Stock Ratings / Industrials / DOV / options

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Dover Corporation (DOV) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$207.74 -1.25% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $206.88

Dover Corporation (DOV) carries a Roarable Rating of C+ (Hold) with 69/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 69/100 (C+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+2.0% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE C+ • HOLD / WATCH Cap $27.63B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on DOV Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is DOV stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-03, Dover Corporation (NYSE: DOV) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 69/100 at a spot price of $207.74 (-1.25% 1D, market cap $27.63B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 14/20, Executive Insider Alignment 18/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, DOV ranks #46 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does DOV compare to TDY and IR in the Industrials sector?

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Within the Industrials sector (Industrial Machinery/Components), DOV carries a Roarable C+ (69/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 25.6x, gross margin of 39.8%, and ROIC of 12.9%. By comparison, TDY (Teledyne Technologies Incorporated) holds a C+ grade (67/100 RQD, P/E 34.9x, ROIC 7.5%, cap $30.30B) and IR (Ingersoll Rand Inc.) posts a C- grade (61/100 RQD, P/E 53.4x, ROIC 7.4%, cap $31.06B). Among the 5-stock peer group, DOV leads on earnings multiple (25.6x) while DOV leads on capital efficiency (12.9% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for DOV?

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Per DOV's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000029905), Dover Corporation generated $8.09B in revenue (+4.5% YoY), $1.09B in net income, and $0 in free cash flow against $13.42B in total assets and $2.62B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $206.89 (-0.41%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 14/20 (B-) • 12.5% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 69/100 (C+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+2.0% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 57.3% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C+

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B · Rk C

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+4.9% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for DOV)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±4%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (69/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY DOV SCORES 69/100 (C+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+18/20 pts (26% of score)

Altman Z-Score 5.21 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 8/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+16/20 pts (23% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 80% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit7/20 pts (-13 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (64) create a -13 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C$193.33+3.4% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C+$199.84+4.1% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade B-$207.99-0.1% Next Q

Current

Grade C+$207.74+2% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C (61) → C+ (69)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the DOV Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 69/100 (C+) score, DOV faces multiple-compression risk if 25.6x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 37.3% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($194.43) or 200D SMA ($209.84) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($218.02) toward Bear Floor ($170.06).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $DOV• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “DOV Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 69%NO 31%Trade / Inspect Odds →

CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE

— (No Active Options Snapshot)

Put/Call Ratio: — (No Active Options Snapshot)

MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET

— (No Active Options Snapshot)

No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file

HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING

±4%

Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (DOV)

— (No Active Options Snapshot) — No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for DOV.

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Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating DOV & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

✓Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on DOV
✓How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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DOV // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -5.94%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE

2026-11-03O $210.4H $210.4L $207.7C $207.7VOL 2.74M

RES: $213.8SUP: $174.0SMA50: $194.4SMA200: $209.8

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

DOV Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 DOV Butterfly Map → + Track DOV →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

19.3%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +4.5% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on DOV today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for DOV. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for DOV today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (DOV)

Industrials Rank #46 of 485 ⚔️ TDY vs DOV Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (DOV vs. TDY, IR, SYM, NVT)

Industry: Industrial Machinery/Components (208 Tracked Issuers)

Across 485 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Dover Corporation (DOV) ranks #46 by composite RQD confidence (69/100, grade C+) and #50 by equity capitalization ($27.63B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, DOV leads on earnings valuation at 25.6x trailing P/E, while DOV leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 12.9% ROIC and 39.8% gross margin. DOV currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 69/100 (C+).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
DOV ACTIVE Dover Corporation	C+	69/100	25.6x	39.8%	12.9%	-1.25%	$27.63B	Benchmark Subject
TDY Teledyne Technologies Incorporated	C+	67/100	34.9x	42.8%	7.5%	-2.84%	$30.30B	/tdy-vs-dov →
IR Ingersoll Rand Inc.	C-	61/100	53.4x	43.6%	7.4%	+0.05%	$31.06B	/ir-vs-dov →
SYM Symbotic Inc.	D	46/100	—	18.8%	-5.0%	+1.42%	$22.94B	/sym-vs-dov →
NVT nVent Electric plc	D+	54/100	31.5x	37.7%	10.9%	-8.81%	$20.39B	/nvt-vs-dov →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000029905

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Dover Corporation (DOV) reported GAAP revenue of $8.09B (+4.5% vs. FY2024 revenue of $7.75B , and +5.3% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $1.09B, operating cash flow of $0, and free cash flow of $0 . On the balance sheet, DOV closed FY2025 with $13.42B in total assets against $2.62B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 5.21, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$8.09B	$1.09B	—	—	$13.42B	$2.62B
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$7.75B	$2.70B	—	—	$12.51B	$2.53B
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$7.68B	$1.06B	$1.34B	$990.5M	$15.39B	$3.60B

3. DOV Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is DOV stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does DOV compare to TDY and IR in the Industrials sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for DOV?

Where is DOV trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

DOV last traded at $207.74 (-1.25% on volume of 2,739,205 shares), positioning the stock +6.85% above its 50-day simple moving average ($194.43) and -1.00% below its 200-day simple moving average ($209.84). Across its 52-week range of $176.40 to $237.54, DOV sits at the 51.3% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 64.0 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±4.0% ($199.43 to $216.05).

DOV Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is DOV's options positioning and volatility profile?

Roarable tracks verified CBOE unusual options sweeps, put/call ratios, and OHLCV realized volatility bands for DOV.

Direct Sub-Reports: DOV RQD Cockpit DOV 12M Forecast DOV Earnings & Move DOV Dividends & DRIP DOV Insiders & 13F DOV Whale Options DOV Profit Sankey DOV News & Why

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 69/100 (C+) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

DOV — Dover Corporation: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5

As of: 2026-11-02T15:12:35Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, DOV scores 72 out of 100, a letter grade of B, with the verdict label "Roarable Buy — Good Risk/Reward." The pillar breakdown is as follows. Fundamental cash engine scores 14 of 20, supported by an ROIC of 12.9% and an FCF yield of 3.67%; this is solid but not exceptional cash generation relative to the valuation. Whale 13F flow scores 14 of 20, reflecting institutional accumulation and options positioning; the source describes this pillar but does not provide the underlying 13F detail. Insider conviction scores 16 of 20, reflecting SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow, which is the strongest activity signal in the rating. Macro regime fit scores 10 of 20, with a beta of 0.93 and a sector sensitivity note; this is the weakest pillar and signals that the stock's behavior is less of a diversifier in a risk-off environment than its low beta alone might suggest. Forensic balance sheet scores 18 of 20, the highest pillar, supported by an Altman Z-Score of 5.21, a Piotroski F-Score of 8/9, and a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.35.

Investor implications: the upside drivers in this profile are the balance sheet strength, insider cluster activity, and a reported beat on Q3 earnings and revenue estimates per the news wire. The valuation tradeoff is that the stock trades at a trailing P/E of 25.6 and an EV/EBITDA of 18.6 against an FCF yield of 3.67%, meaning much of the quality is already priced in. The macro pillar is the main caution, since a score of 10 of 20 indicates the stock's regime sensitivity should be weighed against the other pillars rather than treated as a standalone signal. This brief is educational and is not personalized financial advice.

Snapshot

Price	Market Cap	P/E (TTM)	Forward P/E	EV/EBITDA	EPS (TTM)	Dividend Yield	Beta	52-Wk Range	ROIC %
210.37	$27.98B	25.6	23.8	18.6	8.22	1.01%	0.93	$176.4 - $237.54	12.9%

Business

Dover Corporation is a NYSE-listed issuer in the Industrials sector, operating within the Industrial Machinery/Components industry. Per the profile, the company is valued at approximately $28.0B in market capitalization. Per the market data, the company reports a gross margin of 39.8%, an operating margin of 17%, and a net margin of 13.5%. Product lines, customer segments, and revenue mix are not available in source data.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news section, the headlines are: a Yahoo Finance report that Dover beat Q3 earnings and revenue estimates (flagged GREEN, CATALYST); a Seeking Alpha piece stating shares have not fallen enough for an upgrade (GREEN, CATALYST); a TradingView preview of Q3 earnings expectations (YELLOW, MARKET WIRE); a Yahoo Finance piece on expected earnings growth ahead of the next release (YELLOW, MARKET WIRE); a MarketBeat report on a consensus target price (YELLOW, MARKET WIRE); and a Seeking Alpha piece titled that quality is not cheap (YELLOW, MARKET WIRE). The two GREEN catalyst items are the earnings beat and the upgrade-threshold commentary; the remaining items are context and valuation framing. The proprietary Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph reports no supply-chain links and no proprietary signals, so no signal-based catalysts are available.

Butterfly Effect: 2nd-Order Supply-Chain & Sector Ripples

Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply chain is recorded as NONE, with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals. Upstream suppliers, downstream customers, and sector correlations beyond the sector and industry labels are not available in source data. As a result, second-order ripple effects cannot be mapped from the provided sources. An investor should treat the absence of linked dependencies as a gap in the analysis rather than evidence that no dependencies exist.

Analyst View & Smart Money Ownership

Analyst data is NONE. Per the source, no consensus rating or price targets are provided in the analyst data section. The news wire references a MarketBeat headline citing a consensus target price of $237.93, but the underlying brokerage detail is not available in source data. Holders data is NONE, so SEC Form 4 insider trades, 13F institutional positions, and Congressional trades are not itemized in source data, although the RQD rating references insider cluster flow and whale 13F accumulation at the pillar level.

Open Questions

What are the underlying 13F institutional holdings and the specific options positioning referenced in the whale flow pillar?
What are the individual SEC Form 4 insider transactions and Congressional PTR trades behind the insider conviction score?
What drove FY 2024 net income of $2697.1M, well above both adjacent years, and is it recurring?
What are the EPS, free cash flow, and cash balances for the FY 2024 and FY 2025 periods?
What are the segment-level revenue drivers, and what supply-chain dependencies sit behind the company's margin profile?

DOV Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Dover Corporation (DOV) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to DOV Debate Forum (3) ↓

🟢 CATALYST Yahoo Finance • 15h ago

Dover Corporation (DOV) Beats Q3 Earnings and Revenue Estimates

Yahoo Finance report covering Dover Corporation (DOV) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟢 CATALYST Seeking Alpha • 18h ago

Dover Corporation: Shares Haven't Fallen Enough For An Upgrade (NYSE:DOV)

Seeking Alpha report covering Dover Corporation (DOV) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE TradingView • 21h ago

Dover Set to Report Q3 Earnings: Here's What to Expect From the Stock

TradingView report covering Dover Corporation (DOV) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 1d ago

Dover Corporation (DOV) Earnings Expected to Grow: What to Know Ahead of Next Week's Release

Yahoo Finance report covering Dover Corporation (DOV) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE MarketBeat • 1d ago

Dover Corporation (NYSE:DOV) Stock Has Consensus Target Price of $237.93 According to Brokerages

MarketBeat report covering Dover Corporation (DOV) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Seeking Alpha • 1d ago

Dover: Quality Is Unfortunately Not Cheap (NYSE:DOV)

Seeking Alpha report covering Dover Corporation (DOV) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 1d ago

Dover Corporation Q3 2026 Earnings Call Summary

Yahoo Finance report covering Dover Corporation (DOV) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE MarketBeat • 1d ago

Dover Corporation $DOV Stock Position Increased by Neville Rodie & Shaw Inc.

MarketBeat report covering Dover Corporation (DOV) market action, institutional positioning, and fundamental catalysts.

Read Full Source ↗

🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

DOV Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $207.74?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON DOV 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION

RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $248.24 (+18.0%)

📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is DOV (B • RQD 72/100) a Buy at $210.37?

Welcome to the DOV (Dover Corporation) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 72/100 (Roarable Buy — Good Risk/Reward) in Industrial Machinery/Components. Bulls point to capital efficiency (12.9% ROIC), while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

FO ForensicBear Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $170.40 (-19.0%)

Spot @ $210.37

Pump the brakes on DOV — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on DOV, but look at what you are paying: 25.6x trailing P/E with 39.8% gross margins. Unless Dover Corporation expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

MI MidwestValue Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $267.17 (+27.0%)

Spot @ $210.37

DOV cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on DOV, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Industrial Machinery/Components and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $210.37 (52-wk range $176.40 - $237.54), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.