Why CPHC Stock slipped -0.83% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

$15.61 -0.83% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $15.56

Canterbury Park Holding Corporation 'New' (CPHC) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 63/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C • HOLD / WATCH Cap $81.6M
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is CPHC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-03, Canterbury Park Holding Corporation 'New' (NASDAQ: CPHC) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 63/100 at a spot price of $15.61 (-0.83% 1D, market cap $81.6M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 16/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, CPHC ranks #276 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does CPHC compare to VENU and GDHG in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Services-Misc. Amusement & Recreation), CPHC carries a Roarable C (63/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 2.7%. By comparison, VENU (Venu Holding Corporation) holds a E grade (22/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -31.1%, cap $76.5M) and GDHG (Golden Heaven Group Holdings Ltd. (Class A)) posts a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $72.7M). Among the 5-stock peer group, CPHC leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while CPHC leads on capital efficiency (2.7% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CPHC?
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Per CPHC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001672909), Canterbury Park Holding Corporation 'New' generated $6.9M in revenue (-61.7% YoY), -$529.4K in net income, and $8.9M in free cash flow against $112.6M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $15.56 (-0.34%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 13/20 (C) • 129.1% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 63/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 54.8% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C
025507510063
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk B
Cash (13)Whales (9)SEC (13)Macro (16)CEO (12)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+2.2% Base Target
$19 Bull$16 Base$12 Bear
📬 FREE CPHC RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for CPHC)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±1.8%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (63/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY CPHC SCORES 63/100 (C) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+16/20 pts (25% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 50% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 48.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+13/20 pts (21% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 129.1% FCF Margin ($8.9M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning9/20 pts (-11 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-11 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
71
Grade B$15.70+0.8% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
68
Grade B-$15.82-0.3% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
66
Grade B-$15.77-1% Next Q
Current
63
Grade C$15.61+0.9% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: B (71) → C (63)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the CPHC Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 63/100 (C) score, CPHC faces multiple-compression risk if current valuation multiples re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($15.78) or 200D SMA ($15.71) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($15.96) toward Bear Floor ($12.45).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $CPHC• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “CPHC Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →

Why CPHC Stock slipped -0.83% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

Canterbury Park Holding Corporation 'New' (CPHC) slipped -0.83% to $15.61, trading at 50% of its 52-week range ($14.39 – $16.84). Solid steady margins (3% return on capital), mixed timing at current multiples—hold if owned, no rush to chase.

  • ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 50% of its 52-week range ($14.39 – $16.84) with RSI-14 at 48.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
  • ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±1.8% around $15.61 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
  • ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable C (Hold) backed by 52% gross margin and $8.9M annual free cash flow.
Live CPHC Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIREYahoo Finance • 175d ago
Canterbury Park Holding Corporation Reports First Quarter Results

SHAKOPEE, Minn., May 11, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Canterbury Park Holding Corporation (“Canterbury” or the “Company”) (Nasdaq: CPHC), today reported financial results for the first quarter ended March 31, 2026. ($ in tho

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Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (CPHC Tape Review)

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CPHC // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -1.45%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-11-03O $15.66H $15.74L $15.61C $15.61VOL 700
RES: $16.00SUP: $14.97SMA50: $15.78SMA200: $15.71
$16.96$16.45$15.93$15.42$14.90RES $16.00SUP $14.97$15.612026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-182026-11-03
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

CPHC Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
27.1%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on CPHC today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for CPHC. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for CPHC today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (CPHC)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #276 of 1011 ⚔️ VENU vs CPHC Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (CPHC vs. VENU, GDHG, TP, GAME)

Industry: Services-Misc. Amusement & Recreation (51 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Canterbury Park Holding Corporation 'New' (CPHC) ranks #276 by composite RQD confidence (63/100, grade C) and #765 by equity capitalization ($81.6M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, CPHC leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while CPHC leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 2.7% ROIC and — gross margin. CPHC currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 63/100 (C).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
CPHC ACTIVE
Canterbury Park Holding Corporation 'New'
C 63/100 — — 2.7% -0.83% $81.6M Benchmark Subject
VENU
Venu Holding Corporation
E 22/100 — — -31.1% +3.85% $76.5M /venu-vs-cphc →
GDHG
Golden Heaven Group Holdings Ltd. (Class A)
D 46/100 — 50.2% — -1.80% $72.7M /gdhg-vs-cphc →
TP
Ticketplus Ltd.
D+ 56/100 — — — 0.00% $107.5M /tp-vs-cphc →
GAME
GameSquare Holdings Inc.
E 28/100 — 43.4% -35.0% +3.98% $46.4M /game-vs-cphc →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001672909

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Canterbury Park Holding Corporation 'New' (CPHC) reported GAAP revenue of $6.9M (-61.7% vs. FY2024 revenue of $18.0M , and -78.6% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$529.4K, operating cash flow of $8.9M, and free cash flow of $8.9M (+37.2% YoY). On the balance sheet, CPHC closed FY2025 with $112.6M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $6.9M -$529.4K $8.9M $8.9M $112.6M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $18.0M $2.1M $6.5M $6.5M $109.9M —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $32.2M $10.6M $11.5M $11.5M — —

3. CPHC Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is CPHC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-03, Canterbury Park Holding Corporation 'New' (NASDAQ: CPHC) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 63/100 at a spot price of $15.61 (-0.83% 1D, market cap $81.6M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 16/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, CPHC ranks #276 in composite RQD confidence.

How does CPHC compare to VENU and GDHG in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Services-Misc. Amusement & Recreation), CPHC carries a Roarable C (63/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 2.7%. By comparison, VENU (Venu Holding Corporation) holds a E grade (22/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -31.1%, cap $76.5M) and GDHG (Golden Heaven Group Holdings Ltd. (Class A)) posts a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $72.7M). Among the 5-stock peer group, CPHC leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while CPHC leads on capital efficiency (2.7% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CPHC?

Per CPHC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001672909), Canterbury Park Holding Corporation 'New' generated $6.9M in revenue (-61.7% YoY), -$529.4K in net income, and $8.9M in free cash flow against $112.6M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is CPHC trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

CPHC last traded at $15.61 (-0.83% on volume of 681 shares), positioning the stock -1.08% below its 50-day simple moving average ($15.78) and -0.64% below its 200-day simple moving average ($15.71). Across its 52-week range of $14.39 to $16.84, CPHC sits at the 49.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 48.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±1.8% ($15.33 to $15.89).

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 63/100 (C) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

CPHC — Canterbury Park Holding Corporation 'New': What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:44:58Z

1. Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

CPHC scores 56 out of 100, a letter grade of D+, with the verdict label "Roarable Sell — Weak Fundamentals / Trim." The five pillars are:

  • Fundamental Cash Engine: 13 / 20. Per the RQD rating, this reflects an ROIC of 2.7% and an FCF yield of 10.96%. The FCF yield is a supportive datapoint, but the low ROIC indicates limited return on capital deployed in the business.
  • Whale 13F Flow: 7 / 20. Per the RQD rating, this pillar captures institutional accumulation and options positioning. The low score signals weak institutional conviction; the source data contains no holder detail to explain it further.
  • Insider Conviction: 12 / 20. Per the RQD rating, this pillar reflects SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow. The score is moderate-to-low, and the holders section provides no transaction detail.
  • Macro Regime Fit: 11 / 20. Per the RQD rating, beta is 1.0 with a sector sensitivity assessment. A beta of 1.0 means the stock is modeled as moving in line with the broader market, offering no defensive cushion or high-beta leverage.
  • Forensic Balance Sheet: 13 / 20. Per the RQD rating, Altman Z is 2.5, Piotroski F is 4/9, and Debt/Equity is 0.5. These readings are mid-range: the Altman Z sits in a range that is not in itself distress-signaling, while the Piotroski score is below the midpoint.

For a prospective investor evaluating the stock today, the rating implies that the cash-flow yield is the strongest element, but it is offset by weak returns on capital, low institutional interest, and a score that the rating methodology itself classifies as a trim signal. The upside case rests mainly on FCF yield being high relative to price; the valuation tradeoff is that the EV/EBITDA of 28.1 per the market data is elevated against the operating profitability shown in the financials.

2. Business Model, Unit Margins & SEC Financial Trajectory

Canterbury Park Holding Corporation 'New' (CPHC) is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Consumer Discretionary sector and the Services-Misc. Amusement & Recreation industry. — describes the products sold, the customer base, or the specific revenue model. The source data reports a market capitalization of $0.1B .

Operating income declined from $11.5M in FY 2023 to $2.5M in FY 2025, and net income moved from $10.6M to -$0.5M over the same span. Per the market data, gross, operating, and net margins are each reported as 0%, and ROIC is 2.7%. Per the RQD rating, the Altman Z-Score is 2.5 and the Piotroski F-Score is 4/9. Debt/Equity is 0.5 per the forensic balance sheet pillar, and FY 2025 cash is $12.1M .

3. Institutional Bull vs. Bear Thesis & Valuation Tradeoff

  • 🐂 Primary Bull Case: FCF yield of 10.96% per the RQD rating is the strongest pillar signal against a $15.66 price. With Fundamental Cash Engine at 13/20 (ROIC 2.7%, FCF yield 10.96%) and Institutional Whale Flow at 9/20, sustained execution supports upside toward the top of the $14.39 – $16.84 52-week range.
  • 🐻 Primary Bear Case: Operating income fell from $11.5M in FY 2023 to $2.5M in FY 2025 while ROIC sits at 2.7%. Investors must weigh current valuation and 28.1x EV/EBITDA against — operating margins and a 1.00 macro beta if sector demand softens.

4. 2nd-Order Butterfly Ripples & Key Questions to Watch

Operating in Services-Misc. Amusement & Recreation (Consumer Discretionary), CPHC carries a macro regime beta of 1.00 and gross margin of —.

  • Key Question #1: What drove the decline in operating income from $11.5M to $2.5M and the swing in net income from $10.6M to -$0.5M?
  • Key Question #2: What explains the 28.1 EV/EBITDA multiple relative to reported operating profitability?
  • Key Question #3: How sensitive is CPHC's — gross margin and equity valuation to Consumer Discretionary demand cycles and macro interest-rate shifts (Beta 1.00)?

CPHC Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Canterbury Park Holding Corporation 'New' (CPHC) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to CPHC Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

CPHC Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $15.61?

🐂 67% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON CPHC 🐻 33% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on CPHC:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
DE DeepValue_CFA Institutional Buy-Side 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $19.05 (+21.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

FCF yield of 10.96% per the RQD rating is the strongest pillar signal against a $15.66 price.

FCF yield of 10.96% per the RQD rating is the strongest pillar signal against a $15.66 price.. When you look under the hood at CPHC, Fundamental Cash Engine is 13/20 with 0.0% gross margins and 2.7% ROIC. Bears are staring in the rearview mirror while institutional 13F flow (9/20) has been quietly accumulating below $16.84. My 12M target is $19.05.

RetailWhale_TX 🐂 BULL

@CreditSpread_Watch Shorting a 9/20 institutional whale-flow stock at $15.74 is dangerous when funds are rotating into Consumer Discretionary.

CR CreditSpread_Watch Balance Sheet Analyst 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $13.22 (-16.0%)
Spot @ $15.74

Operating income fell from $11.5M in FY 2023 to $2.5M in FY 2025 while ROIC sits at 2.7%.

Careful chasing CPHC at $15.74. Operating income fell from $11.5M in FY 2023 to $2.5M in FY 2025 while ROIC sits at 2.7%.. Gross margin is 0.0%, but operating margin is 0.0%, which shows SG&A and reinvestment are eating into bottom-line EPS. Target $13.22 on multiple compression.

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