Why DMRC Stock advanced +0.68% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

$8.83 +0.68% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $8.82

Digimarc Corporation (DMRC) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 54/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $237.2M
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is DMRC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, Digimarc Corporation (NASDAQ: DMRC) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 54/100 at a spot price of $8.83 (+0.68% 1D, market cap $237.2M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, DMRC ranks #319 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does DMRC compare to MOVE and FIRY in the Technology sector?
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Within the Technology sector (EDP Services), DMRC carries a Roarable D+ (54/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, MOVE (Corvex Inc.) holds a E grade (25/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $227.8M) and FIRY (Firy Inc. (Class A)) posts a D- grade (43/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $223.1M). Among the 5-stock peer group, DMRC leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while ASUR leads on capital efficiency (-2.8% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for DMRC?
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Per DMRC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0002119322), Digimarc Corporation generated $0 in revenue, $0 in net income, and $0 in free cash flow against $53.0M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $8.82 (-0.07%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 10/20 (D) • 0.2% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 54/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.7% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 51.0% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+
025507510054
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk D+
Cash (10)Whales (12)SEC (13)Macro (10)CEO (9)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-1.8% Base Target
$18 Bull$9 Base$7 Bear
📬 FREE DMRC RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for DMRC)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (54/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY DMRC SCORES 54/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (24% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+12/20 pts (22% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±12.5% realized swing band)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution9/20 pts (-11 pt drag)

Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 11 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
46
Grade D$6.40+11.4% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
49
Grade D$7.13+9.8% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
51
Grade C-$7.83+12.8% Next Q
Current
54
Grade D+$8.83-0.7% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: D (46) → D+ (54)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a DMRC Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While DMRC currently carries a cautious 54/100 (D+) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (9/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($6.17) and Max Pain ($9.27) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $18.34.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $DMRC• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “DMRC Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →

Why DMRC Stock advanced +0.68% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

Digimarc Corporation (DMRC) advanced +0.68% to $8.83, trading at 36% of its 52-week range ($4.07 – $17.47). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (steady margins) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

  • ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 36% of its 52-week range ($4.07 – $17.47) with RSI-14 at 74.3 (OVERBOUGHT (>70)).
  • ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±12.5% around $8.83 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
  • ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D+ (Sell) backed by 52% gross margin and $6.6M annual free cash flow.
Live DMRC Headlines & Catalysts
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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring DMRC)

  • ✓Walkthrough of DMRC's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
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DMRC // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +7.68%▲ RESISTANCE BREAKOUT
2026-11-02O $8.63H $8.83L $8.63C $8.83VOL 152.0K
RES: $6.28SUP: $3.74SMA50: $6.17SMA200: $7.09
$18.39$14.58$10.78$6.97$3.17RES $6.28SUP $3.74$8.832026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-172026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

DMRC Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on DMRC today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for DMRC. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for DMRC today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (DMRC)

Technology Rank #319 of 714 ⚔️ MOVE vs DMRC Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (DMRC vs. MOVE, FIRY, KDK, ASUR)

Industry: EDP Services (163 Tracked Issuers)

Across 714 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Digimarc Corporation (DMRC) ranks #319 by composite RQD confidence (54/100, grade D+) and #463 by equity capitalization ($237.2M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, DMRC leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while ASUR leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -2.8% ROIC and 67.5% gross margin. DMRC currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 54/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
DMRC ACTIVE
Digimarc Corporation
D+ 54/100 — — — +0.68% $237.2M Benchmark Subject
MOVE
Corvex Inc.
E 25/100 — -30.0% -35.0% -7.48% $227.8M /move-vs-dmrc →
FIRY
Firy Inc. (Class A)
D- 43/100 — 87.5% -35.0% -4.69% $223.1M /firy-vs-dmrc →
KDK
Kodiak AI Inc.
D 44/100 — — — -4.69% $256.8M /kdk-vs-dmrc →
ASUR
Asure Software Inc
D- 40/100 — 67.5% -2.8% +30.15% $217.5M /asur-vs-dmrc →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2025–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0002119322

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Digimarc Corporation (DMRC) reported GAAP revenue of $0 , GAAP net income of $0, operating cash flow of $0, and free cash flow of $0 . On the balance sheet, DMRC closed FY2025 with $53.0M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: N/A).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $0 $0 — — $53.0M —

3. DMRC Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is DMRC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Digimarc Corporation (NASDAQ: DMRC) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 54/100 at a spot price of $8.83 (+0.68% 1D, market cap $237.2M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, DMRC ranks #319 in composite RQD confidence.

How does DMRC compare to MOVE and FIRY in the Technology sector?

Within the Technology sector (EDP Services), DMRC carries a Roarable D+ (54/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, MOVE (Corvex Inc.) holds a E grade (25/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $227.8M) and FIRY (Firy Inc. (Class A)) posts a D- grade (43/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $223.1M). Among the 5-stock peer group, DMRC leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while ASUR leads on capital efficiency (-2.8% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for DMRC?

Per DMRC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0002119322), Digimarc Corporation generated $0 in revenue, $0 in net income, and $0 in free cash flow against $53.0M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is DMRC trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

DMRC last traded at $8.83 (+0.68% on volume of 238,253 shares), positioning the stock +43.11% above its 50-day simple moving average ($6.17) and +24.54% above its 200-day simple moving average ($7.09). Across its 52-week range of $4.07 to $17.47, DMRC sits at the 35.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 74.3 (OVERBOUGHT (>70)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($7.73 to $9.93).

DMRC Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Why is DMRC stock moving today?

Why DMRC Stock advanced +0.68% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (steady margins) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 54/100 (D+) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

DMRC — Digimarc Corporation: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T14:17:17Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, DMRC scores 54 out of 100, a letter grade of D+, with the verdict label "Roarable Sell — Weak Fundamentals / Trim." The five pillars break down as follows:

  • Fundamental Cash Engine: 10 / 20. The source reports ROIC of 0% and an FCF yield of 0%. For a prospective investor, this pillar indicates the business is not currently generating returns on capital or free cash flow relative to its valuation, which removes a common source of downside support.
  • Whale 13F Flow: 12 / 20. Covers institutional accumulation and options positioning. The score sits in the lower-middle range, suggesting institutional conviction is present but not strong.
  • Insider Conviction: 9 / 20. Reflects SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. This is among the weaker pillars, indicating limited insider-side signaling of confidence.
  • Macro Regime Fit: 10 / 20. The source reports beta of 1.0 and sector sensitivity. The stock's market sensitivity is neutral, but the regime-fit score is low, which weighs on the overall rating.
  • Forensic Balance Sheet: 13 / 20. Per the source, Altman Z-Score is 2.5, Piotroski F-Score is 6 of 9, and Debt/Equity is 0.5. This is the strongest pillar, though still moderate.

Taken together, the rating points to weak fundamentals with the balance sheet as the relative bright spot. An investor evaluating the stock today would face limited near-term upside drivers from cash generation, a valuation that cannot be assessed on earnings multiples given the source gaps, and a rating that explicitly recommends trimming. The balance sheet metrics suggest the company is not in acute financial distress by the cited measures, but they do not offset the absence of profitability.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025 (filed 2025-12-31)$0.0M$0.0M$0.0MN/AN/A$9.8MN/A

Per the SEC financials, reported revenue, operating income, and net income are each $0.0M for FY 2025, with cash of $9.8M and debt not reported. Source margins are gross 0%, operating 0%, and net 0%, and ROIC is 0%. Per the RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 2.5, the Piotroski F-Score is 6 of 9, and Debt/Equity is 0.5, which supports the forensic balance sheet pillar score of 13 / 20. Profitability metrics in the source are zero, so the balance sheet assessment rests on the cited forensic ratios rather than earnings.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news and catalysts feed, the following items are reported, each tagged YELLOW with impact label MARKET WIRE:

  • A general stock price and quote page from Yahoo Finance Australia; no specific event is described in the summary.
  • A StockInvest.us price forecast article; no specific event is described.
  • A TradingView item referencing a Q3'26 EPS estimate of (0.37) USD, indicating an expected loss per share for that quarter.
  • A Stock Titan item on tampered gift cards being blocked before activation, with the company stating its system is 3 times more secure.
  • A marketscreener.com item announcing a third-quarter 2026 conference call for Thursday, November 12.
  • A Stock Traders Daily rotational strategy piece; no specific event is described.

Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply chain is recorded as NONE, with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals. Risk watch items drawn from the feed include the expected Q3'26 loss per share and the upcoming earnings call date.

Butterfly Effect: 2nd-Order Supply-Chain & Sector Ripples

Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply chain is NONE, with an empty list of butterfly links and no proprietary signals. Upstream suppliers, downstream customers, and sector correlation links are therefore not available in source data. Second-order bottlenecks cannot be mapped from the provided sources. The only sector context given is Technology / EDP Services. An investor should treat the absence of supply-chain mapping as an open gap rather than evidence of independence from other companies.

Open Questions

  • What does Digimarc sell, and who are its primary customers? The source provides only sector and industry labels.
  • Why are FY 2025 revenue and operating income reported as $0.0M, and is this a data gap or a reporting reality?
  • What are the trailing and forward earnings and EBITDA figures, given that these multiples are all unavailable?
  • What is the company's debt quantum and free cash flow, given that debt and FCF are reported as N/A while Debt/Equity is cited at 0.5?
  • What insider, institutional, or options activity underlies the 9/20 insider and 12/20 whale pillar scores, since the holders section is empty?

DMRC Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Digimarc Corporation (DMRC) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to DMRC Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

DMRC Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $8.83?

🐂 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON DMRC 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on DMRC:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk ⚖️ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $9.47 (+8.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is DMRC (D+ • RQD 54/100) a Buy at $8.77?

Welcome to the DMRC (Digimarc Corporation) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 54/100 (Roarable Sell — Weak Fundamentals / Trim) in EDP Services. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

SK SkepticalCFA Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $6.67 (-23.9%)
Spot @ $8.77

Pump the brakes on DMRC — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on DMRC, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with tightening sector spreads. Unless Digimarc Corporation expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

QU QuantViper Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $10.26 (+17.0%)
Spot @ $8.77

DMRC cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on DMRC, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in EDP Services and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $8.77 (52-wk range $4.07 - $17.47), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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