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Consumer Portfolio Services Inc. (CPSS) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$10.01 -1.18% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $9.97

Consumer Portfolio Services Inc. (CPSS) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 64/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C • HOLD / WATCH Cap $221.9M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on CPSS Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is CPSS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Consumer Portfolio Services Inc. (NASDAQ: CPSS) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 64/100 at a spot price of $10.01 (-1.18% 1D, market cap $221.9M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 14/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 12/20. Across 1097 tracked Financials issuers, CPSS ranks #286 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does CPSS compare to DGXX and USDE in the Financials sector?
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Within the Financials sector (Finance: Consumer Services), CPSS carries a Roarable C (64/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 11.3x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 6.2%. By comparison, DGXX (Digi Power X Inc. Subordinate Voting Shares) holds a E grade (19/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -23.0%, cap $225.1M) and USDE (StablecoinX Inc. (Class A)) posts a D+ grade (52/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $229.2M). Among the 5-stock peer group, MFIN leads on earnings multiple (6.2x) while ONIT leads on capital efficiency (30.2% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CPSS?
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Per CPSS's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000889609), Consumer Portfolio Services Inc. generated $434.5M in revenue (+10.4% YoY), $19.3M in net income, and $288.3M in free cash flow against $3.86B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $9.97 (-0.40%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 14/20 (B-) • 66.4% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 64/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 55.2% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C
025507510064
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C+ · Rk C-
Cash (14)Whales (14)SEC (13)Macro (11)CEO (12)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+2.7% Base Target
$12 Bull$10 Base$8 Bear
📬 FREE CPSS RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for CPSS)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±7.3%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (64/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY CPSS SCORES 64/100 (C) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+14/20 pts (22% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 66.4% FCF Margin ($288.3M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+14/20 pts (22% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±7.3% realized swing band)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit11/20 pts (-9 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (62.1) create a -9 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
56
Grade C$9.16-2.1% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
59
Grade C$8.97+6.5% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
61
Grade C$9.55+4.8% Next Q
Current
64
Grade C$10.01+1.1% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C (56) → C (64)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the CPSS Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 64/100 (C) score, CPSS faces multiple-compression risk if 11.3x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($9.36) or 200D SMA ($9.04) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($10.28) toward Bear Floor ($8.02).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $CPSS• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “CPSS Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your CPSS Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $10.01: 999.0 sh
$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000
12M Bear Case FloorTarget $8.02
$8,012
$-1,988 (-19.9%)
12M Consensus BaseTarget $10.28
$10,270
+$270 (+2.7%)
12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $12.13
$12,118
+$2,118 (+21.2%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (28 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100
● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 2
Wall Street FirmStance12M Target1Y AccuracyTrack Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity DeskHOLD$1174%A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage LeadBUY$1169%B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap ResearchHOLD$958%C
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (CPSS Tape Review)

  • ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
  • ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
  • ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
CPSS // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +1.01%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-11-03O $9.96H $10.13L $9.96C $10.01VOL 37.5K
RES: $10.21SUP: $6.72SMA50: $9.36SMA200: $9.04
$10.69$9.87$9.04$8.22$7.39RES $10.21SUP $6.72$10.012026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

CPSS Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle
1.3%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +10.4% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on CPSS today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for CPSS. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for CPSS today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (CPSS)

Financials Rank #286 of 1097 ⚔️ DGXX vs CPSS Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (CPSS vs. DGXX, USDE, ONIT, MFIN)

Industry: Finance: Consumer Services (156 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1097 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Consumer Portfolio Services Inc. (CPSS) ranks #286 by composite RQD confidence (64/100, grade C) and #868 by equity capitalization ($221.9M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, MFIN leads on earnings valuation at 6.2x trailing P/E, while ONIT leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 30.2% ROIC and — gross margin. CPSS currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 64/100 (C).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
CPSS ACTIVE
Consumer Portfolio Services Inc.
C 64/100 11.3x — 6.2% -1.18% $221.9M Benchmark Subject
DGXX
Digi Power X Inc. Subordinate Voting Shares
E 19/100 — — -23.0% -4.28% $225.1M /dgxx-vs-cpss →
USDE
StablecoinX Inc. (Class A)
D+ 52/100 — — — -9.25% $229.2M /usde-vs-cpss →
ONIT
Onity Group Inc.
D- 40/100 — — 30.2% +5.27% $229.9M /onit-vs-cpss →
MFIN
Medallion Financial Corp.
D+ 52/100 6.2x — 10.5% -0.79% $231.9M /mfin-vs-cpss →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000889609 ↗

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Consumer Portfolio Services Inc. (CPSS) reported GAAP revenue of $434.5M (+10.4% vs. FY2024 revenue of $393.5M , and +23.4% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $19.3M, operating cash flow of $289.0M, and free cash flow of $288.3M (+23.6% YoY). On the balance sheet, CPSS closed FY2025 with $3.86B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $434.5M $19.3M $289.0M $288.3M $3.86B —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $393.5M $19.2M $233.8M $233.3M $3.49B —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $352.0M $45.3M $238.0M $238.0M — —

3. CPSS Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is CPSS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Consumer Portfolio Services Inc. (NASDAQ: CPSS) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 64/100 at a spot price of $10.01 (-1.18% 1D, market cap $221.9M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 14/20, SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and Executive Insider Alignment 12/20. Across 1097 tracked Financials issuers, CPSS ranks #286 in composite RQD confidence.

How does CPSS compare to DGXX and USDE in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Finance: Consumer Services), CPSS carries a Roarable C (64/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 11.3x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 6.2%. By comparison, DGXX (Digi Power X Inc. Subordinate Voting Shares) holds a E grade (19/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -23.0%, cap $225.1M) and USDE (StablecoinX Inc. (Class A)) posts a D+ grade (52/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $229.2M). Among the 5-stock peer group, MFIN leads on earnings multiple (6.2x) while ONIT leads on capital efficiency (30.2% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CPSS?

Per CPSS's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000889609), Consumer Portfolio Services Inc. generated $434.5M in revenue (+10.4% YoY), $19.3M in net income, and $288.3M in free cash flow against $3.86B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is CPSS trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

CPSS last traded at $10.01 (-1.18% on volume of 18,351 shares), positioning the stock +6.94% above its 50-day simple moving average ($9.36) and +10.73% above its 200-day simple moving average ($9.04). Across its 52-week range of $7.46 to $10.49, CPSS sits at the 84.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 62.1 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±7.3% ($9.28 to $10.74).

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 64/100 (C) ✓ SEC XBRL & RQD VERIFIED

CPSS — Consumer Portfolio Services Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Methodology: RQD v6.2 Deterministic 5-Pillar & SEC XBRL Audit
Updated: 2025-12-31

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Consumer Portfolio Services Inc. (CPSS) earns a live Roarable RQD composite score of 64/100, corresponding to a C letter grade (Roarable Hold) at a spot price of $10.01 (-1.18% 1D, market capitalization $221.9M).

  • Fundamental Cash Engine (14/20): Anchored by return on invested capital (ROIC) of 6.2%, gross margin of —, operating margin of —, and free cash flow yield of —.
  • Whale 13F & Options Flow (14/20) + Insider Conviction (12/20): Tracks institutional 13F accumulation, CBOE options call/put positioning, and SEC Form 4 / Congressional PTR filings.
  • Macro Regime Fit (11/20) + Forensic Balance Sheet (13/20): Incorporates a 1.00x equity beta, Altman Z-Score of N/A, Piotroski F-Score of 6/9, and Debt/Equity of N/A.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Consumer Portfolio Services Inc. (CPSS) is a NASDAQ-listed operating company in the Finance: Consumer Services industry (Financials sector) with an equity market capitalization of $221.9M. The business operates with a gross margin of 0%, an operating margin of 0%, and a return on invested capital (ROIC) of 6.2% (free cash flow yield of 0%). Within the Finance: Consumer Services peer group, investor evaluation centers on operating leverage, unit margin durability, and capital allocation efficiency across market cycles.

In its latest audited SEC EDGAR 10-K filing for FY2025 (filed 2025-12-31), Consumer Portfolio Services Inc. (CPSS) reported $434.5M in annual revenue (up from $393.5M in FY2024, +10.4% YoY) and $19.3M in GAAP net income. Over the multi-year SEC filing window from FY2023 ($352.0M revenue, $45.3M net income) through FY2025, CPSS scaled operating cash flow to $289.0M and free cash flow to $288.3M, backed by $3.86B in total assets against $0 in total debt.

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case (C • RQD 64/100): Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity. Free cash flow yield of — and institutional whale pillar of 14/20. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 14/20 and Institutional Whale Flow at 14/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the upper end of the $7.46 – $10.49 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case & Valuation Risk: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run. Investors must weigh 11.3x trailing P/E against — operating margins and a 1.00x macro beta.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Operating in Finance: Consumer Services (Financials), CPSS carries a macro regime beta of 1.00 and gross margin of —.

  • Key Question #1: Can CPSS sustain or expand its — operating margin and 6.2% ROIC against Finance: Consumer Services peers over the next 4 quarters?
  • Key Question #2: Following FY2025 revenue of $434.5M and free cash flow of $288.3M, how will capital allocation balance growth reinvestment against $0 in total debt?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is CPSS's 10.5x forward P/E multiple to Financials capital spending cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00x)?

CPSS Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Consumer Portfolio Services Inc. (CPSS) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to CPSS Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

CPSS Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $10.01?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON CPSS 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on CPSS:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
MI MidwestValue RQD DEBATE OPENER • Fundamental Long-Only 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $12.66 (+25.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

Trailing P/E of 11.3 and forward P/E of 10.5 with positive FCF reported in FY 2025 ($288.3M) suggest the stock is valued modestly relat

Don't sleep on CPSS's setup in Financials. Trailing P/E of 11.3 and forward P/E of 10.5 with positive FCF reported in FY 2025 ($288.3M) suggest the stock is valued modestly relative to its earnings.. Beta of 1.0 means it moves fast when momentum turns, and the 5-pillar RQD gauge (64/100) backs up the fundamental quality.

EarningsSniper 🐂 BULL

@SkepticalCFA Shorting a 14/20 institutional whale-flow stock at $10.13 is dangerous when funds are rotating into Financials.

SK SkepticalCFA RQD DEBATE OPENER • Fundamental Contrarian 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $7.70 (-24.0%)
Spot @ $10.13

Net income fell from $45.3M in FY 2023 to $19.3M in FY 2025 while cash declined to $6.3M, and the RED-flagged Wall Street Zen downgrade

Here is the bear case nobody on the bull side wants to address on CPSS: Net income fell from $45.3M in FY 2023 to $19.3M in FY 2025 while cash declined to $6.3M, and the RED-flagged Wall Street Zen downgrade adds a negative signal.. At 11.3x trailing P/E, even a small guidance miss in Finance: Consumer Services triggers a 12-15% air pocket.

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