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Stock Ratings / Technology / DOCN / earnings
FDS (86) PINS (68) FLUT (41) MTCH (80) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

DigitalOcean Holdings Inc. (DOCN) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±12.5% Move

$89.65 -10.32% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $87.81

DigitalOcean Holdings Inc. (DOCN) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 55/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 55/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →
ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $11.75B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on DOCN Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is DOCN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
▼

As of 2026-11-02, DigitalOcean Holdings Inc. (NYSE: DOCN) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 55/100 at a spot price of $89.65 (-10.32% 1D, market cap $11.75B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 15/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, DOCN ranks #296 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does DOCN compare to FDS and PINS in the Technology sector?
▼

Within the Technology sector (Computer Software: Programming Data Processing), DOCN carries a Roarable D+ (55/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 45.3x, gross margin of 59.9%, and ROIC of 13.2%. By comparison, FDS (FactSet Research Systems Inc.) holds a A grade (86/100 RQD, P/E 18.9x, ROIC 18.1%, cap $11.29B) and PINS (Pinterest Inc.) posts a C+ grade (68/100 RQD, P/E 27.1x, ROIC 6.2%, cap $11.28B). Among the 5-stock peer group, MTCH leads on earnings multiple (14.4x) while MTCH leads on capital efficiency (30.4% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for DOCN?
▼

Per DOCN's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001582961), DigitalOcean Holdings Inc. generated $901.4M in revenue (+15.5% YoY), $259.3M in net income, and $180.5M in free cash flow against $1.84B in total assets and $970.7M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (60% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $87.81 (-2.05%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.04% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 15/20 (B) • 20% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 55/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 51.4% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+
025507510055
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk D+
Cash (15)Whales (6)SEC (14)Macro (8)CEO (12)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-1.3% Base Target
$197 Bull$88 Base$69 Bear
📬 FREE DOCN RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for DOCN)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (55/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY DOCN SCORES 55/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+15/20 pts (27% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 20% FCF Margin ($180.5M FCF) & 59.9% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+14/20 pts (25% of score)

Altman Z-Score 4.39 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 8/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning6/20 pts (-14 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-14 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
63
Grade C+$128.21-22.4% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
60
Grade C$99.48+6.9% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
58
Grade C$106.39-15.7% Next Q
Current
55
Grade D+$89.65-0.5% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C+ (63) → D+ (55)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the DOCN Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 55/100 (D+) score, DOCN faces multiple-compression risk if 45.3x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Priced at 45x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($119.26) or 200D SMA ($111.97) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($88.44) toward Bear Floor ($68.98).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $DOCN• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “DOCN Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”
YES 55%NO 45%Trade / Inspect Odds →
NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~57 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±12.5% Swing Band

±$11.21 Expected Swing
$78.44 (-12.5%)Spot $89.65$100.86 (+12.5%)
MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

DOCN Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 55/100

Trailing EPS: $2.20 • YoY Revenue Growth: 15.5%

Model Bullish Setup (55/100)Model Risk Weight (45/100)
Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).
LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

PeriodFiledRevenueNet ProfitFree Cash FlowGross Margin
FY 20252025-12-31$901.4M$259.3M$180.5M59.9%
FY 20242024-12-31$780.6M$84.5M$104.6M59.7%
FY 20232023-12-31$692.9M$19.4M$203.8M59.9%
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring DOCN)

  • ✓Walkthrough of DOCN's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena
DOCN // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -17.61%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-02O $105.1H $105.1L $89.65C $89.65VOL 1.72M
RES: $156.9SUP: $85.80SMA50: $119.3SMA200: $112.0
$197.0$157.7$118.5$79.20$39.94RES $156.9SUP $85.80$89.652026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

DOCN Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 DOCN Butterfly Map → + Track DOCN →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
33.7%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +15.5% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on DOCN today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for DOCN. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for DOCN today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (DOCN)

Technology Rank #296 of 714 ⚔️ FDS vs DOCN Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (DOCN vs. FDS, PINS, FLUT, MTCH)

Industry: Computer Software: Programming Data Processing (72 Tracked Issuers)

Across 714 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, DigitalOcean Holdings Inc. (DOCN) ranks #296 by composite RQD confidence (55/100, grade D+) and #140 by equity capitalization ($11.75B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, MTCH leads on earnings valuation at 14.4x trailing P/E, while MTCH leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 30.4% ROIC and 72.8% gross margin. FDS currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 86/100 (A) compared with DOCN at 55/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
DOCN ACTIVE
DigitalOcean Holdings Inc.
D+ 55/100 45.3x 59.9% 13.2% -10.32% $11.75B Benchmark Subject
FDS
FactSet Research Systems Inc.
A 86/100 18.9x 52.7% 18.1% +2.98% $11.29B /fds-vs-docn →
PINS
Pinterest Inc.
C+ 68/100 27.1x 80.1% 6.2% -2.81% $11.28B /pins-vs-docn →
FLUT
Flutter Entertainment plc
D- 41/100 — 45.2% 0.1% +4.29% $13.87B /flut-vs-docn →
MTCH
Match Group Inc.
B+ 80/100 14.4x 72.8% 30.4% -2.91% $9.79B /mtch-vs-docn →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001582961

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), DigitalOcean Holdings Inc. (DOCN) reported GAAP revenue of $901.4M (+15.5% vs. FY2024 revenue of $780.6M , and +30.1% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $259.3M, operating cash flow of $309.6M, and free cash flow of $180.5M (+72.6% YoY). On the balance sheet, DOCN closed FY2025 with $1.84B in total assets against $970.7M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 4.39, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $901.4M $259.3M $309.6M $180.5M $1.84B $970.7M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $780.6M $84.5M $282.7M $104.6M $1.64B $1.49B
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $692.9M $19.4M $234.9M $203.8M $6.46B $1.51B

3. DOCN Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is DOCN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, DigitalOcean Holdings Inc. (NYSE: DOCN) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 55/100 at a spot price of $89.65 (-10.32% 1D, market cap $11.75B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 15/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, DOCN ranks #296 in composite RQD confidence.

How does DOCN compare to FDS and PINS in the Technology sector?

Within the Technology sector (Computer Software: Programming Data Processing), DOCN carries a Roarable D+ (55/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 45.3x, gross margin of 59.9%, and ROIC of 13.2%. By comparison, FDS (FactSet Research Systems Inc.) holds a A grade (86/100 RQD, P/E 18.9x, ROIC 18.1%, cap $11.29B) and PINS (Pinterest Inc.) posts a C+ grade (68/100 RQD, P/E 27.1x, ROIC 6.2%, cap $11.28B). Among the 5-stock peer group, MTCH leads on earnings multiple (14.4x) while MTCH leads on capital efficiency (30.4% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for DOCN?

Per DOCN's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001582961), DigitalOcean Holdings Inc. generated $901.4M in revenue (+15.5% YoY), $259.3M in net income, and $180.5M in free cash flow against $1.84B in total assets and $970.7M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (60% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is DOCN trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

DOCN last traded at $89.65 (-10.32% on volume of 3,294,229 shares), positioning the stock -24.83% below its 50-day simple moving average ($119.26) and -19.93% below its 200-day simple moving average ($111.97). Across its 52-week range of $38.45 to $187.50, DOCN sits at the 34.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 42.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($78.44 to $100.86).

DOCN Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is DOCN's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, DigitalOcean Holdings Inc. (DOCN)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 30, 2026.

How much is DOCN stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±12.5% event move for DOCN, spanning a range between $78.44 and $100.86.

Direct Sub-Reports: DOCN RQD Cockpit DOCN 12M Forecast DOCN Earnings & Move DOCN Dividends & DRIP DOCN Insiders & 13F DOCN Whale Options DOCN Profit Sankey DOCN News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 55/100 (D+) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

DOCN — DigitalOcean Holdings Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:15:46Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, DOCN carries an RQD Score of 55 and a letter grade of D+, labeled "Roarable Sell — Weak Fundamentals / Trim." The five pillars score as follows: fundamental cash engine at 15 of 20 (ROIC 13.2%; FCF yield 1.54%), whale 13F flow at 6 of 20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning), insider conviction at 12 of 20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow), macro regime fit at 8 of 20 (beta 1.34; sector sensitivity), and forensic balance sheet at 14 of 20 (Altman Z 4.39; Piotroski F 8/9; Debt/Equity 0.85).

For a prospective investor, the weakest pillars are institutional flow and macro regime fit, both scoring under half their maximum. The strongest pillars are the cash engine and the forensic balance sheet, which together indicate the company's reported economics and balance sheet are comparatively sound. The gap is valuation: per the market data, the stock trades at a P/E (TTM) of 45.3 and EV/EBITDA of 46.8 with an FCF yield of 1.54%, so upside depends on sustained growth that the rating does not assume. The beta of 1.34 implies above-market sensitivity to broad moves. Read together, the rating frames DOCN as a higher-volatility name whose fundamentals are improving but whose price already embeds substantial expectations.

Snapshot

PriceMarket CapP/E (TTM)Forward P/EEV/EBITDAEPS (TTM)Dividend YieldBeta52-Wk RangeROIC %
99.97$11.75B45.338.146.82.20%1.34$38.45 - $187.513.2%

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$901.4M$157.0M$259.3MN/A$180.5M$254.5M$970.7M
FY 2024$780.6M$91.0M$84.5MN/A$104.6M$428.4M$1485.4M
FY 2023$692.9M$11.9M$19.4MN/A$203.8MN/A$1512.8M

Per the SEC financials, revenue rose from $692.9M in FY 2023 to $901.4M in FY 2025, and operating income moved from $11.9M to $157.0M over the same span. Per the market data, the operating margin is 17.4% and the net margin is 28.8%, with ROIC at 13.2%. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 4.39 and the Piotroski F-Score is 8 of 9, and the Debt/Equity ratio is 0.85. Reported debt declined from $1485.4M in FY 2024 to $970.7M in FY 2025, while cash fell from $428.4M to $254.5M over the same period.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news feed, six items reference DOCN. Five are tagged YELLOW ("MARKET WIRE") and cover market action and institutional positioning, including a Yahoo! Finance Canada stock page, a Seeking Alpha article titled "DigitalOcean: Don't Wait For 2027, The Inflection Is Happening Now," an Investing.com item on a KeyBanc rating reiteration ahead of a summit, a TradingKey item on a 7.80% move on Oct 9, and a Yahoo Finance comparison article. One item is tagged RED ("RISK WATCH"): a Seeking Alpha piece titled "DigitalOcean: Near-Term Upside Possible, Long-Term Supply Risks Loom (Downgrade)." Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, no supply-chain links or proprietary signals are recorded.

Open Questions

  • What specific supply risks does the RED-tagged downgrade item reference, and are they quantified anywhere in the source data?
  • What were the EPS figures for FY 2023 through FY 2025, which are marked N/A in the reported financials?
  • What drove the cash decline from $428.4M to $254.5M alongside the debt reduction from $1485.4M to $970.7M?
  • What is the consensus analyst rating and price target, and how do they compare to the current price?
  • Who are the 13F institutional holders and insiders, and what is their recent net activity?

DOCN Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for DigitalOcean Holdings Inc. (DOCN) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to DOCN Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

DOCN Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $89.65?

🐂 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON DOCN 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on DOCN:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk ⚖️ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $107.97 (+8.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is DOCN (D+ • RQD 55/100) a Buy at $99.97?

Welcome to the DOCN (DigitalOcean Holdings Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 55/100 (Roarable Sell — Weak Fundamentals / Trim) in Computer Software: Programming Data Processing. Bulls point to capital efficiency (13.2% ROIC), while bears focus on valuation multiple compression (45.3x trailing P/E). Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

MU MultipleCompression Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $75.98 (-24.0%)
Spot @ $99.97

Pump the brakes on DOCN — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on DOCN, but look at what you are paying: 45.3x trailing P/E with 59.9% gross margins. Unless DigitalOcean Holdings Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

SI SiliconVal_Bull Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $126.96 (+27.0%)
Spot @ $99.97

DOCN cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on DOCN, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Computer Software: Programming Data Processing and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $99.97 (52-wk range $38.45 - $187.50), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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