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Cricut Inc. (Class A) (CRCT) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$6.04 -0.66% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $6.05

Cricut Inc. (Class A) (CRCT) earns a Roarable Rating of B+ (Buy) with 77/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (55.1% gross margin, 85% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

ROARABLE B+ • BUY Cap $1.27B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on CRCT Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is CRCT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Cricut Inc. (Class A) (NASDAQ: CRCT) is rated B+ (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 77/100 at a spot price of $6.04 (-0.66% 1D, market cap $1.27B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 16/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 18/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 18/20. Across 715 tracked Technology issuers, CRCT ranks #27 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does CRCT compare to AZTA and EPAC in the Technology sector?
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Within the Technology sector (Industrial Machinery/Components), CRCT carries a Roarable B+ (77/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 16.9x, gross margin of 55.1%, and ROIC of 85.0%. By comparison, AZTA (Azenta Inc.) holds a C- grade (59/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -1.5%, cap $1.71B) and EPAC (Enerpac Tool Group Corp.) posts a B+ grade (77/100 RQD, P/E 21.7x, ROIC 22.4%, cap $2.08B). Among the 5-stock peer group, CRCT leads on earnings multiple (16.9x) while CRCT leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CRCT?
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Per CRCT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001828962), Cricut Inc. (Class A) generated $708.8M in revenue (-0.5% YoY), $76.7M in net income, and $200.2M in free cash flow against $580.8M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (55.1% gross margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $6.05 (+0.12%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.92% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 16/20 (B+) • 28.2% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 77/100 (B+) historically ranked in the Top 10% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+7.8% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 70.3% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • B+
025507510077
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B+ · Rk B+
Cash (16)Whales (12)SEC (18)Macro (13)CEO (18)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+8.6% Base Target
$8 Bull$7 Base$5 Bear
📬 FREE CRCT RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for CRCT)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6.7%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (77/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY CRCT SCORES 77/100 (B+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+18/20 pts (23% of score)

Altman Z-Score 5.62 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+18/20 pts (23% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 86% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.92% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning12/20 pts (-8 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-8 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
85
Grade A$6.55-1.1% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
82
Grade A$6.48-5.1% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
80
Grade A-$6.15-1.8% Next Q
Current
77
Grade B+$6.04+7.8% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: A (85) → B+ (77)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the CRCT Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 77/100 (B+) score, CRCT faces multiple-compression risk if 16.9x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.92% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 52.6% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($6.07) or 200D SMA ($4.87) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($6.56) toward Bear Floor ($4.95).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $CRCT• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “CRCT Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”
YES 77%NO 23%Trade / Inspect Odds →
CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE
— (No Active Options Snapshot)
Put/Call Ratio: — (No Active Options Snapshot)
MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET
— (No Active Options Snapshot)
No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file
HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING
±6.7%
Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (CRCT)

— (No Active Options Snapshot) — No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for CRCT.

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ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Options & Swing Structure Desk

Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating CRCT & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

  • ✓Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on CRCT
  • ✓How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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CRCT // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +45.19%▼ SUPPORT BREAKDOWN
2026-11-03O $6.18H $6.18L $6.04C $6.04VOL 614.8K
RES: $6.96SUP: $6.07SMA50: $6.07SMA200: $4.87
$7.03$6.17$5.31$4.44$3.58RES $6.96SUP $6.07$6.042026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

CRCT Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 CRCT Butterfly Map → + Track CRCT →
Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
9.8%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -0.5% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on CRCT today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for CRCT. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for CRCT today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (CRCT)

Technology Rank #27 of 715 ⚔️ AZTA vs CRCT Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (CRCT vs. AZTA, EPAC, VREX, VECO)

Industry: Industrial Machinery/Components (208 Tracked Issuers)

Across 715 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Cricut Inc. (Class A) (CRCT) ranks #27 by composite RQD confidence (77/100, grade B+) and #334 by equity capitalization ($1.27B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, CRCT leads on earnings valuation at 16.9x trailing P/E, while CRCT leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 85.0% ROIC and 55.1% gross margin. CRCT currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 77/100 (B+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
CRCT ACTIVE
Cricut Inc. (Class A)
B+ 77/100 16.9x 55.1% 85.0% -0.66% $1.27B Benchmark Subject
AZTA
Azenta Inc.
C- 59/100 — 45.5% -1.5% -8.99% $1.71B /azta-vs-crct →
EPAC
Enerpac Tool Group Corp.
B+ 77/100 21.7x 50.5% 22.4% +7.13% $2.08B /epac-vs-crct →
VREX
Varex Imaging Corporation
D+ 54/100 — 34.4% -3.0% +0.16% $775.9M /vrex-vs-crct →
VECO
Veeco Instruments Inc.
D 50/100 73.9x 40.0% 3.0% -4.12% $2.38B /veco-vs-crct →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001828962 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Cricut Inc. (Class A) (CRCT) reported GAAP revenue of $708.8M (-0.5% vs. FY2024 revenue of $712.5M , and -7.4% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $76.7M, operating cash flow of $200.2M, and free cash flow of $200.2M (-24.4% YoY). On the balance sheet, CRCT closed FY2025 with $580.8M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 5.62, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $708.8M $76.7M $200.2M $200.2M $580.8M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $712.5M $62.8M $265.0M $265.0M $693.0M —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $765.1M $53.6M $288.1M $288.1M — —

3. CRCT Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is CRCT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Cricut Inc. (Class A) (NASDAQ: CRCT) is rated B+ (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 77/100 at a spot price of $6.04 (-0.66% 1D, market cap $1.27B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 16/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 18/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 18/20. Across 715 tracked Technology issuers, CRCT ranks #27 in composite RQD confidence.

How does CRCT compare to AZTA and EPAC in the Technology sector?

Within the Technology sector (Industrial Machinery/Components), CRCT carries a Roarable B+ (77/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 16.9x, gross margin of 55.1%, and ROIC of 85.0%. By comparison, AZTA (Azenta Inc.) holds a C- grade (59/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -1.5%, cap $1.71B) and EPAC (Enerpac Tool Group Corp.) posts a B+ grade (77/100 RQD, P/E 21.7x, ROIC 22.4%, cap $2.08B). Among the 5-stock peer group, CRCT leads on earnings multiple (16.9x) while CRCT leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CRCT?

Per CRCT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001828962), Cricut Inc. (Class A) generated $708.8M in revenue (-0.5% YoY), $76.7M in net income, and $200.2M in free cash flow against $580.8M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (55.1% gross margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is CRCT trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

CRCT last traded at $6.04 (-0.66% on volume of 952,531 shares), positioning the stock -0.49% below its 50-day simple moving average ($6.07) and +24.02% above its 200-day simple moving average ($4.87). Across its 52-week range of $3.73 to $6.82, CRCT sits at the 74.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 45.0 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.7% ($5.64 to $6.44).

Direct Sub-Reports: CRCT RQD Cockpit CRCT 12M Forecast CRCT Earnings & Move CRCT Dividends & DRIP CRCT Insiders & 13F CRCT Whale Options CRCT Profit Sankey CRCT News & Why
ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 77/100 (B+) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

CRCT — Cricut Inc. (Class A): What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Cricut Inc. (Class A) (CRCT) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 77/100, corresponding to a B+ letter grade (Roarable Buy) at a spot price of $6.04 (-0.66% 1D, market capitalization $1.27B).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (16/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 85.0%, gross margin of 55.1%, operating margin of 13.5%, and free cash flow yield of 15.47%.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (12/20) + Insider Conviction (18/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (13/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (18/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of 5.62, Piotroski F-Score of 7/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Cricut Inc. (Class A) (CRCT) is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Technology sector, classified under Industrial Machinery/Components..3B.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Cricut Inc. (Class A) (CRCT) reported $708.8M in annual revenue (up from $712.5M in FY2024, -0.5% YoY) and $76.7M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($765.1M revenue, $53.6M net income) through FY2025, CRCT scaled operating cash flow to $200.2M and free cash flow to $200.2M, backed by $580.8M in total assets against $0 in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (B+ • RQD 77/100): Strong cash generator (55.1% gross margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks. Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 16/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 12/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $3.73 – $6.82 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. Investors must weigh 16.9x trailing P/E and 10.8x EV/EBITDA against 13.5% operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Operating in Industrial Machinery/Components (Technology), CRCT carries a macro regime beta of 1.00 and gross margin of 55.1%.

  • Key Question #1: Can CRCT sustain or expand its 13.5% operating margin and 85.0% ROIC against Industrial Machinery/Components peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $708.8M and free cash flow of $200.2M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is CRCT's 15.7x forward P/E multiple to Technology capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

CRCT Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Cricut Inc. (Class A) (CRCT) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to CRCT Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

CRCT Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $6.04?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON CRCT 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on CRCT:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
BR BreakoutHunter RQD DEBATE OPENER • Swing & Catalyst Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $7.05 (+16.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

CRCT generates an 85% ROIC and a 15.47% FCF yield while carrying a 0.5 Debt/Equity ratio and Altman Z of 5.62.

Picked up a starter position in CRCT in my $100K Virtual Cash book at $6.08. CRCT generates an 85% ROIC and a 15.47% FCF yield while carrying a 0.5 Debt/Equity ratio and Altman Z of 5.62.. Trading inside a $3.73–$6.82 52-week range with 15.47% FCF yield gives solid downside support if Industrial Machinery/Components multiples expand this quarter.

RetailWhale_TX 🐂 BULL

@BearTrap_Alert Shorting a 12/20 institutional whale-flow stock at $6.08 is dangerous when funds are rotating into Technology.

BE BearTrap_Alert RQD DEBATE OPENER • Cycle Peak Watcher 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $5.05 (-16.9%)
Spot @ $6.08

Free cash flow fell from $288.1M to $200.2M over three periods, and all six news items flag insider selling and earnings risk.

Free cash flow fell from $288.1M to $200.2M over three periods, and all six news items flag insider selling and earnings risk.. Look at the math on CRCT: paying 16.9x trailing P/E for 85.0% ROIC and 13.5% operating margins leaves zero margin of safety if Industrial Machinery/Components demand softens. I'd wait for a retest of $5.35 before getting long.

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