECHO ranks #968 in composite RQD confidence.

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🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does ECHO compare to WCC and ASTS in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Telecommunications Equipment), ECHO carries a Roarable E (22/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, WCC (WESCO International Inc.) holds a D grade (48/100 RQD, P/E 27.9x, ROIC 11.1%, cap $16.70B) and ASTS (AST SpaceMobile Inc.) posts a E grade (34/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -14.6%, cap $15.94B). Among the 5-stock peer group, WCC leads on earnings multiple (27.9x) while WCC leads on capital efficiency (11.1% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ECHO?
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Per ECHO's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001415404), EchoStar Corporation generated $15.00B in revenue (-5.2% YoY), -$51.9M in net income, and -$1.07B in free cash flow against $43.02B in total assets and $16.74B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $96.63 (-0.32%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.20% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 3/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (22/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-11.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E
025507510022
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk E
Cash (3)Whales (12)SEC (3)Macro (3)CEO (4)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-16.2% Base Target
$155 Bull$81 Base$63 Bear
📬 FREE ECHO RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for ECHO)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±8.9%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (22/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY ECHO SCORES 22/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+12/20 pts (55% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±8.9% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+4/20 pts (18% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.20% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
15
Grade E$87.86+5.4% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
17
Grade E$92.64+1.8% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
19
Grade E$94.30+2.8% Next Q
Current
22
Grade E$96.94-11.4% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: E (15) → E (22)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a ECHO Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While ECHO currently carries a cautious 22/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($91.62) and Max Pain ($101.79) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $154.61.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.20% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $ECHO• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “ECHO Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →

Why ECHO Stock slipped -0.74% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

EchoStar Corporation (ECHO) slipped -0.74% to $96.94, trading at 38% of its 52-week range ($65.76 – $147.25). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-35% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

  • ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 38% of its 52-week range ($65.76 – $147.25) with RSI-14 at 58.3 (BULLISH MOMENTUM).
  • ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±8.9% around $96.94 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
  • ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable E (Strong Sell) backed by 52% gross margin and $0 annual free cash flow.
Live ECHO Headlines & Catalysts
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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring ECHO)

  • ✓Walkthrough of ECHO's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
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ECHO // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -19.44%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-03O $97.66H $97.66L $96.94C $96.94VOL 4.66M
RES: $104.5SUP: $82.79SMA50: $91.62SMA200: $106.4
$151.8$133.0$114.2$95.43$76.65RES $104.5SUP $82.79$96.942026-05-042026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

ECHO Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
12.4%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -5.2% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ECHO today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ECHO. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ECHO today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ECHO)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #968 of 1011 ⚔️ WCC vs ECHO Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (ECHO vs. WCC, ASTS, GSAT, VSAT)

Industry: Telecommunications Equipment (81 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, EchoStar Corporation (ECHO) ranks #968 by composite RQD confidence (22/100, grade E) and #71 by equity capitalization ($28.19B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, WCC leads on earnings valuation at 27.9x trailing P/E, while WCC leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 11.1% ROIC and 21.1% gross margin. GSAT currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 61/100 (C-) compared with ECHO at 22/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
ECHO ACTIVE
EchoStar Corporation
E 22/100 — — -35.0% -0.74% $28.19B Benchmark Subject
WCC
WESCO International Inc.
D 48/100 27.9x 21.1% 11.1% -6.44% $16.70B /wcc-vs-echo →
ASTS
AST SpaceMobile Inc.
E 34/100 — — -14.6% -4.88% $15.94B /asts-vs-echo →
GSAT
Globalstar Inc.
C- 61/100 — — 0.7% -1.47% $10.66B /gsat-vs-echo →
VSAT
ViaSat Inc.
C- 60/100 — — 1.1% -1.24% $10.61B /vsat-vs-echo →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001415404

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), EchoStar Corporation (ECHO) reported GAAP revenue of $15.00B (-5.2% vs. FY2024 revenue of $15.83B , and -11.8% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$51.9M, operating cash flow of -$99.4M, and free cash flow of -$1.07B (-264.5% YoY). On the balance sheet, ECHO closed FY2025 with $43.02B in total assets against $16.74B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.45, Piotroski F-Score: 2/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $15.00B -$51.9M -$99.4M -$1.07B $43.02B $16.74B
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $15.83B -$124.5M $1.25B -$292.2M $60.94B $18.31B
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $17.02B -$496.1M $2.43B $1.67B $20.42B $4.78B

3. ECHO Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is ECHO stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, EchoStar Corporation (NASDAQ: ECHO) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 22/100 at a spot price of $96.94 (-0.74% 1D, market cap $28.19B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 3/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, Executive Insider Alignment 3/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 3/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 4/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, ECHO ranks #968 in composite RQD confidence.

How does ECHO compare to WCC and ASTS in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Telecommunications Equipment), ECHO carries a Roarable E (22/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, WCC (WESCO International Inc.) holds a D grade (48/100 RQD, P/E 27.9x, ROIC 11.1%, cap $16.70B) and ASTS (AST SpaceMobile Inc.) posts a E grade (34/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -14.6%, cap $15.94B). Among the 5-stock peer group, WCC leads on earnings multiple (27.9x) while WCC leads on capital efficiency (11.1% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ECHO?

Per ECHO's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001415404), EchoStar Corporation generated $15.00B in revenue (-5.2% YoY), -$51.9M in net income, and -$1.07B in free cash flow against $43.02B in total assets and $16.74B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is ECHO trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

ECHO last traded at $96.94 (-0.74% on volume of 4,661,997 shares), positioning the stock +5.81% above its 50-day simple moving average ($91.62) and -8.87% below its 200-day simple moving average ($106.37). Across its 52-week range of $65.76 to $147.25, ECHO sits at the 38.3% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 58.3 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±8.9% ($88.31 to $105.57).

ECHO Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Why is ECHO stock moving today?

Why ECHO Stock slipped -0.74% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-35% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 22/100 (E) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

ECHO — EchoStar Corporation: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:12:31Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, ECHO scores 23 out of 100, grade E, labeled "Roarable Strong Sell — Forensic Risk / Avoid." The five pillars are:

  • Fundamental Cash Engine: 0 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, ROIC is -35% and FCF yield is -3.75%. This pillar carries no points, meaning the cash-generation test is failed outright in the source data.
  • Whale 13F Flow: 13 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this reflects institutional accumulation and options positioning. It is the strongest pillar and the main partial offset in the score.
  • Insider Conviction: 4 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this reflects SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow, which is weak.
  • Macro Regime Fit: 3 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, beta is 0.93 with sector sensitivity noted; the pillar scores low.
  • Forensic Balance Sheet: 3 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, Altman Z is 0.45, Piotroski F is 2/9, and Debt/Equity is 2.71.

For a prospective investor, the upside case rests almost entirely on institutional positioning (13 of 20 points) and the recent price strength shown in the market data. The valuation tradeoff is stark: per the market data, EPS (TTM) is -0.18 and forward P/E is 19, so any forward earnings recovery is not yet visible in trailing results. The downside case rests on the cash engine and balance sheet pillars, which together account for 3 of 40 points on forensic and cash metrics. The rating's own verdict is avoidance, and a prospective investor should weigh that verdict against the institutional-flow signal rather than treat either in isolation.

Business

EchoStar Corporation (ECHO) is a NASDAQ-listed issuer classified under the Consumer Discretionary sector and the Telecommunications Equipment industry, per the profile. The source data does not identify its specific products, customer base, or revenue model. Per the SEC financials, FY 2025 revenue was $15005.0M, indicating a substantial operating scale. Per the market data, gross margin is 0% and operating margin is -60%, which indicates the company is not currently converting revenue into operating profit.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$15005.0M$-17723.1M$-51.9MN/A$-1065.1M$1883.1M$16742.0M
FY 2024$15825.5M$-304.1M$-124.5MN/A$-292.2M$4305.4M$18312.1M
FY 2023$17015.6M$-277.9M$-496.1MN/A$1666.9MN/A$4778.0M

Per the SEC financials, revenue declined across the three reported periods, from $17015.6M to $15005.0M, and operating income was negative in each. Per the market data, net margin is -0.3% and ROIC is -35%. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 0.45 and the Piotroski F-Score is 2/9, both in weak territory. Per the Roarable RQD rating, Debt/Equity is 2.71, and per the SEC financials, debt rose from $4778.0M in FY 2023 to $16742.0M in FY 2025 while cash fell from $4305.4M to $1883.1M over the last two periods.

Open Questions

  • What is the company's specific product and revenue mix, given that the source data identifies only sector and industry labels?
  • What is the reason for the revenue decline and the sharp swing in operating income between FY 2024 and FY 2025?
  • What is the trailing P/E and EV/EBITDA, which the source data does not provide?
  • What is the scope and timing of the restructuring referenced in the news wire, and what is the expected effect on cash burn?
  • Who are the institutional and insider holders, and what are the sizes and direction of their positions?

ECHO Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for EchoStar Corporation (ECHO) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to ECHO Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

ECHO Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $96.94?

🐂 33% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON ECHO 🐻 67% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on ECHO:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $85.94 (-12.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is ECHO (E • RQD 23/100) a Buy at $97.66?

Welcome to the ECHO (EchoStar Corporation) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 23/100 (Roarable Strong Sell — Forensic Risk / Avoid) in Telecommunications Equipment. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

MU MultipleCompression Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $80.08 (-18.0%)
Spot @ $97.66

Pump the brakes on ECHO — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on ECHO, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with tightening sector spreads. Unless EchoStar Corporation expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

QU QuantViper Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $118.17 (+21.0%)
Spot @ $97.66

ECHO cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on ECHO, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Telecommunications Equipment and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $97.66 (52-wk range $65.76 - $147.25), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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