Dana Incorporated (DAN) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±9.2% Move

$23.11 -7.00% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $22.77

Dana Incorporated (DAN) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 47/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $2.49B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is DAN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Dana Incorporated (NYSE: DAN) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 47/100 at a spot price of $23.11 (-7.00% 1D, market cap $2.49B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 4/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 5/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 15/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, DAN ranks #612 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does DAN compare to PATK and LCII in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Auto Parts:O.E.M.), DAN carries a Roarable D (47/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 31.5x, gross margin of 8.0%, and ROIC of 29.6%. By comparison, PATK (Patrick Industries Inc.) holds a C grade (63/100 RQD, P/E 17.9x, ROIC 8.9%, cap $2.49B) and LCII (LCI Industries) posts a C grade (63/100 RQD, P/E 12.8x, ROIC 10.6%, cap $2.41B). Among the 5-stock peer group, LCII leads on earnings multiple (12.8x) while DAN leads on capital efficiency (29.6% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for DAN?
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Per DAN's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000026780), Dana Incorporated generated $7.50B in revenue (-3.0% YoY), $85.0M in net income, and $512.0M in free cash flow against $7.81B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $22.77 (-1.45%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 13/20 (C) • 6.8% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (47/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-5.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D
025507510047
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk D-
Cash (13)Whales (4)SEC (10)Macro (5)CEO (15)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-4.9% Base Target
$42 Bull$22 Base$17 Bear
📬 FREE DAN RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for DAN)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±9.2%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (47/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY DAN SCORES 47/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+15/20 pts (32% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 75% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+13/20 pts (28% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 6.8% FCF Margin ($512.0M FCF) & 8% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
55
Grade C$28.45+2.6% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
52
Grade C-$29.19-6.8% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
50
Grade C-$27.20-15% Next Q
Current
47
Grade D$23.11-5.9% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C (55) → D (47)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a DAN Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While DAN currently carries a cautious 47/100 (D) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($28.65) and Max Pain ($24.27) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $41.54.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $DAN• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “DAN Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~57 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±9.2% Swing Band

±$2.13 Expected Swing
$20.98 (-9.2%)Spot $23.11$25.24 (+9.2%)
MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

DAN Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 47/100

Trailing EPS: $0.79 • YoY Revenue Growth: -3%

Model Bullish Setup (47/100)Model Risk Weight (53/100)
Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).
LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

PeriodFiledRevenueNet ProfitFree Cash FlowGross Margin
FY 20252025-12-31$7.50B$85.0M$512.0M8%
FY 20242024-12-31$7.73B-$57.0M$450.0M4.9%
FY 20232023-12-31$7.61B$38.0M$476.0M8%
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring DAN)

  • ✓Walkthrough of DAN's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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DAN // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -33.32%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-03O $24.85H $24.85L $23.11C $23.11VOL 2.64M
RES: $28.99SUP: $22.54SMA50: $28.65SMA200: $31.14
$38.58$34.26$29.95$25.63$21.31RES $28.99SUP $22.54$23.112026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

DAN Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
24.3%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -3.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on DAN today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for DAN. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for DAN today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (DAN)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #612 of 1011 ⚔️ PATK vs DAN Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (DAN vs. PATK, LCII, PHIN, VGNT)

Industry: Auto Parts:O.E.M. (36 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Dana Incorporated (DAN) ranks #612 by composite RQD confidence (47/100, grade D) and #388 by equity capitalization ($2.49B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, LCII leads on earnings valuation at 12.8x trailing P/E, while DAN leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 29.6% ROIC and 8.0% gross margin. PATK currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 63/100 (C) compared with DAN at 47/100 (D).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
DAN ACTIVE
Dana Incorporated
D 47/100 31.5x 8.0% 29.6% -7.00% $2.49B Benchmark Subject
PATK
Patrick Industries Inc.
C 63/100 17.9x 23.1% 8.9% +3.33% $2.49B /patk-vs-dan →
LCII
LCI Industries
C 63/100 12.8x 23.8% 10.6% +0.01% $2.41B /lcii-vs-dan →
PHIN
PHINIA Inc.
C- 59/100 17.2x 21.9% 9.1% +3.05% $2.26B /phin-vs-dan →
VGNT
Versigent PLC
D 48/100 — — — -2.98% $2.91B /vgnt-vs-dan →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000026780

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Dana Incorporated (DAN) reported GAAP revenue of $7.50B (-3.0% vs. FY2024 revenue of $7.73B , and -1.5% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $85.0M, operating cash flow of $512.0M, and free cash flow of $512.0M (+13.8% YoY). On the balance sheet, DAN closed FY2025 with $7.81B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.38, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $7.50B $85.0M $512.0M $512.0M $7.81B —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $7.73B -$57.0M $450.0M $450.0M $7.49B —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $7.61B $38.0M $476.0M $476.0M — —

3. DAN Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is DAN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Dana Incorporated (NYSE: DAN) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 47/100 at a spot price of $23.11 (-7.00% 1D, market cap $2.49B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 4/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 5/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 15/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, DAN ranks #612 in composite RQD confidence.

How does DAN compare to PATK and LCII in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Auto Parts:O.E.M.), DAN carries a Roarable D (47/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 31.5x, gross margin of 8.0%, and ROIC of 29.6%. By comparison, PATK (Patrick Industries Inc.) holds a C grade (63/100 RQD, P/E 17.9x, ROIC 8.9%, cap $2.49B) and LCII (LCI Industries) posts a C grade (63/100 RQD, P/E 12.8x, ROIC 10.6%, cap $2.41B). Among the 5-stock peer group, LCII leads on earnings multiple (12.8x) while DAN leads on capital efficiency (29.6% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for DAN?

Per DAN's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000026780), Dana Incorporated generated $7.50B in revenue (-3.0% YoY), $85.0M in net income, and $512.0M in free cash flow against $7.81B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is DAN trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

DAN last traded at $23.11 (-7.00% on volume of 2,639,041 shares), positioning the stock -19.34% below its 50-day simple moving average ($28.65) and -25.79% below its 200-day simple moving average ($31.14). Across its 52-week range of $18.96 to $39.56, DAN sits at the 20.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 31.4 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±9.2% ($20.98 to $25.24).

DAN Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is DAN's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, Dana Incorporated (DAN)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 30, 2026.

How much is DAN stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±9.2% event move for DAN, spanning a range between $20.98 and $25.24.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 47/100 (D) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

DAN — Dana Incorporated: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:25:14Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, DAN scores 49 out of 100, equating to a letter grade of D and the verdict "Roarable Sell — Underperform / Distribution Warning." The five pillars are: Fundamental Cash Engine at 13 of 20 (ROIC 29.6%; FCF yield 19.15%); Whale 13F Flow at 5 of 20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning); Insider Conviction at 15 of 20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow); Macro Regime Fit at 6 of 20 (Beta 1.0; sector sensitivity); and Forensic Balance Sheet at 10 of 20 (Altman Z 1.38; Piotroski F 6/9; Debt/Equity 0.5).

For a prospective investor evaluating the stock today, the cash-generation and return-on-capital inputs are the rating's strongest elements, and they are offset by weak institutional-flow and macro-fit readings. The most relevant tradeoff is that the valuation multiples in the market data (P/E TTM 31.5, EV/EBITDA 15.9) sit at levels that the cash-yield figures and the rating together do not reward on a risk-adjusted basis. The Altman Z of 1.38 is a forensic signal the rating treats as a balance-sheet weakness, and the Whale and Macro pillars signal limited external sponsorship and sector-sensitive exposure. This is an analytical reading of the rating's components, not a recommendation.

Snapshot

PriceMarket CapP/E (TTM)Forward P/EEV/EBITDAEPS (TTM)Dividend YieldBeta52-Wk RangeROIC %
24.85$2.67B31.529.315.90.792.02%1.0$18.96 - $39.5629.6%

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$7500.0M$139.0M$85.0MN/A$512.0M$469.0MN/A
FY 2024$7734.0M$-176.0M$-57.0MN/A$450.0M$494.0MN/A
FY 2023$7613.0M$-108.0M$38.0MN/A$476.0MN/AN/A

Per the SEC financials, revenue was $7500.0M in FY 2025 versus $7734.0M in FY 2024, with operating income moving from $-176.0M to $139.0M and net income from $-57.0M to $85.0M. Free cash flow ranged from $450.0M to $512.0M across the three periods. Per the market data, the ROIC is 29.6% and the net margin is 1.1%. The Altman Z-Score is 1.38 and the Piotroski F-Score is 6/9, both per the RQD rating, and Debt/Equity is 0.5. Debt levels and EPS by period are not available in source data.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news and catalysts feed, the items are: a Yahoo Finance Australia market report (YELLOW); a Stocktwits report (YELLOW); a PR Newswire item titled "Dana to Pay Dividend on Common Stock" (YELLOW); a Yahoo Finance item on participation in the Gabelli 50th Annual Automotive Symposium (YELLOW); a Stock Titan item stating $200 million went to share repurchases with $100 million more expected in Q4 (YELLOW); and a MarketBeat item on Assenagon Asset Management S.A. raising its position (GREEN, CATALYST). The buyback and dividend items are the most concrete capital-return catalysts. Risk watch items: the source data contains no explicit risk-flagged headlines beyond the general market wire. Proprietary signals per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph: none.

Butterfly Effect: 2nd-Order Supply-Chain & Sector Ripples

Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply chain is recorded as "NONE," with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals. Upstream suppliers, downstream customers, and sector correlation data are therefore not available in source data. Investors should note that the absence of mapped links means this dataset cannot identify second-order bottlenecks; the Beta of 1.0 and the Macro Regime Fit pillar (6 of 20, "sector sensitivity") are the only available indicators of sector-level exposure.

Open Questions

  • What is the composition and maturity of the debt behind the reported Debt/Equity of 0.5, given that the debt line is N/A in every period?
  • What drove the swing from negative to positive operating income between FY 2024 and FY 2025, and is it repeatable?
  • Why does the reported FCF yield of 19.15% differ so widely from the trailing earnings profile, and what is the cash-flow basis?
  • Which specific Form 4 and 13F transactions make up the insider and whale pillars, and what is their timing?
  • What are the company's principal customers and products, which the source data does not describe?

DAN Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Dana Incorporated (DAN) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to DAN Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

DAN Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $23.11?

🐂 50% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON DAN 🐻 50% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on DAN:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk ⚖️ DEBATE HOST 🎯 Target: $26.84 (+8.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is DAN (D • RQD 49/100) a Buy at $24.85?

Welcome to the DAN (Dana Incorporated) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 49/100 (Roarable Sell — Underperform / Distribution Warning) in Auto Parts:O.E.M.. Bulls point to capital efficiency (29.6% ROIC), while bears focus on valuation multiple compression (31.5x trailing P/E). Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

RE RedlineAuditor Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $20.87 (-16.0%)
Spot @ $24.85

Pump the brakes on DAN — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on DAN, but look at what you are paying: 31.5x trailing P/E with 8.0% gross margins. Unless Dana Incorporated expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

MI MidwestValue Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $29.57 (+19.0%)
Spot @ $24.85

DAN cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on DAN, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Auto Parts:O.E.M. and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $24.85 (52-wk range $18.96 - $39.56), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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