Duke Energy Corporation (Holding Company) (DUK) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±3.5% Move

$127.39 +1.18% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $127.42

Duke Energy Corporation (Holding Company) (DUK) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 47/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $98.16B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is DUK stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, Duke Energy Corporation (Holding Company) (NYSE: DUK) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 47/100 at a spot price of $127.39 (+1.18% 1D, market cap $98.16B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 5/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 14/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 8/20. Across 117 tracked Utilities issuers, DUK ranks #70 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does DUK compare to XEL and EXC in the Utilities sector?
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Within the Utilities sector (Power Generation), DUK carries a Roarable D (47/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 19.8x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 5.2%. By comparison, XEL (Xcel Energy Inc.) holds a C+ grade (66/100 RQD, P/E 24.5x, ROIC 5.1%, cap $49.37B) and EXC (Exelon Corporation) posts a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E 11.8x, ROIC 5.4%, cap $47.39B). Among the 5-stock peer group, EXC leads on earnings multiple (11.8x) while EXC leads on capital efficiency (5.4% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for DUK?
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Per DUK's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001326160), Duke Energy Corporation (Holding Company) generated $0 in revenue, $4.97B in net income, and -$1.69B in free cash flow against $195.74B in total assets and $80.11B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Utilities with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $127.42 (+0.02%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+1.08% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 5/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (47/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-5.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D
025507510047
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk D
Cash (5)Whales (14)SEC (10)Macro (10)CEO (8)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-5% Base Target
$143 Bull$121 Base$94 Bear
📬 FREE DUK RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for DUK)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±3.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (47/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY DUK SCORES 47/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+14/20 pts (30% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±3.5% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+10/20 pts (21% of score)

Altman Z-Score 0.89 (DISTRESS RISK (<1.8)) • Piotroski F-Score 5/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Cash Engine Quality5/20 pts (-15 pt drag)

Capital intensity & 0% operating margin leave 15 pts on the table

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
39
Grade E$118.19+2.7% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
42
Grade D$121.33+2.9% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
44
Grade D$124.80+2.1% Next Q
Current
47
Grade D$127.39-5.9% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: E (39) → D (47)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a DUK Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While DUK currently carries a cautious 47/100 (D) rating due to Cash Engine Quality (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Utilities with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($119.31) and Max Pain ($133.76) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $142.87.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+1.08% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $DUK• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “DUK Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~57 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±3.5% Swing Band

±$4.46 Expected Swing
$122.93 (-3.5%)Spot $127.39$131.85 (+3.5%)
MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

DUK Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 47/100

Trailing EPS: $6.37 • YoY Revenue Growth: 3.3%

Model Bullish Setup (47/100)Model Risk Weight (53/100)
Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).
LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

PeriodFiledRevenueNet ProfitFree Cash FlowGross Margin
FY 20252025-12-31$0$4.97B-$1.69B52%
FY 20242024-12-31$0$4.52B$48.0M52%
FY 20232023-12-31$0$2.84B$9.88B52%
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring DUK)

  • ✓Walkthrough of DUK's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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DUK // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -0.05%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-11-02O $123.6H $127.4L $123.6C $127.4VOL 3.36M
RES: $128.2SUP: $110.1SMA50: $119.3SMA200: $124.4
$134.1$128.2$122.3$116.5$110.6RES $128.2SUP $110.1$127.42026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

DUK Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
13.3%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +3.3% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on DUK today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for DUK. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for DUK today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (DUK)

Utilities Rank #70 of 117 ⚔️ XEL vs DUK Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Utilities Peer Comparison (DUK vs. XEL, EXC, ED, WEC)

Industry: Power Generation (18 Tracked Issuers)

Across 117 tracked Utilities securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Duke Energy Corporation (Holding Company) (DUK) ranks #70 by composite RQD confidence (47/100, grade D) and #3 by equity capitalization ($98.16B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, EXC leads on earnings valuation at 11.8x trailing P/E, while EXC leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 5.4% ROIC and — gross margin. ED currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 69/100 (C+) compared with DUK at 47/100 (D).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
DUK ACTIVE
Duke Energy Corporation (Holding Company)
D 47/100 19.8x — 5.2% +1.18% $98.16B Benchmark Subject
XEL
Xcel Energy Inc.
C+ 66/100 24.5x — 5.1% +0.99% $49.37B /xel-vs-duk →
EXC
Exelon Corporation
D 46/100 11.8x — 5.4% +0.55% $47.39B /exc-vs-duk →
ED
Consolidated Edison Inc.
C+ 69/100 — — 4.8% +1.00% $42.71B /ed-vs-duk →
WEC
WEC Energy Group Inc.
C+ 67/100 21.3x 66.7% 3.9% +1.26% $37.35B /wec-vs-duk →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001326160

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Duke Energy Corporation (Holding Company) (DUK) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (N/A vs. FY2024 revenue of $0 ) , GAAP net income of $4.97B, operating cash flow of $12.33B, and free cash flow of -$1.69B (-3629.2% YoY). On the balance sheet, DUK closed FY2025 with $195.74B in total assets against $80.11B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.89, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $0 $4.97B $12.33B -$1.69B $195.74B $80.11B
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $0 $4.52B $12.33B $48.0M $186.34B $76.34B
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $0 $2.84B $9.88B $9.88B $53.99B $12.63B

3. DUK Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is DUK stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Duke Energy Corporation (Holding Company) (NYSE: DUK) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 47/100 at a spot price of $127.39 (+1.18% 1D, market cap $98.16B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 5/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 14/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 8/20. Across 117 tracked Utilities issuers, DUK ranks #70 in composite RQD confidence.

How does DUK compare to XEL and EXC in the Utilities sector?

Within the Utilities sector (Power Generation), DUK carries a Roarable D (47/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 19.8x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 5.2%. By comparison, XEL (Xcel Energy Inc.) holds a C+ grade (66/100 RQD, P/E 24.5x, ROIC 5.1%, cap $49.37B) and EXC (Exelon Corporation) posts a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E 11.8x, ROIC 5.4%, cap $47.39B). Among the 5-stock peer group, EXC leads on earnings multiple (11.8x) while EXC leads on capital efficiency (5.4% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for DUK?

Per DUK's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001326160), Duke Energy Corporation (Holding Company) generated $0 in revenue, $4.97B in net income, and -$1.69B in free cash flow against $195.74B in total assets and $80.11B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Utilities with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is DUK trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

DUK last traded at $127.39 (+1.18% on volume of 4,908,589 shares), positioning the stock +6.77% above its 50-day simple moving average ($119.31) and +2.38% above its 200-day simple moving average ($124.43). Across its 52-week range of $112.40 to $134.49, DUK sits at the 67.9% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 63.8 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±3.5% ($122.93 to $131.85).

DUK Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is DUK's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, Duke Energy Corporation (Holding Company) (DUK)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 30, 2026.

How much is DUK stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±3.5% event move for DUK, spanning a range between $122.93 and $131.85.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 47/100 (D) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

DUK — Duke Energy Corporation (Holding Company): What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:09:49Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, DUK scores 47 out of 100, a D grade labeled "Roarable Sell — Underperform / Distribution Warning." The five pillars are: Fundamental Cash Engine at 5 of 20 (ROIC 5.2%; FCF yield -1.73%), Whale 13F Flow at 14 of 20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning), Insider Conviction at 8 of 20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow), Macro Regime Fit at 10 of 20 (Beta 0.76; sector sensitivity), and Forensic Balance Sheet at 10 of 20 (Altman Z 0.89; Piotroski F 5/9; Debt/Equity 1.55). The weakest pillar is cash generation, where the negative FCF yield and a 5.2% ROIC indicate limited free cash after capital spending relative to the capital base. The forensic pillar also signals balance-sheet strain, with an Altman Z below the commonly cited distress threshold in the source data and leverage at 1.55 Debt/Equity. Insider conviction is weak per the rating, and whale flow is moderate. For a prospective investor, the rating frames the stock as one where valuation support (dividend yield 3.4%, beta 0.76) comes with weak cash conversion and elevated leverage. The score is a model output and should be weighed against the underlying figures rather than treated as a standalone recommendation.

Snapshot

PriceMarket CapP/E (TTM)Forward P/EEV/EBITDAEPS (TTM)Dividend YieldBeta52-Wk RangeROIC %
125.9$98.16B19.818.48.76.373.4%0.76$112.4 - $134.495.2%

Business

Duke Energy Corporation (Holding Company) is a NYSE-listed issuer classified in the Utilities sector and Power Generation industry, per the company profile. Per the SEC financials, the filings report net income and operating income but revenue is shown as $0.0M in each period, so the source data does not support a revenue-based description of customers or product mix. Not available in source data for detailed customer segments or revenue streams. The company is a holding company, as its name indicates.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$0.0M$8626.0M$4968.0MN/A$-1694.0M$245.0M$80108.0M
FY 2024$0.0M$7926.0M$4524.0MN/A$48.0M$314.0M$76340.0M
FY 2023$0.0M$7070.0M$2841.0MN/A$9878.0MN/A$12633.8M

Per the market data, operating margin is 31.4% and net margin is 18.1%, while gross margin is listed as 0%. ROIC is 5.2%. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 0.89 and the Piotroski F-Score is 5 of 9, both weak readings. Debt/Equity is 1.55 per the RQD forensic pillar. Reported debt rose from $12633.8M in FY 2023 to $80108.0M in FY 2025 per the SEC financials, while FCF moved from $9878.0M to $-1694.0M over the same span. Cash is not reported for FY 2023.

Butterfly Effect: 2nd-Order Supply-Chain & Sector Ripples

Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply chain is listed as NONE, with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals. Not available in source data for upstream or downstream dependencies, sector correlations, or second-order bottlenecks. The only sector context available is the classification as Utilities and Power Generation, and the beta of 0.76, which indicates lower price sensitivity than the broader market per the market data.

Open Questions

  • What is the revenue figure? The SEC financials report $0.0M revenue in every period, so the source cannot describe the top line or its growth.
  • What drove the swing from positive FCF in FY 2023 and FY 2024 to negative FCF in FY 2025, and how much is attributable to capital expenditure?
  • What is the cash balance for FY 2023, and how is liquidity covered against the $80108.0M debt reported for FY 2025?
  • What specific holders, 13F positions, and insider trades underlie the whale and insider pillar scores?
  • What catalysts or regulatory events could change the cash-generation trajectory the RQD rating highlights as weakest?

DUK Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Duke Energy Corporation (Holding Company) (DUK) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to DUK Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

DUK Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $127.39?

🐂 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON DUK 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on DUK:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk ⚖️ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $135.97 (+8.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is DUK (D • RQD 47/100) a Buy at $125.90?

Welcome to the DUK (Duke Energy Corporation (Holding Company)) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 47/100 (Roarable Sell — Underperform / Distribution Warning) in Power Generation. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

SK SkepticalCFA Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $100.72 (-20.0%)
Spot @ $125.90

Pump the brakes on DUK — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on DUK, but look at what you are paying: 19.8x trailing P/E with tightening sector spreads. Unless Duke Energy Corporation (Holding Company) expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

MI MidwestValue Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $154.86 (+23.0%)
Spot @ $125.90

DUK cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on DUK, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Power Generation and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $125.90 (52-wk range $112.40 - $134.49), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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