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Cisco Systems Inc. (CSCO) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$101.61 -2.77% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $100.91

Cisco Systems Inc. (CSCO) carries a Roarable Rating of C+ (Hold) with 69/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C+ • HOLD / WATCH Cap $412.04B
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is CSCO stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Cisco Systems Inc. (NASDAQ: CSCO) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 69/100 at a spot price of $101.61 (-2.77% 1D, market cap $412.04B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 17/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 13/20. Across 715 tracked Technology issuers, CSCO ranks #79 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does CSCO compare to ANET and FFIV in the Technology sector?
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Within the Technology sector (Computer Communications Equipment), CSCO carries a Roarable C+ (69/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 42.1x, gross margin of 64.9%, and ROIC of 15.1%. By comparison, ANET (Arista Networks Inc.) holds a B- grade (70/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 16.4%, cap $212.97B) and FFIV (F5 Inc.) posts a C+ grade (67/100 RQD, P/E 29.7x, ROIC 18.1%, cap $19.16B). Among the 5-stock peer group, FFIV leads on earnings multiple (29.7x) while FFIV leads on capital efficiency (18.1% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CSCO?
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Per CSCO's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-07-26, CIK 0000858877), Cisco Systems Inc. generated $56.65B in revenue (+5.3% YoY), $10.18B in net income, and $13.29B in free cash flow against $123.37B in total assets and $21.37B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (64.9% gross margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Primary risk factors monitored: Priced at 42x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $100.91 (-0.69%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 17/20 (A-) • 23.5% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 69/100 (C+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+2.0% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 57.3% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C+
025507510069
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C+ · Rk B-
Cash (17)Whales (11)SEC (16)Macro (12)CEO (13)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+5% Base Target
$137 Bull$107 Base$83 Bear
📬 FREE CSCO RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for CSCO)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±5.9%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (69/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY CSCO SCORES 69/100 (C+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+17/20 pts (25% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 23.5% FCF Margin ($13.29B FCF) & 64.9% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+16/20 pts (23% of score)

Altman Z-Score 4.15 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning11/20 pts (-9 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-9 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
77
Grade B+$113.64-5.6% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
74
Grade B+$107.26+2.8% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
72
Grade B$110.29-7.9% Next Q
Current
69
Grade C+$101.61+2% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: B+ (77) → C+ (69)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the CSCO Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 69/100 (C+) score, CSCO faces multiple-compression risk if 42.1x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Priced at 42x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 62.4% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($109.79) or 200D SMA ($101.67) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($106.64) toward Bear Floor ($83.18).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $CSCO• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “CSCO Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”
YES 69%NO 31%Trade / Inspect Odds →
INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your CSCO Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $101.61: 98.4 sh
$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000
12M Bear Case FloorTarget $83.18
$8,186
$-1,814 (-18.1%)
12M Consensus BaseTarget $106.64
$10,495
+$495 (+5.0%)
12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $136.89
$13,472
+$3,472 (+34.7%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (28 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100
● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 2
Wall Street FirmStance12M Target1Y AccuracyTrack Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity DeskHOLD$11174%A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage LeadBUY$12969%B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap ResearchHOLD$9558%C
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (CSCO Tape Review)

  • ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
  • ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
  • ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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CSCO // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +9.69%▼ SUPPORT BREAKDOWN
2026-11-03O $108.6H $108.6L $101.6C $101.6VOL 24.71M
RES: $116.3SUP: $102.5SMA50: $109.8SMA200: $101.7
$134.2$118.2$102.2$86.22$70.21RES $116.3SUP $102.5$101.62026-05-042026-06-182026-08-052026-09-212026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

CSCO Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 CSCO Butterfly Map → + Track CSCO →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
31.8%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +5.3% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on CSCO today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for CSCO. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for CSCO today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (CSCO)

Technology Rank #79 of 715 ⚔️ ANET vs CSCO Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (CSCO vs. ANET, FFIV, EXTR, DGII)

Industry: Computer Communications Equipment (14 Tracked Issuers)

Across 715 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Cisco Systems Inc. (CSCO) ranks #79 by composite RQD confidence (69/100, grade C+) and #12 by equity capitalization ($412.04B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, FFIV leads on earnings valuation at 29.7x trailing P/E, while FFIV leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 18.1% ROIC and 81.4% gross margin. ANET currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 70/100 (B-) compared with CSCO at 69/100 (C+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
CSCO ACTIVE
Cisco Systems Inc.
C+ 69/100 42.1x 64.9% 15.1% -2.77% $412.04B Benchmark Subject
ANET
Arista Networks Inc.
B- 70/100 — 64.1% 16.4% -2.79% $212.97B /anet-vs-csco →
FFIV
F5 Inc.
C+ 67/100 29.7x 81.4% 18.1% -4.08% $19.16B /ffiv-vs-csco →
EXTR
Extreme Networks Inc.
D+ 54/100 — 62.2% 8.6% -1.41% $2.97B /extr-vs-csco →
DGII
Digi International Inc.
C+ 67/100 72.2x 62.9% 5.9% -1.26% $2.76B /dgii-vs-csco →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-07-26 • CIK 0000858877 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-07-26), Cisco Systems Inc. (CSCO) reported GAAP revenue of $56.65B (+5.3% vs. FY2024 revenue of $53.80B , and -0.6% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $10.18B, operating cash flow of $14.19B, and free cash flow of $13.29B (+30.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, CSCO closed FY2025 with $123.37B in total assets against $21.37B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 4.15, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-07-26 $56.65B $10.18B $14.19B $13.29B $123.37B $21.37B
FY2024 (FY) 2024-07-27 $53.80B $10.32B $10.88B $10.21B $121.38B $19.63B
FY2023 (FY) 2023-07-29 $57.00B $12.61B $19.89B $17.32B $235.47B $55.10B

3. CSCO Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is CSCO stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Cisco Systems Inc. (NASDAQ: CSCO) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 69/100 at a spot price of $101.61 (-2.77% 1D, market cap $412.04B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 17/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 13/20. Across 715 tracked Technology issuers, CSCO ranks #79 in composite RQD confidence.

How does CSCO compare to ANET and FFIV in the Technology sector?

Within the Technology sector (Computer Communications Equipment), CSCO carries a Roarable C+ (69/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 42.1x, gross margin of 64.9%, and ROIC of 15.1%. By comparison, ANET (Arista Networks Inc.) holds a B- grade (70/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 16.4%, cap $212.97B) and FFIV (F5 Inc.) posts a C+ grade (67/100 RQD, P/E 29.7x, ROIC 18.1%, cap $19.16B). Among the 5-stock peer group, FFIV leads on earnings multiple (29.7x) while FFIV leads on capital efficiency (18.1% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CSCO?

Per CSCO's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-07-26, CIK 0000858877), Cisco Systems Inc. generated $56.65B in revenue (+5.3% YoY), $10.18B in net income, and $13.29B in free cash flow against $123.37B in total assets and $21.37B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (64.9% gross margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Primary risk factors monitored: Priced at 42x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is CSCO trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

CSCO last traded at $101.61 (-2.77% on volume of 26,009,715 shares), positioning the stock -7.45% below its 50-day simple moving average ($109.79) and -0.06% below its 200-day simple moving average ($101.67). Across its 52-week range of $70.54 to $130.37, CSCO sits at the 51.9% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 41.3 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±5.9% ($95.62 to $107.60).

Direct Sub-Reports: CSCO RQD Cockpit CSCO 12M Forecast CSCO Earnings & Move CSCO Dividends & DRIP CSCO Insiders & 13F CSCO Whale Options CSCO Profit Sankey CSCO News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 69/100 (C+) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

CSCO — Cisco Systems Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-07-26

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Cisco Systems Inc. (CSCO) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 69/100, corresponding to a C+ letter grade (Roarable Hold) at a spot price of $101.61 (-2.77% 1D, market capitalization $412.04B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (17/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 15.1%, gross margin of 64.9%, operating margin of 20.8%, and free cash flow yield of 3.10%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (11/20) + Insider Conviction (13/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (12/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (16/20): Incorporates a 1.26x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 4.15, Piotroski F-Score of 7/9, and Debt/Equity of 0.45x.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Cisco Systems Inc. Common Stock (DE) (CSCO) is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Technology sector, Computer Communications Equipment industry. Per the market data, the company reports a gross margin of 64.9% and a net margin of 18%.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-07-26), Cisco Systems Inc. (CSCO) reported $56.65B in annual revenue (up from $53.80B in FY2024, +5.3% YoY) and $10.18B in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($57.00B revenue, $12.61B net income) through FY2025, CSCO scaled operating cash flow to $14.19B and free cash flow to $13.29B, backed by $123.37B in total assets against $21.37B in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (C+ • RQD 69/100): Strong cash generator (64.9% gross margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 17/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 11/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $70.54 – $130.37 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Priced at 42x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter. Investors must weigh 42.1x trailing P/E and 35.3x EV/EBITDA against 20.8% operating margins and a 1.26x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

The supply_chain value is NONE and butterfly_links is empty.

  • Key Question #1: Can CSCO sustain or expand its 20.8% operating margin and 15.1% ROIC against Computer Communications Equipment peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $56.65B and free cash flow of $13.29B, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $21.37B in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is CSCO's 39.2x forward P/E multiple to Technology capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.26x)?

CSCO Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Cisco Systems Inc. (CSCO) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to CSCO Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

CSCO Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $101.61?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON CSCO 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on CSCO:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
SI SiliconVal_Bull RQD DEBATE OPENER • Growth & Tech Investor 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $130.64 (+25.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Per the RQD rating, a 17/20 Fundamental Cash Engine pillar (ROIC 15.1%, Altman Z 4.15) signals strong cash economics and a sound balanc

Don't sleep on CSCO's setup in Technology. Per the RQD rating, a 17/20 Fundamental Cash Engine pillar (ROIC 15.1%, Altman Z 4.15) signals strong cash economics and a sound balance sheet.. Beta of 1.26 means it moves fast when momentum turns, and the 5-pillar RQD gauge (69/100) backs up the fundamental quality.

SectorRotator 🐂 BULL

@SiliconVal_Bull Agree on the RQD 69/100 quality, though with 1.26 beta I'm scaling in with half-size at $104.51 and keeping dry powder in case we test $97.19.

CR CreditSpread_Watch RQD DEBATE OPENER • Balance Sheet Analyst 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $82.56 (-21.0%)
Spot @ $104.51

Per the market data, a P/E (TTM) of 42.1 and beta of 1.26 leave the stock priced at a premium and exposed to above-market volatility.

Here is the bear case nobody on the bull side wants to address on CSCO: Per the market data, a P/E (TTM) of 42.1 and beta of 1.26 leave the stock priced at a premium and exposed to above-market volatility.. At 42.1x trailing P/E, even a small guidance miss in Computer Communications Equipment triggers a 12-15% air pocket.

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