Danaos Corporation (DAC) Insider, 13F Hedge Fund & Politician Buy/Sell Thermometer

$157.02 -1.16% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $156.39

Danaos Corporation (DAC) carries a Roarable Rating of C+ (Hold) with 69/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C+ • HOLD / WATCH Cap $2.86B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is DAC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Danaos Corporation (NYSE: DAC) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 69/100 at a spot price of $157.02 (-1.16% 1D, market cap $2.86B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 11/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 16/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 17/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, DAC ranks #173 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does DAC compare to CDLR and SBLK in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Marine Transportation), DAC carries a Roarable C+ (69/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 5.8x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 10.9%. By comparison, CDLR (Cadeler A/S (each representing four (4) )) holds a C- grade (59/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $2.78B) and SBLK (Star Bulk Carriers Corp.) posts a D+ grade (55/100 RQD, P/E 38.3x, ROIC 5.5%, cap $3.16B). Among the 5-stock peer group, DAC leads on earnings multiple (5.8x) while TNK leads on capital efficiency (20.1% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for DAC?
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Per DAC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001369241), Danaos Corporation generated $1.04B in revenue (+2.8% YoY), $494.6M in net income, and $644.8M in free cash flow against $5.11B in total assets and $872.1M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $156.39 (-0.40%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 14/20 (B-) • 61.8% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 69/100 (C+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+2.0% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 57.3% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C+
025507510069
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B- · Rk C+
Cash (14)Whales (11)SEC (11)Macro (16)CEO (17)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+4.9% Base Target
$194 Bull$165 Base$129 Bear
📬 FREE DAC RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for DAC)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±4.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (69/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY DAC SCORES 69/100 (C+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+17/20 pts (25% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 85% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+16/20 pts (23% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 81% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 45.7 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk11/20 pts (-9 pt drag)

Balance-sheet & 10-K footnote risk deducts 9 pts from forensic ceiling

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
77
Grade B+$164.93-4.5% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
74
Grade B+$157.43+0% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
72
Grade B$157.47-0.3% Next Q
Current
69
Grade C+$157.02+2% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: B+ (77) → C+ (69)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the DAC Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 69/100 (C+) score, DAC faces multiple-compression risk if 5.8x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($158.06) or 200D SMA ($131.28) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($164.79) toward Bear Floor ($128.54).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $DAC• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “DAC Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
SEC FORM 4 × 13F HEDGE FUNDS × CONGRESSIONAL STOCK ACT

DAC Smart-Money Thermometer: HEAVY INSIDER & 13F ACCUMULATION

Explore All 13F & Congress Whales →
▲ Disclosed Buys: 0 ($0)▼ Disclosed Sales: 0 ($0)

Wide-Open SEC Form 4, 13F & Congressional Disclosure Ledger (DAC)

No recent open-market Form 4 cluster sales or emergency dumps flagged on DAC. Visit the Global 13F & Congressional Whale Ledger for cross-market smart-money filings.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (DAC Tape Review)

  • ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
  • ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
  • ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
DAC // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +27.30%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-03O $158.9H $158.9L $157.0C $157.0VOL 106.7K
RES: $180.6SUP: $156.3SMA50: $158.1SMA200: $131.3
$177.9$156.7$135.5$114.4$93.19RES $180.6SUP $156.3$157.02026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

DAC Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
-11.4%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +2.8% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on DAC today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for DAC. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for DAC today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (DAC)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #173 of 1011 ⚔️ CDLR vs DAC Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (DAC vs. CDLR, SBLK, ZIM, TNK)

Industry: Marine Transportation (67 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Danaos Corporation (DAC) ranks #173 by composite RQD confidence (69/100, grade C+) and #368 by equity capitalization ($2.86B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, DAC leads on earnings valuation at 5.8x trailing P/E, while TNK leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 20.1% ROIC and 66.7% gross margin. TNK currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 72/100 (B) compared with DAC at 69/100 (C+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
DAC ACTIVE
Danaos Corporation
C+ 69/100 5.8x — 10.9% -1.16% $2.86B Benchmark Subject
CDLR
Cadeler A/S (each representing four (4) )
C- 59/100 — — — +7.76% $2.78B /cdlr-vs-dac →
SBLK
Star Bulk Carriers Corp.
D+ 55/100 38.3x — 5.5% -1.83% $3.16B /sblk-vs-dac →
ZIM
ZIM Integrated Shipping Services Ltd.
D+ 56/100 — — — -2.94% $3.42B /zim-vs-dac →
TNK
Teekay Tankers Ltd.
B 72/100 — 66.7% 20.1% -0.42% $3.49B /tnk-vs-dac →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001369241

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Danaos Corporation (DAC) reported GAAP revenue of $1.04B (+2.8% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.01B , and +7.1% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $494.6M, operating cash flow of $644.8M, and free cash flow of $644.8M (+3.7% YoY). On the balance sheet, DAC closed FY2025 with $5.11B in total assets against $872.1M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 2.95, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $1.04B $494.6M $644.8M $644.8M $5.11B $872.1M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $1.01B $505.1M $621.8M $621.8M $4.34B $699.6M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $973.6M $576.3M $576.3M $576.3M — —

3. DAC Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is DAC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Danaos Corporation (NYSE: DAC) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 69/100 at a spot price of $157.02 (-1.16% 1D, market cap $2.86B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 11/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 16/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 17/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, DAC ranks #173 in composite RQD confidence.

How does DAC compare to CDLR and SBLK in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Marine Transportation), DAC carries a Roarable C+ (69/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 5.8x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 10.9%. By comparison, CDLR (Cadeler A/S (each representing four (4) )) holds a C- grade (59/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $2.78B) and SBLK (Star Bulk Carriers Corp.) posts a D+ grade (55/100 RQD, P/E 38.3x, ROIC 5.5%, cap $3.16B). Among the 5-stock peer group, DAC leads on earnings multiple (5.8x) while TNK leads on capital efficiency (20.1% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for DAC?

Per DAC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001369241), Danaos Corporation generated $1.04B in revenue (+2.8% YoY), $494.6M in net income, and $644.8M in free cash flow against $5.11B in total assets and $872.1M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is DAC trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

DAC last traded at $157.02 (-1.16% on volume of 106,686 shares), positioning the stock -0.66% below its 50-day simple moving average ($158.06) and +19.61% above its 200-day simple moving average ($131.28). Across its 52-week range of $89.07 to $172.76, DAC sits at the 81.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 45.7 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±4.5% ($149.95 to $164.09).

DAC Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Are DAC insiders and hedge funds buying or selling?

Roarable's SEC Form 4 and 13F Whale Thermometer currently classifies DAC leadership and institutional positioning as: HEAVY INSIDER & 13F ACCUMULATION.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 69/100 (C+) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

DAC — Danaos Corporation: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:24:43Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, DAC scores 72 out of 100, graded B and labeled "Roarable Buy — Good Risk/Reward." The five pillars are:

  • Fundamental Cash Engine: 14 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar reflects ROIC of 10.9% and an FCF yield of 22.3%. For a prospective investor, the high FCF yield is the core of the valuation case: it indicates substantial free cash generation relative to the current market capitalization, which supports the stock's dividend and debt reduction capacity. The 14-point score (rather than higher) suggests the cash engine is strong but not the sole driver of the rating.
  • Whale 13F Flow: 13 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar reflects institutional accumulation and options positioning. The mid-range score implies institutional interest that is present but not decisively one-directional. Investors should treat this as a neutral-to-mildly-supportive signal rather than a strong endorsement.
  • Insider Conviction: 17 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar reflects SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. This is the highest-weighted supportive pillar in the rating, indicating insider activity that the rating model reads as constructive. Prospective investors should note that the specific trade-level detail is not included in the source data and should verify it independently.
  • Macro Regime Fit: 17 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar reflects a beta of 1.0 and sector sensitivity. A beta of 1.0 means the stock is expected to move in line with the broad market; the score suggests the regime backdrop is favorable to this profile. Investors should recognize that market-wide drawdowns would still transmit to the stock.
  • Forensic Balance Sheet: 11 / 20. Per the Roarable RQD rating, this pillar reflects Altman Z of 2.95, Piotroski F of 7/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.23. This is the lowest-scoring pillar, indicating balance sheet quality is acceptable but is the area where the rating sees the most room for caution relative to the cash engine.

Valuation tradeoffs. Per the market data, the stock trades at a P/E (TTM) of 5.8 and EV/EBITDA of 5.5. Low multiples can reflect either undervaluation or market skepticism about the durability of earnings; the source data does not resolve which. The rating's constructive read rests on cash generation and insider activity; the balance sheet pillar is the principal offset.

Snapshot

PriceMarket CapP/E (TTM)Forward P/EEV/EBITDAEPS (TTM)Dividend YieldBeta52-Wk RangeROIC %
$158.86$2.89B5.85.45.527.172.2%1.0$89.07 - $172.7610.9%

Business

Danaos Corporation is a NYSE-listed issuer classified under the Consumer Discretionary sector and the Marine Transportation industry, per the company profile. The source data does not describe its specific products, customer base, or revenue model beyond these classifications. Per the SEC financials, the company reported FY 2025 revenue of $1042.5M, indicating an operating business of meaningful scale, though the revenue sources are not itemized in the provided data.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$1042.5M$498.8M$494.6MN/A$644.8M$1037.3M$872.1M
FY 2024$1014.1M$540.9M$505.1MN/A$621.8M$453.4M$699.6M
FY 2023$973.6M$580.7M$576.3MN/A$576.3MN/AN/A

Per the SEC financials, revenue rose from $973.6M (FY 2023) to $1042.5M (FY 2025), while operating income and net income declined over the same span, from $580.7M to $498.8M and $576.3M to $494.6M respectively. Per the market data, operating margin is 47.8% and net margin is 47.4%; gross margin is reported as 0%. ROIC is 10.9%. Per the Roarable RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 2.95 and the Piotroski F-Score is 7/9. Per the SEC financials, cash rose to $1037.3M in FY 2025 from $453.4M in FY 2024, and debt rose to $872.1M from $699.6M, with Debt/Equity of 0.23 per the Roarable RQD rating.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news and catalysts section, the following items were reported:

  • CATALYST (GREEN): A Moody's outlook change to positive and an upgrade of senior unsecured notes to Ba1 was reported.
  • CATALYST (GREEN): A Barchart.com report referenced a dividend increase of more than 11%.
  • MARKET WIRE (YELLOW): A TradingView estimates page was referenced.
  • RISK WATCH (RED): A Seeking Alpha report carried the headline referencing "Rating Downgrade," relating to the Alaska LNG thesis.
  • MARKET WIRE (YELLOW): A Simply Wall St report referenced a special dividend.
  • RISK WATCH (RED): A Stock Traders Daily report was flagged as a risk-watch item.

Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply chain is recorded as NONE, with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals.

Open Questions

  • What specific Form 4 insider transactions and Congressional PTR trades underlie the 17/20 insider conviction score?
  • What is the underlying business mix and customer concentration behind the FY 2025 revenue of $1042.5M?
  • Why did operating and net income decline from FY 2023 to FY 2025 while revenue increased, and what drove the shift in gross margin reported as 0%?
  • What drives the rise in debt to $872.1M alongside cash of $1037.3M in FY 2025, and what are the maturity and interest terms?
  • What is the basis for the reported EPS figures being N/A for all periods when TTM EPS is listed at 27.17?

DAC Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Danaos Corporation (DAC) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to DAC Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

DAC Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $157.02?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON DAC 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on DAC:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $187.45 (+18.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is DAC (B • RQD 72/100) a Buy at $158.86?

Welcome to the DAC (Danaos Corporation) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 72/100 (Roarable Buy — Good Risk/Reward) in Marine Transportation. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

RI RiskArb_Desk Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $120.73 (-24.0%)
Spot @ $158.86

Pump the brakes on DAC — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on DAC, but look at what you are paying: 5.8x trailing P/E with tightening sector spreads. Unless Danaos Corporation expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

MI MidwestValue Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $185.87 (+17.0%)
Spot @ $158.86

DAC cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on DAC, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Marine Transportation and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $158.86 (52-wk range $89.07 - $172.76), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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