Leonardo DRS Inc. (DRS) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$37.68 -4.94% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $37.27

Leonardo DRS Inc. (DRS) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 63/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C • HOLD / WATCH Cap $10.58B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is DRS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, Leonardo DRS Inc. (NASDAQ: DRS) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 63/100 at a spot price of $37.68 (-4.94% 1D, market cap $10.58B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, Executive Insider Alignment 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, DRS ranks #104 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does DRS compare to PNR and ONTO in the Industrials sector?
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Within the Industrials sector (Industrial Machinery/Components), DRS carries a Roarable C (63/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 38.1x, gross margin of 23.8%, and ROIC of 9.2%. By comparison, PNR (Pentair plc. Ordinary Share) holds a C+ grade (69/100 RQD, P/E 16.1x, ROIC 12.5%, cap $10.51B) and ONTO (Onto Innovation Inc.) posts a C- grade (59/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 5.6%, cap $10.89B). Among the 5-stock peer group, PNR leads on earnings multiple (16.1x) while PNR leads on capital efficiency (12.5% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for DRS?
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Per DRS's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001833756), Leonardo DRS Inc. generated $3.65B in revenue (+12.8% YoY), $278.0M in net income, and $227.0M in free cash flow against $4.49B in total assets and $1.05B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $37.27 (-1.08%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 13/20 (C) • 6.2% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 63/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 54.8% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C
025507510063
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C · Rk C
Cash (13)Whales (12)SEC (16)Macro (10)CEO (12)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+2.3% Base Target
$53 Bull$39 Base$30 Bear
📬 FREE DRS RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for DRS)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±9.6%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (63/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY DRS SCORES 63/100 (C) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+16/20 pts (25% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.59 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 8/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+13/20 pts (21% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 6.2% FCF Margin ($227.0M FCF) & 23.8% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit10/20 pts (-10 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (63.6) create a -10 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
55
Grade C$35.16-3.5% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
58
Grade C$33.94+6% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
60
Grade C$35.99+4.7% Next Q
Current
63
Grade C$37.68+0.9% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C (55) → C (63)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the DRS Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 63/100 (C) score, DRS faces multiple-compression risk if 38.1x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Priced at 38x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($36.69) or 200D SMA ($42.14) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($38.53) toward Bear Floor ($30.05).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $DRS• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “DRS Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your DRS Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $37.68: 265.4 sh
$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000
12M Bear Case FloorTarget $30.05
$7,975
$-2,025 (-20.2%)
12M Consensus BaseTarget $38.53
$10,226
+$226 (+2.3%)
12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $53.12
$14,098
+$4,098 (+41.0%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (28 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100
● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 2
Wall Street FirmStance12M Target1Y AccuracyTrack Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity DeskHOLD$4074%A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage LeadBUY$5069%B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap ResearchHOLD$3458%C
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (DRS Tape Review)

  • ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
  • ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
  • ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
DRS // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -5.80%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-02O $35.50H $39.64L $35.50C $37.68VOL 2.30M
RES: $40.01SUP: $28.47SMA50: $36.69SMA200: $42.14
$51.81$46.75$41.68$36.61$31.55RES $40.01SUP $28.47$37.682026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

DRS Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
29.2%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +12.8% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on DRS today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for DRS. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for DRS today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (DRS)

Industrials Rank #104 of 485 ⚔️ PNR vs DRS Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (DRS vs. PNR, ONTO, RRX, CGNX)

Industry: Industrial Machinery/Components (208 Tracked Issuers)

Across 485 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Leonardo DRS Inc. (DRS) ranks #104 by composite RQD confidence (63/100, grade C) and #97 by equity capitalization ($10.58B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, PNR leads on earnings valuation at 16.1x trailing P/E, while PNR leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 12.5% ROIC and 40.5% gross margin. PNR currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 69/100 (C+) compared with DRS at 63/100 (C).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
DRS ACTIVE
Leonardo DRS Inc.
C 63/100 38.1x 23.8% 9.2% -4.94% $10.58B Benchmark Subject
PNR
Pentair plc. Ordinary Share
C+ 69/100 16.1x 40.5% 12.5% +0.64% $10.51B /pnr-vs-drs →
ONTO
Onto Innovation Inc.
C- 59/100 — 49.7% 5.6% -9.16% $10.89B /onto-vs-drs →
RRX
Regal Rexnord Corporation
D+ 58/100 39.0x 37.4% 4.9% -3.90% $10.90B /rrx-vs-drs →
CGNX
Cognex Corporation
C+ 66/100 86.7x 66.9% 8.9% -4.78% $9.92B /cgnx-vs-drs →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001833756

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Leonardo DRS Inc. (DRS) reported GAAP revenue of $3.65B (+12.8% vs. FY2024 revenue of $3.23B , and +29.1% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $278.0M, operating cash flow of $366.0M, and free cash flow of $227.0M (+22.0% YoY). On the balance sheet, DRS closed FY2025 with $4.49B in total assets against $1.05B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 3.59, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $3.65B $278.0M $366.0M $227.0M $4.49B $1.05B
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $3.23B $213.0M $271.0M $186.0M $4.18B $979.1M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $2.83B $168.0M $205.0M $77.8M $5.82B $1.36B

3. DRS Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is DRS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Leonardo DRS Inc. (NASDAQ: DRS) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 63/100 at a spot price of $37.68 (-4.94% 1D, market cap $10.58B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, Executive Insider Alignment 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, DRS ranks #104 in composite RQD confidence.

How does DRS compare to PNR and ONTO in the Industrials sector?

Within the Industrials sector (Industrial Machinery/Components), DRS carries a Roarable C (63/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 38.1x, gross margin of 23.8%, and ROIC of 9.2%. By comparison, PNR (Pentair plc. Ordinary Share) holds a C+ grade (69/100 RQD, P/E 16.1x, ROIC 12.5%, cap $10.51B) and ONTO (Onto Innovation Inc.) posts a C- grade (59/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 5.6%, cap $10.89B). Among the 5-stock peer group, PNR leads on earnings multiple (16.1x) while PNR leads on capital efficiency (12.5% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for DRS?

Per DRS's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001833756), Leonardo DRS Inc. generated $3.65B in revenue (+12.8% YoY), $278.0M in net income, and $227.0M in free cash flow against $4.49B in total assets and $1.05B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is DRS trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

DRS last traded at $37.68 (-4.94% on volume of 3,054,718 shares), positioning the stock +2.70% above its 50-day simple moving average ($36.69) and -10.58% below its 200-day simple moving average ($42.14). Across its 52-week range of $32.43 to $50.59, DRS sits at the 28.9% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 63.6 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±9.6% ($34.06 to $41.30).

DRS Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is DRS's 12-month stock price target?

Leonardo DRS Inc. (DRS) carries a 12-month consensus base price target of $38.53 (+2.3% from $37.68), with a bull-case target of $53.12 and a bear-case floor of $30.05.

Is DRS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now?

Roarable's 5-Pillar RQD Quant Engine rates DRS C (Hold — HOLD) with an RQD Confidence score of 63/100.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 63/100 (C) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

DRS — Leonardo DRS Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:16:21Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, DRS scores 63 out of 100, equating to a letter grade of C and a verdict label of "Roarable Hold — Fair / Balanced Risk-Reward." The five pillars are:

  • Fundamental Cash Engine: 13 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar reflects ROIC of 9.2% and an FCF yield of 2.15%. For a prospective investor, returns on capital are positive but modest, and the cash yield at current pricing is thin, which means much of the valuation case depends on future cash growth rather than present cash generation.
  • Whale 13F Flow: 12 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar reflects institutional accumulation and options positioning. The score is moderate, indicating neither strong conviction nor clear distribution among large holders.
  • Insider Conviction: 12 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar reflects SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. A moderate score suggests insider signals are not a decisive factor in either direction.
  • Macro Regime Fit: 10 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar reflects Beta of 0.89 and sector sensitivity. This is the weakest pillar. A beta below 1 implies somewhat lower market sensitivity, but the low regime-fit score signals that the current macro backdrop is not a clear tailwind for this profile.
  • Forensic Balance Sheet: 16 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar reflects Altman Z of 3.59, Piotroski F of 8/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.33. This is the strongest pillar and the main reason the overall grade is not lower.

Taken together, the rating points to a balanced setup: a solid balance sheet and reasonable margins offset by a rich earnings multiple, a thin free-cash-flow yield, and a weak macro-fit score. A prospective investor should weigh the valuation premium against the financial resilience rather than treating either as dominant.

Snapshot

PriceMarket CapP/E (TTM)Forward P/EEV/EBITDAEPS (TTM)Dividend YieldBeta52-Wk RangeROIC %
39.64$10.58B38.13223.21.040%0.89$32.43 - $50.599.2%

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$3648.0M$348.0M$278.0MN/A$227.0M$647.0M$1049.7M
FY 2024$3234.0M$293.0M$213.0MN/A$186.0M$598.0M$979.1M
FY 2023$2826.0M$231.0M$168.0MN/A$77.8MN/A$1361.6M

Reported revenue grew from $2826.0M in FY 2023 to $3648.0M in FY 2025, and net income rose from $168.0M to $278.0M over the same span. Current market data shows a gross margin of 23.8%, an operating margin of 9.5%, and a net margin of 7.6%, with ROIC of 9.2%. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 3.59 and the Piotroski F-Score is 8/9. The balance sheet shows Debt/Equity of 0.33 per the Roarable RQD rating, and reported debt declined from $1361.6M in FY 2023 to $1049.7M in FY 2025.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news and catalysts feed, six headlines were captured, all tagged with a YELLOW signal light under the MARKET WIRE impact label:

  • A Yahoo Finance report describes a fair value trim as analysts weigh backlog and newer wins.
  • A Seeking Alpha report frames a 20% selloff as a potential buying opportunity.
  • A Virginia Business report states that Leonardo DRS completed a merger and went public.
  • A Yahoo Finance report asks whether aerospace peers are lagging DRS this year.
  • A Yahoo Finance report notes fresh market attention on the stock.
  • A Yahoo Finance report lists two reasons to like DRS and one reason to stay skeptical.

Risk watch items include the valuation debate referenced in the fair value and skeptical headlines, and the 20% selloff referenced in the Seeking Alpha item. Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply chain status is NONE, with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals recorded.

Open Questions

  • What is the company's revenue mix by product line and customer segment, given that the source data contains no business description?
  • What is the analyst consensus rating and price target range, given that the analyst data section is empty?
  • Which institutional holders and insiders have been trading DRS, given that the holders section is empty?
  • What drove the reported change in cash between FY 2023 and FY 2024, given that FY 2023 cash is listed as N/A?
  • What is the source of the fair value trim and 20% selloff referenced in the news feed, given that the feed contains headlines and summaries but no underlying detail?

DRS Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Leonardo DRS Inc. (DRS) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to DRS Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

DRS Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $37.68?

🐂 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON DRS 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on DRS:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk ⚖️ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $42.81 (+8.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is DRS (C • RQD 63/100) a Buy at $39.64?

Welcome to the DRS (Leonardo DRS Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 63/100 (Roarable Hold — Fair / Balanced Risk-Reward) in Industrial Machinery/Components. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on valuation multiple compression (38.1x trailing P/E). Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

RE RedlineAuditor Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $33.30 (-16.0%)
Spot @ $39.64

Pump the brakes on DRS — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on DRS, but look at what you are paying: 38.1x trailing P/E with 23.8% gross margins. Unless Leonardo DRS Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

CA CashFlowKing Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $47.17 (+19.0%)
Spot @ $39.64

DRS cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on DRS, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Industrial Machinery/Components and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $39.64 (52-wk range $32.43 - $50.59), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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